• Title/Summary/Keyword: 정수값-GARCH

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Integer-Valued GARCH Models for Count Time Series: Case Study (계수 시계열을 위한 정수값 GARCH 모델링: 사례분석)

  • Yoon, J.E.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2015
  • This article is concerned with count time series taking values in non-negative integers. Along with the first order mean of the count time series, conditional variance (volatility) has recently been paid attention to and therefore various integer-valued GARCH(generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) models have been suggested in the last decade. We introduce diverse integer-valued GARCH(INGARCH, for short) processes to count time series and a real data application is illustrated as a case study. In addition, zero inflated INGARCH models are discussed to accommodate zero-inflated count time series.

Zero-Inflated INGARCH Using Conditional Poisson and Negative Binomial: Data Application (조건부 포아송 및 음이항 분포를 이용한 영-과잉 INGARCH 자료 분석)

  • Yoon, J.E.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.583-592
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    • 2015
  • Zero-inflation has recently attracted much attention in integer-valued time series. This article deals with conditional variance (volatility) modeling for the zero-inflated count time series. We incorporate zero-inflation property into integer-valued GARCH (INGARCH) via conditional Poisson and negative binomial marginals. The Cholera frequency time series is analyzed as a data application. Estimation is carried out using EM-algorithm as suggested by Zhu (2012).