• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통계적 모델링

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A Residual Ionospheric Error Model for Single Frequency GNSS Users in the Korean Region (한국지역에서의 단일주파수 GNSS 사용자를 위한 전리층 잔류 오차 모델 개발)

  • Yoon, Moonseok;Ahn, Jongsun;Joo, Jung -Min
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.194-202
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    • 2021
  • Ionosphere, one of the largest error sources, can pose potentially harmful threat to single-frequency GNSS (global navigation satellite system) user even after applying ionospheric corrections to their GNSS measurements. To quantitatively assess ionospheric impacts on the satellite navigation-based applications using simulation, the standard deviation of residual ionospheric errors is needed. Thus, in this paper, we determine conservative statistical quantity that covers typical residual ionospheric errors for nominal days. Extensive data-processing computes TEC (total electron content) estimates from GNSS measurements collected from the Korean reference station networks. We use Klobuchar model as a correction to calculate residual ionospheric errors from TEC (total electron content) estimate. Finally, an exponential delay model for residual ionospheric errors is presented as a function of local time and satellite elevation angle.

Development of RVE Reconstruction Algorithm for SMC Multiscale Modeling (SMC 복합재료 멀티스케일 모델링을 위한 RVE 재구성 알고리즘 개발)

  • Lim, Hyoung Jun;Choi, Ho-Il;Yoon, Sang Jae;Lim, Sang Won;Choi, Chi Hoon;Yun, Gun Jin
    • Composites Research
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.70-75
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    • 2021
  • This paper presents a novel algorithm to reconstruct meso-scale representative volume elements (RVE), referring to experimentally observed features of Sheet Molding Compound (SMC) composites. Predicting anisotropic mechanical properties of SMC composites is challenging in the multiscale virtual test using finite element (FE) models. To this end, an SMC RVE modeler consisting of a series of image processing techniques, the novel reconstruction algorithm, and a FE mesh generator for the SMC composites are developed. First, micro-CT image processing is conducted to estimate probabilistic distributions of two critical features, such as fiber chip orientation and distribution that are highly related to mechanical performance. Second, a reconstruction algorithm for 3D fiber chip packing is developed in consideration of the overlapping effect between fiber chips. Third, the macro-scale behavior of the SMC is predicted by the multiscale analysis.

Stochastic Volatility Models Using Bayesian Estimation for the Leverage Effect of Dry-bulk Freight Rate (건화물선 운임의 레버리지 효과 대한 확률 변동성 모형을 활용한 베이지안 추정)

  • Kim, Hyun-Sok
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2022
  • In this study, from January 2015 to April 2020, we propose a stochastic volatility model to capture the leverage effect on daily freight yields in the dry cargo market and analyze the freight yields. Estimation involving the Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for the leverage effect based on the negative correlation that exists between returns and volatility in stochastic volatility analysis yields similar estimates, and the statistcs indicates significant. That is, the results of the empirical analysis show that the degree of correlation between returns and volatility, and the magnitude and sign of fluctuations differ, which suggests that taking into account the leverage effect in the SV model improves the goodness of fit of the estimates. In addition to the statistical significance of the estimated model's leverage effect, the analysis by log predictive power score presents the estimated results with improved predictive power of the model considering the leveraged effect. These astatistically significant empirical results show that the stochastic volatility model considering the leverage effect is important for freight rate risk modeling in the marine industry.

Development of a building materials database; Volatile organic compounds, formaldehyde emission rates and chemical compositions (건축자재의 오염물질 방출 데이터베이스 개발; 휘발성유기화합물, 폼알데하이드 방출강도 및 화학조성)

  • Yu, Young-Jae;Lee, Chul-Won;Kim, Man-Goo
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2009
  • A material database has been developed for VOCs and formaldehyde emitted from building materials in this study. New classification system has been made by correlating the classification methods used in Korean Air Cleaning and Environmental Protection Agency. The developed databases include emission rates of TVOC, 5VOC and formaldehyde emitted from each building material. In addition, the databases can be used as an input variable to estimate indoor air quality (IAQ) using computer simulation since they also contain chemical component and general imformation. Box plot was used to do statistical analysis for emission rates of formaldehyde and TVOCs from different types of building materials. Also we confirmed the building materials worsening IAQ by categorizing the emission characteristic of different types of pollutants.

