• Title/Summary/Keyword: 파손율 함수

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A Life Evaluation Method for Efficient Maintenance of Water Mains (상수관로의 효율적 유지관리를 위한 수명 평가 방법)

  • Choi, Chang-Log;Park, Su-Wan;Kim, Jeong-Hyun;Bae, Cheol-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.271-275
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 상수관로의 잔존수명을 통계적 기법 중 하나인 비례위험모형(PHM)에 적용하여 평가하였다. 비례위험모형을 구축하기 위한 개별관로의 생존시간은 관로의 파손율이 한계파손율에 도달하는 시간으로 정의하였다. 즉, Park and Loganathan(2002)에서 제시한 GPBM을 적용하여 시간에 따른 개별관로의 파손율을 추정하고 추정된 파손율과 한계파손율의 상등관계를 통해 생존시간을 산정하였다. 또한, 본 연구대상관로에 대한 GPBM을 구축함에 있어, 매설시점에서 누적파손횟수를 0으로 한 파손기록을 입력자료에 추가하는 방법과 가중계수(WF)의 범위를 수정함으로써 기존의 GPBM을 보완하였다. 이로써 파손사건이 최소 1회 이상 기록된 강관 및 주철관에 대한 비례위험모형을 구축하였다. 이와 같이 수정된 방법론은 관로 파손사건 등의 자료의 축적이 미비한 국내 여건에서 비례위험모형 및 GPBM과 같은 통계적 모형을 구축할 때 유용할 것으로 사료된다. 본 연구대상관로의 비례위험모형에 포함된 유의한 공변수는 관종과 관경 그리고 길이이며 관종은 비례성 가정을 위배하여 시간종속형 변수로 모형화되었다. 최종 채택된 PHM모형을 통해 생존함수를 추정하였으며 추정된 생존함수를 이용하여 개별관로의 잔존수명 및 경제적 수명 그리고 각 수명에 대한 95% 신뢰구간을 산정하였다. 또한 개별관로의 경제적 수명에 영향을 미치는 공변수의 위험비율도 분석하였다. 분석결과 강관의 평균 경제적 수명은 약 25.1년이고 주철관은 약 21년으로 산정되었다. 또한 관종에 따른 경제적 수명에 도달할 상대적인 위험률은 전반적으로 주철관이 높으나 20년 이상 매설된 관로에서는 강관의 위험률이 높을 것으로 분석되었다. 관경과 길이는 크기에 비례하여 상대적 위험률도 증가하였다.

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Reliability Analysis for Fracture of Concrete Armour Units (콘크리트 피복재의 단면파괴에 대한 신뢰성 해석)

  • 이철응
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.86-96
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    • 2003
  • A fracture or breakage of the concrete armor units in the primary cover layer of breakwaters is studied by using the reliability analysis which may be defined as the structural stability. The reliability function can be derived as a function of the angle of rotation that represents the rocking of armor units quantitatively. The relative influences of all of random variables related to the material and geometric properties on the fracture of armor units is analyzed in detail. In addition, the probability of failure for the fracture of individual armor unit can be evaluated as a function of the incident wave height. Finally, Bernoulli random process and the allowable fracture ratio may be introduced together in this paper, by which the probability of failure of a breakwater due to the fracture of armer units can be obtained straightforwardly. It is found that the probability of failure of a breakwater due to the fracture of armor units may be varied with the several allowable fracture ratios. Therefore, it should be necessary to consider the structural stability as well as the hydraulic stability for the design of breakwaters with multi-leg slender concrete armor units of large size under wave action in deep water.

The Behaviors of the Material Parameters Affecting PCI Induced-Fuel Failure (핵연료봉의 PCI파손에 영향을 미치는 인자들의 거동분석)

  • Sim, Ki-Seob;Woan Hwang;Sohn, Dong-Seong;Suk, Ho-Chun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.241-245
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    • 1988
  • It is very important to investigate the behaviors of the material parameters governing PCI fuel failure during power ramp because PCI fuel failure is considered to be related to the operations limits of power reactors. In this study, the behavior characteristics of the material parameters such as hoop stress, hoop strain, ridge height, creep strain rate and strain energy in cladding were studied as a function of the operating parameters such as power shock and ramp rate. The FEMAXI-IV fuel rod performance analysis code was used for this study.

