• Title/Summary/Keyword: 재무 리스크

Search Result 72, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

Application to the Stochastic Modelling of Risk Measurement in Bunker Price and Foreign Exchange Rate on the Maritime Industry (확률변동성 모형을 적용한 해운산업의 벙커가격과 환율 리스크 추정)

  • Kim, Hyunsok
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.34 no.1
    • /
    • pp.99-110
    • /
    • 2018
  • This study empirically examines simple methodology to quantify the risk resulted from the uncertainty of bunker price and foreign exchange rate, which cause main resources of the cost in shipping industry during the periods between $1^{st}$ of January 2010 and $31^{st}$ of January 2018. To shed light on the risk measurement in cash flows we tested GBM(Geometric Brownian Motion) frameworks such as the model with conditional heteroskedasticity and jump diffusion process. The main contribution based on empirical results are summarized as following three: first, the risk analysis, which is dependent on a single variable such as freight yield, is extended to analyze the effects of multiple factors such as bunker price and exchange rate return volatility. Second, at the individual firm level, the need for risk management in bunker price and exchange rate is presented as cash flow. Finally, based on the scale of the risk presented by the analysis results, the shipping companies are required that there is a need to consider what is appropriate as a means of risk management.

Study on the Plan for Reduction of Credit Risk of Medium-size Construction Companies Preparing for Restructuring (구조조정에 대비한 중견건설사 신용리스크 저감방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, YunHong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.21 no.5
    • /
    • pp.64-73
    • /
    • 2020
  • The government announced a plan for fund support to the enterprises with high possibility of recovery and early restructuring for the enterprises with low recovery by objectifying credit assessment system. Such announcement of government could be extended to restructuring risk of middle standing enterprises with low financial soundness by establishing the basis to prepare prompt restructuring by reinforcing the basis for restructuring through capital market. This research analyzed financial soundness based on the financial evaluation of bank by selecting 10 middle standing construction companies which focused on housing business in 2019, based on such analysis result, it was confirmed that there was a high possibility of restructuring risk. This research determined that there would be a decrease in growth rate of construction industry on the whole in 2020 due to fall of economic growth rate and reinforced real estate regulation, accordingly, there's a big possibility for middle standing construction companies with paid-in capital ratio due to its low possibility of maintenance of stable credit rating. This research established KCSI assessment model by utilizing the material of a reliable research institute in order for middle standing construction companies to evade restructuring risk, and indicated risk ratio differentiated per each item through a working-level expert survey. Such research result could suggest credit risk reduction method to middle standing construction company management staffs, and prepare a basis to evade restructuring risk.

Research on Interest Rate Determinants in Shipping Loans (선박금융의 금리결정 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Kyung-Suk;Lee, Ki-Hwan;Kim, Myoung-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.40 no.1
    • /
    • pp.133-149
    • /
    • 2024
  • According to previous studies, the key factor in determining the loan interest rate for shipping companies is the default risk premium. Therefore, this study analyzes the determinants of the risk premium of shipping loans using a multiple linear regression model. With the risk premium as the dependent variable, a total of 10 independent variables are selected, including three factors: loan characteristics, borrower's creditworthiness, and economic situation. Samples are 82 shipping loans supported by Bank A from 2014 to 2022. As a result, borrower's creditworthiness(current ratio, debt ratio, firm age) and economic situation(freight index) affect the risk premium in analysis for all samples. It is found that borrower's creditworthiness has some influence on the risk premium for container ships(current ratio, cash holding ratio, debt ratio, operating income to sales) and bulk carriers(debt ratio, firm age). Market situation affects the risk premium in gas carriers. However, in the model targeting tanker ships, unlike previous studies, all factors have no effect on the risk premium.

A Sensitivity Analysis for Risk Management of Private Investment Projects - Focused on BTL Projects - (민자유치사업의 리스크 관리를 위한 민감요인 분석 - BTL 사업을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Sun-Kuk;Park, Tong-Kyu
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.7 no.1 s.29
    • /
    • pp.168-175
    • /
    • 2006
  • Since the partly changed 'Private Investment Act for Social Infrastructure Projects' set forth in January 2005, the number of BTL(Build-Transfer-Lease) projects offered to the market has rapidly increased. The scope of BTL projects offered covers not only legally defined facilities but several facilities for the private schools. A BTL project, by definition, is a way of project management that includes the entire process of development such as planning, design, construction and operation over the period of 20-30 years. As a result, various types of risk may happen at each stage of the project and it is extremely important to efficiently control the sensitive factors that affect the risk profiles of the project. The examples of the sensitive factors are construction cost, interest rate, discount rate, lease amount, rental fee, O&M cost and so on. This study examines the characteristics of these sensitivity factors, analyzes their impact on the project feasibility and suggests the alternatives to manage them efficiently.

