• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최대교차상관계수

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Analysis of groundwater level variability in the middle mountain area of Pyoseon watershed in Jeju Island using normalized standard deviation and cross correlation coefficient (정규화된 표준편차 및 교차상관계수를 이용한 제주도 표선유역 중산간지역의 지하수위 변동성 분석)

  • Shin, Mun-Ju;Moon, Soo-Hyoung;Moon, Duk Chul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.337-345
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    • 2020
  • In order to provide information for proper management of groundwater resources, an analysis of the effects of precipitation and groundwater withdrawal on groundwater levels is needed. In this study, we analyzed the correlation of precipitation-groundwater level and groundwater withdrawal-groundwater level using time series data converted by normalized standard deviation (Nor.St.Dev) and cross correlation coefficient (CCC) for nine groundwater monitoring wells in the middle mountainous area in the southeastern Jeju Island. First, the CCCs of precipitation-groundwater level were estimated using daily time series data, and the low CCCs of up to 0.3 were obtained. However, the result of using the Nor.St.Dev showed a clearer correlation by obtaining a CCC of up to 0.8. In addition, in most cases, precipitation variability and groundwater level variability had positive CCCs, whereas groundwater withdrawal variability and groundwater level variability had negative CCCs. Therefore, the groundwater level in this study area was largely influenced by precipitation with little effect of groundwater withdrawal. Lastly, as a result of analyzing the relative effects of Seongpanak and Gyorae rainfall station on the groundwater level, the rainfall at the relatively downstream Gyorae rainfall station has more influence. The analysis method used in this study can be easily used for analyzing the effects of precipitation and groundwater withdrawal on groundwater level variability in other regions in the future.

Determination of Hydraulic Conductivities in the Sandy Soil Layer through Cross Correlation Analysis between Rainfall and Groundwater Level (강우-지하수위 상관성 분석을 통한 사질토층의 수리전도도 산정)

  • Park, Seunghyuk;Son, Doo Gie;Jeong, Gyo-Cheol
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.303-314
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    • 2019
  • Surface permeability and shallow geological structures play significant roles in shaping the groundwater recharge of shallow aquifers. Surface permeability can be characterized by two concepts, intrinsic permeability and hydraulic conductivity, with the latter obtained from previous near-surface geological investigations. Here we propose a hydraulic equation via the cross-correlation analysis of the rainfall-groundwater levels using a regression equation that is based on the cross-correlation between the grain size distribution curve for unconsolidated sediments and the rainfall-groundwater levels measured in the Gyeongju area, Korea, and discuss its application by comparing these results to field-based aquifer test results. The maximum cross-correlation equation between the hydraulic conductivity derived from Zunker's observation equation in a sandy alluvial aquifer and the rainfall-groundwater levels increases as a natural logarithmic function with high correlation coefficients (0.95). A 2.83% difference between the field-based aquifer test and root mean square error is observed when this regression equation is applied to the other observation wells. Therefore, rainfall-groundwater level monitoring data as well as aquifer test are very useful in estimating hydraulic conductivity.

BENT함수와 bent 수열을 중심으로 본 상관성이 우수한 수열군

  • 정하봉
    • Review of KIISC
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 1992
  • 레이다 시스템, ranging 시스템, 확산 대역 통신 (spread spectrum communication) 시스템, 그리고 요즈음 각광받고 있는 코드분할방식 다중통신 (CDMA com-munication) 시스템에서는 주지하다시피 상관성(correlation) 이 좋은 수열(sequence)들위 사용이 필수 불가결하다. 수열의 상관성은 그 수열 자신의 상관성이냐 다른 수열간의 상관성이냐에 따라 자기상관관계(crosscorrelation)로 나누어 생각할 수 있고 수열의 주기성의 유무에 따라 주기적 상관관계(Periodic correlation)와 비주기적 상관관계(aperiodic correla-tion)로 나누어 볼 수 있다. 여기서 수열의 상관성이 좋다는 말은 정규화된 수열의 자기상관계수(autocorrelation coefficient)와 수열 간의 교차상관 계수(crosscorrelation coefficient)의 최대 크기가 수열의 길이에 비해 상대적으로 작은 값을 갖는다는 것을 의미한다. 본 논문에서는 주기성을 갖는 이진수열군의 하나인 bent수열과 이 bent수열을 구성하는데 기본이 되는 bent함수를 중심으로 주기적 상관성이 우수한 여러 수열군에 대해 알아보고자 한다.

