• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.50 no.4
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• pp.287-295
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• 2022

As low altitude long-range artillery threat has been strengthened, the development of anti-artillery interception system to protect assets against its attacks will be kicked off. We view the defense of long-range artillery attacks as a typical dynamic weapon target assignment (DWTA) problem. DWTA is a sequential decision process in which decision making under future uncertain attacks affects the subsequent decision processes and its results. These are typical characteristics of Markov decision process (MDP) model. We formulate the problem as a MDP model to examine the assignment policy for the defender. The proximity of the capital of South Korea to North Korea border limits the computation time for its solution to a few second. Within the allowed time interval, it is impossible to compute the exact optimal solution. We apply approximate dynamic programming (ADP) approach to check if ADP approach solve the MDP model within processing time limit. We employ Shoot-Shoot-Look policy as a baseline strategy and compare it with ADP approach for three scenarios. Simulation results show that ADP approach provide better solution than the baseline strategy.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.29 no.3
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• pp.57-72
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• 2020

To respond to the threat of Long range artillery of North Korea, it is necessary to establish the Korean counter long range artillery intercept system(CLRAIS). The purpose of this study is to study the operational concept of the CLRAIS against the threat of long range artillery of North Korea, and to develop the operational effectiveness process of the CLRAIS. First, we set up the operating concept of the CLRAIS and established the concept of an effectiveness in a many-to-many engagement situation and a process to derive it. Based on this, a tool was developed to analyze the actual effectiveness. In order to find out the factors influencing the effectiveness in many-to-many engagement situations, simulation experiments were performed by combining various variables such as detection assets, engagement control, and launchpad performance. As a result, it was found that in addition to the missile performance, the performance of the detection assets and the engagement control center had a significant impact on the intercept rate and the defense success rate. These findings can be used to understand important indicators in terms of effectiveness in many-to-many engagement situations in the future development of weapon system, and to determine the development direction and target value of each element necessary for the level of defense success rate to be achieved.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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• v.18 no.6
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• pp.743-754
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• 2015

FASCAM is a newly introduced mean against enemy fire power and supposed to be scattered on base areas in front of a tunnel so as to deter maneuver and shooting of enemy artilleries. However, for its characteristics different from conventional munitions, only a few studies have been undertaken on operations system using this new measure. In this research, we propose a procedure to describe and analyze mathematically an operation system for suppression of enemy fire power using FASCAM. Two suggested simulation methods, impact point generation and density integration, both can describe the actual operation rationally and each has advantages of its own respectively. Further, we demonstrated an example analysis to derive an optimal suppression plan based on the proposed procedure.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.50 no.8
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• pp.531-540
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• 2022

In this paper, we present an algorithm that identifies artillery type and rapidly predicts the impact point based on the IMM filter. The ballistic trajectory equation is used as a system model, and three models with different ballistic coefficient values are used. Acceleration was divided into three components of gravity, air resistance, and lift. And lift acceleration was added as a new state variable. The kinematic condition that the velocity vector and lift acceleration are perpendicular was used as a pseudo-measurement value. The impact point was predicted based on the state variable estimated through the IMM filter and the ballistic coefficient of the model with the highest mode probability. Instead of the commonly used Runge-Kutta numerical integration for impact point prediction, a semi-analytic method was used to predict impact point with a small amount of calculation. Finally, a state variable initialization method using the least-square method was proposed. An integrated algorithm including artillery type identification, impact point prediction and initialization was presented, and the validity of the proposed method was verified through simulation.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.45 no.1
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• pp.41-52
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• 2022

Development of a long-range artillery intercept system to counter the threat of enemy long-range artillery is in progress. This intercept system is a complex combination of several components. In addition, the ability to engage simultaneously is emphasized due to the characteristic of having to respond to numerous enemy bullets. In this study, the performance according to the arrangement of the detection asset and missile launchers, which are key components of the system, is analyzed. A simulation experiment was performed assuming the enemy attack at various azimuth and launch angles. As a result of the analysis, the radar seems to provide sufficient detection capability in any situation, but in the case of the launcher, the effect of the enemy's launch angle can be critical. It is recommended to place both radar and launchers behind the protection target.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.44 no.4
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• pp.43-52
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• 2021

In weapon assignment studies to defend against threats such as ballistic missiles and long range artillery, threat assessment was partially lacking in analysis of various threat attributes, and considering the threat characteristics of warheads, which are difficult to judge in the early flight stages, it is very important to apply more reliable optimal solutions than approximate solution using LP model, Meta heuristics Genetic Algorithm, Tabu search and Particle swarm optimization etc. Our studies suggest Generic Rule based threat evaluation and weapon assignment algorithm in the basis of various attributes of threats. First job of studies analyzes information on Various attributes such as the type of target, Flight trajectory and flight time, range and intercept altitude of the intercept system, etc. Second job of studies propose Rule based threat evaluation and weapon assignment algorithm were applied to obtain a more reliable solution by reflection the importance of the interception system. It analyzes ballistic missiles and long-range artillery was assigned to multiple intercept system by real time threat assessment reflecting various threat information. The results of this study are provided reliable solution for Weapon Assignment problem as well as considered to be applicable to establishing a missile and long range artillery defense system.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.45 no.4
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• pp.42-52
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• 2022

North Korea continues to upgrade and display its long-range rocket launchers to emphasize its military strength. Recently Republic of Korea kicked off the development of anti-artillery interception system similar to Israel's "Iron Dome", designed to protect against North Korea's arsenal of long-range rockets. The system may not work smoothly without the function assigning interceptors to incoming various-caliber artillery rockets. We view the assignment task as a dynamic weapon target assignment (DWTA) problem. DWTA is a multistage decision process in which decision in a stage affects decision processes and its results in the subsequent stages. We represent the DWTA problem as a Markov decision process (MDP). Distance from Seoul to North Korea's multiple rocket launchers positioned near the border, limits the processing time of the model solver within only a few second. It is impossible to compute the exact optimal solution within the allowed time interval due to the curse of dimensionality inherently in MDP model of practical DWTA problem. We apply two reinforcement-based algorithms to get the approximate solution of the MDP model within the time limit. To check the quality of the approximate solution, we adopt Shoot-Shoot-Look(SSL) policy as a baseline. Simulation results showed that both algorithms provide better solution than the solution from the baseline strategy.

• The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.227-233
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• 2023

Along with the 4th Industrial Revolution, the impact of "unmanned" is affecting all fields around the world, and in particular, in the military sector, "unmanned" is so important that it occupies a part of the main combat system. Recently, the South Korean military is facing a crisis due to the North Korea's UAV incident that invaded our airspace and descended to Seoul. In response, the South Korea military declared its willingness and countermeasures to capture and destroy North Korea's UAV. However, as the technological development of UAV continues and the utilization plan is expanding, the countermeasures for UAV at the current level can be useless. Also, the threat from North Korea is not just UAV. North Korea has practically a nuclear power and is set to conduct its seventh nuclear test, and its missile technology is also being advanced, with 38 arounds of 67 missile tests conducted in 2022 alone. It is also developing five key strategic weapons that can pose a fatal threat to Korea, and North Korea's strong conventional forces are located around the NLL(Northern Limit Line), and the port of Long Range Artillery is facing the Seoul metropolitan area. It is important to respond to North Korea's UAV threats, which are now receiving much attention, but it will be necessary to comprehensively analyze and clearly prioritize North Korea's threats and use a limited budget to respond to them.