• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평균대치법

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Estimation of Survival Function and Median Survival Time in Interval-Censored Data (구간중도절단자료에서 생존함수와 중간생존시간에 대한 추정)

  • Yun, Eun-Young;Kim, Choong-Rak
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.521-531
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    • 2010
  • Interval-censored observations are common in medical and epidemiologic studies; however, limited studies exist due to the complexity and special structure of interval-censoring. This paper introduces the imputation method and the self consistency method in the interval-censored data. We propose a new method of generating random numbers under an interval-censoring set-up. Through simulation studies we compare two methods under various simulation schemes in the sense of the mean squared error for estimating the median survival time and the mean integrated squared error for estimating the survival function. Under a moderate censoring percentage, the mean imputation method showed a better performance than the self-consistency method in estimating the median survival time and the survival function.

Review of Parameter Estimation Procedure of Freund Bivariate Exponential Distribution (Freund 이변량 지수분포의 매개변수 추정과정 검토)

  • Park, Cheol-Soon;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2012
  • This study reviewed the parameter estimation procedure of the Freund bivariate exponential distribution for the decision of the annual maximum rainfall event. The method of moments was reviewed first, whose results were compared with those from the method of maximum likelihood. Both methods were applied to the hourly rainfall data of the Seoul rain gauge station measured from 1961 to 2010 to select the annual maximum rainfall events, which were also compared each other. The results derived are as follows. First, when applying the method of moments for the parameter estimation, it was found necessary to consider the correlation coefficient between the two variables as well as the mean and variance. Second, the method of maximum likelihood was better to reproduce the mean, but the method of moments was better to reproduce the annual variation of the variance. Third, The annual maximum rainfall events derived were very similar in both cases. Among differently selected annual maximum rainfall events, those with the higher rainfall amount were selected by the method of maximum likelihood, but those with the higher rainfall intensity by the method of moments.

Long-Term Results of Atrial Fibrillation Surgery with Mitral Valvular Disease (승모판막 질환에 동반된 심방세동 수술의 장기 결과)

  • 장병철;맹대현;강정한;조상호
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.33 no.11
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    • pp.881-885
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    • 2000
  • 배경: 승모판막 질환에 동반된 심방세동의 경우 그 기간이 길면 승모판막 질환을 수술하여도 동성 율동으로 전환될 가능성이 매우 적다. 본 연구는 승모판막 질환에 동반된 심방세동에 대한 변형 Maze 수술후 장기 결과와 심방세도의 재발에 미치는 요인을 조사 하고자 하였다. 대상 및 방법: 1990년부터 1996년까지 승모판막 질환과 동반된 심방세동으로 외과적 요법을 시행받은 35명의 환자를 대상으로 하였다. 심방세동의 평균 유병기간은 평균 7.7$\pm$4.5년이었고 수술은 승모판막 대치술 34례(재수술 3례)와 승모판막 성형술 1례를 시행하였고 승모판 질환 수술 외에 동반 수술로는 삼첨판륜 성형술 4례, 삼첨판막 대치술 3례 였다. 심 방세동에 대한 수술은 좌측 폐정맥 부위는 격리하지 않는 변형 Maze 수술을 시행하였다. 수술 후 동성 율동으로 회복여부, 심방세동의 재발에 미치는 요인과 장기 결과를 분석하였다. 결과: 수술 직후 2례를 제외한 33례(93.9%)에서 동성율동으로 돌아왔으나 수술 후 퇴원 전에 12례에서 심방세동이 재발되었다. 수술환자중 1례에서 수술 후 3일에 동성 정지에 따른 심정지가 발생하여 소생되었으나 뇌손상으로 수술 후 15일에 사망하였다. 심방세동이 재발된 경우 수술 후 약 2개월에서 6개월 사이에 항부정맥 약물(mquinidine)과 전기적 제세동으로 치료하여 12례중 10례에서 동성 율동으로 돌아온 환자는 항부정맥 약물을 모두 중단하 였으며, 수술 후 3년에서 9년(평균 71.1$\pm$17.5개월) 추적 관찰 중 9례에서 심방세동이 재발되어 장기간 동성 율동이 유지된 환자는 34명중 25명으로 73.5%이었다. 승모판 질환이 있던 환자에서 수술 후 심방세동의 재발에 미치는 요인들을 조사한 결과 수술전 심방세동의 기간(동성율동 유지군 : 재발군=6.3년 : 10.3년, P=0.008)과 수술 전 단순 흉부 X선상 심흉비율(0.58 : 0.72, p=0.009)은 통계학적으로 유의하게 나타났으나 심초음파 검사상 좌심방의 직경(57.2mm : 77.4mm, p=0.106)은 통계학적 유의성이 없었다. 결론: 심방세동이 있는 환자에서 동반 질환 수술시 병행하여 수술한다면 정상 동성 율동으로 회복될 기회를 증가시킬 수 있는 유용한 수술법으로 생각된다. 그러나 수술후 재발률을 감소시키기 위하여 적절한 술기의 변형에 대한 연구와 약물요법의 병행을 고려하여야 할 것으로 사료된다.

