• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지형변수

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Difference in Shoreline Flora According to the Usage of Reservoirs in Korea (우리나라 저수지의 용도에 따른 호안 식물상 차이)

  • Cho, Hyunsuk;Cho, Kang-Hyun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.339-347
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    • 2015
  • Differences in characteristics of flora and environmental factors of geomorphology, hydrology, water quality and soil were investigated in the shoreline of total 35 reservoirs according to their usages of waterpower generation, agricultural water supply, residential and industrial water supply and flood control in Korea. The number of plant species, floral structure and characteristics of species traits in the shoreline of reservoirs were different according to their usage. From the results of stepwise regression analysis, the total number of vascular plant species was increased at the environment of the higher flood frequency at the median water level and the longer exposure duration of the shoreline. The results of principal coordinates analysis and cluster analysis showed that the shoreline flora was classified as the 3 types of 1) flood control and residential and industrial water supply, 2) agricultural water supply and 3) waterpower generation reservoirs. The water level fluctuation, flood frequency at the median water level, lake water quality index and exposure duration of the shoreline were selected as important environmental factors affected on the characteristics of shoreline flora. The species richness of total flora and hydrophytes, especially submerged macrophytes, were much higher in the reservoirs for the purpose of the waterpower generation in which mesotrophic water quality and stable water levels were maintained. Annual or biennial ruderals were established on the ephemeral drawdown zone of flood control, residential and industrial water supply reservoirs which have oligotrophic or mesotrophic water quality and wide range of water level fluctuation. The floating hydrophytes were differentially dominated in the littoral zones of the agricultural water supply reservoirs with a mesotrophic or eutrophic water quality and a medium water level fluctuation. In conclusion environmental factors related to water level fluctuation and water quality were different and then the floral characteristics of shoreline were distinguishable according to usage of Korean reservoirs.

An Impact Assessment of Climate and Landuse Change on Water Resources in the Han River (기후변화와 토지피복변화를 고려한 한강 유역의 수자원 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Soo-Jun;Kim, Hung-Soo;Jun, Hwan-Don
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.309-323
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    • 2010
  • As climate changes and abnormal climates have drawn research interest recently, many countries utilize the GCM, which is based on SRES suggested by IPCC, to obtain more accurate forecast for future climate changes. Especially, many research attempts have been made to simulate localized geographical characteristics by using RCM with the high resolution data globally. To evaluate the impacts of climate and landuse change on water resources in the Han-river basin, we carried out the procedure consisting of the CA-Markov Chain, the Multi-Regression equation using two independent variables of temperature and rainfall, the downscaling technique based on the RegCM3 RCM, and SLURP. From the CA-Markov Chain, the future landuse change is forecasted and the future NDVI is predicted by the Multi-Regression equation. Also, RegCM3 RCM 50 sets were generated by the downscaling technique based on the RegCM3 RCM provided by KMA. With them, 90 year runoff scenarios whose period is from 2001 to 2090 are simulated for the Han-river basin by SLURP. Finally, the 90-year simulated monthly runoffs are compared with the historical monthly runoffs for each dam in the basin. At Paldang dam, the runoffs in September show higher increase than the ones in August which is due to the change of rainfall pattern in future. Additionally, after exploring the impact of the climate change on the structure of water circulation, we find that water management will become more difficult by the changes in the water circulation factors such as precipitation, evaporation, transpiration, and runoff in the Han-river basin.

Physically Based Landslide Susceptibility Analysis Using a Fuzzy Monte Carlo Simulation in Sangju Area, Gyeongsangbuk-Do (Fuzzy Monte Carlo simulation을 이용한 물리 사면 모델 기반의 상주지역 산사태 취약성 분석)

  • Jang, Jung Yoon;Park, Hyuck Jin
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.239-250
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    • 2017
  • Physically based landslide susceptibility analysis has been recognized as an effective analysis method because it can consider the mechanism of landslide occurrence. The physically based analysis used the slope geometry and geotechnical properties of slope materials as input. However, when the physically based approach is adopted in regional scale area, the uncertainties were involved in the analysis procedure due to spatial variation and complex geological conditions, which causes inaccurate analysis results. Therefore, probabilistic method have been used to quantify these uncertainties. However, the uncertainties caused by lack of information are not dealt with the probabilistic analysis. Therefore, fuzzy set theory was adopted in this study because the fuzzy set theory is more effective to deal with uncertainties caused by lack of information. In addition, the vertex method and Monte Carlo simulation are coupled with the fuzzy approach. The proposed approach was used to evaluate the landslide susceptibility for a regional study area. In order to compare the analysis results of the proposed approach, Monte Carlo simulation as the probabilistic analysis and the deterministic analysis are used to analyze the landslide susceptibility for same study area. We found that Fuzzy Monte Carlo simulation showed the better prediction accuracy than the probabilistic analysis and the deterministic analysis.

