• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지하수위 예측

Search Result 191, Processing Time 0.035 seconds

A Method to Filter Out the Effect of River Stage Fluctuations using Time Series Model for Forecasting Groundwater Level and its Application to Groundwater Recharge Estimation (지하수위 시계열 예측 모델 기반 하천수위 영향 필터링 기법 개발 및 지하수 함양률 산정 연구)

  • Yoon, Heesung;Park, Eungyu;Kim, Gyoo-Bum;Ha, Kyoochul;Yoon, Pilsun;Lee, Seung-Hyun
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
    • /
    • v.20 no.3
    • /
    • pp.74-82
    • /
    • 2015
  • A method to filter out the effect of river stage fluctuations on groundwater level was designed using an artificial neural network-based time series model of groundwater level prediction. The designed method was applied to daily groundwater level data near the Gangjeong-Koryeong Barrage in the Nakdong river. Direct prediction time series models were successfully developed for both cases of before and after the barrage construction using past measurement data of rainfall, river stage, and groundwater level as inputs. The correlation coefficient values between observed and predicted data were over 0.97. Using the time series models the effect of river stage on groundwater level data was filtered out by setting a constant value for river stage inputs. The filtered data were applied to the hybrid water table fluctuation method in order to estimate the groundwater recharge. The calculated ratios of groundwater recharge to precipitation before and after the barrage construction were 11.0% and 4.3%, respectively. It is expected that the proposed method can be a useful tool for groundwater level prediction and recharge estimation in the riverside area.

Detection of Levee Displacement and Estimation of Vulnerability of Levee Using Remote Sening (원격탐사를 이용한 하천 제방 변위량 측정과 취약지점 선별)

  • Bang, Young Jun;Jung, Hyo Jun;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-50
    • /
    • 2021
  • As a method of predicting the displacement of river levee in advance, Differential Interferometry (D-InSAR) kind of InSAR techniques was used to identify weak points in the area of the levee collapes near Gumgok Bridge (Somjin River) in Namwon City, which occurred in the summer of 2020. As a result of analyzing the displacement using five images each in the spring and summer of 2020, the Variation Index (V) of area where the collapse occurred was larger than that of the other areas, so the prognostic sysmptoms was detected. If the levee monitoring system is realized by analyzing the correlations with displacement results and hydrometeorological factors, it will overcome the existing limitations of system and advance ultra-precise, automated river levee maintenance technology and improve national disaster management.

Introduction of Inverse Analysis Model Using Geostatistical Evolution Strategy and Estimation of Hydraulic Conductivity Distribution in Synthetic Aquifer (지구통계학적 진화전략 역산해석 기법의 소개 및 가상 대수층 수리전도도 분포 예측에의 적용)

  • Park, Eungyu
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
    • /
    • v.53 no.6
    • /
    • pp.703-713
    • /
    • 2020
  • In many geological fields, including hydrogeology, it is of great importance to determine the heterogeneity of the subsurface media. This study briefly introduces the concept and theory of the method that can estimate the hydraulic properties of the media constituting the aquifer, which was recently introduced by Park (2020). After the introduction, the method was applied to the synthetic aquifer to demonstrate the practicality, from which various implications were drawn. The introduced technique uses a global optimization technique called the covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy (CMA-ES). Conceptually, it is a methodology to characterize the aquifer heterogeneity by assimilating the groundwater level time-series data due to the imposed hydraulic stress. As a result of applying the developed technique to estimate the hydraulic conductivity of a hypothetical aquifer, it was confirmed that a total of 40000 unknown values were estimated in an affordable computational time. In addition, the results of the estimates showed a close numerical and structural similarity to the reference hydraulic conductivity field, confirming that the quality of the estimation by the proposed method is high. In this study, the developed method was applied to a limited case, but it is expected that it can be applied to a wider variety of cases through additional development of the method. The development technique has the potential to be applied not only to the field of hydrogeology, but also to various fields of geology and geophysics. Further development of the method is currently underway.

