• Title/Summary/Keyword: 투자심리

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Analysis of the Effect of Energy Prices on Investment Sentiment: Applying the Wavelet Analysis Method (에너지 가격이 투자 심리에 미치는 효과 분석: 웨이블릿 분석 방법 적용)

  • Choi, Ki-Hong;Kim, Dong-Yoon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.119-131
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    • 2021
  • Energy is an essential element in economic activity and people's lives, an important resource used by various industries, and the financialization of commodity markets has led to the growing importance of crude oil turning into the same asset as other assets. Accordingly, studies analyzing the correlation between energy prices and investor sentiment explain that investor sentiment affects oil prices through economic factors and speculation. In this study, we wanted to analyze whether the impact of the most representative changes in oil prices affects investor decision making, affecting investor sentiment, and applying wavelet consistency analysis to determine how energy prices relate to investor sentiment. Studies show that policies should be focused on policy and market changes because energy prices differ by time scale and investment sentiment should be more influential in the long term than in the short term.

A Study on the Characteristics of Real Estate Investment Sentiment by Real Estate Business Cycle Using Text Mining (텍스트 마이닝을 이용한 부동산경기 순환기별 부동산 투자심리 특성 연구)

  • Hyun-Jeong Lee;Yun Kyung Oh
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.113-127
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    • 2024
  • This study explores shifts in real estate investment sentiment using media reports from 2012 to 2022, segmenting the market dynamics into three distinct cycles based on housing and land transaction indices. Leveraging 54 BigKinds media sources, we investigates 3,387 headlines and 8,544 body texts using LDA topic modeling. The results show that the first cycle (2012-2015 ) centered on apartment pre-sales, where policy changes influenced sentiment but did not consistently affect investment decisions. The second cycle (2016-2018) was characterized by interest rate hikes and rising property prices in Seoul, resulting in significant fluctuations in transaction volumes. The third cycle (2019-2022) encompassed the effects of COVID-19, market instability, and policy failures, leading to distorted and weakened investment sentiment. Each cycle demonstrated that policies, interest rates, and economic events significantly shaped investor sentiment, as reflected in media reports.

The Effect of Self-enhancement Perception and Confidence of Investment of Individual Investors on Risky Investment Behaviors (개인투자자의 자기고양적 지각과 투자확신이 위험투자행동에 미치는 영향)

  • Mi Young Han ;Jae Hwi Kim
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.89-109
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    • 2007
  • This study is an exploratory study on stock investment behaviors of individual investors in psychological perspective. The study is based on many behavioral finance studies which overconfidence of individual investors has an effect on irrational investment decision making and investment behaviors such as excessive trading. Accordingly, this study was to investigate the factors of self-enhancement perception on confidence of investment of individual investors and to find whether these psychological biases lead to irrational investment behaviors. The results indicated that there were sex differences in the factors of self-enhancement perception on individual investors' confidence of investment. In case of male investors, they were confident of their ability of investment but in case of female investors, they were confident of optimistic expectation of return. Also, male investors were more confident of investment than female investors. In addition, the result showed that risky investment behaviors of individual investors were influenced by psychological factors such as favorable self-evaluation, confidence of self-controllability, optimistic expectation of return and confidence of investment in part. This study suggests that further researches need to search after other variables which can mediate between psychological factors and investment behaviors of individual investors.

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Effects of Investors' Sentiment on Commodity Futures Prices (투자자 심리가 상품선물가격에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hyun-Bok;Park, Cheol-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.11
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    • pp.383-391
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    • 2017
  • This study examines the relationship between sentiment of speculators and price movements in the futures markets of WTI crude oil, copper, and wheat during the period 2003~2014 using Granger causality tests. The results indicate that speculative positions overall has no predictive power for returns in each futures market. Rather, returns seem to have effects on speculators' sentiment especially during periods of both economic expansion and recovery. During a recession, meanwhile, changes of speculators' sentiment index in the WTI crude oil and copper markets provide predictive power for returns in a positive direction, suggesting that speculators' pessimistic sentiment aggravates declines in commodity prices. Since the effects of speculative positions on market prices are ambiguous, tight regulations on speculative trading are not advisable. In a bearish market, however, regulatory bodies should consider raising speculative position limits because large speculative short positions and (or) liquidation of index traders' long positions may lead steep price declines.