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Development of Cloud Motion Vector for Rainfall Forecasting System using Geostationary Satellite Data (홍수 예·경보를 위한 위성 구름이동벡터 개발)

  • Park, Kyung Won;Shin, Yong Chul;Yoon, Sun Kwon;Jang, Sang Min
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.597-597
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    • 2015
  • 기후변화에 따른 홍수 위험도 증가와 태풍 및 집중호우의 증가는 도시지역의 홍수로 인한 피해가 커지고 있다. 실제로 최근 10년간 홍수로 인한 재산피해 및 인명피해는 해마다 늘고 있다. 이러한 홍수피해를 최소화 할 수 있는 도시지역 초단기 강우 예보 시스템 개발은 필수적이다. 그동안 기상레이더를 이용한 강우예측 모형은 국내외적으로 많이 개발이 되어 있지만, 위성을 이용한 단기간 강우예보모형은 많이 부족한 실정이다. 최근 국내 최초 기상위성의 발사로 위성을 이용한 강수관측 및 초단기 예보가 가능하게 되었다. 이러한 초단기 강우 예보 시스템의 기본예측모형인 구름이동벡터를 개발하기 위해서 본 연구에서 COMS 위성자료를 이용하였다. COMS 위성은 2011년 4월에 발사되어 현재 운영 중에 있다. COMS 위성 자료는 현재 일본 정지궤도 위성 MTSAT 위성자료와 달리 한반도 영역을 대상으로 적외채널 자료들을 8-15분 간격으로 수집 가능하여 집중호우 예보에 매우 유리하다. COMS 위성의 연속되는 위성 구름의 교차상관을 통해서 이동벡터를 산출하여 예측 모형을 산출하였다. 교차상관 기법은 연속되는 구름 자료에 대해서 두 윈도우 사의 상관계수의 최대치를 찾아냄으로써 구름의 이동방향과 이동속도를 산출하는 방법이다. 기 개발된 예측모형을 이용하여 한반도 지역의 이동벡터를 산출하였으며, 본 연구에서 산출된 구름이동벡터는 도시지역의 갑자기 발생하는 집중호우나 태풍의 초단기 예측의 기본 모형으로 탑재될 것이다.

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Correlation and Hysteresis Analysis of Air-Water Temperature in Four Rivers: Preliminary study for water temperature prediction (우리나라 하천의 기온-수온의 상관관계 및 이력현상 분석: 미래 하천수온 변화 예측을 위한 사전검토)

  • An, Ji-Hyuck;Lee, Khil-Ha
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.17-32
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    • 2013
  • The potential impact of water temperature on air temperature in response to recent anthropogenic global warming has been noticed. To predict climate, induced change in river aquatic environment, it is necessary to understand the thermal constrains of fish species and the timing of the projected river temperature. As a preliminary study, air-water temperature relationship was analyzed on the basis of the observed data during the time period of 2009-2011 and the number of data corresponds to 873-1083. As a result of analyzing the auto-and cross-correlation coefficient between air-water temperature, high correlation is shown (~0.9). It is also found that the correlation coefficient of air temperature is higher than that of water temperature at the lag time less than approximately 10 days. Observed data was divided into two groups to investigate hysteresis: rising limb and falling limb. For some stations there is strong evidence that hysteresis exist between air-water temperature relationships. Consequently it is recommended that seasonal hysteresis needs to be included in determining an airwater relationship.

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Estimation of delay time between precipitation and groundwater level in the middle mountain area of Pyoseon watershed in Jeju Island using moving average method and cross correlation coefficient (이동평균법과 교차상관계수를 이용한 제주도 표선유역 중산간지역의 강수량과 지하수위 간의 지체시간 추정)

  • Shin, Mun-Ju;Moon, Soo-Hyoung;Koh, Gi-Won;Moon, Duk-Chul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.533-543
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    • 2020
  • In order to provide information for proper management of groundwater resources, it is necessary to estimate the rise time of groundwater level by calculating the delay time between the time series of precipitation and groundwater level and to understand the characteristics of groundwater level variation. In this study, total delay time (TDT) and cross correlation coefficient between the moving averaged precipitation generated by using the moving average method to take into account the preceding precipitation and the groundwater level were calculated and analyzed for the nine groundwater level monitoring wells in the Pyoseon watershed in the southeast of Jeju Island. As a result, when the moving averaged precipitation was used, the correlation with the groundwater level was higher in all monitoring wells than in the case of using the raw precipitation, so that it was possible to more clearly estimate the delay time between precipitation and groundwater level. When using the moving averaged precipitation, it had cross correlation coefficients of up to 0.57 ~ 0.58 with the time series data of the groundwater level, and had a relatively high correlation when considering the preceding precipitation of about 24 days on average. The TDT was about 32 days on average, and it was confirmed that the consideration of preceding precipitation plays an important role in estimating the TDT because the days of moving averaged precipitation greatly influences the calculation of the TDT. In addition, through the use of moving averaged precipitation, we found an error in estimating the TDT due to the use of raw precipitation. Through the method of estimating the TDT used in this study and the use of the R code for estimating the TDT presented in the appendix of this paper, it will be possible to estimate the TDT for other regions in the future relatively easily.

Determination of Flow Stress of Zircaloy-4 Under High Strain Rate Using Slot Milling Test (슬롯밀링시험을 이용한 높은 변형률 속도 조건하에서 Zircaloy-4의 유동응력 결정)

  • Hwang, Jihoon;Kim, Naksoo;Lee, Hyungyil;Kim, Dongchoul
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2013
  • The flow stress of zircaloy-4 used in the spacer grid supporting a nuclear fuel rod was determined by the Johnson-Cook model, and model parameters were determined using reverse engineering. Parameters such as A, B, n and $\dot{\varepsilon}_0$ were determined by the tensile test result. To obtain the parameters C and m, a slot milling test and numerical simulation were performed. The objective functions were defined as the difference between the experimental and the simulation results, and then, the parameters were determined by minimizing the objective function. To verify the validity of the determined parameters, cross-verification for each case was conducted through a shearing test and simulation. The results tend to show agreement with the experimental results, such as the features of sheared edges and maximum punch force, with the correlation coefficients exceeding at least 0.97.

