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The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using ARIMA AR(1) (ARIMA AR(1) 모형을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2008
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing. For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. The used software failure time data for forecasting failure time is random number of Weibull distribution(shaper parameter 1, scale parameter 0.5), Using this data, we are proposed to ARIMA(AR(1)) and simulation method for forecasting failure time. The practical ARIMA method is presented.

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Drying Conditions for the Rehydration Properties of Dehydrofrozen Potatoes (건조동결(乾燥凍結) 감자의 복원성(復元性)에 미치는 건조조건(乾燥條件)의 영향(影響))

  • Kim, Jong-Sang;Oh, Sang-Lyong;Shin, Dong-Hwa;Min, Byong-Yong
    • Applied Biological Chemistry
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.352-358
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    • 1986
  • The relationship between weight reduction and rehydration of dehydrofrozen potato was determined. At initial stage of dehydration sliced potato lost moisture rapidly. After drying for 2 hours weight reduction of sliced potato was 56% for Superior var., and 55% for Irish Cobbler. The empirical drying equations were obtained as follows: ${\frac{M-M_e}{M_o-M_e}}={\exp}(-0.4487\;{\theta}^{1.2328})$ and ${\frac{M-M_e}{M_o-M_e}}={\exp}\;(-0.4951\;{\theta}^{1.1949})$ for Irish Cobbler and Superior, respectively, where $M_o$, $M_e$, and M are dry base moisture content(%) of initial, equilibrium and at time ${\theta}$ in hour, respectively. With the decrease of weight above 50%, the rehydration rate decreased sharply and the color index L value also decreased while a and b increased. Lightness of dehydrofrozen potato decreased slightly and rehydration rate remained constant during storage at $-18^{\circ}C$. The sulfite treatment led to increase of L value and decrease of a and b values.

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Pulse Shape Design for Ultra-Wideband Radios Using Projections onto Convex Sets (POCS를 이용한 초광대역 무선통신의 펄스파형 설계)

  • Lee, Seo-Young
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.33 no.3A
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    • pp.311-318
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    • 2008
  • We propose new pulse shapes for FCC-compliant ultra-wideband (UWB) radios. The projections onto convex sets (POCS) technique is used to optimize temporal and spectral shapes of UWB pulses under the constraints of all of the desired UWB signal properties: efficient spectral utilization under the FCC spectral mask, time-limitedness, and good autocorrelation. Simulation results show that for all values of the pulse duration, the new pulse shapes not only meet the FCC spectral mask most efficiently, but also have nearly the same autocorrelation functions. It is also observed that our truncated (i.e., strictly time-limited) pulse shapes outperform the truncated Gaussian monocycle in the BER performance of binary TH-PPM systems for the same pulse durations. The POCS technique provides an effective method for designing UWB pulse shapes in terms of its inherent design flexibility and joint optimization capability.

The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using Curve Regression Analysis (곡선 회귀모형을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2012
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing. For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offers information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. In this study, we predict the future failure time by using the curve regression analysis where the s-curve, growth, and Logistic model is used. The proposed prediction method analysis used failure time for the prediction of this model. Model selection using the coefficient of determination and the mean square error were presented for effective comparison.

Drying of Agricultural Products by the Flat-plate Solar Collector with Rock-piled Heat Storage Medium (Rock-pile식(式) 집열기(集熱器)를 이용(利用)한 농산물건조(農産物乾燥)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Chang, Kyu-Seob;Kim, Man-Soo
    • Applied Biological Chemistry
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 1983
  • The performance of the flat-plate solar collector with rock-pile thermal storage medium and the drying characteristics of rough rice and red pepper by use of natural air and of supplementary heated air by the solar drier were studied. The thermal efficiency of the flat-plate solar collector was average 25.4 percent and the overall heattransfer coefficient of the collector was approximately $38.13kJ/hr.m^2^{\circ}C$. The flat-plate collector was able to supply the supplementary heated air which was about $7^{\circ}C$ higher than the ambient air temperature during the daytime and about $3^{\circ}C$ higher than during the night. For rough rice drying of grain moisture content front 24.5 to 14.5%, it took 18 days in the natural air system, 12 days in the tubular solar collector and 10 days in the flat-plate solar collector. For red pepper drying from it's moisture from 81.0 to 15.0%, 68 hrs required under conventional sun drying system, but 38 hrs in tubular solar collector and 36 hrs in the flateplate solar collector. The changes of capsanthin and capsaicine content were investigated at various drying system, and little difference was found among the drying system.

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The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using Time Series Analysis. (시계열 분석을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2011
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing, For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. In this study, time series analys is used in the simple moving average and weighted moving averages, exponential smoothing method for predict the future failure times, Empirical analysis used interval failure time for the prediction of this model. Model selection using the mean square error was presented for effective comparison.

