• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지하수위 예측

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Relationship Between Standardized Precipitation Index and Groundwater Levels: A Proposal for Establishment of Drought Index Wells (표준강수지수와 지하수위의 상관성 평가 및 가뭄관측정 설치 방안 고찰)

  • Kim Gyoo-Bum;Yun Han-Heum;Kim Dae-Ho
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2006
  • Drought indices, such as PDSI (palmer Drought Severity Index), SWSI (Surface Water Supply Index) and SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index), have been developed to assess and forecast an intensity of drought. To find the applicability of groundwater level data to a drought assessment, a correlation analysis between SPI and groundwater levels was conducted for each time series at a drought season in 2001. The comparative results between SPI and groundwater levels of shallow wells of three national groundwater monitoring stations, Chungju Gageum, Yangpyung Gaegun, and Yeongju Munjeong, show that these two factors are highly correlated. In case of SPI with a duration of 1 month, cross-correlation coefficients between two factors are 0.843 at Chungju Gageum, 0.825 at Yangpyung Gaegun, and 0.737 at Yeongju Munjeong. The time lag between peak values of two factors is nearly zero in case of SPI with a duration of 1 month, which means that groundwater level fluctuation is similar to SPI values. Moreover, in case of SPI with a duration of 3 month, it is found that groundwater level can be a leading indicator to predict the SPI values I week later. Some of the national groundwater monitoring stations can be designated as DIW (Drought Index Well) based on the detailed survey of site characteristics and also new DIWs need to be drilled to assess and forecast the drought in this country.

Review of Earthquake Studies Associated with Groundwater by Korean Researchers (국내 연구진의 지하수를 이용한 지진 연구 동향 분석)

  • Yun, Sul-Min;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Cheong, Jae-Yeol;Lee, Hyun A
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.165-175
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    • 2022
  • Earthquakes have occurred owing to movements on a fault since several billion years ago. Research on the relationship between earthquakes and groundwater began in the 1960s in the United States, but related works, including hydrogeochemistry research, only began in the 2010s in South Korea. In this study, domestic studies on the relationship between earthquakes and groundwater until 2021 were collected from the Web of Science and characterized by subject area (groundwater level, hydrogeochemistry, combination of the two, and others). The results showed that the number of published articles per year was positively correlated with the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, 2016 Gyeongju earthquake, and 2017 Pohang earthquake, with the maximum numbers observed in 2011, 2018, 2019, and 2020. Most studies on the relationship between earthquakes and groundwater level addressed groundwater level fluctuations in the duration of the subject earthquake, with little consideration of the precursors. Groundwater level monitoring data, as well as hydrogeochemical information and microbial communities, may contribute to a more detailed understanding of groundwater flow and chemical reactions in bedrock caused by earthquakes. Therefore, the establishment of a national groundwater monitoring network for seismic monitoring and prediction is required.

The Applicability of Conditional Generative Model Generating Groundwater Level Fluctuation Corresponding to Precipitation Pattern (조건부 생성모델을 이용한 강수 패턴에 따른 지하수위 생성 및 이의 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Jiho;Jeong, Jina;Lee, Byung Sun;Song, Sung-Ho
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.77-89
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    • 2021
  • In this study, a method has been proposed to improve the performance of hydraulic property estimation model developed by Jeong et al. (2020). In their study, low-dimensional features of the annual groundwater level (GWL) fluctuation patterns extracted based on a Denoising autoencoder (DAE) was used to develop a regression model for predicting hydraulic properties of an aquifer. However, low-dimensional features of the DAE are highly dependent on the precipitation pattern even if the GWL is monitored at the same location, causing uncertainty in hydraulic property estimation of the regression model. To solve the above problem, a process for generating the GWL fluctuation pattern for conditioning the precipitation is proposed based on a conditional variational autoencoder (CVAE). The CVAE trains a statistical relationship between GWL fluctuation and precipitation pattern. The actual GWL and precipitation data monitored on a total of 71 monitoring stations over 10 years in South Korea was applied to validate the effect of using CVAE. As a result, the trained CVAE model reasonably generated GWL fluctuation pattern with the conditioning of various precipitation patterns for all the monitoring locations. Based on the trained CVAE model, the low-dimensional features of the GWL fluctuation pattern without interference of different precipitation patterns were extracted for all monitoring stations, and they were compared to the features extracted based on the DAE. Consequently, it can be confirmed that the statistical consistency of the features extracted using CVAE is improved compared to DAE. Thus, we conclude that the proposed method may be useful in extracting a more accurate feature of GWL fluctuation pattern affected solely by hydraulic characteristics of the aquifer, which would be followed by the improved performance of the previously developed regression model.

