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격자별 선박 점유율을 고려한 해상교통량 분석 및 예측 모델 개발

  • 노유나;최충정;백연지;임광현;양지민
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.144-145
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    • 2023
  • 육상, 철도, 항공 등 타 교통분야에서 지속적으로 사고와 인명피해가 줄어든 반면, 해양분야는 해양사고가 증가하며 실효적 해양교통안전관리에 대한 필요성이 대두되고 있다. 최근 3년간 국내 해상에서 발생한 충돌사고 중 어선을 포함한 충돌사고가 전체의 약 84%를 차지하며, 해상교통의 주요 변수인 어선을 포함한 국가의 해상교통량 파악은 반드시 필요한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 현 정부 국정과제인 '디지털 해상 교통망 구축'과 더불어 해양교통안전관리체계 마련의 일환으로 국내 전체 선박위치발신장치(AIS, V-PASS) 데이터를 활용하여 해상교통량을 분석하고 예측 모델을 개발한다. 이를 위해 선박 밀집도를 통한 그리드별 공간가산분석과 항적 데이터 전처리 및 선형화, 선박 길이에 따른 점용면적 산정을 통한 단위 그리드별 해상교통량을 분석한다. 또한, 과거 교통량 데이터는 딥러닝 기반의 시계열 특성을 지닌 RNN과 LSTM 모델을 활용하여 교통량 예측 모형을 개발한다. 본 연구의 결과는 해상교통량과 해양사고의 연관성 분석 및 속력제한구역 등 해상정책 수립의 정량적 근거를 제공하며, 국민에게 해상교통정보 제공을 통해 교통복지 증진에 기여할 수 있다.

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Prediction method of node movement using Markov Chain in DTN (DTN에서 Markov Chain을 이용한 노드의 이동 예측 기법)

  • Jeon, Il-kyu;Lee, Kang-whan
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.1013-1019
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    • 2016
  • This paper describes a novel Context-awareness Markov Chain Prediction (CMCP) algorithm based on movement prediction using Markov chain in Delay Tolerant Network (DTN). The existing prediction models require additional information such as a node's schedule and delivery predictability. However, network reliability is lowered when additional information is unknown. To solve this problem, we propose a CMCP model based on node behaviour movement that can predict the mobility without requiring additional information such as a node's schedule or connectivity between nodes in periodic interval node behavior. The main contribution of this paper is the definition of approximate speed and direction for prediction scheme. The prediction of node movement forwarding path is made by manipulating the transition probability matrix based on Markov chain models including buffer availability and given interval time. We present simulation results indicating that such a scheme can be beneficial effects that increased the delivery ratio and decreased the transmission delay time of predicting movement path of the node in DTN.

The Detectability of Submarine's Turbulent Wake on the sea surface using Ship-Wake Theory (Ship-Wake 이론을 이용한 잠수함 항적탐색 가능성)

  • Lee, Yong-Chol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.773-779
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    • 2011
  • The width of a submarine's turbulent wake, using Shear-free and Ship wake theory, is proportional to $x^n,\;({\frac{1}{5}}{\leq}n<{\frac{1}{2}})$ If we assume submarine's length, width, velocity are 65m, 6.5m, 6kts respectively, and the minimum diffusion of turbulent wake ; ${\infty}\;x^{1/5}$, the width of wake behind the submarine is about 20m at 1.2km, 30m at 15km when there is no breaking waves on the sea surface. However, in the case of breaking waves, it is very limited to identify submarine's wake on the sea surface because wind generated turbulent wake has higher turbulent kinetic energy than that of submarine's wake. As a result, there is a high possibility to detect submarine's wake on the sea surface in the shallow water such as the Yellow-Sea using a proper detection method such as SAR. This means that in anti-submarine operations, non-acoustic sea surface serveillance applied turbulent wake will be very effective way to detect a submarine in near future. To do this we have to develop exact theory of submarine's turbulent wake above all.