기계적 합금법을 이용한 Ni-W 합금제조

  • 신수철;김효영;장건인
    • Proceedings of the Korea Association of Crystal Growth Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 1997
  • MCFC(Molten Carbonate Fuel Cell) Ni anode의 기계적 특성을 개선시키기 위해서 Ni-W복합재료를 기계적 합금법으로 제조하였다. 기계적 합금화한 분말을 XRD, SEM으로 관찰한 후 두께 1mm, 직경 8mm의 원반형으로 성형하였다. 소결은 120$0^{\circ}C$의 수소 분위기내에서 10시간 행하였다. 이렇게 제조한 시편의 절단된 면을 연마하여 SEM 및 EDX로 관찰하였으며 XRD로써 성분분석 하였다. 기계적 합금화 시간이 증가함에 따라 불충격에 의한 결정립 미세화가 이루어졌으며 80시간 기계적 합금시 재료의 규칙적인 결정이 파괴되어 비결정질화 되었다. 기계적합금으로 Ni 기지내에 균일하게 분포된 W은 분산강화효과를 통해 Ni anode의 기계적 특성을 개선시킬 것으로 기대된다.

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Standardization of Preparation of Chinese Cabbage Kimchi I. Effects of Dry Salting of Method Salt Content on the Texture of Kimchi (통배추김치 제조의 표준화 연구 I. 농도별 건염법이 배추 질감에 미치는 영향)

  • 정순애;오현희;전소현;최은정;김병미;조신호
    • The Korean Journal of Food And Nutrition
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.423-429
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    • 2003
  • Kimchi has been worldwide recognized as a traditional Korean fermented food, In the Chinese cabbage's pickling, salt content of evenly penetrate into the tissue affects on the texture of matured kimchi, But the previous method which usually using brine salting has a disadvantage of uneven penetration of salt into the leaves and stems. The purpose of the study is to develope the method which produce superior kimchi by evenly penetrate the salt into the tissue rapidly, The dry salting method is directly spread the salt on the surface of chinese cabbage as percentage in weight with 10, 12, 14, 16%(s) and pickled in this state for 5 hours. Brine salting method is soaking chinese cabbage in the 16% salt solution(16%B) for 20 hours. Sensory evaluation, contents of salt, properties of mechanical hardness and micro structure were studied among fresh cabbage, 16%B and 10, 12, 14, 16%(s) cabbage, The result of salt contents in all groups of pickled chinese cabbage were significantly increased compared with fresh cabbage. The compressive force of cabbage's steams by mechanical measurement was significantly decreased but cutting force was increased. In pickled cabbage, the cutting force was the highest correlated with salt content, In the sensory evaluation, the salty taste of leaves and chewy degree were significantly increased, but the hardness and crips of the stems were significantly decreased by increasing salt contents. Therefore the dry salting is the most excellent pickling method in small amount of kimchi production by saving salt amount and time, furthermore due to even penetration of salt into leaves and stems.

A Solute Transport Analysis around Underground Storage Cavern by using Eigenvalue Numerical Technique (고유치 수치기법을 이용한 지하저장공동 주위의 용질이동해석)

  • Chung, Il-Moon;Kim, Ji-Tae;Cho, Won-Cheol;Kim, Nam-Won
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.381-391
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    • 2008
  • The eigenvalue technique is introduced to overcome the problem of truncation errors caused by temporal discretization of numerical analysis. The eigenvalue technique is different from simulation in that only the space is discretized. The spatially discretized equation is diagonized and the linear dynamic system is then decoupled. The time integration can be done independently and continuously for any nodal point at any time. The results of eigenvalue technique are compared with the exact solution and FEM numerical solution. The eigenvalue technique is more efficient than the FEM to the computation time and the computer storage in the same conditions. This technique is applied to the solute transport analysis in nonuniform flow fields around underground storage caverns. This method can be very useful for time consuming simulations. So, a sensitivity analysis is carried out by using this method to analyze the safety of caverns from nearly located contaminant sources. According to the simulations, the reaching time from source to the nearest cavern may takes 50 years with longitudinal dispersivity of 50 m and transversal dispersivity of 5 m, respectively.

Development of Stacking and Transfer System for the Agile Fabrication (쾌속제작을 위한 적층 및 이송장치 개발)

  • 엄태준;주영철;민상현
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.55-58
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    • 2002
  • 본 논문은 쾌속제작법을 이용한 임의형상을 가공하는 새로운 방법의 개념을 소개하고 있다. 본 시스템은 레이저 절단, 이송, 적층, 소결의 단계를 통하여 세라믹재료로 된 임의형상을 가공할 수 있다. 시스템을 구성하는 주요장비로는 레이저발생장치, X-Y테이블, 이송시스템, 그리고 전기로 등이 있다. 이 시스템을 사공하면 표면의 거칠기가 매끄러운 형상을 상대적으로 짧은 시간에 제작할 수 있는 장점이 있다. 또, 2차 공정을 거치지 않고, 바로 물체를 제작할 수 있어 효율성이 높다고 할 수 있다. 제작된 모형은 바로 조립되어 사용할 수 있기 때문에 응용분야가 다양하다.