• Title/Summary/Keyword: 초기모형

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Stakeholder Oriented Economical Efficiency Analysis on the Scenario to Implement Smart Transportation Services (지능형 운송 서비스 구축 시나리오에 대한 이해관계자 중심 경제성 분석)

  • Shin, KwangSup;Moon, Yongma;Hur, Wonchang;Kim, Woo Je
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2015
  • This research proposed a new method to evaluate the objective validity to launch smart transportation services that various stakeholders are complicatedly inter-connected. First of all, we have designed the fundamental business model to form the smart transportation services and defined the stakeholders taking part in the services. Also, the criteria to evaluate the economical validity has been proposed based on the relationship among stakeholders. Especially, in the case EV drivers and charging service providers, the economical validity depends on the scale of spreading. Therefore, we have compared the two extreme scenarios, the poor and stable level of EV spreading. According to the result, it may be said that EV drivers and charging service providers cannot be guaranteed the economical validity due to the burden of initial investment. On the contrary to this, suppliers of EV and charging gears may secure more than a certain level of profit. In addition, the government may have great profit due to reducing the CO2 emission and cost for importing energy sources. Therefore, it is needed to enhance the level of supporting EV drivers and charging service providers at the first stage. Also, the impact of the ratio of EV and charging service stations on the economical validity of smart transportation should be further investigated.

An Empirical Approach for Gamer's Cognitive Model on Game Playing Experience : Towards Difference of Gamers' Expertise in World Warcraft Game (게임플레이 경험에 대한 게이머의 인지적 모형에 관한 실증적 접근 : World of Warcraft 게임에서 게이머의 전문성 차이를 중심으로)

  • Song, Seung-Keun
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2009
  • This study aims to uncover the gamers' cognitive process during the gameplay and explore the differences between groups in the gamers' playing behavior according to their expertise: experts, intermediate players, and novices. To this end, the empirical experiment was conducted in 'World of Warcraft' game which is a good representative of MMO(Massively Multi-player Online) game currently. Verbal protocol and action protocol collected from the empirical experiment were analyzed according to the gamers' expertise. As a result of this study, we found that the different behavior patterns result from standardizing pattern of their actions for experts and forming the learning curves and the specific patterns of action for intermediate game players and novices. While three functional-actions as a collection action concentrates on the early stage of the game for experts, the novices' behavior pattern dispersedly appeared in all seven functional-action, such as search, combat, three type collections, avoid, and communication in the whole gameplay. This study represents the consistency and the difference derived from the comparison analysis between groups according to the expertise. This study is concluded with key implications to support game design guidelines according to experts, intermediate players, and novices. Consequently, the result of this study provides the basic to the development of MMO content for game novices.

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Discussion on Formulation Process and Configuration of Fire-Fighting Vulnerable Zone Model (소방취약지 모델의 구성과 정립프로세스 논의)

  • Kim, Seong Gon;Chang, Eun Mi;Choi, Gap Yong;Kim, Hi Tae
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2014
  • There are numbers of unpredictable risk factors in the disaster scenes such as fire, explosion and fail to early life-saving or holding the flames which can lead to massive damage. In particular, fire-fighters who arrive on the scene within 5 minutes after dispatching, have a limitation to get aware to the situation of scene fully, because of immediate deploy to disaster scene with limited information. This situation may lead to disturbance that fire-fighters perform effective fire-fighting activities, to put fire-fighter's life at risk by misjudge the situation. Previous domestic and International studies focused vulnerability for spatial area or features which can damage to life and property in the event of anticipated. In this study, we have been developed fire-fighting vulnerable zone model that can analyze comprehensively hindrance factors for fire-fighting activities targeting whole life cycle of fire-fighting activities from dispatch to fire suppression or life-saving. In addition, we have been given shape to finality and applicability for our model by defining the new concept of fire-fighting vulnerable zone which can be distinguished from the concept of fire vulnerable area in previous studies. The results of this study can be used to analysis fire-fighting vulnerable zone type analysis, establish fire-fighting policies and improve the performance of decision-making process.