A Study on the Flow Characteristics around a Hull Form of Coast-Canal Going Pusher-Barge (연안-운하 연계수송용 푸셔-바지 선형주위의 유동특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Yong;Lee, Young-Gill;Lee, Seung-Hee
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.9-26
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    • 2001
  • In this paper. the development of a pusher-barge hull form which enables the continuous transportation along the coast and canal is performed. For the design stage of the hull forms. these are developed for Kyungin canal which is will be drawn up as the next contribution project of the Korean government are adopted. The model tests for the designed ship are carried out in the Inha University Towing Tank and the numerical simulations are done with a finite difference method based on MAC scheme. At first, the experiments are performed with designed model ships from low speed to high speed including service speed(6knots) among the corresponding designed speed. Resistance characteristics of designed ships are compared with experimental results of other several pusher-barge hull shapes. Next, the numerical simulations are performed for three cases, that is pusher only, barge only and pusher-barge condition in the designed speed. Each calculations are carried out in deep and restricted water condition. The flow characteristics around hulls in the latter condition are compared with those in the former condition.

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A Study on Interaction between Two Vessels Passing Close to Each Other on Parallel Courses and Calculation of Collision Time by its effect (근접 항해하는 선박의 상호작용과 충돌시간 계산에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Chun-Ki;Yoon Jeom-Dong;Kang Il-Kwon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.30 no.5 s.111
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    • pp.315-320
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    • 2006
  • It is well known that the ship manoeuvring motion is greatly affected by hydrodynamic forces and moments acting between two vessels passing too close to each other in confined waters, such as in a harbour or narrow channel. This interaction between two vessels could be assumed to be the functions of the longitudinal distance, transverse distance and their speeds. The aim of this study is to calculate the interaction between two vessels passing close to each other on parallel courses by simulation, and to estimate the effect of rudder action and time at collision through simulation under the condition of various longitudinal distances and different speed-ratios of the two vessels.

A Study on Interaction between Two Vessels Passing Close to Each Other on Parallel Courses and Calculation of Collision Time by its effect (근접 항해하는 선박의 상호작용과 충돌시간 계산에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Chun-Ki;Yoon Jeom-Dong;Kang Il-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2006.06b
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2006
  • It is well known tint the ship manoeuvring motion is greatly affected by hydrodynamic forces and moments acting between two vessels passing too close to each other in confined waters, such as in a harbour or narrow channel. This interaction between two vessels could be assumed to be the functions of the longitudinal distance, transverse distance and their speeds. The aim of this study is to calculate the interaction between two vessels passing close to each other on parallel courses by simulation, and to estimate the effect of rudder action and time of collision through simulation under the condition of various longitudinal distances and different speed-ratios of the two vessels.

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Effect of Hypersonic Missiles on Maritime Strategy: Focus on Securing and Exploiting Sea Control (극초음속 미사일이 해양전략에 미치는 영향: 해양통제의 확보와 행사를 중심으로)

  • Cho, Seongjin
    • Maritime Security
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.241-271
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    • 2020
  • The military technology currently receiving the most attention is the hypersonic missile. hypersonic is faster than the speed of sound or Mach 5+. The vast majority of the ballistic missiles that it inspired achieved hypersonic speeds as they fell from the sky. Rather than speed, today's renewed attention to hypersonic weapons owes to developments that enable controlled flight. These new systems have two sub-varieties: hypersonic glide vehicles and hypersonic cruise missiles. Hypersonic weapons could challenge detection and defense due to their speed, maneuverability, and low altitude of flight. The fundamental question of this study is: 'What effect will the hypersonic missile have on the maritime strategy?' It is quite prudent to analyze and predict the impact of technology in the development stage on strategy in advance. However, strategy is essential because it affect future force construction. hypersonic missiles act as a limiting factor in securing sea control. The high speed and powerful destructive power of the hypersonic missile are not only difficult to intercept, but it also causes massive ship damage at a single shot. As a result, it is analyzed that the Securing sea control will be as difficult as the capacity of sea denial will be improved geographically and qualitatively. In addition, the concept of Fortress Fleet, which was criticized for its passive strategy in the past, could be reborn in a modern era. There are maritime power projection/defence, SLOC attack/defence in exploiting sea control. The effects of hypersonic missiles on exploiting sea control could be seen as both limiting and opportunity factors.