Estimation of drought propagation considering deficiency of hydro-meteorological variables (수문기상변수의 부족량을 고려한 가뭄의 전이 분석)

  • Shin, Ji Yae;Kwon, Minsung;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2016.05a
    • /
    • pp.83-83
    • /
    • 2016
  • 가뭄은 발생과정과 피해영향에 따라서 기상학적, 농업적, 수문학적, 사회경제적 가뭄으로 구분되고 있다. 강수의 부족은 기상학적 가뭄을 발생시키고, 기상학적 가뭄이 지속되면 토양수분 부족으로 농작물의 피해를 가져오는 농업적 가뭄이 나타난다. 이어서, 지표 및 지표 아래의 수자원량이 평년수준 이하로 감소하면서 수문학적 가뭄이 발생한다. 이와 같이 다른 종류의 가뭄으로 가뭄이 변화하는 현상을 가뭄 전이(Drought Propagation)라고 한다. 강수량의 부족만으로 판단되는 기상학적 가뭄은 가뭄 상황의 판단은 간단지만, 체감으로 느끼는 가뭄과 차이가 존재한다. 수문학적 가뭄은 실제 물이용과 관련이 높아 효율적인 물 관리를 위해서는 수문학적 가뭄에 대한 정보가 필요하다. 하지만 수문학적 가뭄은 기상학적 인자들뿐만 아니라 수문순환과정의 영향을 받아 가뭄의 발생과정이 복잡하기 때문에 판단 및 예측이 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄의 전이관계를 도출함으로써, 기상학적 가뭄에서 수문학적 가뭄으로 발전되는 가뭄의 크기를 파악하고자 한다. 가뭄은 판단기준에 따라서 다양하게 정의될 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 기상학적 가뭄은 강우량으로, 수문학적 가뭄은 유역별 댐의 저수율, 유입량 및 지하수위를 활용하여 가뭄을 정의하며, 가뭄사상은 임계수준방법(threshold level approach)과 풀링기법(pooling method)을 수문기상 변수들에 적용하여 추출하였다. 수문학적 가뭄은 기상학적 가뭄이 발생한 이후, 가뭄 상황이 일정기간 지속되는 상황에 발생하는 결과가 확인되었다. 기상학적 가뭄에서 수문학적 가뭄이 전이되는 현상을 바탕으로 기상학적 가뭄의 상황에 따라서 미래의 수문학적 가뭄의 변화 양상에 대하여 예측가능하며, 가뭄의 전이관계는 수문학적 가뭄의 예측을 위한 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

Slope Stability Analysis Using the Genetic Algorithm (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 사면안정 해석)

  • 신방웅;백승철;김홍택;황정순
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.6
    • /
    • pp.117-127
    • /
    • 2002
  • A deterministic approach of slope stability, which is generally corresponding to the model of a simple non-linear function for slopes, is problematic in that it does not account the versatile characteristics of ground layers in an effective way. To resolve this problem, this study proposes a new way of analyzing slope stability, so-called “genetic algorithm method, ” so as to reflect some particular conditions pertaining to the grounds under concern. Similarities and differences in slope stability that may exist between homogeneous and multiple ground layers are examined in a competitive manner, Overall, though similarities deemed a little bit salient, the algorithm method turned out to be very applicable to estimating the validity of slope stability. Furthermore, an additional effort to consider long-standing sequential and dynamic changes in both the amount of rainfall and the underground water level is made in order to improve the results.

Effect Analysis and Development of Filter Box for Reduction of Non-point Source (비점오염 저감을 위한 Filter Box 개발 및 효과분석)

  • Moon, Young-Il;Kang, Dong-Ho;Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Park, Gu-Soon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2011.05a
    • /
    • pp.305-305
    • /
    • 2011
  • 비점오염물질은 강우시 유출되기 때문에 일 또는 계절간 배출량의 변화가 커서 예측의 정량화가 어려워 인위적 조절이 어려운 실정이다. 특히 도시유역의 경우 인구증가와 도시개발에 따른 불투수면적의 증가로 우기시에 오염물질이 빗물과 더불어 하천으로 유입되기 때문에 비점오염원에 대한 하천 수생태계 보호에 대한 노력이 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 초기우수와 더불어 발생하는 비점오염물질저감을 위하여 도로 집수구에 차집된 우수를 여러 개의 사층을 통과시켜 여과, 흡착 하는 방법으로 침투 배출시키는 Filter Box를 개발하였고 초기강우와 지속강우에 대한 여과실험을 통하여 배수에 따른 여과 처리 및 비점오염 처리효율을 분석하였다. Filter Box에 의한 비점오염물질 저감 효과 분석결과 BOD, T-N, T-P, 중금속 등이 약 70~90% 제거되는 것으로 나타났으며 초기우수 발생유량 7mm 기준 30분 이내에 여과 처리가 가능한 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서 Filter Box 시공에 따른 하천으로 유입되는 비점 오염물질의 제거와 더불어 도심지역 지하수위 증가 등의 효과가 있을 것으로 사료된다.

