• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평균부하율

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Short-term Peak Power Demand Forecasting using Model in Consideration of Weather Variable (기상 변수를 고려한 모델에 의한 단기 최대전력수요예측)

  • 고희석;이충식;최종규;지봉호
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2001
  • BP neural network model and multiple-regression model were composed for forecasting the special-days load. Special-days load was forecasted using that neural network model made use of pattern conversion ratio and multiple-regression made use of weekday-change ratio. This methods identified the suitable as that special-days load of short and long term was forecasted with the weekly average percentage error of 1∼2[%] in the weekly peak load forecasting model using pattern conversion ratio. But this methods were hard with special-days load forecasting of summertime. therefore it was forecasted with the multiple-regression models. This models were used to the weekday-change ratio, and the temperature-humidity and discomfort-index as explanatory variable. This methods identified the suitable as that compared forecasting result of weekday load with forecasting result of special-days load because months average percentage error was alike. And, the fit of the presented forecast models using statistical tests had been proved. Big difficult problem of peak load forecasting had been solved that because identified the fit of the methods of special-days load forecasting in the paper presented.

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Analysis of power transformers survey in domestic (국내 전력용 변압기의 현장실태조사 분석)

  • Lee, Sangl-Ick;Bae, Seok-Myeong;Kim, Gi-Hyun;Jeon, Hyun-Jae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.09a
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    • pp.258-260
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    • 2008
  • 국내의 에너지 이용 효율개선과 에너지 절약의 중요성은 갈수록 높아 가고만 있는 상황이다. 이에 국내 전력용 변압기의 평균 연간부하율을 도출하여 합리적이고 타당성 있는 고효율 변압기 기술기준안의 작성이 필요하게 되었다. 우리나라의 평균연간 부하율을 변압기 용량별, 업종별, 지역별로 구분하여 조사하였으며 이를 토대로 전력용변압기의 관련 기준안을 검토 보완하는데 활용할 수 있을 것이다. 이러한 고효율 변압기 기술기준안 수림에 의해 예상되는 기대효과는 국내 실정에 맞는 고효율 변압기의 생산 및 보급이 확대됨으로써 수용가의 전력요금절감은 물론 관련업계의 시장 경쟁력 강화 효과를 기대한 수 있을 것이다.

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Load Forecasting for Holidays using Fuzzy Least-Squares Linear Regression Algorithm (퍼지 최소자승 선형회귀분석 알고리즘을 이용한 특수일 전력수요예측)

  • Ku, Bon-Suk;Baek, Young-Sik;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.11b
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    • pp.51-53
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    • 2001
  • 전력 수요 예측은 전력 수급 안정과 양질의 전력을 공급하기 위한 필수 기법이며 경쟁적인 전력시장에서 전력요금과 밀접한 관련이 있다. 그러므로, 경쟁적인 전력시장 구조하의 시장 참여자에게 있어서 전력 수요 예측은 매우 관심 있는 사항이다. 최근의 전력 수요 예측 기법으로 예측한 오차율을 살펴보면 평일과는 다르게 특수일의 전력 수요예측은 평균 5%를 상회하는 수준으로 예측의 정확도가 평일 예측에 비해 크게 낮은데 이유는 특수일이 평일에 비하여 부하의 크기가 다소 낮게 나타나고 특수일 마다 계절적인 차이가 있으며 각각의 특수일 마다 고유한 부하의 특성이 있으므로 과거 데이터를 이용할 때 동일 특수일을 이용하게 되며 따라서 평일과는 다르게 일년 단위로 과거 데이터 값들이 취득되므로 오차율이 커진다. 따라서 데이터들을 퍼지화하여 선형계획법을 수행하여 평균 $2{\sim}3%$ 정도의 우수한 결과를 도출한 바 있다. 본 논문에서는 퍼지 선형회귀분석법을 이용한 예측 기법에 최소자승법을 도입하여 특수일 전력 수요예측의 정확도를 개선하였다.

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Load-Aware Cell Selection Method for Efficient Use of Network Resources (효율적 망 자원 이용을 위한 부하 인지 셀 선택 기법)

  • Park, Jaesung
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.40 no.12
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    • pp.2443-2449
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    • 2015
  • Downlink (DL) data rate for a MS is influenced by not only the signal to interference and noise ratio (SINR) but also the amount of radio resources allocated to the MS. Therefore, when a MS uses SINR to select a cell to associate with, it cannot receive the fastest DL data rate all the time if it associates with a congested cell. Moreover, the SINR-based cell selection may result in cell loads unbalance, which decreases the efficiency of a network. To address the issue, we propose a novel cell selection method by considering not only SINR but also a cell load which are combined into two cell selection criteria. One is the maximum achievable data rate and the other is the minimum outage probability. The simulation results show that the cell selection based on the maximum achievable data rate is superior to the SINR-based method and the method using the minimum outage probability in terms of the system efficiency and the fairness in cell loads while the cell selection method based on the minimum outage probability is superior to the others in terms of the outage probability of a MS.

