• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최대가능도추정량

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Comparison of Two Parametric Estimators for the Entropy of the Lognormal Distribution (로그정규분포의 엔트로피에 대한 두 모수적 추정량의 비교)

  • Choi, Byung-Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.625-636
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes two parametric entropy estimators, the minimum variance unbiased estimator and the maximum likelihood estimator, for the lognormal distribution for a comparison of the properties of the two estimators. The variances of both estimators are derived. The influence of the bias of the maximum likelihood estimator on estimation is analytically revealed. The distributions of the proposed estimators obtained by the delta approximation method are also presented. Performance comparisons are made with the two estimators. The following observations are made from the results. The MSE efficacy of the minimum variance unbiased estimator appears consistently high and increases rapidly as the sample size and variance, n and ${\sigma}^2$, become simultaneously small. To conclude, the minimum variance unbiased estimator outperforms the maximum likelihood estimator.

Robust Discriminant Analysis using Minimum Disparity Estimators

  • 조미정;홍종선;정동빈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.135-140
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    • 2004
  • Lindsay and Basu (1994)에 의해 소개된 최소차이추정량 (Minimum Disparity Estimators)들은 실제 자료 분석 도구로써 유용하다. 본 논문에서는 최소일반화음지수 차이추정량 (Minimum Generalized Negative Exponential Disparity Estimator, MGNEDE)이 최대가능도추정량 (Maximum Likelihood Estimator, MLE)와 최소가중 헬링거거리추정량 (Minimum Blended Weight Hellinger Distance Estimator, MBWHDE)에 비해 오염된 정규모형에서 효율적이고 로버스트하다는 것을 모의실험을 통하여 확인하였다. 또한 세 가지 추정량들에 의해 추정된 모수들을 이용하여 판별하였을 때 자 추정량득의 판별율을 비교함으로써 오염된 정규모형에서 MLE의 대안으로 MGNEDE와 MBWHDE를 사용할 수 있음을 보였다.

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A bias adjusted ratio-type estimator (편향 보정 비형태추정량에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jung-Taek;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.397-408
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    • 2018
  • Various methods for accurate parameter estimation have been developed in a sample survey and it is also common to use a ratio estimator or the regression estimator using auxiliary information. The ratio-type estimator has been used in many recent studies and is known to improve the accuracy of estimation by adjusting the ratio estimator. However, various studies are under way to solve it since the ratio-type estimator is biased. In this study, we propose a generalized ratio-type estimator with a new parameter added to the ratio-type estimator to remove the bias. We suggested a method to apply this result to the parameter estimation under the error assumption of heteroscedasticity. Through simulation, we confirmed that the suggested generalized ratio-type estimator gives good results compared to conventional ratio-type estimators.

A Bayesian Poisson model for analyzing adverse drug reaction in self-controlled case series studies (베이지안 포아송 모형을 적용한 자기-대조 환자군 연구에서의 약물상호작용 위험도 분석)

  • Lee, Eunchae;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.203-213
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    • 2020
  • The self-controlled case series (SCCS) study measures the relative risk of exposure to exposure period by setting the non-exposure period of the patient as the control period without a separate control group. This method minimizes the bias that occurs when selecting a control group and is often used to measure the risk of adverse events after taking a drug. This study used SCCS to examine the increased risk of side effects when two or more drugs are used in combination. A conditional Poisson model is assumed and analyzed for drug interaction between the narcotic analgesic, tramadol and multi-frequency combination drugs. Bayesian inference is used to solve the overfitting problem of MLE and the normal or Laplace prior distributions are used to measure the sensitivity of the prior distribution.

A Bayesian Extreme Value Analysis of KOSPI Data (코스피 지수 자료의 베이지안 극단값 분석)

  • Yun, Seok-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.833-845
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    • 2011
  • This paper conducts a statistical analysis of extreme values for both daily log-returns and daily negative log-returns, which are computed using a collection of KOSPI data from January 3, 1998 to August 31, 2011. The Poisson-GPD model is used as a statistical analysis model for extreme values and the maximum likelihood method is applied for the estimation of parameters and extreme quantiles. To the Poisson-GPD model is also added the Bayesian method that assumes the usual noninformative prior distribution for the parameters, where the Markov chain Monte Carlo method is applied for the estimation of parameters and extreme quantiles. According to this analysis, both the maximum likelihood method and the Bayesian method form the same conclusion that the distribution of the log-returns has a shorter right tail than the normal distribution, but that the distribution of the negative log-returns has a heavier right tail than the normal distribution. An advantage of using the Bayesian method in extreme value analysis is that there is nothing to worry about the classical asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimators even when the regularity conditions are not satisfied, and that in prediction it is effective to reflect the uncertainties from both the parameters and a future observation.

A Case Study of Mixed-Mode Design Incorporated Mobile RDD into Telephone RDD (유·무선 RDD를 결합한 혼합조사설계: 2011 서울시장 보궐선거 예측조사 사례 연구)

  • Lee, Kay-O;Jang, Duk-Hyun;Hong, Young-Taek
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.153-162
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    • 2012
  • We proposed a mixed-mode design with a landline survey and mobile survey as the solution for the problems of election opinion polls by the original telephone survey method, mostly with limited population coverage for young people not living at home and with lower efficiency in selecting valid voters. We numerically verified the applicability of the proposed dual frame survey by analyzing the preliminary opinion poll results of the Seoul mayor by-election of October 26 2011. This research achieved the result that relative standard errors were similar between a mobile RDD sample and landline RDD sample though the variance was bigger in the former. Though the combination of mobile RDD and landline RDD is not found to improve the forecast accuracy, it still is expected to have higher reliability for election polls by expanding the population coverage and compensating the weakness of each survey method.