• Title/Summary/Keyword: 재난분석

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A study on the spread of the foot-and-mouth disease in Korea in 2010/2011 (2010/2011년도 한국 발생 구제역 확산에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Jihyun;Oh, Changhyuck
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.271-280
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    • 2014
  • Foot-and-mouth Disease (FMD) is a highly infectious and fatal viral livestock disease that affects cloven-hoofed animals domestic and wild and the FMD outbreak in Korea in 2010/2011 was a disastrous incident for the country and the economy. Thus, efforts at the national level are put to prevent foot-and-mouth disease and to reduce the damage in the case of outbreak. As one of these efforts, it is useful to study the spread of the disease by using probabilistic model. In fact, after the FMD epidemic in the UK occurred in 2001, many studies have been carried on the spread of the disease using a variety of stochastic models as an effort to prepare future outbreak of FMD. However, for the FMD outbreak in Korea occurred in 2010/2011, there are few study by utilizing probabilistic model. This paper assumes a stochastic spatial-temporal susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic model for the 2010/2011 FMD outbreak to understand spread of the disease. Since data on infections of FMD disease during 2010/2011 outbreak of Aniaml and Plant Quarantine Agency and on the livestock farms from the nationwide census in 2011 of Statistics Korea do not have detail informations on address or missing values, we generate detail information on address by randomly allocating farms within corresponding Si/Gun area. The kernel function is estimated using the infection data and by using simulations, the susceptibility and transmission of the spatial-temporal stochastic SIR models are determined.

Derivation of Building Fire Safety Assessment Factors for Generating 3D Safety Status Map (3D 안전상태지도 제작을 위한 건물 화재안전 평가항목 도출)

  • Youn, Junhee;Kim, Taehoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2020
  • Various technologies, systems, and legal systems are applied to prevent and quickly respond to fire disaster; nevertheless, the damages to life and property caused by fires are not reduced every year. For managing fire disaster, generating spatial information-based safety status map and procuring suitability of attribute information for each position information are essential. The safety status map is generated by deriving the fire safety status assessment factors, indexing, and locating the surveying results through various methods. In this paper, we deal with derivation of building fire safety assessment factors for 3D safety status map. At first, we survey the foreign and domestic fire assessment model cases and its factors, and analyze the applicability of Korean 3D fire safety status map. Next, assessment factors for fire safety assessment model are derived. Assessment factors are derived and categorized by their information collecting activity; factors that can be accessed through basic building information and factors that can be accessed through field survey. As a derivation result, 14 assessment factors were derived over five categories(Industry Risk, Structural Risk, Fire Fighting Facility, Fire Dangerousness, Fire Response Status).

A study of the economic effects of weather and climate information on marine logistics (해상운송업의 기상기후정보 경제적 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Lho, Sangwhan;Lim, Dongsoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2014
  • Weather seems to influence industries in a variety of ways. On a day-to-day basis, it is the most volatile external factor influencing consumer and market behavior. And, because weather is constantly changing, industries must deal with a continuously shifting array of opportunities and risks. This study aims to examine how climate and weather changes and information, as external environmental factors, have affected the Korean industries, particularly marine shipping and logistics. To find out the economic value of marine weather information, we use measurable results of VVOS(Vessel and Voyage Optimization Services) in the ocean shipping, which the marine weather software tool can save fuel costs up to 4%. When the fuel saving is same as VVOS's performance, the saving of Korean flag ship is estimated about 62 billion won and the saving of total flag ship is estimated about 519 billion won. However, coastal shipping companies have been struggling with the heavy weather factors, such as wave height, wave period and wind. Major findings are that wind and wave height have a significant negative effect on cargo transport, while wave period has a significant positive effect on cargo transport. And to conclude, when we use efficiently the marine weather information, we can increase cargo transport and save fuel costs etc.