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Derivation of the Maintenance-cost formula for the water network (상수관망 유지보수 비용에 관한 연구(대구광역시를 중심으로))

  • Baek, Chun Woo;Park, Cheong Hoon;Kim, Seok Woo;Kim, Eung Seok;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.1012-1017
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    • 2004
  • 노후된 상수도 관망의 최적개량 계획수립을 위하여 국내에서 가장 많이 쓰이는 모형은 관거의 교체, 갱생, 유지보수 비용 등과 같은 인자를 이용한 경제성분석에 의한 모형이다. 국내 적용된 대부분의 모형은 Shamir 등(1979)의 모형을 근간으로 하고 있으나, 모형에서 사용되는 여러 인자 중 관거의 유지보수 비용에 대한 국내 연구는 미비한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 6년간의 대구광역시 지역의 누수보수기록자료를 이용해 국내 적용 가능한 유지보수 비용 함수를 유도하였다.

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Development of Pavement Distress Prediction Models Using DataPave Program (DataPave 프로그램을 이용한 포장파손예측모델개발)

  • Jin, Myung-Sub;Yoon, Seok-Joon
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.4 no.2 s.12
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2002
  • The main distresses that influence pavement performance are rutting, fatigue cracking, and longitudinal roughness. Thus, it is important to analyze the factors that affect these three distresses, and to develop prediction models. In this paper, three distress prediction models were developed using DataPave program which stores data from a wide variety of pavement sections In the United States. Also, sensitivity studies were conducted to evaluate how the input variables impact on the distresses. The result of sensitivity study for the prediction model of rutting showed that asphalt content, air void, and optimum moisture content of subgrade were the major factors that affect rutting. The output of sensitivity study for the prediction model of fatigue cracking revealed that asphalt consistency, asphalt content, and air void were the most influential variables. The prediction model of longitudinal roughness indicated asphalt consistency, #200 passing percent of subgrade aggregate, and asphalt content were the factors that affect longitudinal roughness.

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Analysis of Relative Breakage Hazard Rate of Water Mains Using the Proportional Hazards Model (비례위험모형을 이용한 상수관로의 상대적 파손위험율 분석)

  • Park, Su-Wan;Kim, Jung-Wook;Im, Gwang-Chae;Lee, Hyeong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.490-494
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 상수도 배수관로의 내 외부적 특성에 따라 개별관로를 정의하는 방법을 연구대상 지역의 배수관로 파손 데이터베이스에 적용하여 비례위험모형을 구축하였다. 연구에 사용된 자료는 연구대상지역의 배수관로의 제원 및 파손시기를 포함하는 관로 파손데이터베이스, 관로매설지역의 급수인구 및 수압범위에 관한 자료를 포함하는 GRID 데이터베이스와 관로매설지역의 토지개발 정도에 관한 자료를 포함한다. 이러한 자료를 이용하여 관로를 순차적 파손경험에 따라 7개의 생존시간군(STG I $\sim$ VII)으로 구분하고 각 생존시간군에 대한 비례위험모형(Model I $\sim$ VII)을 구축하였다. 이러한 모형을 이용하여 관로의 파손횟수가 증가하는 동안 파손에 영향을 미치는 인자의 변화와 그 효과를 파악하였으며, 또한 추정된 공변수의 위험비율을 분석함으로써 관로의 제원 혹은 매설환경, 급수인구 등에 따른 위험률의 상대적인 변화를 분석하였다. 또한 비례 위험모형의 구축과정에서 관로의 파손에 영향을 미치는 공변수의 비례성 가정을 검토하여 시간종속형 공변수를 모형화하였으며, 모형의 이탈잔차(deviance residual)를 분석하여 모형의 적합성을 검토하였다. 본 연구에서 구축된 비례위험모형에 대해 Shoenfeld 잔차를 이용한 스코어 잔차의 변화(score process)를 검토한 결과, Model I 과 Model II 에 대해서는 공변수의 시간종속 효과가 발견되었다. Model I에 대해서는 관로재질과 급수인구의 영향이 시간에 따라 변하며 Model II에서는 급수인구의 영향만이 시간에 따라 변하는 것으로 나타났다. 한편 Model III $\sim$ Model VII 들에 대해서는 공변수의 영향이 시간에 따라 변하지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 각 생존시간군에 대해 관로재질, 토지개발정도, 관로길이 및 급수인구의 변화가 관로의 상대적 누수위험률에 미치는 영향을 상대위험률의 95% 신뢰구간을 고려하여 정량적으로 산정하였고, 시간 종속형 공변수로 모형화된 공변수는 시간에 따른 공변수 영향의 변화를 분석하였다. 순차적 파손사건에 대한 비례위험모형의 구축 결과 생존시간군(STG) I의 기저위험률은 매설 후 대략 450개월까지는 파손 위험률이 '0'에 가까우나 그 이후로 급격히 증가하다가 매설 후 약 700개월에 이르러서는 약간 감소하고 약 850개월 이후에는 다시 급격히 증가한다. STG II의 기저위험률은 첫 번째 파손 후 약 300개월이 되면 위험률이 급격히 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. STG III $\sim$ STG VII의 기저위험률은 이차함수의 형태를 띄며, 특히 STG V, STG VI 및 STG VII의 기저위험률은 욕조형 곡선(bathtub curve)의 형태를 가진다. 각 생존시간군의 기저생존함수의 생존확률 '0.5'에 해당하는 기저중간생존시간에 대한 분석으로부터 파손횟수가 많아질수록 순차적 파손사건 사이의 경과시간은 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 기저생존시간에 대한 경향은 관로의 파손횟수가 많아질수록 관로의 일반적은 내구성은 감소하기 때문인 것으로 분석된다.