Effects of Local Climatic Conditions on the Yearly Cone Production in Progeny Test Stands of Korean White Pine (국지기후가 잣나무 차대검정림의 년도별 구과 결실량에 미치는 영향)

  • 신만용;장용석;한상억;김영채
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to reveal the effects of local climatic conditions on the yearly cone production in progeny test stand of Korean white pine. For this, yearly cone production by locality of progeny test stands was first measured and analyzed. The effects of climatic conditions on the cone production was analyzed by the estimation of yearly local climates based on both a topoclimatological method and a spatial statistical technique. From yearly climatic estimates, 19 climatic indices affecting cone production were computed for each of the progeny test stand. The yearly cone productions were then correlated with and regressed to the climatic indices to examine effects of local climatic conditions on the reproductive growth. According to correlation analysis, it was found that some typical climatic indices by locality were significantly correlated with the cone production. Also, the optimal regression equations which can estimate cone production by local climatic conditions were provided for applying to each of the progeny test stand of Korean white pine.

A Study on Optimal Location Selection and Analytic Method of Landmark Element in terms of Visual Perception (시각적 측면에서 랜드마크 요소의 최적입지선정 분석방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Suk-Tae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.6360-6367
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    • 2015
  • The location selection of the element that should guarantee easy visual perception, like the landmark, is the a topic that appears much in the design process. Recently, a graph analysis technique using computers has been applied in order to evaluate the visibility of the visual element, but the analytic frame is flat and the setting of the visual pont and the matrix are fixed so there were great limitations in obtaining the results of the practical analysis. Thus, this study presented Nondirectional Multi-Dimensional Calculation (MDVC-N), an analytic methodology available for the analysis of the dynamic visual point in the 3D environment. It thus attempted to establish the analytic application using the 3D computer graphics technology and designed a script structure to set the visual point and the matrix. In addition to that, this study tried to verify the analytic methodology by applying the complex land as an example model, where buildings in various heights of terrains with a high-differences are located, verifying the same analytic methodology. It thus tried to identify the visual characteristics of each alternative location. The following results were gained from the study. 1) The visibility can be measured quantitatively trough the application of the 6-alternatives. 2) Using the 3dimensional graph, intuitive analysis was possible. 3) It attempted to improve the analytic applicability by calculating the results corrected as a variable behavior from the local integration variable of the space syntax.

Environmental Characteristics According to the Depth in Deukryang Bay , Culturing Ground of Pen Shell ( Atrina Pectinata ) (수심에 따른 득량만 키조개 어장의 환경특성)

  • 최용규
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.127-141
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    • 1995
  • The distribution of water mass in Deukryang Bay was investigated using observational data obtained on July 12 (spring tide) and 19 (neap tide) in 1994. In characteristics of water mass at the bay the area is divided into three ones by a vertical attenuation coefficient k and a stratification parameter, log sub (10) (H/U super (3)), was H is depth, and U mean velocity in the bay. The contour of k=0.6 has a similar distribution to the isobath of 10m depth in spring tide, and of 5m depth in neap tide, respectively. This indicates that the water mass in the area between the isobath of 5m and 10m depth is changed by tidal periods. The stratification parameter corresponding to k=0.6 was 2.1~2.2. In the shallow water of 5m depth the characteristics of water mass was distributed in temperature of 25.5~31.$0^{\circ}C$ and salinity of 32.8~33.8PSU(Practical Salinity Unit), the temperature was high and the salinity distributed widely. In the deep water of 10m depth it was the temperature of 22.0~29.5$^{\circ}C$ and the salinity of 33.0~33.6PSU, the temperature was low and the salinity distributed narrowly. In the middle depth water of 5m to 10m depth, the temperature of 22.0~30.$0^{\circ}C$ and the salinity of 32.8~33.5PSU, its values showed the middle between the values of the deep area and the values of the shallow area.

