• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.103-119
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• 1984

복잡다기해지는 도시교통문제를 효율적으로 대처하려면 제도시교통정책에 의한 교 통분담율효과를 사전에 추정할 수 있어야 한다. 단기간의 교통분담율효과를 추정하는데 미 국 및 구라파 등지에서 널리 이용되고 있는 모형이 개별교통모형(Disaggregate Travel Demand Model)이다. 본 연구의 목적은 로짓모형(Multinomial Logit Model)을 서울시의 종 로축을 이용하는 출근통행자를 대상으로 실시한 조사결과에 적용하여 매개함수(Parameters) 를 추정함에 있다. 조사는 1980년7월5일부터 7월15일까지 10일간 종로축을 이용하는 통행자 536명에게 실시되었다. 조사실시전 서울시의 교통체계의 특성과 통행자의 행태를 면밀히 분 석하여 적합한 변수를 선정하였다. 여러 가지로 변수와 표본의 변형을 시도한 결과 교통비 용을 소득으로 나눈 변수와 시기시간(OVTT)을 거리로 나눈 변수를 포함한 모형이 가장 논 리적인 것으로 나타났다. 한편 표본은 고소득층과 저소득층으로 구분하여 추정한 모형이 비 교적 만족스러운 결과를 나타내었다. 이는 우리나라 대도시의 경우 소득계층에 따라 교통수 단선택범위가 한정되기 때문이다. 마지막으로 고소득층과 저소득층의 시간가치를 각각 산정 하였는바, 이는 교통시간의 매개변수와 교통비용의 매개변수를 나눔으로서 구해질 수 있다. 시간가치는 고소득층은 910원 저소득층은 582원으로 각각 산출되었다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.63-72
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• 2002

We applied 3-D balancing technique to estimate nationwide travel demand using travel behavior of Toll Collecting System data, socio-economic data in the region, and the data of several organizations connected with travel demand estimation. The results from this study were validated by the indices of RMSE(Root Mean Square Error), TLFD(Trip Length Frequency Distribution). TCS based inter-city average travel to measure of reliability and adequacy of estimated travel demand. Finally, 3-D technique seems to reflect more travel behavior of TCS OD than 2-D technique, but we cannot assert that 3-D technique superior to 2-D technique.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.22 no.1
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• pp.28-38
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• 2019

The smart card data stores the transit usage records of individual passengers. By using this, it is possible to analyze the traffic demand by station and time. However, since the purpose of the trip is not recorded in the smart card data, the demand for each purpose such as commuting, school, and leisure is estimated based on the survey data. Since survey data includes only some samples, it is difficult to predict public transport demand for each purpose close to the complete enumeration survey. In this study, we estimates the purposes of trip for individual passengers using the smart card data corresponding to the complete enumeration survey of public transportation. We estimated trip purposes such as commute, school(university) considering frequency of O-D, duration, and departure time of a passenger. Based on this, the passengers are classified as workers and university students. In order to verify our methodology, we compared the estimation results of our study with the patterns of the survey data.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.63-78
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• 2017

The purpose of this study is to determine the optimal aggregation interval to increase the reliability when estimating representative value of individual vehicle travel time collected by DSRC equipment in interrupted traffic flow section in National Highway. For this, we use the bimodal asymmetric distribution data, which is the distribution of the most representative individual vehicle travel time collected in the interrupted traffic flow section, and estimate the MSE(Mean Square Error) according to the variation of the aggregation interval of individual vehicle travel time, and determine the optimal aggregation interval. The estimation equation for the MSE estimation utilizes the maximum estimation error equation of t-distribution that can be used in asymmetric distribution. For the analysis of optimal aggregation interval size, the aggregation interval size of individual vehicle travel time was only 3 minutes or more apart from the aggregation interval size of 1-2 minutes in which the collection of data was normally lost due to the signal stop in the interrupted traffic flow section. The aggregation interval that causes the missing part in the data collection causes another error in the missing data correction process and is excluded. As a result, the optimal aggregation interval for the minimum MSE was 3~5 minutes. Considering both the efficiency of the system operation and the improvement of the reliability of calculation of the travel time, it is effective to operate the basic aggregation interval as 5 minutes as usual and to reduce the aggregation interval to 3 minutes in case of congestion.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.30 no.6
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• pp.3-12
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• 2012

Additive willingness-to-pay (WTP) for leisure-travel time saving focused on the Iksan-Pohang Expressway and the Donghae Expressway was surveyed during the summer months to estimate the value of travel-time savings (VTTS) for non-business leisure trips. Travelers traveling between 2 and 3 hours on Iksan-Pohang Expressway had WTP of 723 won per 10 minutes of leisure-travel time savings and those traveling between 3 and 4 hours on Donghae Expressway had WTP of 854 won per the same. Based on this survey, we learned that WTP in leisure travel time savings increased with the total travel time. 300 effective samples for each expressway were collected, and estimation was separately conducted on the basis of Cox test.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.24 no.6 s.92
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• pp.89-102
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• 2006

