• Title/Summary/Keyword: 포괄적 경제동반자 협정

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The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership in East Asia and Its Economic Effects: A CGE Approach (CGE모형을 이용한 동아시아 역내포괄적경제동반자협정(RCEP)의 경제적 영향 분석)

  • Ko, Jong-Hwan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2013
  • This study aims at conducting a quantitative assessment of potential economic effects of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) consisting of 10 Member States of the ASEAN, Australia, China, India, Japan, Korea and New Zealand using a multi-region, multi-sector CGE model. Three different policy scenarios are carried out based on baseline scenarios: China-Japan-Korea FTA (Scenario 1); ASEAN+3 FTA (Scenario 2); and the RCEP (Scenario 3). The impacts of three scenarios are described in terms of real GDP, Equivalent Variation as a measure of welfare, export and import volumes, trade balance, and terms of trade. This study finds that the RCEP is to lead to an increase in real GDP of all members of the RCEP, with Korea as a winner with a highest additional economic growth of 2.43 percent, which implies that Korea is in a better position to play a leading role in promoting the RCEP.

세계 농업협상 동향(世界農業協商動向)

  • Korea Duck Association
    • Monthly Duck's Village
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    • s.65
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    • pp.57-61
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    • 2008
  • 정부가 내주 중에 한미 자유무역협정(FTA) 비준동의안을 국회에 제출할 예정이다. 이혜민 외교통상부 FTA 교섭대표는 "비준동의안 국회제출에 필요한 절차는 모두 마친 상태, 당정간 협의를 거쳤으며 내주에 비준동의안을 국회에 낼 계획"이라고 말했다. 지난 주 사실상 타결된 한.인도 CEPA(포괄적 경제동반자 협정)에 대해 이 대표는 인도가 일본, 유럽연합(EU) 등 이들 선진국과의 협상에 시간이 걸릴 것으로 전망하였으며 이번 협상에서 인도 측은 상품에 따라 관세를 협정 발효와 함께 즉시 또는 5년 내 철폐 방안과 8년 내 관세 축소 방안, 8년 뒤 1-1.5% 관세인하 방안, 10년 내 기존 관세를 50% 감축하는 방안에 대해 우리 측과 합의했다.협상이 진행중인 한.EU FAT는 오는 7일과 19일 각각 수석대표 회담과 통상장관 회담을 갖고 자동차 기술표준과 원산지 등 핵심쟁점에 대한 절충을 벌일 예정이다

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A Study on the Changes and the Impact of Korean Trade Policy after the US's withdrawal of TPP -Based on Vietnam Market- (미국의 TPP 탈퇴에 따른 한국 통상정책의 변화와 그 영향에 대한 연구 -베트남 시장을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Dong-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.92-102
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    • 2018
  • This paper studied the changes and effects of Korean Trade Policies in Vietnam market after the withdrawal of the TPP from US. Since Trump government is starting, US trade policy has moved to the protectionism method. Nevertheless, Vietnam is expanding its status as an FTA hub, and Vietnam is actively expanding its economic growth by actively implementing foreign capital. Vietnam, however, is likely to lose its position as a hub of FTA after USA's withdrawal from TPP member. So, Korea's trade policy is also expected to change its stance on Vietnam, and Korea is expected to change its policy toward Vietnam. Korea has achieved a lot of accomplishments and growth with free trade and free economic markets, and it has to strengthen its national strength even afterwards. Thus, if the flow of free trade & globalization continues, I would consider how the Korea trade policy change after the U.S.'s withdraws from TPP.

Analysis of Japan's CPTPP Trade Effect Using Gravity Model (중력모형을 이용한 일본의 CPTPP 교역 효과 분석)

  • Jongin Kim;Seong-Hyuk Hwang
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2023
  • The South Korean government announced its plan to pursue membership in the CPTPP in 2022, aiming to establish a stable supply chain within the Asia-Pacific region. The CPTPP, led by Japan, was ratified in 2018 by 11 countries with the goal of eliminating tariffs and establishing new trade rules. According to our analysis, since the implementation of the CPTPP, there has been a trade promotion effect among Japan and member countries, with greater effects observed in countries with higher GDP per capita and closer geographical distance. As long as tariff elimination and reduction proceed as planned, the trade promotion effects are expected to expand gradually. However, the expansion of trade between Japan and CPTPP member countries may also indicate a relative contraction in trade with non-member countries, potentially posing a threat to the stable supply chain in the Korean industry within the Asia-Pacific region. As Japan is Korea's fourth-largest trading partner, it is necessary to carefully consider the impact of CPTPP on Japan's future trade with member countries and engage in discussions regarding Korea's participation and negotiation content based on a thorough examination of the matter.

The impact of US CPTPP withdrawal on Vietnamese IT industry (미국 TPP 탈퇴가 베트남 IT 산업에 미치는 영향)

  • Hwang, Ki-sik;Choi, In-young
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.22 no.9
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    • pp.1271-1276
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    • 2018
  • The CPTPP(Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership) is a large-scale free trade agreement(FTA) in the Asia-Pacific region involving 11 remaining countries(Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Mexico, Chile, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam, Malaysia and Brunei) since the withdrawal of the US TPP in January 2017, Although the economic size is smaller than the TPP, the CPTPP has 12.9% of the world GDP and 14.9% of the trade volume, meaning that another mega FTA is born. Local economic experts believe that Vietnam's stable economic growth rate and the CPTPP agreement will have a positive impact on Vietnam's stock market and M&A market in 2018. The experts usually expect it will be come into force in 2018 and not later than 2019. The CPTPP is also very likely to enter into force in 2019 with the aggressive attitude of the member countries, simplifying the entry into force of the agreement.