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Estimation of Spatial Evapotranspiration Using Terra MODIS Satellite Image and SEBAL Model - A Case of Yongdam Dam Watershed - (Terra MODIS 위성영상과 SEBAL 모형을 이용한 공간증발산량 산정 연구 - 용담댐 유역을 대상으로 -)

  • Lee, Yong-Gwan;Kim, Sang-Ho;Ahn, So-Ra;Choi, Min-Ha;Lim, Kwang-Suop;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.90-104
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to build a spatio-temporal evapotranspiration(ET) estimation model using Terra MODIS satellite image and by calibrating with the flux tower ET data from watershed. The fundamentals of spatial ET model, Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land(SEBAL) was adopted and modified to estimate the daily ET of Yongdam Dam watershed in South Korea. The daily Normalized Distribution Vegetation Index(NDVI), Albedo, and Land Surface Temperature(LST) from MODIS and the ground measured wind speed and solar radiation data were prepared for 2 years(2012-2013). The SEBAL was calibrated with the forest ET measured by Deokyusan flux tower in the study watershed. Among the model parameters, the important parameters were surface albedo, NDVI and surface roughness in order for momentum transport during calculation of sensible heat flux. As a result of the final calibration, the monthly averaged albedo and NDVI were used because the daily values showed big deviation with unrealistic change. The determination coefficient($R^2$) between SEBAL and flux data was 0.45. The spatial ET reflected the geographical characteristics showing the ET of lowland areas was higher than the highland ET.

Multiple Linear Regression Analysis of PV Power Forecasting for Evaluation and Selection of Suitable PV Sites (태양광 발전소 건설부지 평가 및 선정을 위한 선형회귀분석 기반 태양광 발전량 추정 모델)

  • Heo, Jae;Park, Bumsoo;Kim, Byungil;Han, SangUk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.126-131
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    • 2019
  • The estimation of available solar energy at particular locations is critical to find and assess suitable locations of PV sites. The amount of PV power generation is however affected by various geographical factors (e.g., weather), which may make it difficult to identify the complex relationship between affecting factors and power outputs and to apply findings from one study to another in different locations. This study thus undertakes a regression analysis using data collected from 172 PV plants spatially distributed in Korea to identify critical weather conditions and estimate the potential power generation of PV systems. Such data also include solar radiation, precipitation, fine dust, humidity, temperature, cloud amount, sunshine duration, and wind speed. The estimated PV power generation is then compared to the actual PV power generation to evaluate prediction performance. As a result, the proposed model achieves a MAPE of 11.696(%) and an R-squred of 0.979. It is also found that the variables, excluding humidity, are all statistically significant in predicting the efficiency of PV power generation. According, this study may facilitate the understanding of what weather conditions can be considered and the estimation of PV power generation for evaluating and determining suitable locations of PV facilities.

Development of Flood Runoff Characteristics Nomograph for Small Catchment Using R-Programming (R-프로그래밍을 이용한 소유역 홍수유출특성 노모그래프 개발)

  • Jang, Cheol Hee;Kim, Hyeon Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.590-590
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 집중호우에 의한 홍수예측 및 소유역의 유출거동에 대한 수문학적 민감성(susceptibility) 규명을 목적으로 강우강도, 지속기간 및 토양포화도 변화에 따른 홍수유출특성을 분석하여 유역의 유출거동 민감성을 표출할 수 있는 노모그래프를 개발하였다. 개별 홍수사상에 대한 유출거동 특성 분석을 위하여 한국건설기술연구원의 대표 시험유역인 설마천 유역의 과거 17년간(1996 ~ 2012)의 10분 간격의 강우량 및 유출량 자료를 수집하여 홍수유출해석을 수행하였다. 설마천 시험유역의 일누가강우량 100mm 이상, 50개 홍수사상에 대한 홍수유출해석은 유역 물순환 해석모형인 CAT(Catchment hydrological cycle Assessment Tool)을 이용하였으며 모의결과를 바탕으로 홍수사상별 지체시간, 강우강도, 지속기간 및 토양포화도 변화에 따른 홍수유출특성을 상세히 분석하였다. 이 중에서도 지체시간은 유역반응을 나타내는 시간변수로서 수문모델링 및 홍수량예측에 매우 중요한 요소이다. 특히, 강우량에 대한 홍수량의 반응이 빠른 소유역의 경우에 홍수량예측에 큰 영향을 미친다. 따라서 강우강도, 지속기간, 토양포화도의 변화량에 대한 지체시간의 거동을 R 프로그래밍 언어 및 3D Surfer를 이용하여 분석한 후 최종적으로 소유역의 홍수유출 특성을 나타내는 3차원 홍수 유출특성 노모그래프를 개발하였다. 분석에 사용된 R 프로그래밍 언어는 통계 계산과 그래픽을 위한 프로그래밍 언어이자 소프트웨어 환경으로 데이터의 조작 및 수치연산, 시각화를 수행할 수 있는 기능을 여러 패키지를 통해 구현할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 R을 이용하여 10분 단위의 강우 및 유출량 자료를 1시간 및 1일 자료로 구축하고 17년간의 과거 홍수사상을 분리하여 추출하는 R 홍수유출해석 시스템을 개발하였으며 추출된 홍수사상을 관측 유출량 및 관측 토양수분을 포함하여 시각화함으로써 강우 및 토양수분 변화에 따른 소유역의 유출거동 민감성을 확인할 수 있었다. 분석 결과, 지체시간은 강우지속기간 및 토양포화도에 민감한 거동특성을 나타냈으며 토양포화도는 첨두홍수량의 변화에 민감한 영향을 주는 것으로 확인되었다. 개발된 3차원 홍수유출특성 노모그래프는 유역의 규모 및 지형물리학적 특성에 따라 다양하게 나타날 것으로 판단되며 여러 계측유역에 적용함으로써 유역별 홍수유출 반응특성을 정량화할 필요가 있다. 즉, 강우강도, 지속기간, 지체시간, 포화도 등의 변화에 따른 유역의 홍수유출 반응특성을 규명함으로써 미계측 유역의 홍수량예측 실무에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Development of fecal coliform prediction model using random forest method (랜덤포레스트기법을 이용한 분변성대장균 예측모델 개발)

