• Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.107-113
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• 2011

To evaluate the performance of the hydrodynamic model, we introduced 10 skill assessments that are assorted by two groups: quantitative skill assessments (Absolute Average Error or AAE, Root Mean Squared Error or RMSE, Relative Absolute Average Error or RAAE, Percentage Model Error or PME) and qualitative skill assessments (Correlation Coefficient or CC, Reliability Index or RI, Index of Agreement or IA, Modeling Efficiency or MEF, Cost Function or CF, Coefficient of Residual Mass or CRM). These skill assessments were applied and calculated to evaluate the hydrodynamic modeling at one of Florida estuaries for water level, current, and salinity as comparing measured and simulated values. We found that AAE, RMSE, RAAE, CC, IA, MEF, CF, and CRM are suitable for the error assessment of water level and current, and AAE, RMSE, RAAE, PME, CC, RI, IA, CF, and CRM are good at the salinity error assessment. Quantitative and qualitative skill assessments showed the similar trend in terms of the classification for good and bad performance of model. Furthermore, this paper suggested the criteria of the "good" model performance for water level, current, and salinity. The criteria are RAAE < 10%, CC > 0.95, IA > 0.98, MEF > 0.93, CF < 0.21 for water level, RAAE < 20%, CC > 0.7, IA > 0.8, MEF > 0.5, CF < 0.5 for current, and RAAE < 10%, PME < 10%, CC > 0.9, RI < 1.15, CF < 0.1 for salinity.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.20 no.6
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• pp.26-36
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• 2021

In this study, a deep learning model for predicting the queue length was developed using the information collected from the image detector. Then, a multiple regression analysis model, a statistical technique, was derived and compared using two indices of mean absolute error(MAE) and root mean square error(RMSE). From the results of multiple regression analysis, time, day of the week, occupancy, and bus traffic were found to be statistically significant variables. Occupancy showed the most strong impact on the queue length among the variables. For the optimal deep learning model, 4 hidden layers and 6 lookback were determined, and MAE and RMSE were 6.34 and 8.99. As a result of evaluating the two models, the MAE of the multiple regression model and the deep learning model were 13.65 and 6.44, respectively, and the RMSE were 19.10 and 9.11, respectively. The deep learning model reduced the MAE by 52.8% and the RMSE by 52.3% compared to the multiple regression model.

• Journal of the Korea Computer Industry Society
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• v.5 no.5
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• pp.755-760
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• 2004

In this paper, an advanced successive elimination algorithm was proposed using mean absolute difference of neighboring search points. By using mean absolute difference of neighboring search points, the search point in motion estimation can be eliminated effeciently without matching evaluation that requires very intensive computations. By using adaptive MAD calculation algorithm, the candidate matching block can be eliminated early. So, the number of the proposed algrorithm was verified by experimental results.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.415-420
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• 2017

유량자료는 연속적으로 관측하기가 쉽지 않을 뿐 아니라 모든 관측소에서 매년 적정한 유량자료를 생산하는 것 또한 매우 어려운 실정이다. 이에 따라 미계측 유역에 대한 유량 산정을 위해 많은 연구가 진행되고 있다. 영국의 "Low Flow Studies report(Institute of Hydrology, 1980)"에서는 갈수량 산정과 관련하여 기저유량비(Base Flow Index, BFI)를 사용하는 것을 추천하였다. 국내에서는 이와 관련한 적용 사례가 없기 때문에 본 연구에서는 BFI를 적용하여 미계측 유역의 갈수량을 산정하고자 하였다. 대상유역은 낙동강 권역의 22개 지점을 대상으로 실시하였으며, 기저유량비 및 평균 갈수량과 유역 및 수문인자들의 상관분석을 수행하였다. 분석을 통하여 기저유량비는 토양군 C와 지하수위를 독립변수로, 평균 갈수량은 기저유량비, 유역면적, 강수량을 독립변수로 선정하여 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과 개발한 기저유량비 지역회귀모형의 상대오차는 -26.5%(기계2)~57.2%(구영)의 범위로 분포하였고, 절대오차의 평균은 17.2%로 산정되었다. 평균 갈수량 지역회귀모형은 상대오차가 -38.4%(도천)~184.4%(길안)의 범위에서 분포하고 있으며, 절대오차의 평균은 47.3%이다. 그러나 소토, 기계2, 길안 지점을 제외하면 절대오차는 30.6%이다. 상대오차는 다소 부정적이지만 기존에 개발된 지역회귀모형으로 평균 갈수량을 산정한 결과와 비교하면 상대적으로 양호한 것으로 판단된다. 사용한 자료의 기간이 6년으로 통계적인 결과로 보기에는 다소 미흡한 측면이 있지만, 유역인자로서 BFI가 미계측 유역의 갈수량 특성을 설명할 수 있는 우수한 인자라고 판단하였다.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.28 no.6
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• pp.509-515
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• 2004

The aim of this paper is to forecast passenger numbers and freight volumes in 2005 and it is proposed optimal tonnage of passenger ship. The forecasting of passenger numbers and freight volumes is important problem in order to determine optimal tonnage of passenger ship, port plan and development. In this paper, the forecasting of passenger numbers and freight volumes are performed by the method of neural network using back-propagation learning algorithm. And this paper compares the forecasting performance of neural networks with moving average method and exponential smooth method As the result of analysis. The forecasting of passenger numbers and freight volumes is that the neural networks performed better than moving average method and exponential smoothing method on the basis of MSE(mean square error) and MAE(mean absolute error).