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Optimal Design of Thick Composite Wing Structure using Laminate Sequence Database (적층 시퀀스 데이터베이스를 이용한 복합재 날개 구조물의 최적화 설계)

  • Jang, Jun Hwan;Ahn, Sang Ho
    • Composites Research
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.52-58
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents the optimum design methodology for composite wing structure which automatically calculates the safety margin using optimization framework integrating failure modes. Particularly, its framework is possible to optimize sizing procedure to prevent failure mode which has the greatest effect on reducing the sizing time of composite structure. The main failure mode was set as the first ply failure, buckling failure mode, and bolted joint stress field, and the margin was calculated to minimize the weight. The design variable is a laminate sequence database and the responses are strain, buckling, bolted joint stress field. The objective function is the mass of the wing structure. The results of buckling analysis were compared using the finite element model to verify the robustness and reliability of Composite Optimizer.

Temperature Sensitivity Analysis of TDR Moisture Content Sensor for Road Pavement (도로하부 함수비 계측을 위한 TDR 방식 함수비 센서 온도 민감도 분석)

  • Cho, Myunghwan;Lee, Yoonhan;Kim, Nakseok;Jee, Keehwan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.329-336
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    • 2013
  • The infrastructure of flexible pavement is composed of aggregate subbase, anti-frost layer, and subgrade. In particular, the subgrade performance is affected by climates such as frost action and precipitation. The method of TDR(Time Domain Reflectometry) sensors to measure moisture contents in subgrade layer has been used in the research. Due to the TDR method using dielectric permitivity of soil and water, the sensors can be affected by the low subgrade temperatures. The air temperatures frequently drops below $-20^{\circ}C$ in the winter in Korea. As a result, it is necessary to estimate the accuracy of the TDR moisture sensors in the range of below zero temperatures. In this study, the subgrade temperatures of lower than $-2^{\circ}C$ were extended to evaluate temperature sensitivity of the TDR moisture sensors. The test results revealed that the moisture contents around the sensors were reduced while those of the upper part of specimen showed a tendency to increase as the specimen surface temperature drops below zero under the volumetric moisture contents(VMC) of 20% and 30%. However, the impact of temperature on the function of the sensor at lower water contents was found to be negligible if any.