  • Seo, Il Won;Choi, Soo Yeon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.124-124
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    • 2016
  • 하천에서의 분변성대장균은 분변성 오염 정도를 나타내는 지표로서, 이 농도가 높을수록 오염된 하천수와의 접촉을 통한 호흡기, 소화기 및 피부 관련 질병의 발발 확률이 높다고 알려져 있다. 따라서 하천에서의 수영, 수상스키 등과 같은 입수형 친수활동을 할 때, 분변성대장균 농도가 농도 기준 이하인지를 확인하고 이러한 정보를 친수활동에 이용할 필요가 있다. 그러나 분변성대장균의 경우, 현재 자동수질측정망에서 측정되고 있는 다른 수질인자들과는 달리 실시간 측정이 불가능하다고 알려져 있다. 분변성대장균을 측정하는데 있어 최소 18시간 이상이 필요하며, 이러한 분변성대장균 측정 방식은 하천 이용자들이 안전한 친수활동을 영위하는데 있어 적절한 수질 정보를 제공하지 못한다. 그러므로 분변성대장균을 예측하는 모델을 개발하고, 이를 이용하여 실시간 분변성대장균 정보를 생성하여 하천 이용자들에게 제공할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 친수활동이 활발하게 이루어지는 곳 중 하나인 북한강의 대성리 지점에 대해 데이터 기반 모델을 이용하여 분변성대장균을 예측하였다. 데이터 기반 모델은 물리 기반 모델에서 필요한 지형데이터나 비점오염원 등의 초기 오염물의 양에 대한 데이터를 필요로 하지 않고, 대신 독립변수로 사용되는 기상 및 수질데이터를 필요로 한다. 이러한 기상 및 수질데이터는 기존 기상관측소, 수질관측소에서 매일 자동으로 측정되기 때문에 데이터 기반 모델은 물리 기반 모델에 비해 입력데이터를 구성하기가 쉽다는 장점을 지닌다. 이러한 데이터 기반 모델 중 분류 모델은 회귀 모델과 달리 분변성대장균 농도가 일정 수질기준 이상을 넘는지를 바로 예측할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 분류 모델 중 높은 예측력을 가진다고 알려진 랜덤포레스트(random forest) 기법을 이용하여 분변성대장균 예측 모델을 개발하였다. 분변성대장균 예측 모델은 주어진 기상 및 수질 조건에 대해 분변성대장균이 200 CFU/100ml가 넘는지를 예측하였다. 예측된 분변성대장균이 기준을 넘는 경우를 2등급, 넘지 않는 경우를 1등급으로 명명하였다. 모델을 개발하기 위하여 북한강 대성리 인근 측정소에서 2010년부터 2015년까지 측정된 기상 및 수질데이터를 수집하였다. 수집한 데이터를 훈련 및 검증데이터로 샘플링하였으며, 이 때 샘플링한 데이터가 기존 데이터가 가지고 있던 등급별 비율을 유지하기 위하여 층화샘플링을 하였다. 본 연구에서는 샘플링에 의한 불확실성을 줄이기 위하여 랜덤하게 50번 샘플링된 각각의 훈련데이터에 대해 모델을 개발하였다. 50개의 모델의 검증 결과를 종합한 결과, 전체 예측률은 0.139로 나타났다.

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