A Study of the Analysis and Identification of Risk Factor in Regard to Cash Flow in Public Rental Housing Development Project (공공건설임대주택사업의 현금흐름에 대한 리스크분석)

  • Lee Sang-Gon;Lee Jae-Young;Lee Hak-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • 2004.11a
    • /
    • pp.423-426
    • /
    • 2004
  • Costs of public rental housing development project consist on various kinds of profits and expenses such as national housing fund, rental cost, construction cost, financing cost. Therefore, project would not be executed without minute management and precise prediction about each item. Cash (low prediction and analysis are necessary to grasp current situation of project, because construction project which is conducted for a long period has fluent risks and inflows and outflows of cash. Although cash flow analysis has been conducted, cash flow has never been expected and managed. General matters to expect cash flow can be known by actual results and literatures. Hut there is no thesis which is studied about risk to enhance precision of expectation of cash flow. As existing thesises studied the risk about whole project, we haven't known precise relations of cash flow and project. Therefore, in this study, we are supposed to analysis and distinguish risk facts which can affect each item of cash flow for precise cash flow expectation and management of public rental housing development project.

  • PDF

Review of change and response strategies for ESG management (ESG 경영을 위한 변화 및 대응 전략 검토)

  • Choe Yoowha
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
    • /
    • v.9 no.3
    • /
    • pp.75-79
    • /
    • 2023
  • ESG management means to thoroughly consider the investor's perspective when evaluating corporate value, and environmental, social, and governance issues are continuous and strategic monitoring issues in identifying risk and opportunity factors related to corporate management activities. In other words, the perspective of value creation is reflected in business relationships. The fundamental purpose of ESG management is continuous business value creation and thorough management of investment risks and business transactions in contractual relationships. It is also a requirement of linked investors. The field that Korean companies are currently experiencing the most is the recognition that 'ESG information collection is necessary and maintenance must be prioritized' in investor IR and global sales and marketing departments, and the primary need for this is emerging. In addition, as the legal affairs office, environmental safety department, and human resources department, which conduct compliance management, carry out related tasks, clarity at the organizational level must precede in order to properly establish an information integration and management system. It covers the scope of securing new market opportunities such as management, disclosure and communication. Therefore, in regard to the newly emerging ESG management and response methods, it is necessary to review and implement it repeatedly so that sustainable exchange profits can be created by simultaneously managing non-financial risks as well as efforts to enhance corporate value for financial returns.

A Study on Oil Price Risk Affecting the Korean Stock Market (한국주식시장에 파급되는 국제유가의 위험에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Ji-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.75-106
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this study, it is analyzed whether oil price plays a major role in the pricing return on Koran stock market and examined why the covariance risk between oil and return on stock is different in each industry. Firstly, this study explores whether the expected rate of return on stock is pricing due to global oil price factors as a function of risk premium by using a two-factor APT. Also, it is examined whether spill-over effects of oil price volatility affect the beta risk to oil price. Considering the asymmetry of oil price volatility, we use the GJR model. As a result, it shows that oil price is an independent pricing factor and oil price volatility transmits to stock return in only electricity and electrical equipment. Secondly, the two step-analyzing process is introduced to find why the covariance between oil price factor and stock return is different in each industry. The first step is to study whether beta risk exists in each industry by using two proxy variables like size and liquidity as control variables. The second step is to grasp the systematic relationship between the difference of liquidity and size and beta to oil price factor by using the panel-data model which can be analyzed efficiently using the cross-sectional data formed with time series. Through the analysis, we can argue that oil price factor is an independent pricing factor in only electricity and electrical equipment having the greatest market capitalization, and know that beta risk to oil price factor is a proxy of size in the other industries. According to the result of panel-data model, it is argued that the beta to oil price factor augments when market capitalization increases and this fact supports the first assertion. In conclusion, the expected rate of return of electricity and electrical equipment works as a function of risk premium to market portfolio and oil price, and the reason to make beta risk power differentiated in each industry attributes to the size.

  • PDF

A Study on the Risk Management Strategy of the Large Scale Construction Company According to the Change of Real Estate Market (부동산시장 변화에 따른 대형건설사 리스크관리 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yun-Hong;Ji, Kyu-Hyun
    • Land and Housing Review
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2018
  • As the government announced Real Estate Policies on August 02, most areas except for Seoul cities face increasing business risks. Moreover, the government control over financial sectors' loan leads to the highly possible contraction of new distribution markets. The market trend could bring about the reduction of new demand in PF (Private Financing) business that large construction companies mainly concentrate on, and even the business already obtained has a high risk of being distributed, which could result in substantially low profitability. The currently unstable financial structure of most construction companies is caused by the hike of the prime cost of foreign plants except for that of a few construction companies. If PF (Private Financing) business also faces a difficult situation in such a financial condition, even large construction companies come to have the high possibility of a deficiency in credit rating. Accordingly, the major business that large construction companies concentrate on needs the sufficient business review. It is desirable to make a bid for business guaranteeing stability rather than business solely in consideration of profitability, when participating in a competition for a new construction contract.