Characteristics of Sea Water Intrusion Using Geostatistical Analysis of Geophysical Surveys at the Southeastern Coastal Area of Busan, Korea (지구물리 탐사자료의 지구통계학적 분석에 의한 부산 동남해안 지역의 해수침투 특성)

  • 심병완;정상용;김희준;성익환;김병우
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.3-17
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    • 2002
  • Data analysis of groundwater monitoring wells and geostatistical methods are used to identify the local characteristics of sea water intrusion and the range of sea water intrusion at the southeastern coastal area of Busan, Korea. Rainfall and groundwater level of two monitoring wells show a linear correlation because of the direct groundwater recharge by the precipitation. However, rainfall and electric conductivity have the inverse relationship because of the increase of groundwater. Electric conductivity rapidly increased at 24m depth and exceeded 20,000$\mu\textrm{s}$/cm near 26m depth in the monitoring wells. The variations of groundwater level and electric conductivity show that the interface between sea water and fresh water tends to move upward when groundwater level goes down. In the cross correlation analysis, groundwater level versus rainfall represents the largest cross correlation coefficient in 0 time lag but the cross correlation coefficient of electric conductivity versus rainfall is the largest when the time lag is 9 days. This suggests that the fluctuations of groundwater level respond to rainfall in a short time, but the interface between sea water and fresh water respond very slow to rainfall. Horizontal extents of sea water intrusion are estimated to 14 m from the east of Line 1, and 25 m from the southeast end of Line 2 in the inversion of dipole-dipole profiling data of two survey lines. The data of VES by the Schulumberger array in May and July show lognormal distributions. In the kriged apparent resistivity and earth resistivity distributions, the resistivities of July are increased comparing to those of May. This reflects that the concentration of sea water in aquifer is reduced due to the increased groundwater recharge from the rainfall in June and July. In analyzing the vertical and horizontal apparent resistivities and earth resistivity distributions, the geostatistical methods are very useful to identify the variations of earth resistivity distributions at the coastal area.

Analysis of long-term water level change of Dongrae hot spring using time series methods (시계열 방법을 이용한 동래온천 수위의 장기적인 변화 분석)

  • Jeon, Hang-Tak;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Cheong, Jae-Yeol;Lee, Cheol-Woo;Lee, Jong-Tae;Lim, Woo-Ri
    • Journal of the Geological Society of Korea
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.529-544
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    • 2018
  • Dongrae hot spring belongs to the residual magma type and has a long history of bathing since the Silla dynasty in Korea. Due to long development of hot spring water, it is expected that the amount of hot spring water in Dongrae hot spring has been changed. In this study, long-trem water level data of Dongrae hot spring were examined for recognizing the change of the hot spring. By the fluctuation analysis of the hot spring water level from January 1992 to July 2018, the maximum and minimum annual drawdowns of no. 27 well were 137.70 and 71.60 meters, respectively, with an average drawdown of 103.39 m. On the other hand, the maximum and minimum annual drawdowns of no. 29 well were 137.80 and 71.70 meters, with an average drawdown of 103.49 m. Besides, drawdown rate became bigger in recent years. As a result of analyzing autocorrelation of the two wells, the correlation coefficient ranged from 0.919 to 0.991, showing seasonal groundwater level fluctuation. The cross correlation analysis between water level and precipitation as well as water level and hot spring discharge resulted in the correlation coefficients of -0.280 ~ 0.256 and 0.428 ~ 0.553, respectively. Therefore, using Dongnae hot-spring water level data from 1992 to 2018, the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's test showed that the continuous decline of water level was mainly caused by the pumping of the hot spring water among various reasons.

Analysis of the Variation Pattern of the Wave Climate in the Sokcho Coastal Zone (속초 연안의 파랑환경 변화양상 분석)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Jeong, Weon-Mu;Baek, Won-Dae;Kim, Sang-Ik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.120-127
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    • 2012
  • Exploratory data analysis was carried out by using the long-term wave climate data in Sokcho coastal zone. The main features found in this study are as follows. The coefficient of variations on the wave height and period are about 0.11 and 0.02, respectively. It also shows that the annual components of the wave height and period are dominant and their amplitudes are 0.24 m and 0.56 seconds, respectively. The amount of intra-annual variation range is about two times greater than that of the inter-annual variation range. The distribution shapes of the wave data are very similar to the log-normal and GEV(generalized extreme value) functions. However, the goodness-of-fit tests based on the KS test show as "rejected" for all suggested density functions. Then, the structure of the timeseries wave height data is roughly estimated as AR(3) model. Based on the wave duration results, it is clearly shown that the continuous and maximum duration is decreased as a power function shape and the total duration is exponentially decreased. Meanwhile, the environment of the Sokcho coastal zone is classified as a wave-dominated environment.