• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지역해양 재분석 자료

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A Study on the Distribution of Cold Water Occurrence using K-Means Clustering (K-Means Clustering을 활용한 냉수대 발생 분포에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Bum-Kyu;Yoon, Hong-Joo;Lee, Jun Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.371-378
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    • 2021
  • In this study, in order to analyze the spatial distribution of cold water occurred in the Southeast Sea of Korea, the K-means clustering method was used to analyze the ocean observatory buoy of Gori and Yangpo and GHTSST Level 4 from 2016 to 2018. The buoy data was used to identify the change in sea water temperature and the cold water occurrence at Gori and Yangpo in the Southeast Sea. As a result, the sea water temperature of Gori and Yangpo decreased equally at the cold water occurrence. Therefore, the reciprocal of the sea water temperature and the variance of SST were compared to see the changes of SST when the cold water occurs. When the reciprocal of the sea water temperature increases, the dispersion of SST also increases. Through this, it can be seen that there is a change in the water temperature distribution of SST in the sea when the cold water occurs. After that, K-means clustering was used to classify the cold water. After analyzing the optimal K value for clustering by using the Elbow method, it was possible to classify a region with cold water. Through this, it is estimated that the spatial distribution and diffusion range of the cold water, and it can be estimated and used in future studies to identify damage caused by the cold water and predict spatial spread.

Annual Cycle and Interannual Variability of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Frequency in the CMIP5 Climate Models: Use of Genesis Potential Index (CMIP5 기후모델에서 나타나는 열대저기압 생성빈도의 연진동과 경년변동성: 잠재생성지수의 이용)

  • Kwon, MinHo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.33 no.7
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    • pp.583-595
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    • 2012
  • The potential for tropical cyclogenesis in a given oceanic and atmospheric environments can be represented by genesis potential index (GPI). Using the 18 Coupled Model Inter Comparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) models, the annual cycle of GPI and interannual variability of GPI are analyzed in this study. In comparison, the annual cycle of GPI calculated from reanalysis data is revisited. In particular, GPI differences between CMIP5 models and reanalysis data are compared, and the possible reasons for the GPI differences are discussed. ENSO (El Nino and Southern Oscillation) has a tropical phenomenon, which affects tropical cyclone genesis and its passages. Some dynamical interpretations of tropical cyclogenesis are suggested by using the fact that GPI is a function of four large-scale parameters. The GPI anomalies in El Nino or La Nina years are discussed and the most contributable factors are identified in this study. In addition, possible dynamics of tropical cyclogenesis in the Northern Hemisphere Pacific region are discussed using the large-scale factors.

A Study on the sedimentological Environments in KODOS91-1 Area, Northeast Pacific (북동 태평양 KODOS91-1지역퇴적환경 연구)

  • 박정기;김기현
    • 한국해양학회지
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 1994
  • The sediment collected from KODOS91-1 were studied using X-ray diffraction(SRD) analysis to clarify the composition and vertical distribution of clay minerals. Micropaleontological data(Radiolarians) was applied to identify the changes in post-depositional environment and chemical mechanism leading to the formation of authigenic minerals. The result show that the highest concentration of smectite is occurred in the lower part(Unit II, III) of sediment column and the lowest concentration in the upper part(Unit I) whereas terrestrial minerals, such as illite, kaolinite and quartz, indicate the opposite trends. Radiolarians in the upper part are composed entirely of Quaternary/Tertiary mixtures, whereas in lower sediment units generally revealed the middle Miocene to the Eocene. This may imply that the Quaternary and Tertiary sedimentary processes were continuously affected by reworking of older sediments and subsequent resegmentation. The changes of the sediment color, peak pattern of minerals and presence of reworked microfossils at the unit boundaries have been interpreted as evidence of authigenic formation. Mineralogical characteristics of the sediments in study area strongly indicates changes in paleoenvironments through geologic time, including changes in post-depositional conditions by physical processes and chemical mechanisms.