Analysis on the Heat load Pattern According to Ratio of the Heat Consumers in District Heating (지역난방 열사용자 비율별 열부하 패턴변화 분석: 공동주택과 건물)

  • Lee, Hoon;Lee, Yoon-Pyo;Kim, Lae-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.123-129
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    • 2010
  • The district heating users can be generally classified into two groups such as apartments and buildings. In consideration that the time zone of the maximum heat load for apartments is different from those of buildings during a day, the maximum heat supply range is presented. In case of the investigated area, the maximum heat supply is occurred at the ratio between apartments and buildings that is 65%:35%. Thus the heat supply range is increased as much as 15% if the time zone when the maximum heat load is occurred is considered.

Water Quality Assessment in Hwangryong River Basin using GIS (GIS를 이용한 황룡강 유역의 수질오염평가)

  • 김철;김석규
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 1999.12a
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    • pp.39-43
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    • 1999
  • 유역의 수질오염 평가는 GIS의 이용으로 더욱 발달되었는데 이 방법에서는 일반적으로 이용 할 수 있는 자료 즉, 소유역 구분도 및 하천망도, DEM, 강우자료, 유량측정지점 및 측정자료, 오염부하량 원단위자료, 수질측정자료, 토지이용자료, 점오염원(축산농가, 인구, 산업체)자료 등을 사용하여 유역에 대한 연간 평균 오염부하량과 오염농도를 계산할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 장성과 광주 일부분을 유역으로 하는 황룡강 유역에 대해 GIS를 이용하여 수질오염을 평가하였다. 점오염원의 오염부하량은 수계 내에서 발생하는 점오염원의 위치를 기준으로 원단위를 적용하여 오염부하량을 구하였다 비점오염원 농도는 연평균 오염부하량을 총연간 누적유량으로 나눔으로써 계산하였다. 유역의 연평균 오염부하량에 대한 공간분포 그리드를 만들기 위해 각각의 그리드 셀에 대해 오염농도와 유출량을 곱한 값을 하류방향으로 누적하여 계산하였다. 이와 같은 방법을 사용하여 대상 유역에 대한 비점오염원 수질 농도의 예측치를 계산하였며, 이 예측치와 실측치를 비교 분석함으로서 개발된 모형을 검증하였다. 대상유역의 자료를 사용하여 황룡강 유역에 대한 개략적인 수질오염을 평가한 결과 BOD 유달율은 약 20%정도로 나타났다.

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Integrated System of RBC-lime Precipiatation for Simultaneous Removal of Organics and Nutrients (회전원판공정과 화학침전공정 조합을 이용한 유기물과 질소*인의 동시제거)

  • 박종안;허준무;손부순
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.132-140
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    • 1998
  • Laboratory-scale experiments were conducted using a three-stage rotating biological contactor unit followed by lime precipitation and sedimentation with effluent recycle to the first stage. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effects of hydraulic loadings of 0.031-0.076 $m^3/m^2/d and recycle ratio of 1 to 3 on the simultaneous removal of organics and nutrients from domestic wastewater. Lime was added to maintain pH of 10.4-11.0 in the coagulation-flocculation reactor. Results showed that the highest nitrogen removal rate of 70.5% occurred at the lower hydraulic loading of 0.031 $m^3/m^2/d at a recirculation rate of 300%, and similarly, highest nitrification occurred at the same hydraulic loading and recycle ratio. Concentration of ammonia nitrogen in the effluent was less than 1 mg/l at the same operating conditions for higher nitrogen removal. Whereas, high BOD and COD removal was observed at hydraulic loading rate of 0.054 $m^3/m^2/d, and high removal of organic matter was evident from the consistent low COD and BOD value. Results obtained from the operating condition of higher loading rate, 300% of recycle rate showed the highest removals. Increasing in recycle rate and hydraulic loading rate increased the volatile solids fraction of the sludges generated to the extent of 47% at 0.076 $m^3/m^2/d hydraulic loading and 300% recirculation rate. Since pH in the flocculator was maintained at the pH of 10.4-11.0, above 90% removal of phosphorus was obtained. Average concentration of suspended solids was always maintained over 40 mg/l in the effluent. Therefore an RBC unit operating at a hydraulic loading near 0.031 $m^3/m^2/d with a recycle rate of 300% is a viable and feasible alternate conditions to produce an effluent with relative low organic matter and phosphorus, provided that there is a neutralization unit to control the pH and SS of the effluent.

