• Title/Summary/Keyword: 전진선택법

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Illegal Cash Accommodation Detection Modeling Using Ensemble Size Reduction (신용카드 불법현금융통 적발을 위한 축소된 앙상블 모형)

  • Lee, Hwa-Kyung;Han, Sang-Bum;Jhee, Won-Chul
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.93-116
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    • 2010
  • Ensemble approach is applied to the detection modeling of illegal cash accommodation (ICA) that is the well-known type of fraudulent usages of credit cards in far east nations and has not been addressed in the academic literatures. The performance of fraud detection model (FDM) suffers from the imbalanced data problem, which can be remedied to some extent using an ensemble of many classifiers. It is generally accepted that ensembles of classifiers produce better accuracy than a single classifier provided there is diversity in the ensemble. Furthermore, recent researches reveal that it may be better to ensemble some selected classifiers instead of all of the classifiers at hand. For the effective detection of ICA, we adopt ensemble size reduction technique that prunes the ensemble of all classifiers using accuracy and diversity measures. The diversity in ensemble manifests itself as disagreement or ambiguity among members. Data imbalance intrinsic to FDM affects our approach for ICA detection in two ways. First, we suggest the training procedure with over-sampling methods to obtain diverse training data sets. Second, we use some variants of accuracy and diversity measures that focus on fraud class. We also dynamically calculate the diversity measure-Forward Addition and Backward Elimination. In our experiments, Neural Networks, Decision Trees and Logit Regressions are the base models as the ensemble members and the performance of homogeneous ensembles are compared with that of heterogeneous ensembles. The experimental results show that the reduced size ensemble is as accurate on average over the data-sets tested as the non-pruned version, which provides benefits in terms of its application efficiency and reduced complexity of the ensemble.

Association of Hemoglobin A1c with Visceral Fat Measured by Computed Tomography in Nondiabetic Adults (당뇨병이 없는 농촌지역의 건강한 성인 남녀에서 당화혈색소와 내장지방과의 관계)

  • Han, A Lum;Shin, Sae-Ron;Park, Seong-Hoon;Lee, Jeong Mi
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.215-222
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    • 2012
  • Objective: A prediabetes hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) level of 5.7%-6.4% is considered a risk factor for diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the USA. In this study, we assessed the HbA1c and visceral fat levels as CVD risk factors in health check-up examinees who were not yet diagnosed with diabetes. Methods: Totally, 507 study subject were categorized as per criteria of the American Diabetes Association, depending on whether the HbA1c level was ${\geq}5.7%$ or <5.7%. Lipid levels, blood pressure, BMI (kg/$m^2$), total abdominal, and visceral fat levels were measured by computed tomography. Results: The mean of HbA1c in the male group was larger than the mean in the female group and their values were, respectively, $6.03{\pm}0.82%$ and $5.88{\pm}0.72%$(p<0.05). Only the mean values of age and visceral fat area were different between $HbA1c{\geq}5.7%$ and <5.7% in both male and female group(p<0.05). Visceral fat levels were significantly associated with HbA1c in the group of HbA1c ${\geq}5.7%$ (odds ratio=1.005, 95% CI 1.002~1.008). Conclusions: Visceral fat levels were significantly higher and correlated with the group which HbA1c level is ${\geq}5.7%$. This finding suggests that subjects who have high levels of HbA1c should be carefully monitored during prediabetes and should have chance to have health education programs.

An empirical study on a firm's fail prediction model by considering whether there are embezzlement, malpractice and the largest shareholder changes or not (횡령.배임 및 최대주주변경을 고려한 부실기업예측모형 연구)

  • Moon, Jong Geon;Hwang Bo, Yun
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.119-132
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    • 2014
  • This study analyzed the failure prediction model of the firms listed on the KOSDAQ by considering whether there are embezzlement, malpractice and the largest shareholder changes or not. This study composed a total of 166 firms by using two-paired sampling method. For sample of failed firm, 83 manufacturing firms which delisted on KOSDAQ market for 4 years from 2009 to 2012 are selected. For sample of normal firm, 83 firms (with same item or same business as failed firm) that are listed on KOSDAQ market and perform normal business activities during the same period (from 2009 to 2012) are selected. This study selected 80 financial ratios for 5 years immediately preceding from delisting of sample firm above and conducted T-test to derive 19 of them which emerged for five consecutive years among significant variables and used forward selection to estimate logistic regression model. While the precedent studies only analyzed the data of three years immediately preceding the delisting, this study analyzes data of five years immediately preceding the delisting. This study is distinct from existing previous studies that it researches which significant financial characteristic influences the insolvency from the initial phase of insolvent firm with time lag and it also empirically analyzes the usefulness of data by building a firm's fail prediction model which considered embezzlement/malpractice and the largest shareholder changes as dummy variable(non-financial characteristics). The accuracy of classification of the prediction model with dummy variable appeared 95.2% in year T-1, 88.0% in year T-2, 81.3% in year T-3, 79.5% in year T-4, and 74.7% in year T-5. It increased as year of delisting approaches and showed generally higher the accuracy of classification than the results of existing previous studies. This study expects to reduce the damage of not only the firm but also investors, financial institutions and other stakeholders by finding the firm with high potential to fail in advance.

