• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.133-148
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• 2022

In this study, a road pavement crack deterioration model was developed for a pavement road sections of the Sejong-city. Data required for model development were acquired using a deep learning-based road asset monitoring system. Road pavement monitoring was conducted on the same sections in 2021 and 2022. The developed model was analyzed by dividing it into a method for estimating the annual average amount of deterioration and a method based on Bayesian Markov Mixture Hazard model. As a result of the analysis, it was found that an analysis results similar to the crack deterioration model developed based on the data acquired from the Automatic pavement investigation equipmen was derived. The results of this study are expected to be used as basic data by local governments to establish road management plans.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.4 no.2 s.12
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• pp.9-18
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• 2002

The main distresses that influence pavement performance are rutting, fatigue cracking, and longitudinal roughness. Thus, it is important to analyze the factors that affect these three distresses, and to develop prediction models. In this paper, three distress prediction models were developed using DataPave program which stores data from a wide variety of pavement sections In the United States. Also, sensitivity studies were conducted to evaluate how the input variables impact on the distresses. The result of sensitivity study for the prediction model of rutting showed that asphalt content, air void, and optimum moisture content of subgrade were the major factors that affect rutting. The output of sensitivity study for the prediction model of fatigue cracking revealed that asphalt consistency, asphalt content, and air void were the most influential variables. The prediction model of longitudinal roughness indicated asphalt consistency, #200 passing percent of subgrade aggregate, and asphalt content were the factors that affect longitudinal roughness.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.4 no.1 s.11
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• pp.123-134
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• 2002

Special pavement test sections were selected to develop a distress prediction model on asphalt pavement of National Highway. Experimental design was conducted for the selection of LTPP sections on in-service pavement(new and overlaid pavement) using several variables affecting pavement performance. Preliminary sections that satisfied the design template were chosen from the national highway database, and final selection was fixed through field inspection. The number of monitoring section is 95 including 47 overlaid pavement. A pavement distress data such as crack and rutting were collected for two years. An interim pavement performance analysis was peformed to show feasibility of performance monitoring program. Data related pavement such as traffic, weather, material characteristic and crack etc. should be collected for next project years and distress prediction model will be developed through the statistical analysis.

• Proceedings of the Korean Radioactive Waste Society Conference
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• 2005.06a
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• pp.295-296
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• 2005

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.41 no.4
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• pp.417-428
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• 2021

Since future maintenance cost estimation of infrastructure involves uncertainty, it is important to make use of a failure prediction model. However, it is difficult for local governments to develop accurate failure prediction models applicable to infrastructure due to a lack of budget and expertise. Therefore, this study estimated the life expectancy of asphalt road pavement of national highways using the Bayesian Markov Mixture Hazard model. In addition, in order to accurately estimate life expectancy, environmental variables such as traffic volume, ESAL (Equivalent Single Axle Loads), SNP (Structural Number of Pavement), meteorological conditions, and de-icing material usage were applied to retain reliability of the estimation results. As a result, life expectancy was estimated from at least 13.09 to 19.61 years by region. By using this approach, it is expected that it will be possible to estimate future maintenance cost considering local failure characteristics.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.21 no.6
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• pp.46-55
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• 2020

The maintenance cost for highway pavement is gradually increasing due to the continuous increase in road extension as well as increase in the number of old routes that have passed the public period. As a result, there is a need for a method of minimizing costs through preventative grievance Preventive maintenance requires the establishment of a strategic plan through accurate prediction old Highway pavement. herefore, in this study, the XGBoost among machine learning classification-based models was used to develop a highway pavement damage prediction model. First, we solved the imbalanced data issue through data sampling, then developed a predictive model using the XGBoost. This predictive model was evaluated through performance indicators such as accuracy and F1 score. As a result, the over-sampling method showed the best performance result. On the other hand, the main variables affecting road damage were calculated in the order of the number of years of service, ESAL, and the number of days below the minimum temperature -2 degrees Celsius. If the performance of the prediction model is improved through more data accumulation and detailed data pre-processing in the future, it is expected that more accurate prediction of maintenance-required sections will be possible. In addition, it is expected to be used as important basic information for estimating the highway pavement maintenance budget in the future.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.41-50
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• 2011

It is well-known that pavement is easily damaged by several factors including permanent deformation and fatigue crack, causing service life of the pavement to be shorter than expected. It is very important to predict amount of permanent deformation for designing pavement and developing design method of pavement. A new model of permanent deformation of pavement materials based on concept of shear stress ratio has been proposed because the lower pavement materials are highly affected by shear strength of the material. In this study a large repetitive triaxial load test has been adapted for performing test of permanent deformation of crushed subbase materials. The test procedure which includes concept of shear stress ratio has been newly developed. Several important model parameters can be obtained from the test that can be used for making correct permanent deformation model of the material.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.7 no.4 s.26
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• pp.1-8
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• 2005

Permanent Deformation is one of the most important load-related pavement distresses in asphalt pavements. The Korean Pavement Design Guide currently being developed adopted the mechanistic-empirical approach and needed the pavement distress prediction models. This study intends to develop the model for prediction of permanent deformation in the asphalt layer and estimate the pavement performance. The objectives of this paper are to figure out the factors affecting the permanent deformation and then develop the permanent deformation prediction model for asphalt mixtures. The repeated triaxial load test was Performed on the 19mm dense graded asphalt mixture with variation of temperature and air void. Results from the laboratory tests showed that temperature and air void in asphalt mixtures have significantly influenced on the factors in prediction model. The permanent deformation prediction model for 19m dense grade asphalt mixtures has been developed using the multiple regression approach and validated the proposed permanent deformation prediction model.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.4 no.4 s.14
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• pp.1-12
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• 2002

Pavement Management System has a special purpose that the rehabilitation strategy applied on pavement should be executable in view of technical and economical point after new pavement open to the traffic. To achieve that purpose, a reliable pavement performance prediction model should be embeded in the system. The object of this study is to develop a probabilistic pavement performance prediction model for evaluating asphalt pavements based on the Markov chain concept. In this paper, methodology of the Markov chain modeling principle is explained, and the application of this model to asphalt pavement is described. As the results, transition matrics for predicting asphalt pavement performance are obtained, and also performance life is estimated quantitatively by this system.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.7 no.4 s.26
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• pp.69-77
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• 2005

Joint spacing is a potent influence in increasing the long term performance of jointed concrete pavement slabs through the control of tensile stress, sealant failure and Load Transfer Efficiency (LTE). Internal Joint Spacing is an empirical and fixed method therefore this study will present the optimum joint spacing considerations depending on various climactic conditions. Calculating the optimum joint spacing eliminates random cracking due to the effect of the environmental loads such as the early behavior of drying shrinkage and heat hydration. Optimum joint spacing is calculated so as not to cause pavement distress by the deterioration of LTE by long term pavement movement. This study shows that the provisional joint spacing is 6-8m. Pavement Distress Prediction Models show that pavement distress has no effect on joint spacing of 8m.