• Title/Summary/Keyword: 잉여생산량 모델

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A Bioeconomic Analysis on the Effectiveness of Total Allowable Catch(TAC) Policy under the Rebuilding Plan (자원회복계획 하에서의 총허용어획량(TAC) 어업정책 효과에 관한 생물경제학적 분석 -미국 멕시코만의 Yellowedge Grouper 어업을 사례로-)

  • Kim, Dohoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.663-686
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    • 2003
  • This study is aimed at analyzing the effectiveness of TAC policy using a bioeconomic model. A surplus-production model is used as a population dynamic model, from which the yellowedge grouper is estimated to be overfished. As a result, a 10-year rebuilding plan using the TAC policy is established. According to the result of model, under the well-enforced system, the target stock biomass is achieved during the rebuilding period. Especially, in order to accomplish the target stock biomass, the annual quota should be allocated much less than 342 tons that NMFS recommended. The NPV over a 25-year under the TAC policy Is predicted to be less than under the status quo. The economic gains under the variable-catch TAC policy is less than under the constant-catch TAC policy as the interest rate decreases, while the NPV under the constant-catch is greater than under the variable-catch TAC policy when the interest rate is high.

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Growth and Carrying Capacity of Pacific Oyster, Crassostrea gigas, in Kamak Bay, Korea (가막만 양식 참굴의 성장과 환경용량 추정에 대한 연구)

  • 박영철;최광식
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.378-385
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    • 2002
  • Growth of Pacific oystey, Crassostrea gigas, in Kamak Bay, Korea was modeled using Von Bertalanffy growth function, seasonal Von Bertalanffy growth function and generalized growth equation of Schnute and Richards' growth model, based on shell length and wet weight frequency data of 9208 oysters. Carrying capacity in the oyster culture ground was also estimated using Schaefer's and Fox's surplus production model. The present results suggest that the generalized growth equation of Schnute and Richards' model is fitter to describe the length growth pattern of C. gigas than Von Bertalanffy growth functions. This results also suggest that the current number of culture facility per unit area in 2000 is similar to the number of facility that produces the maximum production of oyster per unit area.

Stock Assessment and Management Implications of Small Yellow Croker in Korean Waters (한국 근해 참조기의 자원평가 및 관리방안)

  • ZHANG Chang Ik;KIM Suam;YOON Seong-Bong
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.282-290
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    • 1992
  • Based on surplus production models using fishery data for the last 20 years, a stock assessment was conducted for the small yellow croaker in Korean waters. The maximum sustainable yields (MSY) from the Schaefer and Fox models were estimated to be 37,000 metric tons (mt) and 33,450 mt. Zhang's model using time-series biomass with instantaneous coefficients of fishing mortality (F) and using time-series biomass and catch yielded MSY estimates of 45,328 mt and 40,160 mt, respectively. A yield-per-recruit analysis showed that the current yield per recruit of about 20g with F= 1.11 $yr^{-l}$, where the age at first capture $(t_c)$ is 0.604, was much lower than the maximum possible yield per recruit of 43g. Fixing $t_c$ at the current level and reducing fishing intensity (F) from 1.11 $yr^{-l}$ to 0.4 $yr^{-l}$ yielded only a small increase in predicted yield per recruit, from 20 to 25g. However, estimated yield per recruit increased to 43g by increasing $(t_c)$ from the current age (0.604) to age three with F fixed at the current level. This age at first capture corresponded to the optimal length which was obtained from the $F_{0.1}$ method. According to the analysis of stock recovery strategies employing the Zhang model, the optimum equilibrium biomass $(B^*_{MSY})$ which produces the maximum yield could be achieved after approximately five years at the lower fishing intensity (F=0.5).

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Comparing Surplus Production Models for Selecting Effective Stock Assessment Model: Analyzing Potential Yield of East Sea, Republic of Korea (효과적인 자원평가모델 선정을 위한 잉여생산량모델의 비교 분석: 동해 생태계의 잠재생산량 분석을 대상으로)

  • Choi, Min-Je;Kim, Do-Hoon
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.183-191
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    • 2019
  • This study sought to find which model is most appropriate for estimating potential yield in the East Sea, Republic of Korea. For comparison purposes, the Process-error model, ASPIC model, Maximum entropy model, Observation-error model, and Bayesian state-space model were applied using data from catch amounts and total efforts of the whole catchable fishes in the East Sea. Results showed that the Bayesian state-space model was estimated to be the most reliable among the models. Potential yield of catchable species was estimated to be 227,858 tons per year. In addition, it was analyzed that the amount of fishery resources in 2016 was about 63% of the biomass that enables a fish stock to deliver the maximum sustainable yield.

A Study on the Multi-gear and Multi-species Fisheries Assessment Models in Korean Waters II. Single-species by Multiple Fisheries (한국 근해 복수어구 및 다종어업 자원 평가모델 연구 II. 복수어구에 의한 단일 어종 자원의 이용)

  • SEO Young Il;ZHANG Chang Ik
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.359-364
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents case studies on the multi-species fisheries in Korean waters, Multi-species fisheries were divided into two types, that is, multi-species by a single fishery and single species by multiple fisheries. For the case of single species by multiple fisheries, the small yellow croaker stock caught mainly by the Korean pair trawl fishery and the Korean stow net fishery was selected. This approach uses both standardized fishing efforts for the two fisheries by a general linear model and some data for the economic analysis, and then estimates maximum sustainable yield (MSY), maximum economic yield (MEY) and fishing efforts for MSY and MEY, An analysis of interaction aspects between pair trawl and stow net fisheries was carried out to predict the optimal level of fishing effort from the economic point of view, which gives the largest benefits to the two fisheries.