자본시장심리지수와 금융투자자 휴리스틱에 관한 연구

  • Kim, Seok-Hwan;Gang, Hyeong-Gu
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2020.11a
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    • pp.179-184
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 확장된 합리적 행동이론(ETRA)을 이용하여 주식투자 시 자본시장심리지수를 기반으로 한 어플리케이션의 선택행동에 영향을 끼치는 요인들과 투자자의 휴리스틱과의 관계를 알아보는데 있다. 연구자는 개별 투자자의 휴리스틱이 선택행동에 영향을 미칠 것으로 추정하고 대표성 휴리스틱, 가용성 휴리스틱, 감정 휴리스틱을 측정하여 선택행동에 영향을 미치는 매개변수로 분석을 하였다. 연구모델의 경로계수 분석결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 독립변수인 투자기회확장 그리고 매개변수인 휴리스틱 중 대표성 휴리스틱이 행동의도에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 행동의도가 종속변수인 선택행동에 영향을 미치고 매개변수인 가용성 휴리스틱이 선택행동에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 연구모형에서 대표성 휴리스틱에 영향을 주는 독립변수는 혁신적 성향, 투자기회확장, 사용비용, 그리고 인지된 효익이며 반면에 가용성 휴리스틱에 영향을 주는 독립변수는 혁신적 성향과 투자기회확장으로 밝혀졌다. 매개효과 검증결과에 의하면 서비스다양성은 선택행동에 영향을 미치는데 휴리스틱의 매개효과가 없고 직접효과만 있는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 반면에 투자기회확장은 선택행동에 미치는 직접효과는 통계적으로 유의하지 않고 매개변수 휴리스틱의 간접효과 값이 0.217이고 통계적으로 유의하여 매개효과가 있는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 휴리스틱의 매개효과를 개별적으로 확인한 결과 첫째, 대표성 휴리스틱은 매개효과를 통한 간접효과가 없는 것으로 확인되었다. 둘째, 가용성 휴리스틱은 매개효과의 크기가 0.1360이고 경로계수가 통계적으로 유의하게 나타나 매개효과를 통한 간접효과가 있다는 것을 확인하였다. 따라서 독립변수 투자기회확장은 시장 심리지수를 기반으로 한 어플리케이션에 대한 선택행동에 영향을 미치는데 직접적으로 영향을 미치지 않고 투자자의 가용성 휴리스틱이 매개가 되어 간접적으로 선택행동에 영향을 나타내는 것을 실증적으로 확인하였다.

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자판기 사업투자, 이점은 유의하라

  • 한국자동판매기공업협회
    • Vending industry
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    • v.2 no.7 s.8
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    • pp.62-65
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    • 2003
  • 소자본 투자로서의 자판기 사업은 매력적인 영역이다. 최소의 투자로도 부업을 시작할 수 있다는 점이 최대 강점으로 작용한다. 그래서 돈 많은 사람들이 자판기 운영사업에 투자하는 경우보다 주로 서민들의 투자 비중이 높은 특성을 갖는다. 그렇다보니 대개의 자판기 사업정보는 서민을 주 타깃으로 삼고 있다. 그들의 내재된 투자심리를 최대한 수면위로 끌어 올리는 일이 자판기 마케팅의 핵심이다. 소비자 입장에서 보면 알찬 부업에 투자를 해서 기대 수익을 충족시킬 수 있다면 더할 나위가 없을 것이다. 하지만 반대의 경우에 있어 문제가 생긴다. 특히 판매처의 악의적 사기에 가까운 영업행위로 피해를 보게 된다면 소비자의 분노와 절망은 클 수밖에 없다. 지난해부터 이러한 소비자 피해가 크게 늘고 있다. 순진한 소비자들이 그저 업체가 부풀려 제공하는 사업정보에 현혹되어 큰 피해를 보는 경우가 다반사로 발생하고 있는 것. 이제는 소비자들도 자판기 사업성을 제대로 보는 안목을 가져야 할 때이다. 적어도 사기성 짙은 업체와 품목은 가려서 투자할 줄 아는 안목이 있어야 리스크 요인을 최소화할 수 있다. 이러한 취지 하에 소비자 입장에서 자판기 사업정보를 접할 시, 유의할 사항들을 정리해 봤다. 이런 사항들만 조심해도 크게 피해를 보는 경우는 없을 것이다.

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An Empirical Study on the Cognitive Biases of The Korea Real Estate Market Through the Testing of Prospect Theory (전망이론 검증을 통한 부동산투자자들의 인지적 편의에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Seong Hoon;Park, Keun Woo
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we examine whether there are prospect theory investment patterns for individual investors in the real estate market. We use the maximum potential profit rate and the maximum potential loss rate of individual investors as a research method and additionally analyze it using the Jeong and Park(2015) model. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the investment pattern according to the prospect theory and disposition effect for individual investors. And we find the difference between zoning areas. This difference in investment behavior is believed to be due to the purpose of the real estate and the existence of rent fee, which creates a difference in investment behavior depending on the purpose. The limitations of this study are the analysis measurement of potential profit and potential loss using the land price index like the study of jeong and Park(2015). This implies that a new property price index needs to be developed or a benchmark for real estate assets is needed for deeper study of real estate investment sentiment.

