• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평균 모델

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Analysis of mass-balance using CE-QUAL-W2 in the four major rivers (CE-QUAL-W2를 이용한 4대강 보 구간 물질수지 분석)

  • Kwon, Bo Min;Jeong, Sun-A;Yi, Hye-Suk;Han, Gyu Seong;Lee, Jae Soon;Choi, Kwangsoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.481-481
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 4대강 수계 16개 보를 대상으로 보별 오염물질의 정량적인 분석을 통한 수질관리를 목적으로 미공병단에서 개발된 CE-QUAL-W2 모형을 이용하여 보별 유기물(BOD, TOC), 영양염류(TN, TP), 조류생체량(ALG)에 대한 물질수지를 분석하였다. 2013년부터 2017년까지를 분석기간으로 설정하여 각 보 구간에서 상류 보, 지류, 하수종말처리장의 유입부하를 입력조건으로 구성하였으며, 검증된 모델 입력자료 및 출력자료를 바탕으로 각 수질항목에 대한 유입 및 유출부하량을 산정하였다. 또한 월별 및 연간 오염물질의 증감 양을 비교 분석하여 보 구간에서 오염물질의 생산 및 소멸 여부에 대한 평가를 하였다. 조사기간 동안 오염물질의 증감 양은 수계 및 보별, 월별 및 연도별, 그리고 수질항목에 따라 상이한 것으로 나타났다. 5년간 평균 수계별 보 구간으로 유입부하량, 유출부하량에 대한 증감율을 보면 한강수계 3개보의 경우 BOD는 -5.4~3.1%, TN은 -3.9~1.1%, TP는 -6.9~-0.9%, TOC는 -8.1~-2.1%, ALG는 14.4~30.8%를 나타내었으며, 낙동강수계 8개보의 BOD는 -10.3~10.6%, TN은 -12.2~11.4%, TP는 -14.9~21.6%, TOC는 -16.6~2.3%, ALG는 -29.5~30.1%, 금강수계 3개보의 BOD는 -1.6~ -0.5%, TN은 -2.6~-0.9%, TP는 -6.6~-3.9%, TOC는 -5.4~-4.9%, ALG는 3.5~21.5%, 영산강수계 2개보의 BOD는 -0.4~3.1%, TN은 0.6~2.0%, TP는 -9.8~-0.9%, TOC는 -11.4~-10.3%, ALG는 30.3~36.5%로 전반적으로 낙동강수계의 BOD와 TP, 영산강수계의 BOD와 TN을 제외한 오염물질이 보 구간 내에서 침전, 분해 등에 의해 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 조류생체량은 낙동강의 낙단보와 구미보를 제외한 보 구간 내에서 증가하였으며 특히, 금강과 영산강은 하류로 갈수록 조류생체량이 증가하는 것으로 나타났다.

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Analysis of the Influence of Shipping Policies on the Expansion of Korea's Merchant Fleet Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 해운정책이 우리나라 외항선대 증가에 미친 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Bum;Jeon, Jun-Woo;Yeo, Gi-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.23-40
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    • 2015
  • This study measures how Korean shipping policies influence the expansion of the country's merchant fleet using system dynamics. It uses various indexes as factors influencing the gross tonnage of the Korean merchant fleet, such as the Baltic Dry Index, Howe Robinson Container Index, China Containerized Freight Index, and Worldscale Index, as well as the US dollar-Korean won exchange rate, world merchant fleet statistics, and the debt ratio of Korean shipping companies. After establishing the simulation model, the mean absolute percentage error is found to be less than 10%, confirming the accuracy of the model. Therefore, a sensitivity analysis is conducted to measure the influence of the selected shipping policies, including the gross tonnage of vessels registered under the Korean second registry system, loans of publicly owned financial institutions to shipping companies, ship investment fund, and the number of shipping companies participating in the tonnage tax scheme. The sensitivity analysis reveals that the influence of vessel tonnage and loans to shipping companies is the most significant, while that of the number of companies participating in the tonnage tax scheme is minimal.

A Simple Calculational Method by using Modified Von Mises Transformation applied to the Coaxial Turbulent Jet Mixing (유동함수를 이용한 난류제트혼합유동 계산에 관한 연구)

  • Choi Dong-Whan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2005
  • A simple but efficient grid generation technique by using the modified compressible form of stream function has been formulated. Transformation of a physical plane to a streamline plane, the Von Mises Transformation, has been widely used to solve the differential equations governing flow phenomena, however, limitation arises in low velocity region of boundary layer, mixing layer and wake region where the relatively large grid spacing is inevitable. Modified Von Mises Transformation with simple mathematical adjustment for the stream function is suggested and applied to solve the confined coaxial turbulent jet mixing with simple $\kappa-\epsilon$ turbulence model. Comparison with several experimental data of axial mean velocity, turbulent kinetic energy, and Reynolds shear stress distribution shows quite good agreement in the mixing layer except in the centerline where the turbulent kinetic energy distributions were somewhat under estimated. This formulation is strongly suggested to be utilized specially for free turbulent mixing layers in axisymmetric flow conditions such as the investigation of mixing behavior, jet noise production and reduction for Turbofan engines.

