• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지역 빈도해석

Search Result 456, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

The Estimation of Areal Reduction Factor in Nakdong river basin by Point Mean and Areal Frequency Based Rainfalls (지점평균 및 면적확률강우량에 의한 낙동강유역의 면적감소계수 산정)

  • Lee, Ki-Sung;Kim, Sang-Dan;Kim, Hong-Tae;Hong, Seung-Jin;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2006.05a
    • /
    • pp.1985-1990
    • /
    • 2006
  • 수문설계시 설계자들의 주된 관심사는 어떤 한 지점의 강우량보다는 유역 평균강우량에 있다. 그러나 우리가 얻을수 있는 강우량은 특정 지점에 설치된 관측소에서 관측되는 지점강우량이므로 이를 이용하여 유역에 대한 면적평균확률강우량을 산정해야 한다. 그러나 면적평균확률강우량을 산정하기 위해서는 복잡한 자료처리과정을 거쳐야 하며 수문분석시 마다 이러한 과정을 반복한다는 것은 매우 번잡스러운 일이다. 따라서 비교적 산정이 손쉬운 지점평균확률강우량을 사용하여 면적평균확률강우량으로 손쉽게 전환할 수 있는 면적감소계수가 대안이 될 수 있다. 현재 우리나라는 건설교통부에서 제시하고 있는 면적감소계수를 사용하고 있으나, 이는 한강유역의 강우관측소를 이용하여 산정하였기 때문에 이를 한강유역과 지형학적, 수문 기상학적 특징이 상이한 지역에 적용하기에는 많은 제약이 따른다고 생각된다. 본 연구에서는 낙동강 유역을 대상으로 자료계열의 빈도해석을 통하여 기존의 지점평균확률강우량과 면적확률강우량을 산출한 후, 이를 이용하여 지점평균확률강우량을 면적확률강우량으로 전환할수 있는 면적감소계수 회귀곡선식을 산정하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서 제시하는 면적감소계수는 낙동강 유역에 대하여 지점평균확률강우량을 면적확률강우량으로 손쉽게 환산할 수 있는 한 가지 방안이 될 것으로 생각된다.

  • PDF

Assessment and Prediction of Agricultural Drought Utilizing Real Time Reservoir Storage Level (실시간 저수위를 활용한 농업가뭄평가 및 전망)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Choi, Jin-Yong;Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Jang, Min-Won;Ko, Kwang-Don
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2010.05a
    • /
    • pp.1883-1886
    • /
    • 2010
  • 농업가뭄은 강수의 부족으로 인하여 농업용 저수지의 저수량 저하로 농작물 생육 및 수확량의 직접적인 영향을 미치는 것으로, 농업가뭄평가는 강수량뿐만 아니라 작물의 생육시기별 필요수량과 용수공급능력을 모두 고려할 수 있어야 한다. 농업가뭄관리의 주요 대상인 논벼는 기본적으로 수원공과 관개지역 사이의 물수지를 판단함으로써 농업가뭄의 위험을 정의할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄관리가 필요한 농업용 저수지 관개지구의 농업가뭄 평가를 위해 논 물수지 분석 모형과 저수지 물수지 분석 모형을 구성하고, 용수수급해석의 결과로부터 가뭄의 크기를 객관화하고 가뭄의 단계를 평가할 수 있도록 빈도개념을 적용한 저수지가뭄지수 (Reservoir Drought Index, RDI)를 이용하여 농업가뭄을 분석 평가하였다. 또한 농업용 저수지의 저수량 모의치와 실시간 저수위를 이용하여 경험적으로 농업용 저수지의 유입량을 자동으로 보정하여 장기적으로 최적화할 수 있는 방안을 제시하였으며, 과거 유효강수량을 시기별로 나누어 빈도분석을 통해 농업가뭄대응을 위한 가뭄 기상시나리오를 사용하여 향후 가뭄의 여러 가지 패턴에 따른 농업가뭄을 전망하였다. 이러한 다양한 시나리오를 통해 실제 물 관리 및 가뭄대책 업무에 반영하고 농업가뭄대응책 수립 및 농업수자원관리의 의사결정을 수립하는데 기초자료가 될 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

Monitoring the Crustal Movement Before and After the Earthquake By Precise Point Positioning - Focused on 2011 Tohoku Earthquake - (정밀절대측위에 의한 지진 전·후 동아시아 지역 지각변동 모니터링 - 도호쿠 대지진을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Min Gyu;Park, Joon Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
    • /
    • v.30 no.5
    • /
    • pp.477-484
    • /
    • 2012
  • Recently, as earthquake is more frequently taking place around the world due to diastrophism, the importance of diastrophism and disaster detection is becoming more important. In this study, to analyze the interpretation of seismic displacement by the Japanese earthquake in March, 2011, and monitor the diastrophism of plates in Japan and surrounding Eurasia, Pacific, and Philippines before and after the earthquake, the observational data from IGS observatories in Japan and Asian regions were processed by precise point positioning. The displacement was biggest in MIZU, which was the closest to the epicenter, and the earthquake-affected region was in inverse proportion to the distance from the epicenter. The result of calculating the diastrophism speed before and after the earthquake, based on precise point positioning of IGS observatories located in the 4 plates around Japan, showed that the displacement speed changed and different plates showed different results. The comparison with the plate fate model allowed to analyze the change in diastrophism by earthquake, and to understand the characteristics of the displacement of the plates around Japan. Later, a continuous diastrophism monitoring based on GPS is needed for earthquake prediction and diastrophism research, and the data gained by continuous GPS-based monitoring of diastrophism will be fully used as basic data for relevant research and earthquake disaster management.