The Abnormal Groundwater Changes as Potential Precursors of 2016 ML5.8 Gyeongju Earthquake in Korea (지하수위 이상 변동에 나타난 2016 ML5.8 경주 지진의 전조 가능성)

  • Lee, Hyun A;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Woo, Nam C.
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.393-400
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    • 2018
  • Despite some skeptical views on the possibility of earthquake prediction, observation and evaluation of precursory changes have been continued throughout the world. In Korea, the public concern on the earthquake prediction has been increased after 2016 $M_L5.8$ and 2017 $M_L5.4$ earthquakes occurred in Gyeongju and Pohang, the southeastern part in Korea, respectively. In this study, the abnormal increase of groundwater level was observed before the 2016 $M_L5.8$ Gyeongju earthquake in a borehole located in 52 km away from the epicenter. The well was installed in the Yangsan fault zone, and equipped for the earthquake surveillance. The abnormal change in the well would seem to be a precursor, considering the hydrogeological condition and the observations from previous studies. It is necessary to set up a specialized council to support and evaluate the earthquake prediction and related researches for the preparation of future earthquake hazards.

Porewater Pressure Predictions on Hillside Slopes for Assessing Landslide Risks(I) -Comparative Study of Groundwater Recharge- (산사태 위험도 추정을 위한 간극수압 예측에 관한 연구(I) -지하수 유입량의 비교 연구-)

  • Lee, In-Mo;Park, Gyeong-Ho;Im, Chung-Mo
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.81-102
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    • 1992
  • Landslides on hillside slopes with shallow soil cover over a sloping bedrock are frequently caused by increases in porewater pressures following of heavy rainfall and it is one of the most important factors of assessing the risk of landslide to predict the groundwater level fluctuations in hillslopes. This paper presents the comparative study of three unsaturated flow models developed by Sloan et al., Reddi, L.N., and Thomas, H.A., Jr., respectively, which are used to predict the increase of groundwater levels in hillside slopes. The parametric study for each of models is also presented. The Kinematic Storage Model(KSM) developed by Sloan et at. is utilized to predict the saturated groundwater flow. They are applied to the two sites in Korea so as to examine the possibility of use in the groundwater flow model. The results show that two unsaturated models developed by Sloan et al. and Reddi, L. N. are largely affected by the uncertain parameters like saturated permeability and saturated water content : the abed model has the potential of use in unsaturated flow model with the optimal estimates of model parameters utilizing available optimization techniques. And it is also found that the KSM must be modified to account for the time delay effect in the saturated zone. The results of this paper are able to be utilized in developing the predictive model of groan dwater level fluctuations in a hillslope.

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Development of groundwater level monitoring and forecasting technique for drought analysis (I) - Groundwater drought monitoring using standardized groundwater level index (SGI) (가뭄 분석을 위한 지하수위 모니터링 및 예측기법 개발(I) - 표준지하수지수(SGI)를 이용한 지하수 가뭄 모니터링)

  • Lee, Jeongju;Kang, Shinuk;Jeong, Jihye;Chun, Gunil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.11
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    • pp.1011-1020
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to develop a drought monitoring scheme based on groundwater which can be exploit for water supply under drought stress. In this context, groundwater level can be used as a proxy for better understanding the temporal evolution of drought state. First, kernel density estimator is presented in the monthly groundwater level over the entire national groundwater stations. The estimated cumulative distribution function is then utilized to map the monthly groundwater level into the standardized groundwater level index (SGI). The SGI for each station was eventually converted into the index for major cities through the Thiessen polygon approach. We provide a drought classification for a given SGI to better characterize the degree of drought condition. Ultimately, we conclude that the proposed monitoring framework enables a more reliable estimation of the drought stress, especially for a limited water supply area.

Analysis of Ground Subsidence on Gyochon Residential Region of Muan City (무안 교촌리주거지역 지반침하 안정성 분석)

  • Han, Kong-Chang;Cheon, Dae-Sung;Ryu, Dong-Woo;Park, Sam-Gyu
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.17 no.1 s.66
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    • pp.66-74
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    • 2007
  • The analysis of ground subsidence stability was conducted for the residential area located on the limestone corrosion zone. For the investigation of the cavity distribution in limestone region, various geophysical investigations such as electroresistivity tomography, electromagnetic prospecting are carried out. Geotechnical field tests with drilling are also carried out for the evaluation of the ground characteristics. Based upon their results, numerical modeling is performed for the simulation and prediction of the ground subsidence with the conditions of cavity geometry and groundwater level. The main factor to cause the ground subsidence is estimated as the draw down of the groundwater level below soil overburden, which disturbs the mechanical equilibrium of ground and drives washing away the overburden soil through the cavity and solace subsidence. It seemed that it is essential to maintain the groundwater level continuously above the shallow cavity for the prevention of the ground subsidence on the limestone corrosion zone.

