• Title/Summary/Keyword: 전통적인 통계

Search Result 553, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

The Price-discovery of Korean Bond Markets by US Treasury Bond Markets by US Treasury Bond Markets - The Start-up of Korean Bond Valuation System - (한국 채권현물시장에 대한 미국 채권현물시장의 가격발견기능 연구 - 채권시가평가제도 도입 전후를 중심으로 -)

  • Hong, Chung-Hyo;Moon, Gyu-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.21 no.2
    • /
    • pp.125-151
    • /
    • 2004
  • This study tests the price discovery from US Treasury bond markets to Korean bond markets using the daily returns of Korean bond data (CD, 3-year T-note, 5-year T-note, 5-year corporate note) and US treasury bond markets (3-month T-bill, 5-year T-note 10-year T-bond) from July 1, 1998 to December 31, 2003. For further research, we divide full data into two sub-samples on the basis of the start-up of bond valuation system in Korean bond market July 1, 2000, employing uni-variate AR(1)-GARCH(1,1)-M model. The main results are as follows. First the volatility spillover effects from US Treasury bond markets (3-month T-bill, 5-year T-note, 10-year T-bond) to Korean Treasury and Corporate bond markets (CD, 3-year T-note, 5-year T-note, 5-year corporate note) are significantly found at 1% confidence level. Second, the price discovery function from US bond markets to Korean bond markets in the sub-data of the pre-bond valuation system exists much stronger and more persistent than those of the post-bond valuation system. In particular, the role of 10-year T-bond compared with 3-month T-bill and 5-year T-note is outstanding. We imply these findings result from the international capital market integration which is accelerated by the broad opening of Korean capital market after 1997 Korean currency crisis and the development of telecommunication skill. In addition, these results are meaningful for bond investors who are in charge of capital asset pricing valuation, risk management, and international portfolio management.

  • PDF

Evaluation of factors influencing the change of vertical dimension fo face after orthodontic treatment (안모의 수직고경에 영향을 미치는 교정적 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Woo-Jeong;Kim, Sang-Cheol
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
    • /
    • v.31 no.2 s.85
    • /
    • pp.187-197
    • /
    • 2001
  • The change of the vertical dimension is of fundamental importance to the orthodontist. However, the choice between the two methods of treatment, extraction versus nonextraction, is not clear. It is not verified that the extraction method decreases vertical dimension, or nonextraction methods result in an increase in vertical dimension. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the changes of vertical dimension of face after the orthodontic treatment with standard edgewise technique, and to compare them in relation to facial types and bicuspid extraction. The subjects consisted of 165 orthodontic patients (77 of adolescents, 88 of adults), and was divided into vertical nonextraction (VN) group, vertical extraction (VE) group, horizontal nonextraction (HN) group, horizontal extraction (HE) group. Pre-and Post-treatment cephalograms were taken with standard method, traced, and digitized for each subject. The comparison of the measurements were statistically executed with Student's t-test. The results were as follows : 1. The facial height and molar height were increased after orthodontic treatment in the all groups. 2. No significant difference was found in the facial height change between the vertical and horizontal groups. 3. No significant difference was found in the facial height change between the extraction and nonextraction groups. 4. As the upper molars were extruded in adolescents group and lower molars were extruded in adults group, lower anterior facial height (LAFH) was increased. 5. None of the pretreatment variables correlates to the change of lower anterior facial height (LAFH).

  • PDF

The Effects of Problem-Solving Inquiry Teaching Using Concept Sketches on Conceptual Changes about Plate Tectonics and Science-Related Attitudes (개념스케치를 활용한 탐구 문제 해결 수업이 판구조론에 대한 개념 변화와 과학 관련 태도에 미치는 영향)

  • Kwon, Young Shin;Kim, Jeong Yul
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
    • /
    • v.35 no.4
    • /
    • pp.267-276
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of problem-solving inquiry teaching using concept sketches on conceptual changes about plate tectonics and science-related attitudes. The subjects of this study were two classes of second-year students of K high school located at Anseong in Gyeonggi Province. Before instruction, a conceptual test was conducted to survey student's preconceptions about plate tectonics. The control group took a traditional lesson, while the experimental group was applied to problem-solving inquiry teaching using concept sketches. After the inquiry instruction, TOSRA (Test of Science-Related Attitudes) was administered to find out changes in science-related attitudes of the two groups. The results of this study are as follows. The experimental group understood concepts of plate tectonics better than the control group, which means that problem-solving inquiry teaching using concept sketches was more effective in students' conceptual understanding. Science-related attitudes of the experimental group showed a significant change in the categories of 'normality of scientists', 'pleasure of science lessons', and 'interests on science as a hobby'. In conclusion, the instruction of problem-solving inquiry using concept sketches produced students' positive changes in conceptual understanding about plate tectonics and science-related attitudes.