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Temporal and Spatial Variability of the Middle and Lower Tropospheric Temperatures from MSU and ECMWF (MSU와 ECMWF에서 유도된 중간 및 하부 대류권 온도의 시 ${\cdot}$ 공간 변동)

  • Yoo, Jung-Moon;Lee, Eun-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.503-524
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    • 2000
  • Intercomparisons between four kinds of data have been done to estimate the accuracy of satellite observations and model reanalysis for middle and lower tropospheric thermal state over regional oceans. The data include the Microwave Sounding Units (MSU) Channel 2 (Ch2) brightness temperatures of NOAA satellites and the vertically weighted corresponding temperature of ECMWF GCM (1980-93). The satellite data for midtropospheric temperatures are MSU2 (1980-98) in nadir direction and SC2 (1980-97) in multiple scans, and for lower tropospheric temperature SC2R (1980-97). MSU2 was derived in this study while SC2 and SC2R were described in Spencer and Christy (1992a, 1992b). Temporal correlations between the above data were high (r${\ge}$0.90) in the middle and high latitudes, but low(r${\sim}$0.65) over the low latitude and more convective regions. Their values with SC2R which included the noises due to hydrometeors and surface emission were conspicuously low. The reanalysis shows higher correlation with SC2 than with MSU2 partially because of the hydrometeors screening. SC2R in monthly climatological anomalies was more sensitive to surface thermal condition in northern hemisphere than MSU2 or SC2. The first EOF mode for the monthly mean data of MSU and ECMWF shows annual cycle over most regions except the tropics. The mode in MSU2 over the Pacific suggests the east-west dipole due to the Walker circulation, but this tendency is not clear in other data. In the first and second modes for the Ch2 anomalies over most regions, the MSU and ECMWF data commonly indicate interannual variability due to El Ni${\tilde{n}$o and La Ni${\tilde{n}$a. The substantial disagreement between observations and model reanalysis occurs over the equatorial upwelling region of the western Pacific, suggesting uncertainties in the model parameterization of atmosphere-ocean interaction.

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Global Temperature Trends of Lower Stratosphere Derived from the Microwave Satellite Observations and GCM Reanalyses (마이크로파 위성관측과 모델 재분석에서 조사된 전지구에 대한 하부 성층권 온도의 추세)

  • Yoo, Jung-Moon;Yoon, Sun-Kyung;Kim, Kyu-Myong
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.388-404
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    • 2001
  • In order to examine the relative accuracy of satellite observations and model reanalyses about lower stratospheric temperature trends, two satellite-observed Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) channel 4 (Ch 4) brightness temperature data and two GCM (ECMWF and GEOS) reanalyses during 1981${\sim}$1993 have been intercompared with the regression analysis of time series. The satellite data for the period of 1980${\sim}$1999 are MSU4 at nadir direction and SC4 at multiple scans, respectively, derived in this study and Spencer and Christy (1993). The MSU4 temperature over the globe during the above period shows the cooling trend of -0.35 K/decade, and the cooling over the global ocean is 1.2 times as much as that over the land. Lower stratospheric temperatures during the common period (1981${\sim}$1993) globally show the cooling in MSU4 (-0.14 K/decade), SC4 (-0.42 K/decade) and GEOS (-0.15 K/decade) which have strong annual cycles. However, ECMWF shows a little warming and weak annual cycle. The 95% confidence intervals of the lower stratospheric temperature trends are greater than those of midtropospheric (channel 2) trends, indicating less confidence in Ch 4. The lapse rate in the trend between the above two atmospheric layers is largest over the northern hemispheric land. MSU4 has low correlation with ECMWF over the globe, and high value with GEOS near the Korean peninsula. Lower correlations (r < 0.6) between MSU4 and SC4 (or ECMWF) occur over $30^{\circ}$N latitude belt, where subtropical jet stream passes. Temporal correlation among them over the globe is generally high (r > 0.6). Four kinds of lower stratospheric temperature data near the Korean peninsula commonly show cooling trends, of which the SC4 values (-0.82 K/decade) is the largest.