Study of flood prevention alternative priorities using MCDM (Multi-Criteria Decision Making) (MCDM을 이용한 홍수방어대안 우선순위 정립에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Donghwa;Jeong, Soonchan;Lee, Eunkyung;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.50 no.3
    • /
    • pp.169-179
    • /
    • 2017
  • Recently, due to global warming and climate change in Korea, local heavy storm occurs frequently. In this study, the risky areas for flooding in urban areas are analyzed for flood inundation based on two-dimensional urban flood runoff model (XP-SWMM) focusing on coastal high flood-risk urban areas. In addition, the MCDM (Multi-Criteria Decision Making) technique is utilized in order to establish the flood defense structural measures. The alternative flood reduction method are compared and the optimum flood defense measures are selected. A simulation model was used with three structural flood prevention measures (drainage pipe construction, water detention, flood pumping station). In order to decrease the flooding area, flood assessment criteria are suggested (flooded area, maximum inundation depth, damaged residential area, construction cost). Priorities of alternatives are determined by using compromise programming. As a result, the optimal flood defence alternative suggested for Janghang Zone 1 is flood pumping station and for Janghang Zone 2, 3 are drainage pipe construction.

A Study on Construction Techniques of River Topography for Flood Inundation Analysis (홍수범람해석을 위한 하천지형 구축기법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jungsik;Moon, Changgeon;Kim, Seokdong;Cho, Sunggeun;Shin, Shachul
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
    • /
    • v.13 no.5
    • /
    • pp.59-68
    • /
    • 2012
  • The objective of this study is a comparison with simulation results of flood inundation by the construction techniques of river topography. For construction of river topography, the data used in this study are 1:5,000 topographic DEM, ASTER DEM and SRTM DEM provided by WMS. Also HEC-RAS and HEC-GeoRAS are applied to analyze of inundation depth and area. Flood inundations are simulated by 3 techniques in return periods and compared with the results. The results of this study are as follows; (1) Comparative analysis of the results shows that they have only a little difference in construction techniques of river topography at midsized catchment. (2) Flood inundations by ASTER DEM is to estimate larger than the other techniques in flood area (3) In case of SRTM DEM, the application can be expected to make use in the fields because of proper results in flood inundation analysis.

Numerical Analysis and Comparison of the Influence of Safety Factor Variations in Slope Stability During Rainy Season (우기시 비탈면 안전율 변화 인자의 영향에 대한 수치해석적 비교연구)

  • Song, Pyung-Hyun;Baek, Yong;You, Byung-Ok;Hwang, Young-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.30 no.10
    • /
    • pp.45-54
    • /
    • 2014
  • Many studies have been made on investigation, design, explanation and treatments etc. to minimize slope failure. However, the problem is that failures of cutting slope and natural slope due to Typhoon and localized heavy rainfall are still not reduced. It is difficult to treat the problem by only strengthening the design standard. And it is very necessary to carry out design and safety analysis under the most suitable conditions considering foundation and rainfall characteristics. In this study, variations of safety factor were discussed from different aspects to investigate the influence of different parameters of rainfall and analysis conditions. Rainfall and foundation conditions are supposed to be the most sensitive parameters to slope stability, and numerical analysis were performed by changing parameters of the two conditions. Rainfall behavior is based on the domestic statistical rainfall and foundation condition is selected as unsaturated soils. Study results show that, application of rainfall characteristics in different area and parameters of unsaturated soils are responding sensitively to variations of slope safety. Therefore, the input parameters should be fully examined when performing the practical design.