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A Simulation for the Stratified Thermal Storage System in Residential Solar Energy Application (주거용 태양열 성층축열시스템의 시뮬레이션)

  • Pak, Ee-Tong;Yoo, Ho-Seon
    • Solar Energy
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.44-52
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    • 1991
  • The benefits of thermal stratification in sensible heat storage systems has been considered and studying by several investigators. In this paper, the basic data which is hard to obtain normally through the experiment were obtainable through the computer simulation. The major objectives of the study were to assess the benefits of stratified storage in residential solar water heating application and to suggest the optimum design parameters. From the computer simulation, following results were obtained. 1. The solar load fraction increases with increasing the number of tank segments. In these simulation, the magnitude of the improvement was about 10%. 2. The solar load fraction increases when the ratio of diameter to height of the tank(H/D) increases to 3, but H/D exceed 3 then, the solar load fraction decreases. In these simulation, the magnitude of the improvement was about 3%. 3. Increasing the collector flow rate slightly improved the performance of the mixed storage system(Node=1). But, for the stratified storage system(Node=N), the solar load fraction increases with decreasing flow rate until the point is reached at which the collector outlet temperature reaches the boiloff limit of $100^{\circ}C$ over some portion of the simulation period.

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Characteristics of Transformation Process of Wastewater in Sewer (하수관거내 오염물질 성상변화 특성)

  • Lee, Doo-Jin;Kim, Moon-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.27 no.9
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    • pp.911-916
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    • 2005
  • In this study, variations of water quality, sediment size and contaminant substances are analyzed at upstream and downstream in sewer systems in order to evaluate the characteristics of wastewater transformation by physico-chemical and biological reactions. The differences of DOC concentration between up and down stream showed the range of $-5.8{\sim}18.6$ from the result of continuous measurement at up and down stream. About 8.4% of DOC concentration was reduced and reduction rate was 2.3 mg/L/km. SS reduction rate was measured by 5.5 mg/L/km, 0.22 mg/L/min from upstream to downstream, which was twice than DOC reduction rate. When pollution load reduction was evaluated considering infiltration/inflow effect, DOC load was eliminated from 1,230 ka/d to 1,167 kg/d by physi-chemical and biological reaction in a sewer and 7.8% of the SS in upstream station was reduced under dry weather condition. The results showed that the characteristics of transformation process of wastewater in sewer should be considered for design and operation of wastewater treatment plant.

Runoff Characteristics of Non-point Source Pollutants in apple cultivation (사과재배지의 비점오염물질 유출특성)

  • Park, Woon Ji;Jeon, Je Hong;Lee, Hae Seung;Lee, Young Joon;Choi, Joong Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.402-402
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 사과재배지에서 발생하는 비점오염물질 유출 및 수질특성을 살펴보고자 2014년 5월부터 9월까지의 총 15회의 강우사상에 대해 유출특성을 분석하고 오염물질별 유량가중평균농도(Event Mean Concentration, EMC) 및 오염부하를 산정하였다. 모니터링 기간동안 3.2~80.3 mm의 강우가 발생하였으며, 조사된 총 15회의 event 중 3회 유출이 발생하였다. 강우강도는 0.39~4.46 mm/hr의 범위로 나타났으며, 선행무강우일수는 0.3~20.1일, 총 유출량은 $2.7{\sim}100.8m^3$, 유출율은 0.02~0.3의 범위로 나타났다. 강우모니터링 결과, EMC는 TOC 7.1~18.7 mg/L(평균 12.0 mg/L), BOD 4.3~7.8 mg/L(평균 5.9 mg/L), COD 16.9~30.2 mg/L(평균 22.3 mg/L), SS 35.6~738.1 mg/L(평균 293.1 mg/L), T-N 2.342~11.043 mg/L(평균 6.563 mg/L) 그리고 T-P 1.563~2.563 mg/L(평균 1.961 mg/L)의 범위로 나타났으며, 각 강우사상에 대한 단위면적당 오염부하는 TOC 0.12~2.4 kg/ha, $BOD_5$ 0.03~1.0kg/ha, $COD_{Mn}$ 0.12~7.1 kg/ha, SS 0.34~173 kg/ha, T-N 0.068~1.478 kg/ha, T-P 0.011~0.601 kg/ha의 범위로 산정되었다. 사과재배지의 경우 대부분 투수지역으로 강우 초기에 지하로 침투하는 양이 많기 때문에 초기세척효과는 크게 발생하지 않는 것으로 나타났으며, 대체적으로 30 mm 이하의 강우에서는 유출이 발생하지 않는 것으로 분석되었다. 하지만, 사과재배지에서 발생하는 비점오염물질의 유출특성은 기상조건 및 영농활동 조건등에 따라 상이하게 나타나기 때문에 강우시 비점오염원 유출특성을 보다 정량적으로 파악하기 위해서는 체계적이고 지속적인 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

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