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Detecting Influential Observations in Multivariate Statistical Analysis of Incomplete Data by PCA (주성분분석에 의한 결손 자료의 영향값 검출에 대한 연구)

  • 김현정;문승호;신재경
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.383-392
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    • 2000
  • Since late 1970, methods of influence or sensitivity analysis for detecting influential observations have been studied not only in regression and related methods but also in various multivariate methods. If results of multivariate analyses sometimes depend heavily on a small number of observations, we should be very careful to draw a conclusion. Similar phenomena may also occur in the case of incomplete data. In this research we try to study such influential observations in multivariate statistical analysis of incomplete data. Case of principal component analysis is studied with a numerical example.

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When do we use the Recycling Autograft in Limb Salvage Surgery? (사지구제술에서 언제 재활용 자가골 이식술이 유용한가?)

  • Kim, Jae-Do;Jang, Jae-Ho;Cho, Yool;Kim, Ji-Youn;Chung, So-Hak
    • The Journal of the Korean bone and joint tumor society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: To identify which is the best procedure in recycling autograft according to the resection & reconstruction type and recycling methods, and so when the recycling autograft is used in limb salvage surgery. Materials and Methods: We have treated fifty-eight patients (34 male, 24 female; age range 5 to 74 years, mean age 36.5 years), who had the malignant musculoskeletal tumors, with recycling autograft (47 patients with extracoporeal irradiation, 11 patients with pasteurization) from December 1995 to February 2006. The resection and reconstruction type was 3 cases with fragmentary, 8 intercalary, 23 rAPC (recycling-Autograft-Prosthesis composite), 18 osteoarticular, 5 total joint and 1 soft tissue (achilles tendon). The result was evaluated by the radiologic union at junctional site, the functional score by musculoskeletal tumor society score and complications according to the resection & reconstruction type and recycling methods. Results: The junctional union was obtained at 15.0 months in extracoporeal irradiation and 12.6 months in pasteurization. Also the mean radiologic union was shown at 6.0 months in fragmentary, 12.8 months in intercalary, 10 months in rAPC, 23.3 months in osteoarticular and 15.6 months in total joint. The functional score was 65.5% in fragmentary, 60.8% in intercalary, 62.8% in APC (except pelvis), 66.0% in osteoarticular and 66.6% in total joint. We have experienced 1 infection, 1 prutrusio acetabuli in pasteurization (18.1%) and other 22 complications (3 deep infections, 8 nonunions, 2 fractures, 2 epiphyseal problems, 5 joint instabilities, 2 local recurrence) in extracoporeal irradiation (46.8%). Also we have experienced 3 complications (3 nonunions) in intercalary (37.5%), 9 complications (4 nonunions, 1 deep infection, 1 periprosthetic fracture, 1 epiphyseal problem, 1 local recurrence, 1 protrusio acetabuli) in rAPC (50.0%), 6 complications (2 deep infections, 2 nonunions, 1 epiphyseal problem, 1 pathologic fracture) in osteoarticular (33.3%), 5 complications (5 joint instabilities) in total joint (100%) and 1 complication(1 local recurrence) in soft tissue (100%). Conclusion: In our experience, according to the resection & reconstruction type fragmentary and intercalary may have several advantages such as good radiologic and functional result and low rate of complication. And it seems that rAPC was available in case which have no sufficient residual bone stock. Also the pasteurization may have more advantages than that of the extracorporeal irradiation.

