• Title/Summary/Keyword: 준모수회귀모형

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Residual-based copula parameter estimation (잔차를 이용한 코플라 모수 추정)

  • Na, Okyoung;Kwon, Sunghoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.267-277
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    • 2016
  • This paper considers we consider the estimation of copula parameters based on residuals in stochastic regression models. We prove that a semiparametric estimator using residual empirical distributions is consistent under some conditions and apply the results to the copula-ARMA model. We provide simulation results for illustration.

Bayesian ordinal probit semiparametric regression models: KNHANES 2016 data analysis of the relationship between smoking behavior and coffee intake (베이지안 순서형 프로빗 준모수 회귀 모형 : 국민건강영양조사 2016 자료를 통한 흡연양태와 커피섭취 간의 관계 분석)

  • Lee, Dasom;Lee, Eunji;Jo, Seogil;Choi, Taeryeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.25-46
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    • 2020
  • This paper presents ordinal probit semiparametric regression models using Bayesian Spectral Analysis Regression (BSAR) method. Ordinal probit regression is a way of modeling ordinal responses - usually more than two categories - by connecting the probability of falling into each category explained by a combination of available covariates using a probit (an inverse function of normal cumulative distribution function) link. The Bayesian probit model facilitates posterior sampling by bringing a latent variable following normal distribution, therefore, the responses are categorized by the cut-off points according to values of latent variables. In this paper, we extend the latent variable approach to a semiparametric model for the Bayesian ordinal probit regression with nonparametric functions using a spectral representation of Gaussian processes based BSAR method. The latent variable is decomposed into a parametric component and a nonparametric component with or without a shape constraint for modeling ordinal responses and predicting outcomes more flexibly. We illustrate the proposed methods with simulation studies in comparison with existing methods and real data analysis applied to a Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) 2016 for investigating nonparametric relationship between smoking behavior and coffee intake.

혼합모형의 구간추정을 위한 PROC MIXED의 활용

  • Park, Dong-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2005
  • SAS의 PROC MIXED는 ANOVA 추정량보다 더 다양한 잔차최대우도추정법 또는 최대우도추정법으로 모수들을 추론할 수 있다. 혼합모형에 속하는 불균형중첩오차구조를 갖는 선형회귀모형에서 랜덤효과에 해당되는 그룹간의 분산과 고정효과에 해당되는 회귀계수들에 대한 신뢰구간을 구하기 위하여 대표본인 경우와 소표본인 경우에 대하여 PROC MIXED를 사용한다. 시뮬레이션을 실행한 결과, 대표본인 경우에는 모수들의 신뢰구간을 구하기 위하여 PROC MIXED를 활용할 수 있지만, 소표본인 경우에는 PROC MIXED를 사용할 경우, 그룹간 분산과 회귀계수 가운데 하나인 절편항에 대한 신뢰구간은 시뮬레이터된 신뢰계수가 명시한 신뢰계수를 지키지 못하는 것을 보인다.

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Semi-Markov 모형에 기초한 다중상태 생존자료의 준모수적 분석

  • 여성칠
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.777-792
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    • 1998
  • 병원의 임상연구실험에서 종종 환자들의 치료에 따른 병세의 호전상태를 여러단계로 분류하여 상이한 치료방법에 대한 치료효과간의 차이론 알고자 하는 경우가 있다. 이와 같이 다중상태의 생존자료를 분석하기 위해서 본 논문에서는 semi-Markov 모형에 Cox 회귀모형을 적용하여 회귀계수와 기저생존함수를 추정하고 이를 바탕으로 반응확률함수를 추정하였다. 그리고 본 논문의 결과를 실제 임상실험에서 얻어진 자료에 적용하여 분석하였다.

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A Semiparametric Estimation of the Contingent Valuation Model (조건부가치평가모형의 준모수 추정)

  • Park, Joo Heon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.545-557
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    • 2003
  • A new semiparametric estimator of a dichotomous choice contingent valuation model is proposed by adapting the well-known density weighted average derivative of the regression function. A small sample behavior of the estimator is demonstrated very briefly by a simulation and the estimator is applied to estimate the WTP for preserving the Dong River area in Korea.