The Study of Enterprise Risk Management as a New Corporate Management Approach;Concept and Implementation (새로운 경영관리 기법으로 ERM의 개념과 적용방안에 대한 연구)

  • Choi, Seh-Eob;Kim, Jin-Kyung;Lee, Chang-Kook
    • 한국IT서비스학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2005.05a
    • /
    • pp.591-599
    • /
    • 2005
  • 현재의 경영환경은 기업경영에 긍정적 또는 부정적인 영향을 미칠 Event가 다양하고 예측이 어려워지고 있는 상황에 직면하고 있다. 반면에 각종 경영상의 규정과 규제는 주주와 시장의 입장에서 기업의 경영의 투명성과 신뢰성을 요구하고 있다. 대표적으로 금융산업은 Basel II, 미국증시에 상장된 기업은 SOA라 불라는 Sarbanes-Oxley법안, 국내기업은 집단소송제, 외감법, 증권거래법 등에 기업의 경영 성과와 재무제표에 대한 경영진의 서명 및 외부감사인의 검토를 규정하고 있다. 경영진은 전략적인 목적 달성에 영향을 미치는 내외부에서 발생하는 상황과 규정/규제에 대한 대응현황을 종합적으로 판단해야만 하게 되었다. 이러한 상황에서 2004년 9윌 Committee of Sponsoring Organization of the Treadway Commission(이하 COSO)에서는 Enterprise Risk Management Framework을 발표하였다. 이는 기존 내부통제(Internal Control) 개념을 확장/보완한 개념으로 전사적 관점에서 기업에 영향을 미치는 Event를 식별하고 통제하는 일련의 과정을 정의 하고 있다. 대부분 기업에서는 법규와 규정중심의 대응을 추진하고 있는 현황이며, 추진 과정시 리스크에 대한 개념이나 관리 수준에 대한 혼란을 격고 있다. 리스크 정의시 일관된 관점을 유지할 수 있는 관리 범주와 관리 목적의 부재를 제기하고 있며, 일회적인 관리가 아닌 정례화된 프로세스로 운영하도록 하는 관리체계 정립을 위한 방법론이나 실행가이드를 필요로 하고 있다. 이에 새로운 관리체계로서 Enterprise Risk Management(이하 ERM) 도입을 위하여 ERM에 대한 명확한 이해와 적용시 주요이슈에 대한 실천적 해결안을 제시하는 것을 본 연구의 목적으로 삼고자 한다

  • PDF

긍정심리자본이 중소기업 구성원의 직무소진에 미치는 영향연구

  • Choe, Seong-Yong;Ha, Gyu-Su
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2019.11a
    • /
    • pp.39-43
    • /
    • 2019
  • 우리나라 중소기업을 '9988'이라는 숫자에 대입해 비유하기도 한다. 기업 숫자로 보면 전체기업의 99%가 중소기업이고, 전체 근로자의 약 88%가 중소기업에 종사하고 있다(중소기업 중앙회, 2015년 중소기업위상지표, 2015. 5)는 의미이다. 하지만 대부분의 중소기업은 대기업에 비해 취약한 재무구조, 기술 또는 인적 경쟁력을 확보하지 못함으로써 발생되는 생산성 저하, 비효율적 업무처리 방식에 기인한 고비용, 저효율의 구조적 문제를 지니고 있다. 더욱이 21세기 시장경제 흐름에 따른 환경변화에 빠르게 대처하지 못하는 현실이 앞으로의 미래를 더 암울하게 바라보는 이유이기도 하다. 중소기업은 이러한 구조적 문제 외에 창업주나 CEO 관련된 인적 리스크에도 미래를 담보할 수 없으며, 지속가능 경영을 할 수도 없다. 특히 회사가 어려움에 봉착했을 때 중소기업의 구성원들은 소진(Burnout, 번아웃)을 경험하게 되며, 이를 업무와 관련해서는 직무소진이라 말한다. 직무만족을 저하시키는 이 직무소진은 개인에게 부정적 개념을 가지게 하여 직무수행 능력을 저하시키며, 개인적 측면에서도 신체적, 심리적으로 부정적 영향을 미치게 한다. 본 연구는 긍정심리자본이 직무소진에 미치는 영향에 관해 초점을 맞추고자 한다. 긍정심리자본이 중소기업 구성원의 직무소진에 긍정적 영향을 끼쳐 회사의 성장과 번영을 위한 조직유효성을 이끌어 낼 수 있다고 보기 때문이다. 이 연구는 중소기업 구성원의 긍정심리자본을 높여 직무소진을 줄이게 함으로써 향후 지속가능한 경영을 달성하게 만드는 단초가 될 것으로 본다.

  • PDF