• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.45-53
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• 2007

Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, Goel-Okumoto and Yamada-Ohba-Osaki model was reviewed, proposes the hyper-exponential distribution reliability model, which maked out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method. For model determination and selection, explored goodness of fit (the error sum of squares). The methodology developed in this paper is exemplified with a software reliability random data set introduced by of Weibull distribution (shape 0.1 & scale 1) of Minitab (version 14) statistical package.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.161-168
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• 2015

The epidemic is seemed to be extremely difficult for accurate predictions. The new models have been suggested that show quite different results. The basic reproductive number of epidemic for consequent time intervals are estimated based on stochastic processes. In this paper, we proposed a transmission distribution estimation for Ebola virus disease epidemic model. This estimation can be easier to obtain in real time which is useful for informing an appropriate public health response to the outbreak. Finally, we implement our proposed method with data from Guinea Ebola disease outbreak.

• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.12 no.6
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• pp.3-10
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• 2012

In this paper, make a study decision problem called an optimal release policies after testing a software system in development phase and transfer it to the user. When correcting or modifying the software, finite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process model, considering learning factor, presented and propose release policies of the life distribution, log linear type model which used to an area of reliability because of various shape and scale parameter. In this paper, discuss optimal software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement. In a numerical example, the parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation of failure time data, make out estimating software optimal release time.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.18 no.6
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• pp.19-32
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• 2000

우리나라 비신호 교차로의 운영방법은 미국과는 다르게 대부분 완전 비제어식 운영(Totally Uncontrol)방법으로 되어있다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라 비신호 교차로들 중 미국 HCM의 TWSC 교차로에 관한 분석방법이 적용 가능하다고 판단되는 비신호 교차로들을 대상으로 임계간격과 추종시간의 기준을 분석하였다. 본 연구에서는 수도권을 중심으로 총 11개의 4-지 비신호 교차로들을 대상으로 이동류별, 차량의 종류별에 따른 차량들의 임계간격과 추종시간을 조사 및 분석하였다. 그 결과 임계간격은 3.8초 - 5.4 초로 나타났으며, 추종시간은 2.4초- 2.7초 범위를 나타내었다. 또한, 임계간격의 경우 차량의 종류별에 따른 차이는 나타나지 않았으나, 이동류별로는 차이를 나타내었다. 이에 반하여, 추종시간은 이동류별에 따른 차이가 없으며, 차량의 종류별에 따라 차이가 존재하는 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구의 분석 결과인 임계간격과 추종시간의 기준치를 국외 나라들의 연구결과와 비교 분석한 결과는 국외보다 낮게 분석되었으며, 이는 우리나라와 국외의 운전자 운전특성과 비신호 교차로의 운영방식의 차이에서 나타난 결과로 판단된다. 본 연구에서 제안한 임계간격과 추종시간의 기준은 수도권 지역의 4-지 비신호 교차로들 중 주도로와 부도로의 교통량과 속도 등의 현저한 차이가 있는 교차로 분석시 이 기준으로 적용할 수 있고, 우리 나라의 TWSC 방법을 갖는 비신호 교차로에 관한 용량과 지체시간의 이론적 모형 개발과 용량 및 지체시간의 분석을 위한 기초 자료로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.143-178
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• 2004

For a thorough accounting for economic growth, it is desired to include the working hours and the efficiency of labor as production factors in addition to the number of workers and human and physical capital stocks. This paper estimates the distribution of weekly working hours of total workers as a continuous variable using the maximum likelihood method, estimates the efficiency of labor as a function of working hours using wage statistics, and by combining these results, estimates the labor efficiency index in Korea for the period 1963~2003. Estimation results show that the efficiency of labor was maximized when the weekly working hours was 40 hours, and the average annual growth rate of the labor efficiency for the period 1963~2003 was 0.14 percent.

• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.7 no.3
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• pp.7-13
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• 2007

Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. Accurate predictions of software release times, and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require quantification of a critical element of the software testing process : test coverage. This model called Enhanced non-homogeneous poission process (ENHPP). In this paper, exponential coverage and S-shaped model was reviewed, proposes the superposition model, which maked out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE statistics for the sake of efficient model, was employed.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.25 no.5
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• pp.874-882
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• 2001

The static and fatigue tests have been carried out to verify the validity of a generalized residual strength degradation model. And a new method of parameter determination in the model is verified experimentally to account for the effect of tension-compression fatigue loading of spheroidal graphite cast iron. It is shown that the correlation between the experimental results and the theoretical prediction on the statistical distribution of fatigue life by using the proposed method is very reasonable. Furthermore, it is found that the correlation between the theoretical prediction and the experimental results of fatigue life in case of tension-tension fatigue data in composite material appears to be reasonable. Therefore, the proposed method is more adjustable in the determination of the parameter than maximum likelihood method and minimization technique.

• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.1-8
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• 2007

Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault (intensity function). In this paper, intensity function of Goel-Okumoto model was reviewed, proposes Kappa (2) and the Burr distribution, which maked out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method. For model determination and selection, explored goodness of fit (the error sum of squares) The methodology developed in this paper is exemplified with a software reliability real data set introduced by NTDS (Naval Tactical Data System)

• Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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• 2013.04a
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• pp.517-531
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• 2013

보증 데이터를 통해 제품의 수명 및 형상모수를 추정할 때 최우추정법과 같은 전통적인 통계 분석방법(Classical Statistical Method)을 많이 사용하였다. 그러나 전통적인 통계 분석방법을 통해 수명과 형상모수의 추정 시 표본의 크기가 작거나 불완전한 경우 추정량의 신뢰성이 떨어진다는 단점이 있고 또 누적된 경험과 과거자료를 충분히 이용하지 못하는 단점도 있다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 모수의 사전분포를 가정하는 베이지안(Bayesian) 기법의 적용이 필요하다. 하지만 보증 데이터분석에 있어서 베이지안 기법을 이용한 연구는 아직 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 수명분포가 와이블 분포를 갖는 보증데이터를 활용하여 모수 추정의 효율성을 비교 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 와이블 분포의 모수가 대수정규분포를 따르는 사전분포를 갖는 베이지안 기법과 전통적 통계기법인 생명표법(Actuarial method)을 활용하여 추정량을 도출하고 비교 분석하였다. 이를 통해 충분한 관측 데이터를 확보할 수 없는 경우에 베이지안 기법을 이용한 보증 데이터 분석방법의 성능을 확인하고자 한다.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.453-467
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• 2003

Approximating a WTP distribution of the conservation for Hallyue Marine National Park is complicated by zero observations in the sample. To deal with the zero observations, a mixture model is considered to allow a point mass at zero. The model is empirically verified for the data. The conventional model and a spike model are also considered for comparison. Our results portrays the usefulness of the mixture model to analyze SBDC data with zero observations.