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Interval Estimation in Mixed Model by Use of PROC MIXED (PROC MIXED를 활용한 혼합모형의 신뢰구간추정)

  • Park Dong-Joon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.349-360
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    • 2006
  • PROC MIXED in SAS can be utilized to make inferences on parameters in a mixed model by use of Restricted Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method or Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method which has more merits than ANOVA method. A regression model with unbalanced nested error structure that belongs to a mixed model is used to construct confidence intervals on variances among groups, within groups, and regression coefficients in the model. PROC MIXED is applied to three different sample sizes for simulation. As a result of the simulation study, PROC MIXED generates confidence intervals on parameters that maintain the stated confidence coefficient in a large sample size. However, it does not generate confidence intervals that maintain the stated confidence coefficient for variance components among groups and intercept in a small sample size.

A comparison on coefficient estimation methods in single index models (단일지표모형에서 계수 추정방법의 비교)

  • Choi, Young-Woong;Kang, Kee-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1171-1180
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    • 2010
  • It is well known that the asymptotic convergence rates of nonparametric regression estimator gets worse as the dimension of covariates gets larger. One possible way to overcome this problem is reducing the dimension of covariates by using single index models. Two coefficient estimation methods in single index models are introduced. One is semiparametric least square estimation method, which tries to find approximate solution by using iterative computation. The other one is weighted average derivative estimation method, which is non-iterative method. Both of these methods offer the parametric convergence rate to normal distribution. However, practical comparison of these two methods has not been done yet. In this article, we compare these methods by examining the variances of estimators in various models.

Regression models for interval-censored semi-competing risks data with missing intermediate transition status (중간 사건이 결측되었거나 구간 중도절단된 준 경쟁 위험 자료에 대한 회귀모형)

  • Kim, Jinheum;Kim, Jayoun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1311-1327
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    • 2016
  • We propose a multi-state model for analyzing semi-competing risks data with interval-censored or missing intermediate events. This model is an extension of the 'illness-death model', which composes three states, such as 'healthy', 'diseased', and 'dead'. The state of 'diseased' can be considered as an intermediate event. Two more states are added into the illness-death model to describe missing events caused by a loss of follow-up before the end of the study. One of them is a state of 'LTF', representing a lost-to-follow-up, and the other is an unobservable state that represents the intermediate event experienced after LTF occurred. Given covariates, we employ the Cox proportional hazards model with a normal frailty and construct a full likelihood to estimate transition intensities between states in the multi-state model. Marginalization of the full likelihood is completed using the adaptive Gaussian quadrature, and the optimal solution of the regression parameters is achieved through the iterative Newton-Raphson algorithm. Simulation studies are carried out to investigate the finite-sample performance of the proposed estimation procedure in terms of the empirical coverage probability of the true regression parameter. Our proposed method is also illustrated with the dataset adapted from Helmer et al. (2001).

Outlier detection in time series data (시계열 자료에서의 특이치 발견)

  • Choi, Jeong In;Um, In Ok;Choa, Hyung Jun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.907-920
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    • 2016
  • This study suggests an outlier detection algorithm that uses quantile autoregressive model in time series data, eventually applying it to actual stock manipulation cases by comparing its performance to existing methods. Studies on outlier detection have traditionally been conducted mostly in general data and those in time series data are insufficient. They have also been limited to a parametric model, which is not convenient as it is complicated with an analysis that takes a long time. Thus, we suggest a new algorithm of outlier detection in time series data and through various simulations, compare it to existing algorithms. Especially, the outlier detection algorithm in time series data can be useful in finding stock manipulation. If stock price which had a certain pattern goes out of flow and generates an outlier, it can be due to intentional intervention and manipulation. We examined how fast the model can detect stock manipulations by applying it to actual stock manipulation cases.