A Study on the Improvement of Service Quality Measurement (서비스 품질 측정 개선에 대한 탐색적 연구)

  • Su, Li;Kim, Hyunsoo
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.67-76
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    • 2018
  • Service quality research has been the subject of service studies for many years. This study is an exploratory study to improve the service quality measurement factor, and the research has been carried out reflecting the nature of the service; relationship quality, interactivity, horizontality, and harmony. Also, among the developed service quality measurement factors, the research model is reconstructed considering the major factors such as environmental quality, result quality, and convenience quality. Relationality and interactivity redesigned the quality factor, which is called interactive quality. The redesigned service quality factors consisted of interaction quality, result quality, environmental quality, convenience quality, harmonious quality, and horizontal quality. Experimental group evaluation was conducted on the quality factors and 18 measurement items were derived. A questionnaire was conducted to verify the validity of the 18 items. As a result of the questionnaire analysis, 6 factors and 15 items among the 18 items of service quality measurement factor were found valid. The six factors for the service quality measurement presented in this study are the results of the early stage research, but they can be used to improve the service quality factor in the future. However, this is significant because it reflects the characteristics of services that are consistent with the service economy. In particular, the horizontal quality and harmony quality factors are new factors not mentioned in the previous studies and need to be verified through further detailed studies. Further research is needed to improve the service quality measurement factors reflecting the nature of services and the characteristics of new services.

Prediction Model for Toothache Occurrence in College Students by using Oral Hygiene Habits and the CART Model (대학생의 구강건강관리실태와 CART모델을 이용한 치통발생예측)

  • Kim, Nam-Song;Lim, Kun-Ok
    • Journal of dental hygiene science
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.419-426
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    • 2009
  • The occurrence of toothache signals the malfunction in oral health, which allows the detection of any abnormal condition in the oral cavity at an early stage to prevent the condition from worsening, and thus can act as a preventive measure. This study has looked into the status of oral health management in relation to toothache through the structured survey administered to 235 college students. Based on the survey results, this study aimed at comparing the toothache occurrence prediction between regression analysis and CART model in order to clarify the relationship between the factors of oral health management habits that contribute to toothache occurrence. According to the result, there was a difference between the present health status and the health status of the past year depending on the presence or non-presence of toothache occurrence (p<0.05). There was a difference in the regularity of meal time depending on the presence non-presence of toothache occurrence from the dietary habits of the research subjects (p<0.05). As for the presence or non-presence of toothache occurrence from the oral hygiene habits of the research subject, there was a difference between the occurrence and nonoccurrence of bleeding during brushing or flossing (p<0.05). According to the results of regression analysis, no factors were signifiant in the relationship with the presence or non-presence of toothache occurrence from the status of life habits and oral hygiene habits. 70% of the researched group was randomly selected as the sample for generating an analytical model and the remaining 30% was used as the sample for generating an evaluation model. According to the results of CART model, the occurrence of toothache was higher in the case of irregular meal time and poor current health condition than the case of average or satisfactory health condition. The above results imply that CART model is very useful technique in predicting toothache occurrence compared to regression analysis, and suggests that CART model could be very useful in predicting other oral diseases including toothache.

