• The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.367-382
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• 1995

본 연구에서는 시장평균환율제가 시행된 시점인 1990년 3월 2일부터 1991년 12윌 31일까지의 국내 원/달러 외환시장을 대상으로 선도환가격의 미래 예측기능, 즉 미래의 현물환율에 대한_불편추정치로서의 선도환율의 역할을 실증적으로 검증하였다. 국내 시중은행에서 거래한 달러 대비 원화의 현물환율과 1개월 만기의 선도환율 자료를 사용한 실증분석결과에 의하면, 현물환율은 선도환이 예측한 방향과는 반대의 방향으로 움직이거나 예측한 수준에 크게 벗어나고 있다. 그러나, 외환시장에 큰 영향을 준 것으로 보여지는 동 서독 통합과 중동전쟁을 기준으로 분석대상기간을 두개의 하부기간으로 나누어 다시 추정한 결과에 의하면, 선도환가격이 미래 현물환율에 대한 불편추정치라는 가설을 기각하지 못하고 있다. 이러한 결과는 환율변화에 대한 확율분포가 시간경과에 따라 크게 변하고 있으며, 실증분석에서는 이러한 분포의 시간종속성을 반드시 고려하여야 한다는 것을 시사하고 있다. 또한, 다른 외국통화에 대한 실증분석에서는 나타나지 않는 결과로서, 이는 우리나라 외환시장의 특성을 반영하고 있는 것으로 해석된다. 시장평균환율제가 변동폭을 제한하고 있으며 분석대상 기간 동안은 환율변동이 비교적 안정적이기 때문에, 선도환가격의 결정도 비교적 안정적으로 이루어 질 수 있었다. 이와 같은 요인들에 의하여, 현물환율의 변동이 매우 심한 다른 외국통화에 비하여, 원화 환율의 경우에는 선도환가격은 만기시의 현물환율에 근접하는 경향을 보이게 된 것으로 보여진다.

• The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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• v.10 no.4
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• pp.17-22
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• 2024

The war that broke out on October 7, 2023 is prolonging and expanding into the Middle East. Although the damage from war is increasing, humanitarian aid to the Gaza Strip has been halted due to UNRWA's deviant actions. Powerful countries have suspended support, and the UN is appealing for support for the Gaza Strip. All damage is borne by civilians in the Gaza Strip, especially women, children, and the elderly. Israel has selected an evacuation zone and evacuation route in the Gaza Strip and established a humanitarian aid route in the border area. However, Hamas's resistance in underground tunnels, using civilian-dense areas and civilian facilities such as hospitals and schools as shields, further amplified civilian casualties. This Israel-Hamas war requires the international community to approach it from a human security perspective. We must strengthen the UN's functions and roles to ensure that humanitarian supplies reach the field and humanitarian intervention forces ensure human dignity and basic rights. We must restore the credibility of the UN's role through the Israel-Hamas war. In addition, Korea should urge the introduction of humanitarian aid and goods, and provide humanitarian goods such as daily necessities and medicine. We must also prepare for deployment as a member of the UN peacekeeping force in the future. These activities will help Korea develop into a model country that fulfills its role as a 'global pivotal nation' and will have a virtuous cycle of international support in the event of a future crisis on the Korean Peninsula.

• Journal of the korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.16-20
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• 1980

1970년대초의 오일, 쇼크에 이어 현재는 제2차 석유파동에 들어서고 있다. 이의 발단이 된 .78 년말의 이란정변은 이란석유의 감산에 따라 세계적인 공급이 부족하게 되었다. 이에 따라 .79년 초부터 원유가격이 뜀박질하는 결과를 가져와 세계의 Energy가치는 급속한 템포로 변화하였다. 더욱이 1980년 9월부터 2개월 이상을 끌어온 이란-이라크전쟁은 대폭적인 석유감산과 중동산의 원유유통의 문제화 등으로 바렐(bl:Barrel)당 2$의 공식적인 인상과 현물시장가격의 20% 유가 인상은 석유소비국들을 공포의 도가니로 몰아 넣고 있다. 특히 OPEC(석유수출국기구)의 정책은 자원의 보호라는 미명아래 이른바 "More money for less oil"(생산은 적게 수입은 보다 많이) 라는 말로 생산을 억제하면서 원유가격을 인상하여 수입을 증가시키는 방향으로 변해가고 있다. 이와 같은 석유가격의 고등과 공급이 불안정한 상황하에서 미래의 석유사정을 예측한다는 것은 어려운 일이나, 지금까지 발표된 문헌들을 기초로 미루어 보아 금후의 석유사정과 이것이 자 동차용 연료에 어떠한 영향을 미치나 살펴보기로 한다. 살펴보기로 한다.

• 월간 기계설비
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• no.7 s.204
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• pp.51-56
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• 2007

1947년‘남광토건사’로 창립, 올해 60주년을 맞이한 남광토건(주)은 한국전쟁으로 피폐된 국토재건에 나서며 토목분야에 빠른 성장을 거듭했다. 국내에서는 축적된 기술력과 시공경험을 바탕으로 국내 최초 한강하저터널인 지하철 5호선 공사를 비롯, 서울지하철 2~8호선 공사를 성공리에 마쳤다. 또한 필리핀과 중동, 아프리카 등 해외 건설분야에 진출해 특히 앙골라에서만 총 55,200만 달러를 수주하는 등 괄목할 만한 성과를 나타내고 있다. 남광토건(주)은「설계가 다른 아파트」를 컨셉으로 건축미학과 편리함을 갖춘 자연친화적 아파트브랜드‘하우 스토리’를 개발, 주택사업 비중을 높이고 있으며 올해 1조3,800억원 수주와 매출 6,500억원, 경상이익 300억원 을 목표로 하고 있다. 남광토건(주)은 효율성을 극대화 하고 개개인의 역량을 최대한 끌어내 시너지효과를 창출 할 수 있도록 정비할 예정이며 투명·윤리경영으로 종합건설업계 30위권 진입을 위해 오늘도 정진하고 있다.