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Prediction and analysis of acute fish toxicity of pesticides to the rainbow trout using 2D-QSAR (2D-QSAR방법을 이용한 농약류의 무지개 송어 급성 어독성 분석 및 예측)

  • Song, In-Sik;Cha, Ji-Young;Lee, Sung-Kwang
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.544-555
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    • 2011
  • The acute toxicity in the rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) was analyzed and predicted using quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSAR). The aquatic toxicity, 96h $LC_{50}$ (median lethal concentration) of 275 organic pesticides, was obtained from EU-funded project DEMETRA. Prediction models were derived from 558 2D molecular descriptors, calculated in PreADMET. The linear (multiple linear regression) and nonlinear (support vector machine and artificial neural network) learning methods were optimized by taking into account the statistical parameters between the experimental and predicted p$LC_{50}$. After preprocessing, population based forward selection were used to select the best subsets of descriptors in the learning methods including 5-fold cross-validation procedure. The support vector machine model was used as the best model ($R^2_{CV}$=0.677, RMSECV=0.887, MSECV=0.674) and also correctly classified 87% for the training set according to EU regulation criteria. The MLR model could describe the structural characteristics of toxic chemicals and interaction with lipid membrane of fish. All the developed models were validated by 5 fold cross-validation and Y-scrambling test.

Estimation on the application of Reference Materials for PCBs Proficiency Testing from the transformer oil (폐절연유를 이용한 숙련도 평가용 PCBs 표준물질의 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Woo-Il;Kwon, Myung-Hee;Jeon, Tae-Wan;Kim, Dong-Hoon;Chun, Jin-Won;Sim, Ki-Tae;Yeon, Jin-Mo
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.247-254
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    • 2010
  • This study was carried out to produce Reference Materials (RMs) for Proficiency Testing (PT) of PCBs in waste analytical laboratories. Two RMs were prepared from used transformer oil samples and PCB free transformer oil by spiking PCBs standard solutions. The spiked PCB RMs were homogenized by mixing and settling up to 90 days. Homogenized concentration of PCBs with Arochlor 1254 (6 ppm), 1254:1260 (1:1) (5 ppm) were observed in 60 days stationary phase but Arochlor 1260 (3.5 mg/L) were observed in 90 days stationary phase. One-way ANOVA test were carried out and showed that the RMs were suitably homogenized, which can be used for proficiency testing. The Relative Standard Deviations (RSDs) of analytical results were 3.51~5.01% for the PCBs RMs in 10 replicates. The expanded uncertainty of PCBs analytical procedure were 0.26~0.49.

The Change of the Phoria in Accordance with the Color and Concentration of the Color Lens (착색렌즈의 색상과 농도에 따른 원거리 사위도의 변화)

  • Choi, Hyun-Soo;Park, Sung-Jong;Lee, Seok-Ju;Jin, Moon-Seok;Jun, Jin;Ryu, Geun-Chang
    • Journal of Korean Ophthalmic Optics Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.339-343
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: In this study, we investigated changes of phoria based on varying the color and concentration of the color in lenses. Methods: We measured distance phoria for 39 students who aged 20 to 40 with different concentrated lenes - red, gray, brown and green lenses in concentration 20%, 50% and 80%, respectively. Results: Subjects were divided into three groups which were orthophoria, esophoria and exophoria. Orthophoria in all the color and concentration, there were a few of the esophoria. Esophoria of average 2.07${\Delta}$,B.O showed that a slight increase in all colors and concentration, especially in brown lenses showed the greatest increase. Exophoria of average 3.82${\Delta}$,B.I showed that a slight decrease in all colors and concentration, especially in green lenses showed to 2.95${\Delta}$,B.I to the greatest decrease. Different concentration in same color had no specific tendency regarding phoria. Conclusions: The phoria must be considered when selecting color of the lens because of phoria is changeable by color of the lens. It is expected to study the criteria that minimize the asthenopia.