Development of Flood Risk Map Using Two-Dimensional Unstructured Grid-Based Analysis (2차원 비정형 격자기법을 통한 홍수위험지도의 개발)

  • Han, Kun-Yeun;Ahn, Ki-Hong;Cho, Wan-Hee;Kim, Dong-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2008.05a
    • /
    • pp.357-361
    • /
    • 2008
  • 홍수는 인간이 지구상에 생존하기 전부터 발생하여왔다. 그러나 최근 들어 홍수 규모가 대형화되었고, 그 발생빈도도 증가하고 있다. 최근에는 지구온난화가 가속화 되면서 전 세계적으로 높은 강도의 기상이변들이 속출하고 있다. 우리나라도 예외는 아니어서 지난 100년 동안 기온이 약 $1.5^{\circ}C$ 가량 상승하였고, 집중호우나 태풍과 같은 극단적인 기상현상들로 인한 피해가 날이 갈수록 심해지고 있다. 이러한 이상기후에 따른 태풍, 집중호우 등의 대규모 호우로 인해 댐 및 제방 붕괴와 같은 비상상황이 초래될 수 있다. 잇따른 피해들을 통해 홍수침수 범위의 예측 분석을 통한 홍수위험 및 다양한 홍수위험지도 작성의 필요성이 대두되었다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 종류의 홍수위험지도의 개발을 위해 금호강과 태화강을 대상유역으로 선정하고, 1차원 분석(하천흐름)에는 미국 기상청의 FLDWAV 모형을 적용하였고 2차원 분석(범람흐름)에는 2차원 비정형 격자기법 침수해석 모형을 적용하였다. 1차원 및 2차원 수치해석 모형을 대상유역에 적용한 모의를 통하여 실제 홍수에 대한 제방의 붕괴 및 월류에 따른 유량을 산정하였고, '침수심 지도'와 '홍수유속 지도'를 작성하였으며, 또한 홍수위험 강도를 표현하기 위해 유속과 수심을 이용하여 홍수위험에 대한 '홍수위험강도 지도'를 작성하였다. 다양한 홍수위험지도는 홍수방어대책에 대한 평가와 개발, 또한 개발지역에 대한 선택에 이용될 수 있으며, 실제 홍수시 홍수위험지도에 나타난 긴급대피지역의 모든 주민들에 대해서 피난경고를 미리 발령하는 등의 방법으로 이용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

Analysis on Spatio-Temporal Pattern and Regionalization of Extreme Rainfall Data (극치강수량의 시공간적 특성 분석 및 지역화에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ju;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.31 no.1B
    • /
    • pp.13-20
    • /
    • 2011
  • The spatio-temporal pattern in precipitation is a significant element in defining characteristics of precipitation. In this study, a new scheme on regionalization utilizing temporal information was introduced on the basis of existing approaches that is mainly based on simple moments of data and geographical information. Given the identified spatio-temporal pattern, this study was extended to characterize regional pattern of annual maximum rainfall over Korea. We have used circular statistics to characterize the temporal distribution on the precipitation, and the circular statistics allow us to effectively assess changes in timing of the extreme rainfall in detail. In this study, a modified K-means method was incorporated with derived temporal characteristics of extreme rainfall in order to better characterize hydrologic pattern for regional frequency analysis. The extreme rainfall was reasonably separated into five categories that considered most attributes in both quantitative and temporal changes in extremes. The results showed that the proposed approach is a promising approach for regionalization in term of physical understanding of extreme rainfall.

Safety Evaluation of Net-type Debris Flow Protection System Using Numerical Analysis (수치해석을 이용한 네트형 토석류 방호시스템의 안전성 평가)

  • Lee, Eung-Beom;Lim, Hyun-Taek;Whang, Dae-Won;Lim, Chang-Su;Kim, Yong-Seong
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.157-168
    • /
    • 2018
  • Recently, the occurrence of typhoons and heavy rainfall is increasing due to climate change. This causes increase in possibility of landslide damages in rural areas. However, in reality, the precise engineering stability assessment studies are still insufficient. Therefore, in order to reduce the landslide damages and effectively manage mountainous areas, the development of disaster prevention techniques is needed. In this study, to analyze the shock absorbing effect of the buffer-spring during application of dynamic impact load in the debris flow protection system, numerical analysis is carried out for each free field of the buffer-spring and the load sharing ratio of the buffer-spring is also examined. In addition, the field applicability is verified by comparison of the tensile strength of the conventional buffer-spring and the wedge type buffer-spring on various magnitudes of dynamic impact load. As a result of the study, it is found that the net-type debris protection system is effective to mitigate loss of properties and human lifes during landslide.

Spatial Clustering Analysis of Fire in Gangwon-Do (강원도 화재의 공간적 군집 특성 분석)

  • BAE, Sun-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.93-103
    • /
    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the spatial cluster characteristics of fire using long-term fire data. For this, fire data which were broke out in the last 40 years were converted into GIS data and spatial analysis was performed at Gangwon-do province's minimum administrative district level. In order to grasp the spatial distribution of the fire, Moran's I, Geary's Ci and Getis-Ord's Gi*, which are methods that analyze the local indicators of spatial association(LISA), were used. By integrating the characteristics of the spatial distribution of fire by integrating the results obtained from each analysis, the advantages of the individual analysis methods were reflected in the study results. As a result of the study, hotspot areas of fire in Gangwon-do was derived out. Among the hot spot areas, some areas, where the fire frequency is higher than the adjacent areas, have been identified. The results of this study can be used as information for predicting the fire hazard area and relocating of fire-fighting facilities in the study area.