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.733-745
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• 2017

Local composite quantile regression is a useful non-parametric regression method widely used for its high efficiency. Data smoothing methods using kernel are typically used in the estimation process with performances that rely largely on the smoothing parameter rather than the kernel. However, $L_2$-norm is generally used as criterion to estimate the performance of the regression function. In addition, many studies have been conducted on the selection of smoothing parameters that minimize mean square error (MSE) or mean integrated square error (MISE). In this paper, we explored the optimality of selecting smoothing parameters that determine the performance of non-parametric regression models using local linear composite quantile regression. As evaluation criteria for the choice of smoothing parameter, we used mean absolute error (MAE) and mean integrated absolute error (MIAE), which have not been researched extensively due to mathematical difficulties. We proved the uniqueness of the optimal smoothing parameter based on MAE and MIAE. Furthermore, we compared the optimal smoothing parameter based on the proposed criteria (MAE and MIAE) with existing criteria (MSE and MISE). In this process, the properties of the proposed method were investigated through simulation studies in various situations.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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• v.8B no.5
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• pp.557-564
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• 2001

In general, several moving regions with different motions coexist in a block located on motion boundaries in the block-based motion estimation. In this case the motion compensation error(MCEs) are different with the moving regions. This is inclined to deteriorate the quality of motion compensated images because of the inaccurate motions estimated from the conventional mean absolute error(MAE) based matching function in which the matching error per pixel is accumulate throughout the block. In this paper, we divided a block into the regions according to their motions using the motion information of the spatio-temporally neighboring blocks and calculate the average MCF for each moving mentioned. From the simulation results, we showed the improved performance of the proposed method by comparing the results from other methods such as the full search method and the edge oriented block matching algorithm. Especially, we improved the quality of the motion compensated images of blocks on motion boundaries.

• Journal of The Korean Ophthalmological Society
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• v.59 no.12
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• pp.1173-1180
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• 2018

Purpose: We evaluated the postoperative accuracy of intraocular lens power prediction for patients undergoing phacotrabeculectomy and identified preoperative factors associated with refractive outcome in those with primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG). Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 27 patients who underwent phacotrabeculectomy to treat POAG. We recorded all discrepancies between predicted and actual postoperative refractions. We compared the data to those of an age- and sex-matched control group that underwent uncomplicated cataract surgery during the same time period. Preoperative factors associated with the mean absolute error (MAE) were identified via multivariate regression analyses. Results: The mean refractive error of the 27 eyes that underwent phacotrabeculectomy was comparable to that of the 27 eyes treated via phacoemulsification (+0.02 vs. -0.01 D, p = 0.802). The phacotrabeculectomy group exhibited a significantly higher MAE (0.65 vs. 0.35 D, p = 0.035) and more postoperative astigmatism (-1.07 vs. -0.66 D, p = 0.020) than the phacoemulsification group. The preoperative anterior chamber depth (ACD) and the changes in the postoperative intraocular pressure (IOP) were significantly associated with a greater MAE after phacotrabeculectomy. Conclusions: POAG treatment via combined phacoemulsification/trabeculectomy was associated with greater error in terms of final refraction prediction, and more postoperative astigmatism. As both a shallow preoperative ACD and a greater postoperative change in IOP appear to increase the predictive error, these two factors should be considered when planning phacotrabeculectomy.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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• 1998.06a
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• pp.193-196
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• 1998

본 논문에서는 동영상 부호화에 있어서의 영상 간 중복성을 제거하기 위한 수단으로 사용되는 움직임 추정 방식에 관련된 내용으로 특히 밝기가 변하는 영상에 대해 부호화 성능을 높여 주는 움직임 추정방식에 대해 부호화 제안하였다. 제안한 움직임 추정은 기존의 평균 절대 오차나 평균 제곱 오차를 기반으로 하는 기존의 움직임 추정에 의한 움직임 벡터와 매크로블록 간 오차의 최소 분산을 가지는 움직임 벡터 중 부호화 시 적은 비트를 필요로 하는 움직임 벡터를 이용함으로써 일반 영상에는 기존의 방법과 유사한 부호화 성능을 나타내고, 화면의 밝기가 급격하게 변하는 영상에서는 기존의 방법보다 우수한 부호화 성능을 나타내도록 하는 방법이다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.28 no.1
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• pp.125-134
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• 2010

It is occurred bus arrival time errors when a bus arrives at a bus stop because of a variety of traffic condition such as traffic signal cycle, the time to get on and off a bus, a bus-only lane and so on. In this paper, bus delay time which is occurred as the result of traffic condition was estimated with Markov Chain process and bus arrival time at each bus stop was predicted with it. As the result of the study, it is confirmed to improve accuracy than the method of bus arrival time prediction with existing method (weighed moving average method) in case predicting bus arrival time using 7 by 7 and 9 by 9 matrixes.