• Title/Summary/Keyword: 입력변수선택

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Applications of Fuzzy Theory on The Location Decision of Logistics Facilities (퍼지이론을 이용한 물류단지 입지 및 규모결정에 관한 연구)

  • 이승재;정창무;이헌주
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2000
  • In existing models in optimization, the crisp data improve has been used in the objective or constraints to derive the optimal solution, Besides, the subjective environments are eliminated because the complex and uncertain circumstances were regarded as Probable ambiguity, In other words those optimal solutions in the existing models could be the complete satisfactory solutions to the objective functions in the Process of application for industrial engineering methods to minimize risks of decision-making. As a result of those, decision-makers in location Problems couldn't face appropriately with the variation of demand as well as other variables and couldn't Provide the chance of wide selection because of the insufficient information. So under the circumstance. it has been to develop the model for the location and size decision problems of logistics facility in the use of the fuzzy theory in the intention of making the most reasonable decision in the Point of subjective view under ambiguous circumstances, in the foundation of the existing decision-making problems which must satisfy the constraints to optimize the objective function in strictly given conditions in this study. Introducing the Process used in this study after the establishment of a general mixed integer Programming(MIP) model based upon the result of existing studies to decide the location and size simultaneously, a fuzzy mixed integer Programming(FMIP) model has been developed in the use of fuzzy theory. And the general linear Programming software, LINDO 6.01 has been used to simulate, to evaluate the developed model with the examples and to judge of the appropriateness and adaptability of the model(FMIP) in the real world.

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Development of a Dose Calibration Program for Various Dosimetry Protocols in High Energy Photon Beams (고 에너지 광자선의 표준측정법에 대한 선량 교정 프로그램 개발)

  • Shin Dong Oh;Park Sung Yong;Ji Young Hoon;Lee Chang Geon;Suh Tae Suk;Kwon Soo IL;Ahn Hee Kyung;Kang Jin Oh;Hong Seong Eon
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.381-390
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    • 2002
  • Purpose : To develop a dose calibration program for the IAEA TRS-277 and AAPM TG-21, based on the air kerma calibration factor (or the cavity-gas calibration factor), as well as for the IAEA TRS-398 and the AAPM TG-51, based on the absorbed dose to water calibration factor, so as to avoid the unwanted error associated with these calculation procedures. Materials and Methods : Currently, the most widely used dosimetry Protocols of high energy photon beams are the air kerma calibration factor based on the IAEA TRS-277 and the AAPM TG-21. However, this has somewhat complex formalism and limitations for the improvement of the accuracy due to uncertainties of the physical quantities. Recently, the IAEA and the AAPM published the absorbed dose to water calibration factor based, on the IAEA TRS-398 and the AAPM TG-51. The formalism and physical parameters were strictly applied to these four dose calibration programs. The tables and graphs of physical data and the information for ion chambers were numericalized for their incorporation into a database. These programs were developed user to be friendly, with the Visual $C^{++}$ language for their ease of use in a Windows environment according to the recommendation of each protocols. Results : The dose calibration programs for the high energy photon beams, developed for the four protocols, allow the input of informations about a dosimetry system, the characteristics of the beam quality, the measurement conditions and dosimetry results, to enable the minimization of any inter-user variations and errors, during the calculation procedure. Also, it was possible to compare the absorbed dose to water data of the four different protocols at a single reference points. Conclusion : Since this program expressed information in numerical and data-based forms for the physical parameter tables, graphs and of the ion chambers, the error associated with the procedures and different user could be solved. It was possible to analyze and compare the major difference for each dosimetry protocol, since the program was designed to be user friendly and to accurately calculate the correction factors and absorbed dose. It is expected that accurate dose calculations in high energy photon beams can be made by the users for selecting and performing the appropriate dosimetry protocol.