Development of a Flood Disaster Evacuation Map Using Two-dimensional Flood Analysis and BIM Technology (2차원 침수해석과 BIM 기술을 활용한 홍수재난 대피지도 작성)

  • Jeong, Changsam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the two-dimensional flow analysis model Hydro_AS-2D model was used to simulate the situation of flooding in Seongsangu and Uichang-gu in Changwon in the event of rising sea levels and extreme flooding, and the results were expressed on three-dimensional topography and the optimal evacuation path was derived using BIM technology. Climate change significantly affects two factors in terms of flood damage: rising sea levels and increasing extreme rainfall ideas. The rise in sea level itself can not only have the effect of flooding coastal areas and causing flooding, but it also raises the base flood level of the stream, causing the rise of the flood level throughout the stream. In this study, the rise of sea level by climate change, the rise of sea level by storm tidal wave by typhoon, and the extreme rainfall by typhoon were set as simulated conditions. The three-dimensional spatial information of the entire basin was constructed using the information of topographical space in Changwon and the information of the river crossing in the basic plan for river refurbishment. Using BIM technology, the target area was constructed as a three-dimensional urban information model that had information such as the building's height and location of the shelter on top of the three-dimensional topographical information, and the results of the numerical model were expressed on this model and used for analysis for evacuation planning. In the event of flooding, the escape route is determined by an algorithm that sets the path to the shelter according to changes in the inundation range over time, and the set path is expressed on intuitive three-dimensional spatial information and provided to the user.

Three-Dimensional Positional Accuracy Analysis of UAV Imagery Using Ground Control Points Acquired from Multisource Geospatial Data (다종 공간정보로부터 취득한 지상기준점을 활용한 UAV 영상의 3차원 위치 정확도 비교 분석)

  • Park, Soyeon;Choi, Yoonjo;Bae, Junsu;Hong, Seunghwan;Sohn, Hong-Gyoo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.5_3
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    • pp.1013-1025
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    • 2020
  • Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) platform is being widely used in disaster monitoring and smart city, having the advantage of being able to quickly acquire images in small areas at a low cost. Ground Control Points (GCPs) for positioning UAV images are essential to acquire cm-level accuracy when producing UAV-based orthoimages and Digital Surface Model (DSM). However, the on-site acquisition of GCPs takes considerable manpower and time. This research aims to provide an efficient and accurate way to replace the on-site GNSS surveying with three different sources of geospatial data. The three geospatial data used in this study is as follows; 1) 25 cm aerial orthoimages, and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) based on 1:1000 digital topographic map, 2) point cloud data acquired by Mobile Mapping System (MMS), and 3) hybrid point cloud data created by merging MMS data with UAV data. For each dataset a three-dimensional positional accuracy analysis of UAV-based orthoimage and DSM was performed by comparing differences in three-dimensional coordinates of independent check point obtained with those of the RTK-GNSS survey. The result shows the third case, in which MMS data and UAV data combined, to be the most accurate, showing an RMSE accuracy of 8.9 cm in horizontal and 24.5 cm in vertical, respectively. In addition, it has been shown that the distribution of geospatial GCPs has more sensitive on the vertical accuracy than on horizontal accuracy.

A Study of the Improvement Plan and Real Condition Estimation of Fire Protection Safety Management for Power Plants in Korea (국내발전소 소방안전관리 운영실태조사 및 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Gil-Soo;Choi, Jae-wook
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.61-73
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    • 2017
  • The Fukushima Nuclear Disaster in 2011 and California Power Failure in 2001 are examples of the importance of the power plant safety management that caused huge national loss with a power-related mass casualty incident. In a situation where humans cannot live without electricity, efforts to strengthen the systematic firefighting safety management in power plants that produce electricity with large amounts of hazardous materials as fuel, such as nuclear energy, coal and gas, are essential to protect life and prevent property loss and stable economic growth from fire explosion accident or radiation leak due to the negligence of safety management and natural disasters such as earthquakes, which has recently become an issue. This study examined the operating situation of firefighting safety management in power plants with firefighting officials employed by five power generation companies including Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. and Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co. Ltd., which are in charge of the domestic power supply. As a result, for the systematic firefighting safety management of power plants, improvement plans were drawn, including the development of an effective business manual and a comprehensive management system, the substantiality of firefighting safety education, and the strengthening of seismic designs to prepare for earthquakes.