Possibility analysisof future droughts using long short term memory and standardized groundwater level index (LSTM과 SGI를 이용한 미래 가뭄 발생 가능성 분석)

  • Lim, Jae Deok;Yang, Jeong-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the possibility of future droughts by calculating the Standardized Groundwater level Index(SGI) after predicting groundwater level using Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model. The groundwater level of the Kumho River basin was predicted for the next three years by using the LSTM model, and it was validated through RMSE after learning with observation data except the last three years. The temporal SGI was calculated by using the prediction data and the observation data. The calculated SGI was interpolated within the study area, and the spatial SGI was calculated as the average value for each catchment using the interpolated SGI. The possibility of spatio-temporal drought was analyzed using calculated spatio-temporal SGI. It is confirmed that there is a spatio-temporal difference in the possibility of drought. Through the improvement of deep learning model and diversification of validation method, it is expected to obtain more reliable prediction results and the expansion of study area can be used to respond to drought nationwide, and furthermore it can provide important information for future water resource management.

Preliminary assessment of groundwater artificial recharge effect using vertical wells based on a numerical model (수치모델을 활용한 수직정의 지하수 인공함양 효과 예비 평가)

  • Choi, Myoung-Rak;Hwang, Chan-Ik;Kim, Gyoo-Bum
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.290-290
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    • 2020
  • 연구지역인 충청남도 홍성군 갈산면 신곡마을은 상시 가뭄지역으로서 농번기 물부족을 겪고 있으며, 물 확보의 수단으로서 지하수 인공함양이 고려되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 수치모델을 이용하여 수직정 방식의 지하수 인공함양시 주입 효과를 예비 평가하였다. 모델 지역은 가로 세로 2,450 × 2,350 m로서 10 × 10 m 간격의 격자로 구성하였으며, 현장에서 실시된 지하수위 조사 및 9공의 시추조사, 1개공의 양수시험 결과로부터 수리전도도, 지층분포 등을 구성하였다. 정류모델결과, 실측 및 예측 지하수위의 표준오차(Standard error of the estimate)는 0.53 m, 표준화제곱근오차(Normalized RMS)는 6.79%, 상관계수는 0.99%로 나타났다. 수직정을 통한 주입 효과를 평가하기 위하여, 주입량을 5 ㎥/d, 10 ㎥/d, 15 ㎥/d, 20㎥/d, 주입기간을 1일, 3일, 7일, 우물의 개수를 1개, 3개, 5개일 때 등 다양한 조건하에서의 부정류 모델을 수행하였다. 이로부터 주입의 효과인 지하수위 상승량 및 상승 범위 등을 토대로 물 부족 기간의 인공함양 시나리오(주입정의 위치, 갯수, 심도, 기간 등)를 예비적으로 제시하였으며, 추후 정밀 모델 및 실제 현장 주입 시험 등을 토대로 인공함양 설계를 추진할 예정이다.

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도서 지하매질내 해수침입 예측 : Ghyben-Herzberg 근사식의 한계

  • 박주완;최희주;이명찬
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1996.05c
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    • pp.589-594
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    • 1996
  • 도서지역에서의 해수침입에 의한 해수-담수 경계면의 예측은 담수의 이용측면에서 뿐만 아니라 방사성폐기물 영구처분장과 같은 시설을 지하동굴을 이용하여 건설할 경우 설계개념의 설정 및 처분시설의 성능평가 측면에서도 중요한 사항이다. 해수침입의 예측에 널리 사용되어 온 Ghyben-Herzberg 근사식을 자연수위면의 경사가 급한 도서 지하매짙에 적용할 경우 야기되는 문제점을 지적하고, 보다 신뢰성이 향상된 방법인 염분 이동식에 근거한 수치해를 이용하여 해수-담수 경계면을 예측하였다. 경사도가 다른 두 가지 가상 처분시스템에 대한 정상상태에서의 해수침입 해석 결과, Ghyben-Herzberg 근사식은 담수지역에서의 수직 수두구배가 작은 경우에만 적용되며 국내에서 방사성폐기물 처분부지로 고려하였던 굴업도와 같은 작은 도서의 지하매질에서의 해수-담수 경계면 예측시 오류를 범할 수 있으므로 단순 적용은 피해야 할 것으로 판단되었다.

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