The Feasibility of Co-Incineration for Municipal Solid Waste and Sewage Sludge through the Change of Heat Loading and Atmospheric Pollutants Loading (하수슬러지와 생활폐기물 혼합소각시 열부하 변화 및 대기오염물질 부하 변화를 통한 혼합소각 가능성에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Jae-Beom;Kim, Woo-Gu;Yeon, Kyeong-Ho;Shin, Jung-Hun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.34 no.9
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    • pp.583-589
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    • 2012
  • The various promotion countermeasures such as solidification, carbonization, and the creation of cement materials have been considered to existing treatment methods such as incineration and the creation of composts, since direct landfill was prohibited for encouraging the recycling based on the sludge treatment on land. The Main objective of this study is to investigate the feasibility of co-incineration for MSW (Municipal Solid Waste) and SS (Sewage Sludge) through the change of heat and atmospheric pollutants. In this study, LHV (Low Heating Value) is 100~300 kcal/kg because the MC (Moisture Content) of de-hydrated sewage sludge is approximately 80%. From the results, we knew the feasibility of co-incineration for MSW (80%) and SS (20%). As the co-incineration rate of SS up to 20% became higher, the loading of heat and atmospheric pollutants was not influenced.

무령왕릉보존에 있어서의 지질공학적 고찰

  • 서만철;최석원;구민호
    • Proceedings of the KSEEG Conference
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    • 2001.05b
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    • pp.42-63
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    • 2001
  • The detail survey on the Songsanri tomb site including the Muryong royal tomb was carried out during the period from May 1 , 1996 to April 30, 1997. A quantitative analysis was tried to find changes of tomb itself since the excavation. Main subjects of the survey are to find out the cause of infiltration of rain water and groundwater into the tomb and the tomb site, monitoring of the movement of tomb structure and safety, removal method of the algae inside the tomb, and air controlling system to solve high humidity condition and dew inside the tomb. For these purposes, detail survery inside and outside the tombs using a electronic distance meter and small airplane, monitoring of temperature and humidity, geophysical exploration including electrical resistivity, geomagnetic, gravity and georadar methods, drilling, measurement of physical and chemical properties of drill core and measurement of groundwater permeability were conducted. We found that the center of the subsurface tomb and the center of soil mound on ground are different 4.5 meter and 5 meter for the 5th tomb and 7th tomb, respectively. The fact has caused unequal stress on the tomb structure. In the 7th tomb (the Muryong royal tomb), 435 bricks were broken out of 6025 bricks in 1972, but 1072 bricks are broken in 1996. The break rate has been increased about 250% for just 24 years. The break rate increased about 290% in the 6th tomb. The situation in 1996 is the result for just 24 years while the situation in 1972 was the result for about 1450 years. Status of breaking of bircks represents that a severe problem is undergoing. The eastern wall of the Muryong royal tomb is moving toward inside the tomb with the rate of 2.95 mm/myr in rainy season and 1.52 mm/myr in dry season. The frontal wall shows biggest movement in the 7th tomb having a rate of 2.05 mm/myr toward the passage way. The 6th tomb shows biggest movement among the three tombs having the rate of 7.44mm/myr and 3.61mm/myr toward east for the high break rate of bricks in the 6th tomb. Georadar section of the shallow soil layer represents several faults in the top soil layer of the 5th tomb and 7th tomb. Raninwater flew through faults tnto the tomb and nearby ground and high water content in nearby ground resulted in low resistance and high humidity inside tombs. High humidity inside tomb made a good condition for algae living with high temperature and moderate light source. The 6th tomb is most severe situation and the 7th tomb is the second in terms of algae living. Artificial change of the tomb environment since the excavation, infiltration of rain water and groundwater into the tombsite and bad drainage system had resulted in dangerous status for the tomb structure. Main cause for many problems including breaking of bricks, movement of tomb walls and algae living is infiltration of rainwater and groundwater into the tomb site. Therefore, protection of the tomb site from high water content should be carried out at first. Waterproofing method includes a cover system over the tomvsith using geotextile, clay layer and geomembrane and a deep trench which is 2 meter down to the base of the 5th tomb at the north of the tomv site. Decrease and balancing of soil weight above the tomb are also needed for the sfety of tomb structures. For the algae living inside tombs, we recommend to spray K101 which developed in this study on the surface of wall and then, exposure to ultraviolet light sources for 24 hours. Air controlling system should be changed to a constant temperature and humidity system for the 6th tomb and the 7th tomb. It seems to much better to place the system at frontal room and to ciculate cold air inside tombs to solve dew problem. Above mentioned preservation methods are suggested to give least changes to tomb site and to solve the most fundmental problems. Repairing should be planned in order and some special cares are needed for the safety of tombs in reparing work. Finally, a monitoring system measuring tilting of tomb walls, water content, groundwater level, temperature and humidity is required to monitor and to evaluate the repairing work.

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