Optimization of Multiclass Support Vector Machine using Genetic Algorithm: Application to the Prediction of Corporate Credit Rating (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 다분류 SVM의 최적화: 기업신용등급 예측에의 응용)

  • Ahn, Hyunchul
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.161-177
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    • 2014
  • Corporate credit rating assessment consists of complicated processes in which various factors describing a company are taken into consideration. Such assessment is known to be very expensive since domain experts should be employed to assess the ratings. As a result, the data-driven corporate credit rating prediction using statistical and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques has received considerable attention from researchers and practitioners. In particular, statistical methods such as multiple discriminant analysis (MDA) and multinomial logistic regression analysis (MLOGIT), and AI methods including case-based reasoning (CBR), artificial neural network (ANN), and multiclass support vector machine (MSVM) have been applied to corporate credit rating.2) Among them, MSVM has recently become popular because of its robustness and high prediction accuracy. In this study, we propose a novel optimized MSVM model, and appy it to corporate credit rating prediction in order to enhance the accuracy. Our model, named 'GAMSVM (Genetic Algorithm-optimized Multiclass Support Vector Machine),' is designed to simultaneously optimize the kernel parameters and the feature subset selection. Prior studies like Lorena and de Carvalho (2008), and Chatterjee (2013) show that proper kernel parameters may improve the performance of MSVMs. Also, the results from the studies such as Shieh and Yang (2008) and Chatterjee (2013) imply that appropriate feature selection may lead to higher prediction accuracy. Based on these prior studies, we propose to apply GAMSVM to corporate credit rating prediction. As a tool for optimizing the kernel parameters and the feature subset selection, we suggest genetic algorithm (GA). GA is known as an efficient and effective search method that attempts to simulate the biological evolution phenomenon. By applying genetic operations such as selection, crossover, and mutation, it is designed to gradually improve the search results. Especially, mutation operator prevents GA from falling into the local optima, thus we can find the globally optimal or near-optimal solution using it. GA has popularly been applied to search optimal parameters or feature subset selections of AI techniques including MSVM. With these reasons, we also adopt GA as an optimization tool. To empirically validate the usefulness of GAMSVM, we applied it to a real-world case of credit rating in Korea. Our application is in bond rating, which is the most frequently studied area of credit rating for specific debt issues or other financial obligations. The experimental dataset was collected from a large credit rating company in South Korea. It contained 39 financial ratios of 1,295 companies in the manufacturing industry, and their credit ratings. Using various statistical methods including the one-way ANOVA and the stepwise MDA, we selected 14 financial ratios as the candidate independent variables. The dependent variable, i.e. credit rating, was labeled as four classes: 1(A1); 2(A2); 3(A3); 4(B and C). 80 percent of total data for each class was used for training, and remaining 20 percent was used for validation. And, to overcome small sample size, we applied five-fold cross validation to our dataset. In order to examine the competitiveness of the proposed model, we also experimented several comparative models including MDA, MLOGIT, CBR, ANN and MSVM. In case of MSVM, we adopted One-Against-One (OAO) and DAGSVM (Directed Acyclic Graph SVM) approaches because they are known to be the most accurate approaches among various MSVM approaches. GAMSVM was implemented using LIBSVM-an open-source software, and Evolver 5.5-a commercial software enables GA. Other comparative models were experimented using various statistical and AI packages such as SPSS for Windows, Neuroshell, and Microsoft Excel VBA (Visual Basic for Applications). Experimental results showed that the proposed model-GAMSVM-outperformed all the competitive models. In addition, the model was found to use less independent variables, but to show higher accuracy. In our experiments, five variables such as X7 (total debt), X9 (sales per employee), X13 (years after founded), X15 (accumulated earning to total asset), and X39 (the index related to the cash flows from operating activity) were found to be the most important factors in predicting the corporate credit ratings. However, the values of the finally selected kernel parameters were found to be almost same among the data subsets. To examine whether the predictive performance of GAMSVM was significantly greater than those of other models, we used the McNemar test. As a result, we found that GAMSVM was better than MDA, MLOGIT, CBR, and ANN at the 1% significance level, and better than OAO and DAGSVM at the 5% significance level.

Geoacoustic characteristics of Quaternary stratigraphic sequences in the mid-eastern Yellow Sea (황해 중동부 제4기 퇴적층의 지음향 특성)

  • Jin, Jae-Hwa;Jang, Seong-Hyeong;Kim, Seong-Pil;Kim, Hyeon-Tae;Lee, Chi-Won;Chang, Jeong-Hae;Choi, Jin-Hyeok;Ryang, Woo-Heon
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2001
  • According to analyses of high-resolution seismic profiles (air gun, sparker, and SBP) and a deep-drill core(YSDP 105) in the mid-eastern Yellow Sea, stratigraphic and geoacoustic models have been established and seismo-acoustic modeling has been fulfilled using ray tracing of finite element method. Stratigraphic model reflects seismo-, litho-, and chrono-stratigraphic sequences formed under a significant influence of Quaternary glacio-eustatic sea-level fluctuations. Each sequence consists of terrestrial to very-shallow-marine coarse-grained lowstand systems tract and tidal fine-grained transgressive to highstand systems tract. Based on mean grain-size data (121 samples) of the drill core, bulk density and P-wave velocity of depositional units have been inferred and extrapolated down to a depth of the recovery using the Hamilton's regression equations. As goo-acoustic parameters, the 121 pairs of bulk density and P-wave velocity have been averaged on each unit of the stratigraphic model. As a result of computer ray-tracing simulation of the subsurface strata, we have found that there are complex ray paths and many acoustic-shadow zones owing to the presence of irregular layer boundaries and low-velocity layers.