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Development and Genetic Diversity Analysis of Microsatellite Markers Using Next-generation Sequencing in Seriola quinqueradiata (차세대 염기서열 분석법을 이용한 방어(Seriola quinqueradiata)의 microsatellite 마커의 개발 및 유전적 특성 분석)

  • Dong, Chun Mae;Lee, Mi-Nan;Kim, Eun-Mi;Park, Jung Youn;Kim, Gun-Do;Noh, Jae Koo
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.291-297
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to develop microsatellite markers in Seriola quinqueradiata using next-generation sequencing. A total of 28,873,374 reads were generated on an Illumina Hiseq2500 system, yielding 7,247,216,874 bp sequences. The de novo assembly resulted in 466,359 contigs. A total of 132 contigs (0.43%), including 60 microsatellite loci, were derived from 30,729 contigs longer than 518 bp. A total of 60 primer sets were designed from the 132 microsatellite loci. A total of 15 polymorphic nuclear microsatellite loci were chosen to evaluate population genetic parameters in the parents and offspring. The mean number of effective alleles was 18.5, ranging from 11 to 30. The observed heterozygosity (HO) and expected heterozygosity (HE) ranged between 0.431 and 0.972 with an average of 0.812 and from 0.782 to 0.949 with an average of 0.896, respectively. No significant linkage disequilibrium was observed after Bonferroni revision in any loci. The results show that the 15 polymorphic nuclear microsatellite markers can be used to study the population and conservation genetics of S. quinqueradiata in Korea. To ensure the success of artificial seedling production technology, genetic variations between the parent and offspring populations should be monitored, and inbreeding should be controlled.

Arthroscopic Shaving Cystectomy of Popliteal Cyst by using Posteromedial Portal (관절경적 후내측 도달법을 이용한 슬와 낭종의 절삭 절제술)

  • Kwak, Kyoung-Duck;Ahn, Sang-Min;Baek, Seung-Il;Jung, Chan-Jong;Roh, Jae-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Arthroscopy Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.153-158
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: We evaluated the effectiveness of arthroscopic shaving cystectomy by using posteromedial portal for popliteal cyst with the correction of valvular mechanism. Materials and Methods: We had treated 15 cases of popliteal cyst with arthroscopic shaving cystectomy by using posteromedial portal from April 2004 to June 2005. The mean duration of follow up was 15 months (range: $12{\sim}28$). Functional results were based on the Rauschning and Lindgren criteria. We estimated operative time, time for regaining pain-free full range of motion and checked sonography for recurrence of the cyst at 12 months after the surgery. Results: The functional results by Rauschning and Lindgren criteria were rated Grade 0 or Grade 1 in all cases at last follow up. The average operation time was 45 minutes (range: $35{\sim}70$). All cases regained pain-free full range of motion within five days after surgery and range of motion was also normal at last follow up. There were no recurrence and no walking disturbance in all cases. Conclusion: Arthroscopic shaving cystectomy by using posteromedial portal is one of the effective alternative method of the treatment for popliteal cyst and it is also useful to correct the valvular mechanism.

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Preparation, Characterization and Gas Permeability of Asymmetric Porous Membranes of Poly(carbobenzoxyl-L-Lysin) (비대칭 다공성 폴리(카르보벤족시-L-리신)막의 제조, 평가 및 기체투과)

  • Kawai, Tohru;Lee, Young Moo;Fujita, Hiroshi
    • Membrane Journal
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.96-100
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    • 1996
  • In order to improve the permeability of the homogenous membrane of poly(carbobenzoxy-L-lysin)(PCLL), which has very high selectivity of helium gas to nitrogen gas, asymmetric porous membranes of PCLL were prepared by casting from 20% solutions in dioxane and dimethylformamide(DMF), respectively. The membranes were characterized by measuring the number of the pores, the pore size distribution of the surface(the skin layer) and the thickness of the skin layer by scanning electron microscope and transmission electron microscope. The mean pore size and the pore density were lower for the membrane cast from dioxane than that from DMF, which was explained by the mechanism of the formation of the pores in the asymmetric porous membrane. The permeability coefficient observed could be roughly explained by the viscous flow through the skin layer. However, the selectivity observed was against the theory of the viscous flow.