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Probabilistic Seismic Risk Analysis of Breakwater Structures (방파제 구조물의 확률론적 지진위험도 분석)

  • Kim Sang-Hoon;Yi Jin-Hak;Kim Doo Kie
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.32-40
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    • 2005
  • Recent earthquakes over magnitude 5 in the eastern coast of Korea have aroused interests in the earthquake analyses and seismic design of breakwater structures. Most of earthquake analysis methods such as equivalent static analysis, response spectrum analysis, nonlinear analysis, and capacity analysis methods are deterministic and have been used for seismic design and performance evaluation of breakwater structures. However, deterministic methods are difficult to reflect one of the most important characteristics of earthquakes, i.e. the uncertainty of earthquakes. This paper presents results of probabilistic seismic risk assessment(PSRA) of an actual caisson type breakwater structure considering uncertainties of earthquake occurrences and soil properties. First the seismic vulnerability of a structure and the seismic hazard of the site are evaluated using earthquake sets and seismic hazard map, and then seismic risk of the structure is assessed.

The Prediction of Hypoxia Occurrence in Dangdong Bay (당동만의 빈산소 발생 예측)

  • Kang, Hoon;Kwon, Min Sun;You, Sun Jae;Kim, Jong Gu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the physical characteristics of marine environment, and to predict the probability of the occurrence of hypoxia in the Dangdong bay. We predicted hypoxia using the logistic regression model analysis by observing the water temperature, salinity, and dissolved oxygen concentration. The analysis showed that the Brunt-Väisälä frequency which was shallow than the deep bay entrance, was higher inside the bay due to a lesser amount of fresh water inflow from the inner side of the bay, and density stratification was formed. The Richardson number, and Brunt-Väisälä frequency were very high occasionally from June to September; however, after September 2, the stratification had a tendency to decrease. Analysis of dissolved oxygen, water temperature, and salinity data observed in Dangdong bay showed that the dissolved oxygen concentration in the bottom layer was mostly affected by the temperature difference (dt) between the surface layer and bottom layer. Meanwhile, when the depth difference (dz) was set as a fixed variable, the probability of the occurrence of hypoxia varied with respect to the difference in water temperature. The depth difference (dz) was calculated to be 5 m, 10 m, 15 m, 20 m, and the difference in water temperature (dt) was found to be greater than 70 % at 8℃, 7℃, 5℃, and 3℃. This indicated that the larger the difference in depth in the bay, the smaller is the temperature difference required for the generation of hypoxia. In particular, the place in the bay, where the water depth dif erence was approximately 20 m, was found to generate hypoxia.

The Study on Estimation of Damaging Factor by Drought Damage (가뭄피해로 인한 피해유발인자 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Seung-Jin;Choi, Si-Jung;Baeck, Seung-Hyub;Lee, Dong-Ryul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.381-381
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    • 2012
  • 가뭄은 이수에 영향을 주는 피해 중 가장 대표적인 예라고 할 수 있다. 가뭄은 장기간에 걸쳐서 강수량이 부족하거나, 지속적인 일사량의 증가로 인하여 수문학적 물 균형이 깨어져서 물 부족 현상이 발생하는 것을 의미한다. 우리나라는 2001년에 기상관측 이래 때 이른 무더위와 극심한 가뭄으로 강원도지역을 중심으로 전국적인 피해를 입었다. 미국 해양기상청(NOAA, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)에서는 20세기 최대의 자연재해 중 5위권내에 가뭄으로 인한 재해가 무려 4개나 랭크된바 있다. 하지만 우리나라에서는 홍수 등에 대비해서는 수해방지종합대책등 사전대책을 마련하여 방지대책을 세우지만, 가뭄에 대해서는 종합적인 사전예방대책보다는 복구 위주로 진행되고 있다. 이로 인해 가뭄으로 인한 피해상황 및 피해유발인자의 파악이 어렵고 객관적으로 표현할 수 있는 지표도 명확하지 않기 때문에 이에 대한 체계적인 연구가 시급한 실정이다(이주헌과 이길재, 2006). 본 연구에서는 가뭄으로 인한 피해유발인자를 파악하기 위하여 UNDP(United Nations Development Programme, 2004)에서 제공하는 물리적 노출(Physical Exposure)정도를 1990년~2007년간의 유역별 월강수량 자료를 이용하여 가뭄의 발생 빈도별로 산정한 후에 가뭄으로 인한 농작물피해 및 제한급수에 영향을 미치는 인자들에 대하여 분석을 실시하였다.