Status of Ocean Observation using Wave Glider (무인해상자율로봇(Wave Glider)을 이용한 해양관측 현황)

  • Son, Young Baek;Moh, Taejun;Jung, Seom-Kyu;Hwnag, Jae Dong;Oh, Hyunju;Kim, Sang-Hyun;Ryu, Joo-Hyung;Cho, Jin Hyung
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.2_2
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    • pp.419-429
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    • 2018
  • An unmanned autonomous maritime surface system can move the vehicle to the areas for observing the ocean accidents, disasters, and severe weather conditions. Detection and monitoring technologies have been developed by the converging of the regional and local surveillance system. Wave Glider, one of the autonomous maritime surface systems, is ocean-wave propelled autonomous surface vehicle and controlled using Iridium satellite communication. In this study, we carried out two-time Wave Glider observations for 2016 and 2017 summer in the East China Sea that the area was influenced by low-salinity water. We observed the sea surface warming effect due to the low-salinity water using the regional (satellite) and local (Wave Glider) surveillance system. We also monitored the effect of the typhoon and understood the change of the ocean-atmosphere environments in real-time. New unmanned surface system with autonomous system and high endurance structure can measure comprehensively and usefully a long observation in complicated ocean environments because of connecting with other surveillance systems.

Frequency Analysis Using Bootstrap Method and SIR Algorithm for Prevention of Natural Disasters (풍수해 대응을 위한 Bootstrap방법과 SIR알고리즘 빈도해석 적용)

  • Kim, Yonsoo;Kim, Taegyun;Kim, Hung Soo;Noh, Huisung;Jang, Daewon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2018
  • The frequency analysis of hydrometeorological data is one of the most important factors in response to natural disaster damage, and design standards for a disaster prevention facilities. In case of frequency analysis of hydrometeorological data, it assumes that observation data have statistical stationarity, and a parametric method considering the parameter of probability distribution is applied. For a parametric method, it is necessary to sufficiently collect reliable data; however, snowfall observations are needed to compensate for insufficient data in Korea, because of reducing the number of days for snowfall observations and mean maximum daily snowfall depth due to climate change. In this study, we conducted the frequency analysis for snowfall using the Bootstrap method and SIR algorithm which are the resampling methods that can overcome the problems of insufficient data. For the 58 meteorological stations distributed evenly in Korea, the probability of snowfall depth was estimated by non-parametric frequency analysis using the maximum daily snowfall depth data. The results of frequency based snowfall depth show that most stations representing the rate of change were found to be consistent in both parametric and non-parametric frequency analysis. According to the results, observed data and Bootstrap method showed a difference of -19.2% to 3.9%, and the Bootstrap method and SIR(Sampling Importance Resampling) algorithm showed a difference of -7.7 to 137.8%. This study shows that the resampling methods can do the frequency analysis of the snowfall depth that has insufficient observed samples, which can be applied to interpretation of other natural disasters such as summer typhoons with seasonal characteristics.

Landslide Susceptibility Mapping by Comparing GIS-based Spatial Models in the Java, Indonesia (GIS 기반 공간예측모델 비교를 통한 인도네시아 자바지역 산사태 취약지도 제작)

  • Kim, Mi-Kyeong;Kim, Sangpil;Nho, Hyunju;Sohn, Hong-Gyoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.927-940
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    • 2017
  • Landslide has been a major disaster in Indonesia, and recent climate change and indiscriminate urban development around the mountains have increased landslide risks. Java Island, Indonesia, where more than half of Indonesia's population lives, is experiencing a great deal of damage due to frequent landslides. However, even in such a dangerous situation, the number of inhabitants residing in the landslide-prone area increases year by year, and it is necessary to develop a technique for analyzing landslide-hazardous and vulnerable areas. In this regard, this study aims to evaluate landslide susceptibility of Java, an island of Indonesia, by using GIS-based spatial prediction models. We constructed the geospatial database such as landslide locations, topography, hydrology, soil type, and land cover over the study area and created spatial prediction models by applying Weight of Evidence (WoE), decision trees algorithm and artificial neural network. The three models showed prediction accuracy of 66.95%, 67.04%, and 69.67%, respectively. The results of the study are expected to be useful for prevention of landslide damage for the future and landslide disaster management policies in Indonesia.

