• Title/Summary/Keyword: 추계학적 모사법

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Stochastic Prediction of Strong Ground Motions in Southern Korea (추계학적 보사법을 이용한 한반도 남부에서의 강지진동 연구)

  • 조남대;박창업
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2001
  • In order to estimate peak ground motions and frequency characteristics of strong ground motions in southern korea, we employed the stochastic simulation method with the moment magnitude(M$_{w}$) and the hypocentral distance(R). We estimated same input parameters that account for specific properties of source and propagation processes, and applied them to the stochastic simulation method. The stress drop($\Delta$$\sigma$) of 100-bar was estimated considering results of research in ENA, China, and southern korea. The attenuation parameter x was calculated by analyzing 57 seismograms recorded from September 1996 to October 1997 and the estimation result of the attenuation parameter x is 0.00112+0.000224 R where R is hypocenter distance. We estimated strong ground motion relations using the stochastic simulation method with suitable input parameters(e.g. $\Delta$$\sigma$, x, and so on). At last, we derived relations between hypocentral distances and ground motions(seismic attenuation equation) using results of the stochastic prediction.esults of the stochastic prediction.n.

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Estimation of Spectrum Decay Parameter χ and Stochastic Prediction of Strong Ground Motions in Southeastern Korea (한반도 남동부에서 부지효과를 고려한 스펙트럼 감쇠상수 χ 추정 및 강지진동의 추계학적 모사)

  • 조남대;박창업
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2003
  • We estimated the spectrum decay parameter $\chi$ and the stress parameter ($\Delta$$\sigma$) in southeastern Korea. Especially, we propose a procedure to compute site-independent $\chi$$_{q}$ and dependent $\chi$$_{s}$ values, separately, This procedure is to use the coda normalization method for the computation of site independent Q or corresponding $\chi$$_{q}$ value as the first step followed by the next step, the computation of $\chi$$_{s}$ values for each site using the given $\chi$$_{q}$ value evaluated at the first step, For the estimation of stress parameter, we used seismic data monitored from three earthquakes occurred near Gyeongju in 1999 with the method of Jo and Baag, In addition, we simulated strong ground motion using the $\chi$ value and the stress parameter, In this case, we calculated the $\chi$ value with conventional method. The $\chi$ value of 0.016+0.000157R and the stress parameter of 92-bar was applied to the stochastic simulation, At last, we derived seismic attenuation equation using results of the stochastic prediction, and compared these results with some others reported previously.ported previously.

A simple approach to simulate the size distribution of suspended sediment (부유사 입경분포 모의를 위한 간편법)

  • Kwon, Minhyuck;Byun, Jisun;Son, Minwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.5
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    • pp.347-357
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    • 2024
  • Numerous prior studies have delineated the size distribution of noncohesive sediment in suspension, focusing on mean size and standard deviation. However, suspensions comprise a heterogeneous mixture of sediment particles of varying sizes. The transport dynamics of suspended sediment in turbulent flow are intimately tied to settling velocities calculated based on size and density. Consequently, understanding the grain size distribution becomes paramount in comprehending sediment transport phenomena for noncohesive sediment. This study aims to introduce a straightforward modeling approach for simulating the grain size distribution of suspended sediment amidst turbulence. Leveraging insights into the contrast between cohesive and noncohesive sediment, we have meticulously revised a stochastic flocculation model originally designed for cohesive sediment to aptly simulate the grain size distribution of noncohesive sediment in suspension. The efficacy of our approach is corroborated through a meticulous comparison between experimental data and the grain size distribution simulated by our newly proposed model. Through numerical simulations, we unveil that the modulation of grain size distribution of suspended sediment is contingent upon the sediment transport capacity of the carrier fluid. Hence, we deduce that our simplified approach to simulating the grain size distribution of suspended sediment, integrated with a sediment transport model, serves as a robust framework for elucidating the pivotal bulk properties of sediment transport.

A Characterization of Oil Sand Reservoir and Selections of Optimal SAGD Locations Based on Stochastic Geostatistical Predictions (지구통계 기법을 이용한 오일샌드 저류층 해석 및 스팀주입중력법을 이용한 비투멘 회수 적지 선정 사전 연구)

  • Jeong, Jina;Park, Eungyu
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.313-327
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    • 2013
  • In the study, three-dimensional geostatistical simulations on McMurray Formation which is the largest oil sand reservoir in Athabasca area, Canada were performed, and the optimal site for steam assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) was selected based on the predictions. In the selection, the factors related to the vertical extendibility of steam chamber were considered as the criteria for an optimal site. For the predictions, 110 borehole data acquired from the study area were analyzed in the Markovian transition probability (TP) framework and three-dimensional distributions of the composing media were predicted stochastically through an existing TP based geostatistical model. The potential of a specific medium at a position within the prediction domain was estimated from the ensemble probability based on the multiple realizations. From the ensemble map, the cumulative thickness of the permeable media (i.e. Breccia and Sand) was analyzed and the locations with the highest potential for SAGD applications were delineated. As a supportive criterion for an optimal SAGD site, mean vertical extension of a unit permeable media was also delineated through transition rate based computations. The mean vertical extension of a permeable media show rough agreement with the cumulative thickness in their general distribution. However, the distributions show distinctive disagreement at a few locations where the cumulative thickness was higher due to highly alternating juxtaposition of the permeable and the less permeable media. This observation implies that the cumulative thickness alone may not be a sufficient criterion for an optimal SAGD site and the mean vertical extension of the permeable media needs to be jointly considered for the sound selections.