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The Current Status of the Discussions on International Norms Related to Space Activities in the UN COPUOS Legal Subcommittee (우주활동 국제규범에 관한 유엔 우주평화적이용위원회 법률소위원회의 최근 논의 현황)

  • Jung, Yung-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.127-160
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    • 2014
  • The UN COPUOS was established in 1959 as a permanent committee of the UN General Assembly with the aims to promote international cooperation in peaceful uses of outer space, to formulate space-related programmes within the UN, to encourage research and dissemination of information on space, and to study legal problems arising from the outer space activities. Its members have been enlarged from 24 members in 1959 to 76 in 2014. The Legal Subcommittee, which has been established under COPUOS in 1962 to deal with legal problems associated with space activities, through its first three decades of work has set up a framework of international space law: the five treaties and agreements - namely the Outer Space Treaty, Rescue Agreement, Liability Convention, Registration Convention, Moon Agreement - and the five declarations and legal principles. However, some sceptical views on this legal framework has been expressed, concerning the applicability of existing international space law to practical issues and new kinds of emerging space activities. UNISPACE III, which took place in 1999, served as a momentum to revitalize the discussions of the legal issues faced by the international community in outer space activities. The agenda of the Legal Subcommittee is currently structured into three categories: regular items, single issue/items, and items considered under a multi-year workplan. The regular items, which deal with basic legal issues, include definition and delimitation of outer space, status and application of the five UN treaties on outer space, and national legislation relevant to the peaceful exploration and use of outer space. The single issues/items, which are decided upon the preceding year, are discussed only for one year in the plenary unless renewed. They include items related to the use of nuclear power sources in outer space and to the space debris mitigation. The agenda items considered under a multi-year work plan are discussed in working group. Items under this category deal with non-legally binding UN instruments on outer space and international mechanism for cooperation. In recent years, the Subcommittee has made some progress on agenda items related to nuclear power sources, space debris, and international cooperation by means of establishing non-legally binding instruments, or soft law. The Republic of Korea became the member state of COPUOS in 2001, after rotating seats every two years with Cuba and Peru since 1994. Korea's joining of COPUOS seems to be late, in considering that some countries with hardly any space activity, such Chad, Sierra Leone, Kenya, Lebanon, Cameroon, joined COPUOS as early as 1960s and 1970s and contributed to the drafting of the aforementioned treaties, declarations, and legal principles. Given the difficulties to conclude a treaty and un urgency to regulate newly emerging space activities, Legal Subcommittee now focuses its effort on developing soft law such as resolutions and guideline to be adopted by UN General Assembly. In order to have its own practices reflected in the international practices, one of the constituent elements of international customary law, Korea should analyse its technical capability, policy, and law related to outer space activities and participate actively in the formation process of the soft law.

Confinement Effect by Plate Type Lateral Reinforcement and Investigation of the Possibility for Use of High Strength Steel Bars in Reinforced Concrete Columns (횡방향 판재에 의한 횡구속 효과 및 철근콘크리트 기둥에서 고강도 철근의 사용성 검토)

  • Cho, Young-Jae;Kim, Jin-Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.643-650
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    • 2012
  • The limitation of the yield strength in reinforced concrete columns is given for the effective use of high-strength steel bar, because very high-strength steel bar does not yield while concrete fails in compression. In order to overcome this limitation, it is required to increase peak strain of the concrete. The objective of this study is to examine the confinement effect of plate type lateral reinforcement in reinforced concrete columns. From this experimental study, the reinforced concrete columns confined by plate type carbon fiber sheets showed higher compressive strength and peak concrete strain comparing to the unconfined columns. The confinement effect is higher when cross-sectional type is a circular one than a square one. Moreover, the confinement effect was also higher for circular type confinement. Based on this study, high-strength steel bars with strength exceeding 800 MPa can be effectively used for reinforced concrete columns confined by plate type lateral reinforcements.

Establishment and Application of an Integrated Platform for Navigation Safety Information (항행안전정보 통합 플랫폼 구축 및 활용방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Do-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.129-138
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    • 2020
  • This study recognizes problems in the current system of providing navigation safety information (NSI), which is centered on merchant ships, to prevent maritime accidents of fishing boats and small vessels in coastal areas. The system proposed in this study is an effective method of providing NSI to support the safe navigation of small vessels such as fishing boats. First, the status and characteristics of recent maritime accidents were examined, and NSI service targets were identified. Second, the limitations of the current NSI system were determined, and measures were proposed to establish an NSI Integrated Platform (NSIP) that ensures the integration, accessibility, and usability of NSI for a substantial portion of the public. Third, to utilize the NSIP, various NSIs are applied as additional information for the electronic chart system used in the e-navigation ship terminals being developed in connection with the Korean e-navigation project. Functions that set the audiovisual alarm function to automatically operate when a ship enters a navigation risk zone is proposed. These functions are technically achieved by reviewing expert opinions of related organizations and professional producers. The results of this study suggest that NSI can be applied to small vessels such as fishing boats, through the Korean e-Navigation project, to prevent maritime accidents caused by the human error of navigators.