A Study on Individual Investment Propensity and Investment Information in the Stock Market (주식시장에서 개인투자성향과 투자정보에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Shin;Ha, Kyu Soo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2017
  • Stock investment becomes one of the most popular investments in these days, and the ultimate goal of investors in the stock market is to maximize profits and minimize losses, in order to achieve this, investors will select based on investment information. namely, the information about the company which we interest is essential to stock investors. Also, investors are affected by their propensity to invest according to their attitude toward risk. With these situations, this research tried to show the private investors' actual performance of Investment by studying individual investors' propensity and Information explore. The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of investors' propensity and information search on investment satisfaction. The questionary method required some sample surveys. The data of the practical analysis was carried out with the on-line researching method. The researching time was from the 1st of Dec. 2016 to the 15th of Dec. 2016. Of the 357 questionnaires submitted, 7 were deemed inappropriate or incomplete; thus, 350 questionnaires were used in the final analysis of the study. For analysis methodology, this research is using SPSS 21.0 along with analytic techniques, such as implementation of basic statistical analysis, reliability, and regression analysis. The practical analysis results are as follows; Among the investment propensities, profit propensity, analytical propensity, and investment propensity has a significant effect on investment performance. On the other hand, brokerage firm information, firm accounting information, private information has a statistically significant effect on investment performance. Finally, we confirmed the mediating role of investment sentiment.

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A Study on the Outward Foreign Direct Investment and Psychic Distance of Spanish Companies (스페인 기업의 해외투자 진출과 심리적 거리에 관한 연구)

  • Jae-won Lyu;Yong-Duk Kim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.71-94
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to prove the effect of psychic distance between home country and host country on overseas foreign direct investment(OFDI) of Spanish companies through panel analysis. The panel data was based on cultural, institutional, economic, and geographical distance data over the past decade between Spain and Spain's OFDI countries. According to the Random Effect Model(REM) analysis, cultural distance(CULD) had a negative effect on OFDI, while institutional distance(INSD) had a positive effect. Among economic distances, income size distance(GDP) had a positive effect on OFDI, but export size distance(EXPO) had a negative effect. Geographic distance(PKM) had a negative impact. Meanwhile, according to the results of quantile regression analysis to prove the psychic distance effect by OFDI size, the effects of CULD and INSD in the quartile (75%) to which Korea belongs were the same as the REM analysis results. In addition, GDP and EXPO had a positive effect, and PKM had a negative effect but EXPO had a positive effect. Therefore, FDI host countries need to establish differentiated strategies through quantile analysis while making continuous efforts to improve the system.

A Study on the Factors that Affect the Investment Behavior in Financial Investment Products : Focused on the Effect of Adjustment in Investment Consulting Service (금융투자상품 투자행동에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구: 투자상담서비스의 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Kye Woung;Ha, Kyu Soo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.53-68
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    • 2014
  • This study is aimed at analyzing the factors that affect the behaviors of employee's investment, such as a decision making process in a variety of views and proving the extent of how those factors influence on their investment. The basic assumption is that the preceding factors that can be determined by the personal investment propensity, a psychological factor asserted by Behavior Financial Theory and financial-economic and social environment. This study uses Hershey's Investment Behavior Model(2007) as the main analysis tool to explain the investment behavior of individuals and deals with personal investment inclination in the psychological perspective of overconfidence, self-control and the risk tolerance propensity and add the financial and economic factors in terms of financial literacy and economic distress. Also the new preceding social environmental factors like social interaction and the effect of reference group are added to make this research to be more precise. This study analyze the adjustment effect of professional invest-consulting service that affect the fluctuation influence between the individual variables(those factors) and subordination variable(the level of investment satisfaction). The study reveals that overconfidence and self-control in direct ways have a positive effect on the level of investment satisfaction in terms of investment behavior and economic distress has a negative effect on the level of investment satisfaction. The adjustment effect provided by financial experts in investment consulting service is affirmed as the critical factor that increase the influence between self-control and the level of investment satisfaction. To conclude, the research reveals that the psychological factors are the main criteria when the workers as employees have to make investment decisions. To make investors be reasonable, a systematic financial education system provided by experts is needed from the early adolescent stages and financial companies should develop the relevant services of consulting service department as a key financial sector and financial investment products and consulting program and marketing tool pertinent to investors ages, vocational traits and their inclinations.

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