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Synecological Study of the Naturalized Plant Communities in Old-Andong City (구 안동시역에 분포하는 귀화식물군락의 생태학적 연구)

  • 송종석;안상흥
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.169-179
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    • 1999
  • The present study was undertaken to classify and describe the spring naturalized plant communities in old-Andong city by the methodology of the ZM school of phytosociology. As a result, the vegetation was classified into the six communities and two subcommunities: A. Bromus tectorum community A-a. Bromus japonicus subcommunity, A-b. Melica onoei subcommunity; B. Poa pratensis community; C. Rumex crispus community; D. Oenothera lamarckiana community; E. Ambrosia artemisiifolia var. eiatior community; F. Rumex conglomeratus community. The total taxa of the naturalized plant communities consisted of 31 families, 86 genera, 114 species and 13 varieties. Of which the taxa of the naturalized plant species consisted of 8 families, 21 genera, 25 species and 1 variety. The result of Bray-Curtis ordination revealed that the plots suveyed were arranged according largely to the vegetation units of' the communities. Also the interspecific affinity was examined by an analysis of interspecific association and the main component species in the communities were divided into two groups. The naturalized rate was higher in the communitise affected by strong human impacts, while was lower in the communities affected relatively less by human impacts. On the other hand the seasonal changes of the communities and the naturalized rate between the spring and the autumn were investigated. Many naturalized communities present in Spring were replaced by the other native ruderal communitues in the Autumn. The naturalized rate based on the dominance was largely decreased over from the spring to the Autumn.

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Clinical Usefulness of the Line Probe Assay for Rapid Detection of Rifampicin-resistant Tuberculosis (Line probe assay를 이용한 신속한 rifampicin내성결핵 진단법의 임상적 유용성)

  • Hong, Sang-Bum;Lim, Chae-Man;Lee, Sang-Do;Koh, Youn-Suck;Kim, Woo-Sung;Kim, Dong-Soon;Kim, Won-Dong;Shim, Tae-Sun
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.334-342
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    • 2001
  • Background : RpoB gene mutations have been found in about 96-98% of rifampicin (RMP)-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Recent reports confirm that the in laboratory settings a rpoB gene mutation can be used as a surrogate marker for multi-drug resistant tuberculosis. However, its usefulness in clinical applications has not been evaluated. This study was performed to confirm whether mutation analysis of the rpoB gene of M. tuberculosis is useful in clinical settings. Methods : The medical records of 33 patients in whom rpoB gene analysis was conducted using an INNOLiPA Rif. TB assay (LiPA) from June, 1998, to July, 2000, at the Asan Medical Center were retrospectively reviewed in 33 patients. The clinical characteristics in addition to the drug susceptibility and LiPA results were analyzed. The drug susceptibility test was considered as a gold standard method for M. tuberculosis susceptibility and these results were compared with those of the rpoB gene study and sequencing analysis. Sequencing analysis of the rpoB gene was done in cases where there was a discrepancy between the results of the drug susceptibility an d rpoB gene study. Results : The mean age and sex ratio was $42{\pm}18$, and 24:9 (M:F), respectively. There were 19 RMP susceptible (58%) and 14 RMP-resistant cases (42%) according to the rpoB gene study. The mean time from the request to reporting the results of the rpoB gene study was $5.2{\pm}2.6$ days. The mean gap from reporting the rpoB gene study to reporting the susceptibility was $56{\pm}35$ days. Twenty-eight cases (85%) showed identical results compared with the drug susceptibility results, whereas five cases (15%) showed contradictory results. When compared with the sequencing analysis, of the five cases that showed contradictory results, two had LiP A analysis errors and the remaining three were identical to the sequencing results. The rpoB gene study was of assistance in choosing the appropriate drugs in 28 cases (85%). Conclusions : An rpoB gene study using an LiP A assay was useful in rapidly diagnosing RMP-resistant tuberculosis, which enabled a proper choice of the appropriate drugs in clinical practices. However, an LiPA assay always should be performed in conjunction with microscopy, culture, and susceptibility tests.

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