Estimation of Shelf Life for Propellant KM6 by Using Gamma Process Model (감마과정 모델을 이용한 KM6 추진제의 저장수명 예측)

  • Park, Sung-Ho;Kim, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2012
  • The aim of the study is to investigate the method to estimate a shelf life of KM6 single base propellant by stochastic gamma process model. The state failure level is assumed that the degradation content of stabilizer is below 0.8%. The constant of time dependent shape function and the scale parameter of stationary gamma process are estimated by moment method. The state distribution at each storage time can be shown from probability density function of deterioration. It is estimated that the $B_{10}$ life, a time at which the cumulative failure probability is 10%, is 25 years and the $B_{50}$ life is 36 years from cumulative failure distribution function curve. The $B_{50}$ life can be treated as the average shelf life from the practical viewpoint and the lifetime can be expressed as distribution curve by using stochastic process theory.

Three-dimensional Seismic Refraction Travel Time Tomography for Dipping Two Layers (경사 2층 구조를 위한 3차원 굴절탄성파 주시 토모그래피)

  • Cho Dong-heng;Cho Kwang-ho
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 1998
  • This paper deals with tomographic travel time inversion of three dimensional seismic refraction survey conducted over a dipping interface. The slowness, and thus velocity as its reciprocal, distribution on the subsurface interface is to be determined applying an ART with under-relaxtion parameter. The models chosen are realistic, i.e., most likely to be met in engineering seismics, and the interface includes anomalous zones. It is found that, generally speaking, the inversion could be misleading or meaningless without the correction of the dip of the interface. This is rather surprising when we recall that usual assumption for the interpretation of refraction seismics data is the horizontal attitude of structures within the limit of $15^{\circ}$ dip or so. To make the present method tenable for a new means of routine seismics, some practical ways of identifying head wave arrivals are to be devised.

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H/V Spectral-ratio Analysis of Microtremors in Jeju Island (제주도 상시미동의 H/V 스펙트럼비 분석)

  • Hong, Myung-Ho;Kim, Ki-Young
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.144-152
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    • 2010
  • To study the thickness variation of volcanic rocks of Jeju Island, microtremor data were recorded at eight and four sites using short-period and broadband seismometers, respectively, for 30 ~ 60 minutes with a 100 Hz sampling rate. During the daytime, these records show increased cultural noise at frequencies above 1.8 Hz. Natural noise occurs in the frequency range of 0.4 to 0.8 Hz in both daytime and nighttime data. Predominant frequencies determined by the H/V spectral-ratio method are in the range of 0.2 ~ 0.7 Hz. These frequencies decrease gradually as the central part of the Mt. Halla is approached. This may indicate that the basement is warped downward beneath the center of the island, which is consistent with previous gravimetric and magnetic models. Assuming an average shear-wave velocity of 1,800 m/s for the overburden basalts, the depths to basement are estimated to be between 640 and 2,140 m.

A Study on the Development of Crime Prediction Program(CPP) (범죄발생 예측프로그램 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Young-Hwan;Mun Jeong-Min
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.11 no.4 s.42
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    • pp.221-230
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    • 2006
  • Changing drastically, the life in a modern city has forced citizens to gradually shorten their average period of settlement, which has weakened the identity of city habitation, thus causing serious crimes and damaging the security of city greatly. Haying a highly composite structure with not only macro, but micro characteristics, city is grasped as a very composite phenomenon shown in the social, economic and spatial constitution relationships, including the personal motives of criminals. Accordingly, this study puts stress on the necessity of any crime prediction program to predict the occurrence of crimes by analyzing the occurrence patterns of sharply increasing intra-city crimes of violence on a typical, time and spatial basis and clarifying their structural dynamic relationships in a both macro and micro manner. Moreover, the deduction of various factors closely related to crime occurrence will contribute to elucidating the occurrence structure of city crimes.