Risk Factors for Binge-eating and Food Addiction : Analysis with Propensity-Score Matching and Logistic Regression (폭식행동 및 음식중독의 위험요인 분석: 성향점수매칭과 로지스틱 회귀모델을 이용한 분석)

  • Jake Jeong;Whanhee Lee;Jung In Choi;Young Hye Cho;Kwangyeol Baek
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.685-698
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to identify binge-eating behavior and food addiction in Korean population and to determine their associations with obesity, eating behaviors, mental health and cognitive characteristics. We collected clinical questionnaire scores related to eating problems (e.g. binge eating, food addiction, food cravings), mental health (e.g. depression), and cognitive functions (e.g. impulsivity, emotion regulation) in 257 Korean adults in the normal and the obese weight ranges. Binge-eating and food addiction were most frequent in obese women (binge-eating: 46.6%, food addiction: 29.3%) when we divided the participants into 4 groups depending on gender and obesity status. The independence test using the data with propensity score matching confirmed that binge-eating and food addiction were more prevalent in obese individuals. Finally, we constructed the logistic regression models using forward selection method to evaluate the influence of various clinical questionnaire scores on binge-eating and food addiction respectively. Binge-eating was significantly associated with the clinical scales of eating disorders, food craving, state anxiety, and emotion regulation (cognitive reappraisal) as well as food addiction. Food addiction demonstrated the significant effect of food craving, binge-eating, the interaction of obesity and age, and years of education. In conclusion, we found that binge-eating and food addiction are much more frequent in females and obese individuals. Both binge-eating and food addiction commonly involved eating problems (e.g. food craving), but there was difference in mental health and cognitive risk factors. Therefore, it is required to distinguish food addiction from binge-eating and investigate intrinsic and environmental risk factors for each pathology.

Retrospective study of implant stability according to the implant length, diameter and position (임플란트 길이, 직경 및 식립 위치에 따른 임플란트 안정성에 관한 후향적 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Hye;Jeon, Jin-Yong;Heo, Yu-Ri;Son, Mee-Kyoung
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Prosthodontics
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.269-275
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the influence of implant diameter, length and placement to implant stability. Materials and methods: Total 90 implants (US II plus$^{TM}$, Osstem co, Busan, Korea) of 72 patients were determined as experimental samples. The factors of diameters(${\phi}$ 4 mm, ${\phi}$ 5 mm), lengths (10 mm, 11.5 mm, 13 mm), and implant placement (maxilla, mandible) were analyzed. The stability of the implants was measured by resonance frequency analysis (RFA) at the time of implant placement and impression taking. The difference of ISQ values according to patient's gender was evaluated by Independent t-test. ISQ values were compared between implant diameter, length and placement using one-way ANOVA and Tukey HSD test (${\alpha}=.05$). To compare ISQ values between at the time of surgery and impression taking, paired t-tests were used (${\alpha}=.05$). Results: The change of implant length did not show significant different on the ISQ value (P>.05). However, 5 mm diameter implants had higher ISQ values than 4 mm diameter implants (P<.05). Implants placed on the mandible showed significantly higher ISQ values than on the maxilla (P<.05). Conclusion: In order to increase implant stability, it is better to select the wider implant, and implants placed on mandible are possible to get higher stability than maxilla. ISQ values at impression taking showed higher implant stability than ISQ values at implant placement, it means that RFA is clinically effective method to evaluate the change of implant stability through the osseointegration. The consideration of the factors which may affect to the implant stability will help to determine the time of load applying and increase the implant success rate.

Clinical implications on vancomycin-resistant enterococci isolated from the specimen of pediatric patients in a university hospital (단일 기관에서 소아 환자들의 임상검체로부터 분리된 Vancomycin 내성 장구균에 대한 임상적 고찰)

  • Park, Yeo Hoon;Kim, Khi Joo;Kim, Ki Hwan;Chun, Jin-Kyong;Lee, Taek Jin;Kim, Dong Soo;Park, Eun Suk
    • Pediatric Infection and Vaccine
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.162-170
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    • 2007
  • Purpose : While cases of vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE) have increasingly been reported worldwide since it was first reported in the late 1980s, there have been few systemic studies on the pediatric population. The purpose of this study is to contribute to the planning of VRE prevention by investigating the prevalence, risk factors and transmission of VRE infection. Methods : We studied 230 patients under age 15 years who were isolated VRE between January 2001 and December 2006 retrospectively. The patients were classified into the intensive care unit (ICU) and the non-ICU groups. We reviewed the procedures before VRE detection as well as antibiotic sensitivity of detected organisms. Results : The number of VRE-isolation cases was higher in the ICU group than the non-ICU group. Instances of VRE-isolation were also more prevalent in patients who underwent operations or active procedures while taking 3rd-generation cephalosporins or glycopeptides. Almost all antibiotics except tetracycline were resistant to VRE. The proportion of 3rd-generation cephalosporin use was higher than those of any other antibiotics before VRE detection. Additionally, the use of 3rd-generation cephalosporins has increased annually, but that of glycopeptides had decreased in 2006. Also, the rates of VRE isolation have been increasing since 1998. Conclusion : VRE infection is increasing in pediatric population. Strict adherence to appropriate infection control guidelines for the prevention of VRE transmission in hospitals, and tracking of VRE colonization through active surveillance in high risk units are recommended.

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