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A Bayesian State-space Production Assessment Model for Common Squid Todarodes pacificus Stock Caught by Multiple Fisheries in Korean Waters (한국 해역의 살오징어(Todarodes pacificus) 개체군 자원평가를 위한 베이지안 상태공간 잉여생산량 모델의 적용)

  • An, Dongyoung;Kim, Kyuhan;Kang, Heejung;Hyun, Saang-Yoon
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.769-781
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    • 2021
  • Given data about the annual fishery yield of the common squid Todarodes pacificus, and the catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) data from multiple fisheries from 2000-2018, we applied a Bayesian state - space assessment model for the squid population. One of our objectives was to do a stock assessment, simultaneously incorporating CPUE data from the following three fisheries, (i) large trawl, (ii) jigger, and (iii) large purse seine, which comprised on average a year about 65% of all fisheries, allowing possible correlations to be reflected. Other objectives were to consider both observation and process errors and to apply objective priors of parameters. The estimated annual exploitable biomass was in the range of 3.50×105 to 1.22×106 MT, the estimated intrinsic growth rate was 1.02, and the estimated carrying capacity was 1,151,259 MT. Comparison with available results from stock assessment of independently analyzed single fisheries revealed a large difference from the estimated values, suggesting that stock assessment based on multiple fisheries should be performed.

Comparison of models for estimating surplus productions and methods for estimating their parameters (잉여생산량을 추정하는 모델과 파라미터 추정방법의 비교)

  • Kwon, Youjung;Zhang, Chang Ik;Pyo, Hee Dong;Seo, Young Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.18-28
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    • 2013
  • It was compared the estimated parameters by the surplus production from three different models, i.e., three types (Schaefer, Gulland, and Schnute) of the traditional surplus production models, a stock production model incorporating covariates (ASPIC) model and a maximum entropy (ME) model. We also evaluated the performance of models in the estimation of their parameters. The maximum sustainable yield (MSY) of small yellow croaker (Pseudosciaena polyactis) in Korean waters ranged from 35,061 metric tons (mt) by Gulland model to 44,844mt by ME model, and fishing effort at MSY ($f_{MSY}$) ranged from 262,188hauls by Schnute model to 355,200hauls by ME model. The lowest root mean square error (RMSE) for small yellow croaker was obtained from the Gulland surplus production model, while the highest RMSE was from Schnute model. However, the highest coefficient of determination ($R^2$) was from the ME model, but the ASPIC model yielded the lowest coefficient. On the other hand, the MSY of Kapenta (Limnothrissa miodon) ranged from 16,880 mt by ASPIC model to 25,373mt by ME model, and $f_{MSY}$, from 94,580hauls by ASPIC model to 225,490hauls by Schnute model. In this case, both the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) and the highest coefficient of determination ($R^2$) were obtained from the ME model, which showed relatively better fits of data to the model, indicating that the ME model is statistically more stable and robust than other models. Moreover, the ME model could provide additional ecologically useful parameters such as, biomass at MSY ($B_{MSY}$), carrying capacity of the population (K), catchability coefficient (q) and the intrinsic rate of population growth (r).

Characteristics for Co-digestion of Food Waste and Night Soil using BMP Test (BMP실험을 이용한 음식물폐기물 및 분뇨의 병합소화 특성)

  • Cho, Jinkyu;Kim, Hyungjin;Oh, Daemin
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.15 no.9
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2014
  • BMP test was carried out to evaluate the characteristics for co-digestion of night soil and food waste. 6 types of sludge were tested in 30 days which were raw, excess, digested, night soil/septic tank (1:1), food waste (food : dilution water = 1:1), and mixed sludge. Bio gas was produced actively after 2 days, and continued in 2 weeks. Gas generation amount was decreased rapidly after considerable space of time. Especially maximum productivity of gas was shown in 7~8 days. The ultimate methane yields of raw, excess, digested, night soil/septic tank, food waste, and mixed sludge were 64.63, 67.49, 66.45, 72.44, 107.85, and 46.71 mL $CH_4/g$ VS respectively from Modified Gompertz model. The lag growth phase time and maximum specific methane production rate of mixed sludge were 1.88 day and 80.4 mL/day respectively. The methane potential of mixed sludge was higher than individual sludge. So high methane potential was expected by controlling mixing ratio of food waste. Besides stable operation of digestion tank and the solution of oligotrophic problem were possible.

Comparative Analysis on Surplus Production Models for Stock Assessment of Red Snow Crab Chinonoecetes japonicus (붉은대게(Chinonoecetes japonicus) 자원평가를 위한 잉여생산량모델의 비교 분석)

  • Choi, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Do-Hoon;Oh, Taeg-Yun;Seo, Young Il;Kang, Hee Joong
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.925-933
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    • 2020
  • This study is aimed to compare stock assessment models which are effective in assessing red snow crab Chinonoecetes japonicus resources and to select and apply an effective stock assessment model in the future. In order to select an effective stock assessment model, a process-error model, observation-error model, and a Bayesian state-space model were estimated. Analytical results show that the least error is observed between the estimated CPUE (catch per unit effort) and the observed CPUE when using the Bayesian state-space model. For the Bayesian state-space model, the 95% credible interval(CI) ranges for the maximum sustainable yield (MSY), carrying capacity (K), catchability coefficient (q), and intrinsic growth (r) are estimated to be 10,420-47,200 tons, 185,200-444,800 tons, 3.81E-06-9.02E-06, and 0.14-0.66, respectively. The results show that the Bayesian state-space model was most reliable among models.