HMM-Based Bandwidth Extension Using Baum-Welch Re-Estimation Algorithm (Baum-Welch 학습법을 이용한 HMM 기반 대역폭 확장법)

  • Song, Geun-Bae;Kim, Austin
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.259-268
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    • 2007
  • This paper contributes to an improvement of the statistical bandwidth extension(BWE) system based on Hidden Markov Model(HMM). First, the existing HMM training method for BWE, which is suggested originally by Jax, is analyzed in comparison with the general Baum-Welch training method. Next, based on this analysis, a new HMM-based BWE method is suggested which adopts the Baum-Welch re-estimation algorithm instead of the Jax's to train HMM model. Conclusionally speaking, the Baum-Welch re-estimation algorithm is a generalized form of the Jax's training method. It is flexible and adaptive in modeling the statistical characteristic of training data. Therefore, it generates a better model to the training data, which results in an enhanced BWE system. According to experimental results, the new method performs much better than the Jax's BWE systemin all cases. Under the given test conditions, the RMS log spectral distortion(LSD) scores were improved ranged from 0.31dB to 0.8dB, and 0.52dB in average.

Performance Comparison of GMM and HMM Approaches for Bandwidth Extension of Speech Signals (음성신호의 대역폭 확장을 위한 GMM 방법 및 HMM 방법의 성능평가)

  • Song, Geun-Bae;Kim, Austin
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.119-128
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    • 2008
  • This paper analyzes the relationship between two representative statistical methods for bandwidth extension (BWE): Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and Hidden Markov Model (HMM) ones, and compares their performances. The HMM method is a memory-based system which was developed to take advantage of the inter-frame dependency of speech signals. Therefore, it could be expected to estimate better the transitional information of the original spectra from frame to frame. To verify it, a dynamic measure that is an approximation of the 1st-order derivative of spectral function over time was introduced in addition to a static measure. The comparison result shows that the two methods are similar in the static measure, while, in the dynamic measure, the HMM method outperforms explicitly the GMM one. Moreover, this difference increases in proportion to the number of states of HMM model. This indicates that the HMM method would be more appropriate at least for the 'blind BWE' problem. On the other hand, nevertheless, the GMM method could be treated as a preferable alternative of the HMM one in some applications where the static performance and algorithm complexity are critical.

Segmentation of Airborne LIDAR Data: From Points to Patches (항공 라이다 데이터의 분할: 점에서 패치로)

  • Lee Im-Pyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2006
  • Recently, many studies have been performed to apply airborne LIDAR data to extracting urban models. In order to model efficiently the man-made objects which are the main components of these urban models, it is important to extract automatically planar patches from the set of the measured three-dimensional points. Although some research has been carried out for their automatic extraction, no method published yet is sufficiently satisfied in terms of the accuracy and completeness of the segmentation results and their computational efficiency. This study thus aimed to developing an efficient approach to automatic segmentation of planar patches from the three-dimensional points acquired by an airborne LIDAR system. The proposed method consists of establishing adjacency between three-dimensional points, grouping small number of points into seed patches, and growing the seed patches into surface patches. The core features of this method are to improve the segmentation results by employing the variable threshold value repeatedly updated through a statistical analysis during the patch growing process, and to achieve high computational efficiency using priority heaps and sequential least squares adjustment. The proposed method was applied to real LIDAR data to evaluate the performance. Using the proposed method, LIDAR data composed of huge number of three dimensional points can be converted into a set of surface patches which are more explicit and robust descriptions. This intermediate converting process can be effectively used to solve object recognition problems such as building extraction.