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Interannual Variation of the TOMS Total Ozone and Reflectivity over the Globe (전지구에 대한 TOMS 오존전량과 반사율의 경년 변화)

  • Yoo, Jung-Moon;Jeon, Won-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.703-718
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    • 2000
  • In order to investigate interannual variation of total ozone and reflectivity over the globe, Nimbus-7/TOMS data were used on the monthly mean and its anomaly for the period of 1979-92. This study also examined MSU channel 4(Ch4; lower-stratosphere) brightness temperature data and two model reanalyses of NCEP and GEOS to compare the ozone variation with atmospheric thermal condition. In addition, the MSU channel 1(Ch1 ; lower-troposphere) brightness temperature was used to compare with the reflectivity. The ozone showed strong annual cycle with downward trend(-6.3${\pm}$0.6 DU/decade) over the globe, and more distinct response to volcanic eruption than El Ni${\tilde{n}$o. The relationship between total ozone and MSU Ch4 observation, and between the ozone and model reanalyses of lower stratosphere temperature showed positive correlation(0.2-0.7) during the period of 1980-92. Reflectivity increased interannually by 0.2${\pm}$0.06%/decade over the globe during the above period and reflected El Ni${\tilde{n}$o(1982-83, 1991-92) well. Its variability in annual cycle was remarkably smaller in tropics than in higher latitudes. This is inferred due to cloud suppression and tropical upwelling regions. Reflectivity correlated negatively(-0.9) to the Ch1 temperature over the globe, but positively(0.2) over tropical ocean. The positive value over the ocean results from the effect of microwave emissivity which increases the Ch1 temperature with enhanced hydrometeor activity. Significant correlations between total ozone and the Ch4 temperature, and between reflectivity and the Ch1 Suggest that the TOMS data may use valuably to better understand the feedback mechanism of climate change.

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Arctic Climate Change for the Last Glacial Maximum Derived from PMIP2 Coupled Model Results (제2차 고기후 모델링 비교 프로그램 시뮬레이션 자료를 이용한 마지막 최대빙하기의 북극 기후변화 연구)

  • Kim, Seong-Joong;Woo, Eun-Jin
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.31-50
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    • 2010
  • The Arctic climate change for the Last Glacial Maximum(LGM) occurred at 21,000 years ago (21ka) was investigated using simulation results of atmosphere-ocean coupled models from the second phase of the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Program(PMIP2). In the analysis, we used seven models, the NCAR CCSM of USA, ECHAM3-MPIOM of German Max-Planxk Institute, HadCM3M2 of UK Met Office, IPSL-CM4 of France Laplace Institute, CNRM-CM3 of France Meteorological Institute, MIROC3.2 of Japan CCSR at University of Tokyo, and FGOALS of China Institute of Atmospheric Physics. All the seven models reproduces the Arctic climate features found in the present climate at 0ka(pre-industrial time) in a reasonable degree in comparison to observations. During the LGM, the atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration and other greenhouse gases were reduced, the ice sheets were expanded over North America and northern Europe, the sea level was lowered by about 120m, and orbital parameters were slightly different. These boundary conditions were implemented to simulated LGM climate. With the implemented LGM conditions, the biggest temperature reduction by more than $24^{\circ}C$ is found over North America and northern Europe owing to ice albedo feedback and the change in lapse rate by high elevation. Besides, the expansion of ice sheets leads to the marked temperature reduction by more then $10^{\circ}C$ over the Arctic Ocean. The temperature reduction in northern winter is larger than in summer around the Arctic and the annual mean temperature is reduced by about $14^{\circ}C$. Compared to low mid-latitudes, the temperature reduction is much larger in high northern altitudes in the LGM. This results mirror the larger warming around the Artic in recent century. We could draw some information for the future under global warming from the knowledge of the LGM.