The Exploratory Study on the Entry Mode for Indian Green Industry (인도 녹색산업 진입 전략에 대한 탐색적 연구 - 재생에너지 분야를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Hyun-Jae;Park, Se-Hun
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.55
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    • pp.265-290
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    • 2012
  • CEPA (Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement) between India and Korea may vitalize Korean economy more and more. Currently most of Korean firms have entered into manufacturing industries like electronics and automobiles. But only a few Korean companies are trying to penetrate into Indian green industry so this paper suggest how to enter into Indian green industry, especially renewable energy sectors. First, Exporting main shaft, tower-flange and polysilicon products can be considered, as a first step of entry mode. Second, entry mode based on contract like technology licensing, strategic alliance and joint venture establishment can be also one of options. For example, Korean solar energy industry which show more competitiveness than that of Indians should try to make technological licensing on PV modules. In addition to this, they should also try to make joint ventures with right Indian partners and build up 'Solar City' nearby regions like Gurgaon in India where many Korean firms are located. Korean shipbuilding firms like Hyundai Engineering which keep on developing wind turbo engines can also try to make strategic alliance with Indian firms like Suzlon which has strong competitiveness. After that, they should explore Korean and Indian wind sector markets together. Third, brownfield investment can be last and final option as a entry mode as we consider the peculiar characteristics of renewable energy industry. Lastly, Korean government which are rush to indulge into green business should formulate more proper and realistic policies to give big incentives the concerned firms which are trying to open international green market so government should make Korean green firms not to lose good market opportunities related to green industry like renewable energy sectors. Renewable energy sectors are basically regarded as infrastructures so close contact to Indian central government as well as state government will be also required.

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A Logistic Regression Analysis on the Recognition of Korean Small and Medium Enterprises on Korea-India Comprehensive Economic Partnership (로짓분석을 통한 국내 중소기업의 한-인도 포괄적 경제동반자 협정에 대한 인식 연구)

  • Lee, Soon Cheul
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.107-129
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    • 2010
  • This study does the logistic regression analysis in a survey how Korean Small and Medium Enterprises(SMEs) recognize the effects of the Korea-India Comprehensive Economic Partnership (CEPA) on their business activities and strategies. The results show that Korean SMEs which have relatively more employees and bigger size in terms of sales have interest in the Korea-India CEPA. In particular, the SMEs which are engaged in their business activities with India have more interest in the CEPA than those that have not any business relations with India. However, the results show that they will not enter or expand their business fields in India even though the CEPA starts. It implies that Korean SMEs recognize that the CEPA will not affect their business significantly. Thus, this study has a policy implication for government to adopt/establish policies for SMEs utilizing the CEPA. It includes information services about the CEPA, India markets, a political corporation between the Governments for improving the partnerships in the trade and FDI and so on.

The Strategic Approach to FTA Governmental Negotiation Method between China (중국과의 FTA 협상방식을 위한 전략적 접근)

  • Na, Seung-Hwa
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2010
  • Since Korea establish diplomatic ties with China in 1992, korea and China have had rapid progress in most of field as politic, economy, society and culture through basing on cultural commonality and geographical adjacency. Especially, China is the biggest trading partner to korea, and also Korea is third-biggest trading country to China. They become strategic cooperating relation in 2008. Currently, in terms of international trade relation, WTO/DDA negotiation is proceeding in difficulty, but FTA has been growing and extending in the world, and the two country, china and korea, have been competitively trying wide and active FTA negotiation promotion. After Financial crisis in 1997, according to the requirement of local economic cooperation, China has shown the interest to several countries since the conclusion of FTA treaty with ASEAN in 2005. China also makes the active afford to conclude FTA with Korea. Last May 28th, this was mentioned in the meeting between president Lee and Premier Wen Jiabao, so it is anticipated that the negotiation for FTA will be started in the near future. There are many political suggestions and concerns in terms of way of negotiation korea would choose. Some economist said that "'Continuous FTA aimed at long-term protocol should be promoted between korea and China and negotiated includingly'" However, this research claims that commodity exchange, service, and investment areas should be included and it has to be comprehensive package settlement style in negotiation. This research has found out the characteristics of China's negotiation and implications through the China's existed FTA negotiation examples. Currently, China has taken Continuous or a phase-negotiation method to ASEAN, Pakistan, Chile and some other developing country and to advanced countries like New Zealand or Singapore, comprehensive package settlement method is used in FTA negotiation. In consider of the FTA negotiation between Korea and China, Korea has some problems in the commodity change area in agriculture maket's opening. While, for china, the issues would happen in service trade area, especially when encountering finance and communication industries are opened, China's economy could be exposed to some risk. In result, Korea should expand its negotiation range from commodity trade to service trade, in order to exchange both issues, then the negotiation will be concluded more easily. In other word, for FTA, korea should follow comprehensive package settlement way that is similar to New zealand and Singapore case. Through this kind of method, Korea can expect effect of creating trade, conversion of it and preoccupancy of service field in china's market against the advanced countries like Usa, Europe and Japan. Also, to have a successful FTA negotiation, korea should find out china's policy for FTA negotiation. With this information, korea will be able to suggest the way to make a profit. Systematic analysis and comparison about previous negotiation cases of china are needed before the negotiation begin.

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