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Regionalization of Extreme Rainfall with Spatio-Temporal Pattern (극치강수량의 시공간적 특성을 이용한 지역빈도분석)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ju;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Byung-Sik;Yoon, Seok-Yeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1429-1433
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    • 2010
  • 수공구조물의 설계, 수자원 관리계획의 수립, 재해영향 검토 등을 수행할 때, 재현기간에 따른 확률개념의 강우량, 홍수량, 저수량 등을 산정하여 사용하게 되며, 보통 대상지역의 장기 수문관측 자료를 이용하여 수문사상의 확률분포를 산정한 후 재현기간을 연장하여 원하는 설계빈도에 해당하는 양을 추정하게 된다. 미계측지역 또는 관측자료의 보유기간이 짧은 지역의 경우는 지역빈도 분석 결과를 이용하게 된다. 지역빈도해석을 위해서는 강우자료들의 동질성을 파악하는 것이 가장 기본적인 과정이 되며 이를 위해 통계학적인 범주화분석이 선행되어야 한다. 지점 빈도분석의 수문학적 동질성 판별을 위해 L-moment 방법, K-means 방법에 의한 군집분석 등이 주로 사용되며 관측소 위치좌표를 이용한 공간보간법을 적용하여 시각화하고 있다. 강수량은 시공간적으로 변하는 수문변량으로서 강수량의 시간적인 특성 또한 강수량의 특성을 정의하는데 매우 중요한 요소이다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구를 통해 강수지점의 공간적인 좌표 및 강수량의 양적인 범주화에 초점을 맞춘 기존 지역빈도분석의 범주화 과정에 덧붙여 시간적인 영향을 고려할 수 있는 요소들을 결정하고 이를 활용할 수 있는 범주화 과정을 제시하고자 한다. 즉, 극치강수량의 발생 시기에 대한 정량적인 분석이 가능한 순환통계기법을 이용하여 관측 지점별 시간 통계량을 산정하고, 이를 극치강수량과 결합하여 시 공간적인 특성자료를 생성한 후 이를 이용한 군집화 해석 모형을 개발하는데 연구의 목적이 있다. 분석 과정에 있어서 시간속성의 정량화 및 일반화는 순환통계기법을 사용하였으며, 극치강수량과 발생시점의 속성자료는 각각의 평균과 표준편차를 이용하였다. K-means 알고리즘을 이용해 결합자료를 군집화 하고, L-moment 방법으로 지역화 결과에 대한 검증을 수행하였다. 속성 결합 자료의 군집화 효과는 모의데이터 실험을 통해 확인하였으며, 우리 나라의 58개 기상관측소 자료를 이용하여 분석을 수행하였다. 예비해석 단계에서 100회의 군집분석을 통해 평균적인 centroid를 산정하고, 해당 값을 본 해석의 초기 centroid로 지정하여, 변동적인 클러스터링 경향을 안정화시켜 해석이 반복됨에 따라 군집화 결과가 달라지는 오류를 방지하였다. 또한 K-means 방법으로 계산된 군집별 공간거리 합의 크기에 따라 군집번호를 부여함으로써 군집의 번호순서대로 물리적인 연관성이 인접하도록 설정하였으며, 군집간의 경계선을 추출할 때 발생할 수 있는 오류를 방지하였다. 지역빈도분석 결과는 3차원 Spline 기법으로 도시하였다.

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Development of an Approximate Cost Estimating Model for Bridge Construction Project using CBR Method (사례기반추론 기법을 이용한 교량 공사비 추론 모형 구축)

  • Kim, Min-Ji;Moon, Hyoun-Seok;Kang, Leen-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.42-52
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    • 2013
  • The aim of this study is to present a prediction model of construction cost for a bridge that has a high reliability using historical data from the planning phase based on a CBR (Case-Based Reasoning) method in order to overcome limitations of existing construction cost prediction methods, which is linearly estimated. To do this, a reasoning model of bridge construction cost by a spreadsheet template was suggested using complexly both CBR and GA (Genetic Algorithm). Besides, this study performed a case study to verify the suggested cost reasoning model for bridge construction projects. Measuring efficiency for a result of the case study was 8.69% on average. Since accuracy of the suggested prediction cost is relatively high compared to the other analysis methods for a prediction of construction cost, reliability of the suggested model was secured. In the case that information for detailed specifications of each bridge type in an initial design phase is difficult to be collected, the suggested model is able to predict the bridge construction cost within the minimized measuring efficiency with only the representative specifications for bridges as an improved correction method. Therefore, it is expected that the model will be used to estimate a reasonable construction cost for a bridge project.