  • PDF

Calculation of Watershed Topographic Index with Geographic Information System (지리정보시스템을 이용한 유역에서의 지형지수 산정)

  • 김상현;한건연
    • Water for future
    • /
    • v.29 no.4
    • /
    • pp.199-208
    • /
    • 1996
  • The multiple flow direction algorithm to calculate the spatial variation of the saturation tendency, i.e. topographic index, is integrated into the Geogrphic Information System, GRASS. A procedure is suggested to consider the effect of a tile system on calculating the topographic index. A small agricultural subwatershed (3.4$\textrm{km}^2$) is used for this study. The impact of a tile system on the groundwater table can be effectively considered by the Laplace's equation to the DEM. The analysis shows that a tile system has a high degree of saturation compared to the case without tile drainage, and the predicted riparian area is well fitted to the actual watershed condition. A procedure is suggested to consider the effect of tile system on calculating the topographic index.

  • PDF

Saturation Tendency for Tracing of Runoff Path on GIS Platform (유출경로 추적을 위한 GIS상에서의 유역 포화성향 고찰)

  • Kim, Sanghyun;Kunyeoun Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 1997.05a
    • /
    • pp.192-198
    • /
    • 1997
  • The spatial variation of saturation tendency can be calculated from the Digital Elevation Model (DEM) employing the multiple flow direction algorithm on the platform of Geographic Resources Support Analysis System (GRASS). It is expected that a bettter understanding of dynamical runoff processes in hillslope hydrological scale is obtained through tracing various runoff path such as infiltration excess overland flow component, strutation excess overland flow component and subsurface runoff component. A procedure is suggested to consider the effect of a tile system on calculating the topographic index. A small agricultural subwatershed (3.4 km2) is used for this study.

  • PDF

Study on Interpolation Methods for Discontinuous Grids in Preprocessing and Postprocessing of Numerical Modeling (수치모의의 전처리와 후처리를 위한 불연속 격자에서의 보간법에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Tae Beom;Kim, Il-Hwan;Lee, Jae-Beom;Yang, Jeong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2017.05a
    • /
    • pp.289-289
    • /
    • 2017
  • 자연 현상을 연구 대상으로 하는 공학적인 접근법이나 과학적인 접근법에 있어서 컴퓨터를 활용한 수치모의는 이제 거의 모든 분야에서 활용되고 있으며, 복잡한 자연 현상을 해석하고 예측하기 위한 필수적인 하나의 도구로 자리매김하고 있다. 하지만, 컴퓨팅 기술의 눈부신 발전에도 불구하고, 과거에 개발되어 현재까지도 활용되고 있는 기술의 보완점은 항상 제기되고 있으며, 또한 필요성에 의한 새로운 기술들이 끊임없이 새롭게 개발되고 있다. 하천 또는 지하수 모의를 위해서 모형을 구축할 때 가장 기본적이며, 가장 중요한 준비 과정은 모의 영역에 대한 격자 형성이다. 연속성을 지닌 모의 대상을 수치적으로 접근하기 위해서는 연속성을 가정한 불연속적인 격자를 생성하는 과정이 반드시 필요하며, 연속성을 지닌 자료로부터 이산적인 자료를 얻어 내삽과정을 통해 격자점에 할당하게 된다. 모의준비 과정뿐만 아니라 모의 결과의 활용과정에서도 내삽이 필요할 수 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 trend-surfaces법, 역거리 가중치법, spline법 등 기존에 알려진 공간자료 보간법들을 지형 자료 또는 지하수위 자료 등의 2차원 공간 자료에 적용하여 비교, 분석하며, 보다 효과적인 내삽기술에 대해서 알아보고자 한다.

  • PDF

Development of the Autoregressive and Cross-Regressive Model for Groundwater Level Prediction at Muan Coastal Aquifer in Korea (전남 무안 해안 대수층에서의 지하수위 예측을 위한 자기교차회귀모형 구축)

  • Kim, Hyun Jung;Yeo, In Wook
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.23-30
    • /
    • 2014
  • Coastal aquifer in Muan, Jeonnam, has experienced heavy seawater intrusion caused by the extraction of a substantial amount of groundwater for the agricultural purpose throughout the year. It was observed that groundwater level dropped below sea level due to heavy pumping during a dry season, which could accelerate seawater intrusion. Therefore, water level needs to be monitored and managed to prevent further seawater intrusion. The purpose of this study is to develop the autoregressive-cross-regressive (ARCR) models that can predict the present or future groundwater level using its own previous values and pumping events. The ARCR model with pumping and water level data of the proceeding five hours (i.e., the model order of five) predicted groundwater level better than that of the model orders of ten and twenty. This was contrary to expectation that higher orders do increase the coefficient of determination ($R^2$) as a measure of the model's goodness. It was found that the ARCR model with order five was found to make a good prediction of next 48 hour groundwater levels after the start of pumping with $R^2$ higher than 0.9.