A Comparative Study of Feature Selection Methods for Korean Web Documents Clustering (한글 웹 문서 클러스터링 성능향상을 위한 자질선정 기법 비교 연구)

  • Kim Young-Gi
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
    • /
    • v.39 no.1
    • /
    • pp.45-58
    • /
    • 2005
  • This Paper is a comparative study of feature selection methods for Korean web documents clustering. First, we focused on how the term feature and the co-link of web documents affect clustering performance. We clustered web documents by native term feature, co-link and both, and compared the output results with the originally allocated category. And we selected term features for each category using $X^2$, Information Gain (IG), and Mutual Information (MI) from training documents, and applied these features to other experimental documents. In addition we suggested a new method named Max Feature Selection, which selects terms that have the maximum count for a category in each experimental document, and applied $X^2$ (or MI or IG) values to each term instead of term frequency of documents, and clustered them. In the results, $X^2$ shows a better performance than IG or MI, but the difference appears to be slight. But when we applied the Max Feature Selection Method, the clustering Performance improved notably. Max Feature Selection is a simple but effective means of feature space reduction and shows powerful performance for Korean web document clustering.

Continual Reassessment Method in Phase I Clinical Trials for Leukemia Patients (백혈병환자 대상의 제1상임상시험 연속재평가방법)

  • Lee, Joo-Hyoung;Song, Hae-Hiang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.18 no.5
    • /
    • pp.581-594
    • /
    • 2011
  • The traditional method of 3+3 standard design and model-based Bayesian continual reassessment method (CRM) are commonly used in Phase I clinical trials to identify the maximal tolerated dose(MTD) of a new drug. In this paper we review clinical examples of Phase I trials that were carried out in patients with refractory or relapsed leukemia and myelodysplastic syndrome. The recently proposed 3+1+1 design and rolling-6 design can shorten the trial duration, when a very slow accrual of patients with a simple 3+3 standard design may result in the untimely termination of trials. Too conservative approaches in determining the dose levels in Phase I clinical trials can leave clinical investigators unable to accurately determine the MTD. When determining future patient doses, the designs that use a time-to-event CRM can cooperate late toxicities by accounting for the proportion of the observation period of each enrolled patient. With the CRM design, simulations under different scenarios during the trial are important in detecting the under- or over-estimation of the initial estimate of the dose-limiting toxicity rate for each dose level. We present the advantages and drawbacks of the designs used in Phase I clinical trials for leukemia patients.

Effect of Korean Red Ginseng on Sleep : A Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial (고려 홍삼이 수면의 질에 미치는 영향 : 무작위 위약-대조군 연구)

  • Lee, Sun-Ah;Kang, Seung-Gul;Lee, Heon-Jeong;Jung, Ki-Young;Kim, Leen
    • Sleep Medicine and Psychophysiology
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.85-90
    • /
    • 2010
  • Objectives: Ginseng has a long history of being used in insomnia treatment and there is some evidence from animal studies of its sleep-enhancing property. From this, it can be assumed that ginseng has sleep-promoting effect in humans. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of Korean red ginseng on change of sleep architecture in humans. Methods: A total of 20 healthy young males with regular sleep and wake habits and without any psychiatric nor cognitive problems were selected based on review of sleep questionnaires and sleep diaries they completed followed by an interview with a board-certified psychiatrist. The subjects were randomly assigned to red ginseng or placebo for 2 weeks of trial. The total daily dose of ginseng was 4,500 mg. The polysomnographic recordings were made at baseline and at 2 weeks after. The effects of red ginseng and placebo on sleep were assessed by comparing the changes in polysomnographic variables between the two groups. Results: A total of 15 subjects, 8 from red ginseng group and 7 from placebo group, were included to undergo polysomnographic procedures. The red ginseng group showed tendencies to increase stage 3 sleep (p=0.087) and to decrease stage 2 sleep (p=0.071) from the baseline compared with the placebo group. Conclusion: Korean red ginseng tends to increase deep sleep and decrease shallow sleep. Our result is in line, at least in part, with previous findings that Korean red ginseng increased total and NREM sleep in rats. Further studies with higher ginseng dosage, larger sample size and longer trial duration should be conducted to confirm the sleep stabilizing and balancing effects of Korean red ginseng.

  • PDF

The Articles in Korea Journal of Population Studies: Changes in Their Contents between 1971 and 2004 ("한국인구학" 게재물의 구성과 변화, $1977{\sim}2004$)

  • Kim, Doo-Sub;Park, Hyo-Joon
    • Korea journal of population studies
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.219-243
    • /
    • 2005
  • This paper reviews research outputs in Korea Journal of Population Studies (KJPS) and the changes in their contents during the period of 1977-2004. In the early years of KJPS, various types of outputs were published, but changes have been made into a direction that research articles compose the main context of the journal. As the journal published twice a year, the total number of articles of the journal shows a trend of marked rise. An analysis of the themes of articles shows that the trend of research in Korean demography has changed hand in hand with transformations of the Korean society. The traditional topics such as population policy, fertility, mortality, and migration were popular before. Labor force, nuptiality, family, aging, regional studies are found to be more popular themes of research recently. Reflecting academic and social demands, KJPS has a broaden range of authors, such as professor, researcher, a government employee, post-doc, and graduate students. The articles written by those working in universities have increased continuously, while research outputs of research institutes have decreased recently. The data for analysis used in articles are varied from but concentrated in some materials - census, vital statistics and various survey data. In early years of KJPS, relatively simple techniques of analysis were adopted in the majority of articles. However, more sophisticated techniques including applied regression analysis, logistic analysis and analysis of survival ratio turn out to be more popular recently. Finally, several suggestions for the future research are presented in this paper.