• Analyses & Alternatives
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.65-86
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• 2024

This study delves into the geopolitical tensions surrounding Ukraine throughout modern European history, aiming to shed light on its significance in geopolitical discourse. Since the 19th century, European powers, particularly the Anglo-Saxons and Germans, have formulated distinct geopolitical strategies concerning the Eurasian continent, with Ukraine at its focal point. The Crimean War and the German-Soviet War serve as key events to analyze these powers' geopolitical ambitions and interests. The British Empire, driven by its doctrine of thwarting land powers with sea power, intervened in the Crimean War against Russia. Its objective was to disrupt Russian dominance over Ukraine, thereby hindering Russian expansion into the Black Sea and Central Europe. On the other hand, the Third Reich of Germany, fixated on creating a European sphere exclusive from Anglo-Saxon sea powers and the Russian land power, initiated the German-Soviet War. This move aimed to secure a vast territory, including Ukraine, to facilitate expansion into the Caucasus and establish a buffer zone against the Soviet Union. Three key insights emerge from this analysis. Firstly, the absence of a dominant power rooted in Ukraine since the fall of the Principality of Kiev made geopolitical clashes inevitable. Secondly, these clashes ultimately result in a hollow victory for all involved parties, signifying the high costs and minimal gains of such confrontations. Lastly, the root cause of these clashes lies in the discord between exclusive geopolitical visions that fail to accommodate sustainable coexistence among diverse geopolitical spheres. In essence, the study underscores Ukraine's pivotal role in shaping European geopolitics and highlights the recurring clashes driven by competing visions of dominance and control over its territory. From the Crimean War to the German-Soviet War, the struggle for influence over Ukraine reflects broader geopolitical dynamics and the pursuit of strategic advantage by major powers. Ultimately, the study emphasizes the enduring significance of Ukraine in European geopolitics and the complexities inherent in managing its geopolitical tensions.

• Korean Security Journal
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• no.49
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• pp.157-183
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• 2016

Countries across the globe, including those in Europe, are waging a "war against terrorism" as international terrorist groups such as ISIS and lone-wolf terrorists have unleashed various large-scale attacks on rail infrastructure. Anti-South Korean sentiment exists in Muslim-majority countries because the nation has cooperated with the US for its military interventions in the Middle East, and ISIS has threatened to target South Korea four times since September 9, 2015. In addition, North Korea has been left isolated in the international community with its missile and nuclear tests, while further escalating inter-Korean tension and threatening to strike major facilities and attack important figures in the South. These situations imply that South Korea is no longer immune to terrorist attacks. If the nation fails to prevent or deter such terrorist attacks against rail networks, massive casualties, property damage and social confusion would be unavoidable, deteriorating national and international trust in its counter-terrorism policies. This may lead to a national crisis involving decreases in the number of tourists, dampened interest of foreign investors, and capital flight. This study aims to propose policy measures to enhance railroad security checks, based on the work of railroad police officers, for the sake of protecting citizens and public safety. The suggestions include an incremental expansion of railroad security checks; growth of the railroad police force and adjustment of their policing distribution with other police officers; enhancement of security systems across important rail networks; improvement of the Railroad Safety Act; Southeast Asia, including the corresponding strengthening of the national crackdown illegal immigrants, and plans for pre-emptive and regular cooperation among organizations related to the promotion of security checks and the prevention of terrorist attacks.

• Korean Security Journal
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• no.14
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• pp.517-534
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• 2007

Since the beginning of human society, there have always been struggles and competitions for survival and prosperity, terrorism is not a recent phenomenon, however in modern times it has progressed to reflect the advances in civilization and power structures. At the time of the 9.11 terrorist attacks in the U.S. A., a new world order was in the process of being established after the breakdown of the Cold War era. The attacks drove both the Western and the Islamic worlds into heightened fear of terrorism and war, which threatened the quality of life of the whole mankind. Through two war campaigns against the Islamic world, it seems the U.S. has been pushing its own militaristic security road map of the Greater Middle East democratic initiative, justifying it as a means to retaliate and eradicate the terrorist threats towards themselves. However, with its five-year lopsided victories that cost the nation almost four thousand military casualties, and the war expenses that could match the Vietnam war, the U.S. does not yet seem to be totally emancipated from the fears of terrorism. Terrorism, in itself, is a means of resisting forced rules a form of alternative competition by the weak against the strong, and a way of expressing a dismissive response against dictatorial ideas or orders which allow for no normal changes. Intrinsically, the nature of terrorism is a reaction opposing power logics. Confronted with the absolute military power of the U.S., the Islamic strategies of terrorism have begun to rapidly evolve into a new stage. The new strategies take advantage of their civilization and circumstances, they train and inspire their front-line fighters on the Internet, and issue their orders through the clandestine network of the Al Qaeda operatives. These spontaneously generated strategies have been gained speed among the second, and third Islamic generations, many of whom are now spread throughout western societies. This represents a failure of the power-driven, one-sided overseas security initiatives by the U.S., and is creating a culture of fear and distrust in western societies. It is feared that the U.S. war campaigns have made the clash of religions far worse than before, and may ever lead to global ethnic separations and large-scale population movements. Eventually, it may result in the terrorist groups, enlarged and secretly supported by the huge sums of oil money, driving all mankind into a series of irreparable catastrophes.