A Reliable Group Key Re-transmission Mechanism in Ad-hoc Environment (Ad-hoc 환경에서 신뢰적인 그룹 키 재전송 기법)

  • Hong, Suk-Hyung;Kim, Kyung-Min;Lee, Kwang-Kyum;Sin, Young-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.10d
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    • pp.370-374
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    • 2006
  • Ad-hoc 환경의 응용은 재난구조나 회의실 또는 강의실에서의 정보 교환과 같은 그룹 통에서 이용된다. Ad-hoc 환경은 무선 채널을 이용하므로 상대적인 낮은 대역폭과 높은 오류 발생률을 가지게 된다. 따라서 Ad-hoc 네트워크에서는 신뢰적인 전송이 요구된다. 이동 노드는 상대적으로 낮은 성능과 에너지의 제한으로 인해 유선 환경과 같은 신뢰적인 전송 기법을 Ad-hoc 환경에 적용하기에는 문제가 발생한다. Ad-hoc 환경의 무선 채널이 가지는 보안적인 취약성과 높은 에러율을 극복하는 신뢰적인 그룹 키 전송을 위한 재전송 기법을 제안한다. 신뢰적인 트리 형성하기 위해 n차 트리 구조를 이용한다. 손실 감지를 위한 ACK 메시지를 이용하고 손실 복구를 위한 재전송 기법에 대해 연구를 한다. 제안한 신뢰적인 그룹 키 전송을 위한 재전송 기법은 트리의 깊이의 차수가 루트 관리 노드, 서브 관리 노드와 로컬 멤버 노드로 구성되기 때문에 손실 감지와 손실 복구에 대한 연산의 오버헤드가 적다. 루트 관리 노드는 멤버 노드로부터 받은 개인키 정보를 이용하여 그룹 키를 생성하고 그룹 키 부분 정보를 서브 관리 노드에게 전송하고 서브 관리 노드에 대한 신뢰성을 책임진다. 서브 관리 노드는 루트 관리 노드로부터 받은 그룹 키 부분 정보를 로컬 멤버 노드에게 전송하고 로컬 멤버 노드에 대한 신뢰성을 책임진다. 루트 관리 노드와 서브 관리 노드를 관리 노드라 한다. 관리 노드가 신뢰적인 전송을 위해 관리하는 멤버 노드는 전체 그룹에 독립적으로 유지 가능하므로 확장성 및 효율성이 좋다. 관리 노드는 동적인 그룹에 따른 타이머를 설정함으로써 손실 감지에 대한 시간을 줄임으로써 효율적인 손실 감지 및 손실 복구를 한다. 임계값 설정으로 인한 중복 수신에 대한 오버헤드를 줄일 수 있다.신뢰성을 향상 시킬 수 있는 Load Balancing System을 제안한다.할 때 가장 효과적인 라우팅 프로토콜이라고 할 수 있다.iRNA 상의 의존관계를 분석할 수 있었다.수안보 등 지역에서 나타난다 이러한 이상대 주변에는 대개 온천이 발달되어 있었거나 새로 개발되어 있는 곳이다. 온천에 이용하고 있는 시추공의 자료는 배제하였으나 온천이응으로 직접적으로 영향을 받지 않은 시추공의 자료는 사용하였다 이러한 온천 주변 지역이라 하더라도 실제는 온천의 pumping 으로 인한 대류현상으로 주변 일대의 온도를 올려놓았기 때문에 비교적 높은 지열류량 값을 보인다. 한편 한반도 남동부 일대는 이번 추가된 자료에 의해 새로운 지열류량 분포 변화가 나타났다 강원 북부 오색온천지역 부근에서 높은 지열류량 분포를 보이며 또한 우리나라 대단층 중의 하나인 양산단층과 같은 방향으로 발달한 밀양단층, 모량단층, 동래단층 등 주변부로 NNE-SSW 방향의 지열류량 이상대가 발달한다. 이것으로 볼 때 지열류량은 지질구조와 무관하지 않음을 파악할 수 있다. 특히 이러한 단층대 주변은 지열수의 순환이 깊은 심도까지 가능하므로 이러한 대류현상으로 지표부근까지 높은 지온 전달이 되어 나타나는 것으로 판단된다.의 안정된 방사성표지효율을 보였다. $^{99m}Tc$-transferrin을 이용한 감염영상을 성공적으로 얻을 수 있었으며, $^{67}Ga$-citrate 영상과 비교하여 더 빠른 시간 안에 우수한 영상을 얻을 수 있었다. 그러므로 $^{99m}Tc$-transierrin이 감염 병소의 영상진단에 사용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.리를 정량화 하였다. 특히 선조체에서의 도파민 유리에 의한 수용체 결합능의 감소는 흡연에 의한 혈중 니코틴의 축

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