Study on the Coexistent Development of the Touristic and Educational Cultures of Temples - Focused on Youngwol region - (사찰건물의 관광 및 교육문화를 위한 상생발전 연구 - 영월지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Jo, Won-seob;Oh, Seung-ha
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
    • /
    • v.7 no.4
    • /
    • pp.178-187
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to study the coexistent development of the touristic and education cultures of temples. For the study, an investigation on the actual conditions of temples in Youngwol and a set of interviews were conducted from 13th June to 7th November in 2014. The analysis was conducted through the field observations and the interviews with building owners based on the criteria and SPSSWIN 18.0 program was used for statistical processes. The results of analysis are as follows. First, the temples are found to be the extremely valuable local cultural assets with the cultural values and historical backgrounds. Second, the major temple buildings show that they have the unique and distinct characteristics that cannot be found from other general temples, so it is necessary for developing the unique local tourism resources from them. Third, since the study shows that there is a lack of tourism and educational culture resources, so a relevant plan thereof is urgently required. The implication of this study is that there is an urgent necessity for the succession and the modern reinterpretation regarding the cultures of traditional temples, based on which a shift of viewpoint to the digital tourism, which covers both the traditional temple cultures and the modern cultures, could arise.

Predicting Corporate Bankruptcy using Simulated Annealing-based Random Fores (시뮬레이티드 어니일링 기반의 랜덤 포레스트를 이용한 기업부도예측)

  • Park, Hoyeon;Kim, Kyoung-jae
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.155-170
    • /
    • 2018
  • Predicting a company's financial bankruptcy is traditionally one of the most crucial forecasting problems in business analytics. In previous studies, prediction models have been proposed by applying or combining statistical and machine learning-based techniques. In this paper, we propose a novel intelligent prediction model based on the simulated annealing which is one of the well-known optimization techniques. The simulated annealing is known to have comparable optimization performance to the genetic algorithms. Nevertheless, since there has been little research on the prediction and classification of business decision-making problems using the simulated annealing, it is meaningful to confirm the usefulness of the proposed model in business analytics. In this study, we use the combined model of simulated annealing and machine learning to select the input features of the bankruptcy prediction model. Typical types of combining optimization and machine learning techniques are feature selection, feature weighting, and instance selection. This study proposes a combining model for feature selection, which has been studied the most. In order to confirm the superiority of the proposed model in this study, we apply the real-world financial data of the Korean companies and analyze the results. The results show that the predictive accuracy of the proposed model is better than that of the naïve model. Notably, the performance is significantly improved as compared with the traditional decision tree, random forests, artificial neural network, SVM, and logistic regression analysis.

Optimization for the Process of Osmotic Dehydration for the Manufacturing of Dried Kiwifruit (건조키위 제조를 위한 삼투건조공정의 최적화)

  • Hong, Joo-Hun;Youn, Kwang-Seob;Choi, Yong-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.30 no.2
    • /
    • pp.348-355
    • /
    • 1998
  • The developments of various processed foods and the high quality dried fruits, in particular, are urgently needed for the enhancement of fruit consumption and their competitive values. Therefore, in this study, three variables by three level factorial design and response surface methodology were used to determine optimum conditions for osmotic dehydration of kiwifruit. The relationships of moisture losses, solid gains, weight reductions, sugar contents, titratable acidities and vitamin C contents depending on changes with temperature, sugar concentration and immersion time were investigated. The moisture loss, solid gain, weight reduction and reduction of moisture content after osmotic dehydration were increased as temperature, sugar concentration and immersion time increased. The effect of concentration was more significant than those of temperature and time on mass transfer. Sugar content was increased by increasing sugar concentration, temperature, immersion time during osmotic dehydration. Titratable acidity and vitamin C content were increased by decreasing temperature, immersion time and increasing concentration during osmotic dehydration. The regression models showed a significant lack of fit (P>0.05) and were highly significant with satisfying values of $R^2$. At the given conditions such as $66{\sim}69%$ moisture content, above $24^{\circ}Brix$ sugar content and more than 23 mg% vitamin C, the optimum condition for osmotic dehydration was $37^{\circ}C,\;55^{\circ}Brix$ and 1.5 hour.

  • PDF