The purpose of this paper is to develop a dynamic OD estimating model to overcome the limitation of depicting teal situations in dynamic simulation models based on static OD trip. To estimate dynamic OD matrix we used the hybrid discrete choice model(called the 'Demand Simulation Model'), which combines travel departure time with travel mode and travel path. Using this Demand Simulation Model, we deduced that the traveler chooses the departure time and mode simultaneously, and then choose his/her travel path over the given situation In this paper. we developed a hybrid simulation model by joining a demand simulation model and the supply simulation model (called LiCROSIM-P) which was Previously developed. We simulated the hybrid simulation model for dependent/independent networks which have two origins and one destination. The simulation results showed that AGtt(Average gap expected travel time and simulated travel time) did not converge, but average schedule delay gap converged to a stable state in transportation network consisted of multiple origins and destinations, multiple paths, freeways and some intersections controlled by signal. We present that the hybrid simulation model can estimate dynamic OD and analyze the effectiveness by changing the attributes or the traveler and networks. Thus, the hybrid simulation model can analyze the effectiveness that reflects changing departure times, travel modes and travel paths by demand management Policy, changing network facilities, traffic information supplies. and so on.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.30 no.3D
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• pp.241-246
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• 2010

This study is to estimate the link travel time of road networks in urban areas utilizing traffic information which is collected throughout the operation of Bus Information System (BIS). BIS, which applies the hightech information technology to an existing bus system, has been developing and operating in many bodies including the local self-government entities. However, a study to consider the technology trend is relatively rare. Even though some useful traffic informations have been collected throughout the operation of an existing BIS, which set limits to the development of a future service of integrated analysis. Accordingly, in this study, a fundamental research is performed for traffic controls in urban areas and providing a traffic information for driver throughout the estimation of link travel time of road networks. The study is proceeded throughout the data collected from the operation of BIS (Bus Information System). The result showed that the patterns of going through traffic were divided up to 2 in the bus travel time in BIS then estimate two link travel time.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.26 no.4D
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• pp.559-564
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• 2006

The purpose of this study is to minimize negative effect of VMS travel time information service by sensitivity analysis, which forecasts the change in link traffic volume. As a result, strategies for providing travel information that can change driving patterns for minimizing travel time were found. The framework for analysis is recently expanded with the application of game theory. According to the experiment, the algorithm generated for travel time information service reduces total travel time and yields travel patterns that is very close to the system optimization. Also, this study found that the route the travel time service information is provided about could play the important role.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.13-21
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• 2009

The traveler's travel pattern has significantly changed due to the social and economic changes. The travel time among the traveler's pattern is the limited resource. The travelers are trying to maximize the utility of travel with the least travel cost. So, the travelers travel with their own travel time budget in mind, which they can pay or choose to pay for the optimal maximization of the utility of the individuals. This research is to group and extract the specific factors which affect the travel time budget by utilizing the CART analysis method, which enables the analysis of traveler's characteristics and their interrelationship based on the data collected from "2002 Household Travel Practice Research" and then try to derive a model for estimating the traveler’s travel time budget. The result of CART analysis shows that the factors which affect the travel time budget include the traveler's age, size of house, type of house, type of employment, job and relation to the head of household. Considering the affecting factors derived, I developed an estimation model. From that model, we found that the age, size of house and type of house were positively (+) related to the travel time budget while the homeworking people who have less travel frequency as a type of employment were negatively (-) related to it. In particular, from the point of type of job, the housewives, children not yet old enough to attend schools and people who are working in the agricultural, or marine product industries were found to have the negative (-) value while the people who have the administrative, office, management jobs were found to have the positive (+) value.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.155-164
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• 2008

It is critical to develop a core ITS technology such as real-time travel time estimation in order that the efficient use of the ITS implementation can be achieved as the ITS infrastructure and relevant facilities are broadly installed in recent years. The provision of travel time information in real-time allows travellers to make informed decisions and hence not only the traveller's travel utilities but also the road utilization can be maximized. In this paper, a hybrid model is proposed to combine VDS and AVI which have different characteristics in terms of space and time dimensions. The proposed model can incorporate the immediacy of VDS data and the reality of AVI data into one single framework simultaneously. In addition, the solution algorithm is made to have no significant computational burden so that the model can be deployable in real world. A set of real field data is used to analyze the reliability and applicability of the proposed model. The analysis results suggest that the proposed model is very efficient computationally and improves the accuracy of the information provided, which demonstrates the real-time applicability of the proposed model. In particular, the data fusion methodology developed in this paper is expected to be used more widely when a new type of traffic data becomes available.