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An Efficient Management Model of Security Policy in the Unified Threat Management System (통합 보안 시스템에서의 효율적인 보안 정책 관리 모델)

  • Joo, Heon-Sik;Kim, Jong-Wan
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.15 no.9
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2010
  • This paper showed that the integrated system to fortify security was much more efficient than the respective system through the analysis of problems from Firewall and IPS system in the existing security systems. The results of problem analysis revealed that there were the delay of processing time and lack of efficiency in the existing security systems. Accordingly, their performance was evaluated by using the separated Firewall, IPS system, and the integrated system. The result of evaluation shows that the integrated security system this paper suggested is five times faster than the existing one in terms of processing speed of response. This paper demonstrated the excellence of the proposed security system is also more than fivefold in session handling per second and six times process speeding in the CPU processing performance. In addition, several security policies are applied, and it provided a fact that it gave an excellent performance when it comes to protecting from harmful traffic attacks. In conclusion, this paper emphasized that fortifying the integrated security system was more efficient than fortifying the existing one considering in various respects such as cost, management, time, space and so on.

A Three-Dimensional Simulation of Kori-1 Core by Nodal Method

  • Kim, Young-Jin;Moon, Kap-Suk;Lee, Sang-Keun;Lee, Ji-Bok;Lee, Chang-Kun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1981
  • The KINS (KAERI-Improved Nodal Simulation) program, a three-dimensional nodal simulation code for pressurized water reactors, has been developed and benchmarked against the first cycle of the Kori-1 reactor. The KINS program is based on the computational model used in FLARE code and has been modified to represent the PWR characteristics more explicitly. The critical boron concentration and three-dimensional power distribution at the beginning of life hot zero power have been calculated and compared with the operating data. A three-dimensional depletion calculation at the intervals of 1000 MWD/MTU turnup steps has been performed. As the result of comparison, our calculation is shown to be in excellent agreement with the operating data. It is displayed that, incorporated with the computing time, the KINS program is an effective and powerful tool for PWR core management.

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Suggestion of Procurement Strategy with Commodity Classification by Peter Kraljic Matrix (피터 크랄직 매트릭스 기법에 의한 자재 분류를 활용한 구매 전략 제안)

  • Choi, Hyun Koo;Lee, Jae-Heon
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2015
  • 구매자는 일반 제조업에서 자재를 피터 크랄직 매트릭스 기법에 의해 경쟁품목, 일반품목, 전략품목, 위험품목으로 분류한 후 각 품목 특성에 맞추어 구매 전략을 수립한다. 피터 클라직 매트릭스란 구매 리스크와 비즈니스 영향도 즉 특정 품목의 구매 금액 비중에 따라 자재를 분류하는 기법이다. 본 논문은 플랜트 엔지니어링산업에서 플랜트 기자재를 대상으로 피터 클라직 매트릭스 기법에 의해 기자재를 분류한 후 각 품목 특성에 맞는 구매 전략을 제안하고 사례 기업인 A사가 사우디아라비아에서 수행하는 발전 플랜트 기자재에 제안한 구매 전략을 적용하여 그 효과를 검증한 것이다. 플랜트 엔지니어링산업은 수주산업인데 총 수주금액 중 구매가 차지하는 비중은 약 50~60%이다. 따라서 프로젝트를 수행할 때 원가를 절감하여 이익을 극대화하기 위해 구매는 매우 중요한 역할을 한다. 플랜트 기자재는 크게 회전기계류, 고정장치류, 전기자재류, 제어자재류, 배관자재류로 구분된다. 각 공종별 플랜트 기자재에 대해 구매 지출 분석을 한 후 피터 클라직 매트릭스 기법에 의해 플랜트 기자재를 분류한 결과 경쟁품목에는 열교환기, 저장탱크 등이 포함되었고 일반품목에는 전선관, 조명기자재, 밸브 등이 포함되었다. 또한 전략품목에는 가스터빈, 가스터빈 흡입공기 냉각장치 등이 포함되었고, 위험품목에는 가스터빈 고정 볼트 등이 포함되었다. 경쟁품목 중 다관형 열교환기는 공급자와 공동으로 원가 모델을 구축하는 전략을 수립했고 저장탱크의 경우에는 공급자에게 원자재를 사급하는 전략을 수립하였다. 그 전략을 A사가 수행하는 프로젝트에 적용한 결과 각각 20%와 6%의 원가 절감 효과를 얻었다. 일반품목 중 전선관은 구매 대행사를 활용하는 전략을 수립했고 조명기자재는 기술 사양 검토 과정을 생략한 구매 프로세스 간소화 전략을 수립하였다. 그 결과 약 10%의 원가 절감과 평균 5일의 발주기간을 단축할 수 있었다. 전략품목 중 가스터빈 흡입공기 냉각장치는 공급자와 포괄적 양해각서를 체결하여 공동으로 사업주에 대응하는 전략을 수립했고 그 결과 프로젝트 수행 안정성 확보와 공급자 조기 참여를 통한 발주 스케줄 단축을 이룰 수 있었다. 위험품목 중 가스터빈 고정볼트는 재고 확보 전략을 수립하여 자재의 부족이나 파손으로 인해 프로젝트 공기에 영향을 주지 않도록 리스크를 감소시키는 효과를 얻었다.

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