Reforming Environmentally-Harmful Subsidies in the Energy and Electricity Sectors in Korea (우리나라 에너지·전력 부문 보조금의 환경친화적 개편 효과 분석 : 연산일반균형분석을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Seung-Rae;Kang, Man-Ok
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.827-858
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    • 2011
  • In Korea, various environmentally harmful subsidies are granted in agriculture, fishery, energy, electricity, transportation, steel and shipbuilding industry. Examples include tax-exempt fuel for agriculture & fishery, VAT- exemption for briquette & anthracite, temporary subsidy for fuel, production stabilizing subsidy for coal mining, subsidy for briquette. Korea's yearly total subsidy in energy area is about 5,291 billion won, among them is 4,870 billion won. To reduce air pollutants and to mitigate climate change, Korea has to review the phase-out of environmentally harmful subsidies and the phase-in of environment-friendly subsidy. The reduction or removal of environmentally harmful subsidies will enhance economic efficiency and bring about environmental benefits. Economic efficiency means less use of inputs, which reduces environmental cost and improves social benefits. This paper applies the Shoven and Whalley's model to the Korean economy and analyzes the general equilibrium incidence effects of reforming environmentally harmful subsidies in the energy and electricity in Korea. We consider several counterfactual scenarios in which current environmentally harmful subsidies are reduced or abolished, compare them with the reference case in the economy, and evaluated the change in efficiency costs and distributional incidence of tax reforms related to subsidies.

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Impact of Ensemble Member Size on Confidence-based Selection in Bankruptcy Prediction (부도예측을 위한 확신 기반의 선택 접근법에서 앙상블 멤버 사이즈의 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Na-Ra;Shin, Kyung-Shik;Ahn, Hyunchul
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.55-71
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    • 2013
  • The prediction model is the main factor affecting the performance of a knowledge-based system for bankruptcy prediction. Earlier studies on prediction modeling have focused on the building of a single best model using statistical and artificial intelligence techniques. However, since the mid-1980s, integration of multiple techniques (hybrid techniques) and, by extension, combinations of the outputs of several models (ensemble techniques) have, according to the experimental results, generally outperformed individual models. An ensemble is a technique that constructs a set of multiple models, combines their outputs, and produces one final prediction. The way in which the outputs of ensemble members are combined is one of the important issues affecting prediction accuracy. A variety of combination schemes have been proposed in order to improve prediction performance in ensembles. Each combination scheme has advantages and limitations, and can be influenced by domain and circumstance. Accordingly, decisions on the most appropriate combination scheme in a given domain and contingency are very difficult. This paper proposes a confidence-based selection approach as part of an ensemble bankruptcy-prediction scheme that can measure unified confidence, even if ensemble members produce different types of continuous-valued outputs. The present experimental results show that when varying the number of models to combine, according to the creation type of ensemble members, the proposed combination method offers the best performance in the ensemble having the largest number of models, even when compared with the methods most often employed in bankruptcy prediction.

A Study on Information Revitalization Plans of Integrated Agriculture Information System (농업 종합 정보 시스템의 제안과 활성화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Cha Jin-Man;Kang Min-Soo;Park Teoun-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.991-997
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    • 2006
  • Agriculture is usually the basis of a society, as well as the solution of dietary life. However, compared to other fields in which information-oriented system is rapidly accomplished, information system of agriculture certainly has slow growth since agriculture deals with a living thing. In addition, since government bodies related to filming have faced the difficulty of information system, they have tried establishing independent information system. The current agriculture-informationizing system can be considered as Agricultural Outlook Information System, Integrated agricultural marketing Information System and Outlook & Agricultural Statistics Information System but these systems are not effectively operated contrary to rut expectation, which$\sim\sim\sim$. Actually, there are some problems of bothinvestment duplicated and management by each independent government body, as well as Korea Rural Economic Institute-Commodity Model improper to real situation. In this paper, Agricultural Outlook Information, Integrated agricultural marketing Information, and Outlook h Agricultural Statistics Information System independently operated are integrated; Circulation Control, Technical Support, and integrated Database system are established; new integrated agricultural information system and various kinds of measures for activation of this system are suggested.