A Study on Performance Evaluation of Hidden Markov Network Speech Recognition System (Hidden Markov Network 음성인식 시스템의 성능평가에 관한 연구)

  • 오세진;김광동;노덕규;위석오;송민규;정현열
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.30-39
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we carried out the performance evaluation of HM-Net(Hidden Markov Network) speech recognition system for Korean speech databases. We adopted to construct acoustic models using the HM-Nets modified by HMMs(Hidden Markov Models), which are widely used as the statistical modeling methods. HM-Nets are carried out the state splitting for contextual and temporal domain by PDT-SSS(Phonetic Decision Tree-based Successive State Splitting) algorithm, which is modified the original SSS algorithm. Especially it adopted the phonetic decision tree to effectively express the context information not appear in training speech data on contextual domain state splitting. In case of temporal domain state splitting, to effectively represent information of each phoneme maintenance in the state splitting is carried out, and then the optimal model network of triphone types are constructed by in the parameter. Speech recognition was performed using the one-pass Viterbi beam search algorithm with phone-pair/word-pair grammar for phoneme/word recognition, respectively and using the multi-pass search algorithm with n-gram language models for sentence recognition. The tree-structured lexicon was used in order to decrease the number of nodes by sharing the same prefixes among words. In this paper, the performance evaluation of HM-Net speech recognition system is carried out for various recognition conditions. Through the experiments, we verified that it has very superior recognition performance compared with the previous introduced recognition system.

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Design of a Wastewater Treatment Plant Upgrading to Advanced Nutrient Removal Treatment Using Modeling Methodology and Multivariate Statistical Analysis for Process Optimization (하수처리장의 고도처리 upgrading 설계와 공정 최적화를 위한 다변량 통계분석)

  • Kim, MinJeong;Kim, MinHan;Kim, YongSu;Yoo, ChangKyoo
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.589-597
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    • 2010
  • Strengthening the regulation standard of biological nutrient in wastewater treatment plant(WWTP), the necessity of repair of WWTP which is operated in conventional activated sludge process to advanced nutrient removal treatment is increased. However, in full-scale wastewater treatment system, it is not easy to fine the optimized operational condition of the advanced nutrient removal treatment through experiment due to the complex response of various influent conditions and operational conditions. Therefore, in this study, an upgrading design of conventional activated sludge process to advanced nutrient removal process using the modeling and simulation method based on activated sludge model(ASMs) is executed. And a design optimization of advanced treatment process using the response surface method(RSM) is carried out for statistical and systematic approach. In addition, for the operational optimization of full-scale WWTP, a correct analysis about kinetic variables of wastewater treatment is necessary. In this study, through partial least square(PLS) analysis which is one of the multivariable statistical analysis methods, a correlation between the kinetic variables of wastewater treatment system is comprehended, and the most effective variables to the advanced treatment operation result is deducted. Through this study, the methodology for upgrading design and operational optimization of advanced treatment process is provided, and an efficient repair of WWTP to advanced treatment can be expected reducing the design time and costs.

Validation Technique of Simulation Model using Weighted F-measure with Hierarchical X-means (WF-HX) Method (계층적 X-means와 가중 F-measure를 통한 시뮬레이션 모델 검증 기법)

  • Yang, Dae-Gil;HwangBo, Hun;Cheon, Hyun-Jae;Lee, Hong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.562-574
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    • 2012
  • Simulation validation techniques which have been employed in most studies are statistical analysis, which validate a model with mean or variance of throughput and resource utilization as an evaluation object. However, these methods have not been able to ensure the reliability of individual elements of the model well. To overcome the problem, the weighted F-measure method was proposed, but this technique also had some limitations. First, it is difficult to apply the technique to complex system environment with numerous values of interarrival time because it assigns a class to an individual value of interarrival time. In addition, due to unbounded weights, the value of weighted F-measure has no lower bound, so it is difficult to determine its threshold. Therefore, this paper propose weighted F-measure technique with cluster analysis to solve these problems. The classes for the technique are defined by each cluster, which reduces considerable number of classes and enables to apply the technique to various systems. Moreover, we improved the validation technique in the way of assigning minimum bounded weights without any lack of objectivity.