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Association between Critical Thinking Disposition and Grade Point Average Score in Dental Hygiene Students (치위생(학)과 학생의 학업성적에 따른 비판적 사고 성향)

  • Hwang, Hye-Rim;Kim, Eung-Kwon;Cho, Young-Sik
    • Journal of dental hygiene science
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2012
  • Critical thinking is a essential competency for dental hygiene education and practice. The purpose of this study was to examine critical thinking disposition between groups classified by GPA score in two dental hygiene educational program. A total 252 dental hygiene students responded. The study extracted six dimensions(intellectual eagerness/curiosity, prudence, healthy skepticism, intellectual integrity, objectivity, self-confidence) derived from 27 items with the exception of systematicity using factor analysis. The mean score for critical thinking disposition was 3.47 on a 5 point scale. The result showed a statistically significant correlation critical thinking disposition and age. Multivariate analysis of covariance(MANCOVA) was used to compare six subscales between the three groups. MANCOVA results revealed that intellectual eagerness/curiosity for three groups were significantly different(Wilks's lamda=0.914, F(6, 24)=1.869), p=0.01, partial eta square=0.044). Multiple comparison for intellectual eagerness/curiosity by Scheffe's method showed differences between high score group and mid score group(p=0.027), high score group and low score group(p=0.002). In this study, academic achievement and critical thinking tends to show significant correlations is known. Critical thinking skills by examining the actual grade compares the difference in propensity scores according to a case study in intellectual curiosity, passion, and could tell the difference to appear.

A Passport Recognition and face Verification Using Enhanced fuzzy ART Based RBF Network and PCA Algorithm (개선된 퍼지 ART 기반 RBF 네트워크와 PCA 알고리즘을 이용한 여권 인식 및 얼굴 인증)

  • Kim Kwang-Baek
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, passport recognition and face verification methods which can automatically recognize passport codes and discriminate forgery passports to improve efficiency and systematic control of immigration management are proposed. Adjusting the slant is very important for recognition of characters and face verification since slanted passport images can bring various unwanted effects to the recognition of individual codes and faces. Therefore, after smearing the passport image, the longest extracted string of characters is selected. The angle adjustment can be conducted by using the slant of the straight and horizontal line that connects the center of thickness between left and right parts of the string. Extracting passport codes is done by Sobel operator, horizontal smearing, and 8-neighborhood contour tracking algorithm. The string of codes can be transformed into binary format by applying repeating binary method to the area of the extracted passport code strings. The string codes are restored by applying CDM mask to the binary string area and individual codes are extracted by 8-neighborhood contour tracking algerian. The proposed RBF network is applied to the middle layer of RBF network by using the fuzzy logic connection operator and proposing the enhanced fuzzy ART algorithm that dynamically controls the vigilance parameter. The face is authenticated by measuring the similarity between the feature vector of the facial image from the passport and feature vector of the facial image from the database that is constructed with PCA algorithm. After several tests using a forged passport and the passport with slanted images, the proposed method was proven to be effective in recognizing passport codes and verifying facial images.

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The Heat Transfer Performance of a Heat Pipe for Medium-temperature Solar Thermal Storage System (중온 태양열 축열조용 히트파이프의 열이송 성능)

  • Park, Min Kyu;Lee, Jung Ryun;Boo, Joon Hong
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.69-69
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    • 2011
  • 태양열 발전 플랜트에 사용되는 중고온 범위의 축열조에 고체-액체간 상변화를 수행하는 용융염을 축열물질로 사용하면 액체상 또는 고체상만으로 된 열저장 매체에 비해 축열조의 규모를 축소함과 동시에 축열온도의 균일성 향상에 기여할 수 있다. 중온인 $250{\sim}400^{\circ}C$ 범위에서 이용 가능한 용융염으로는 질산칼륨($KNO_3$), 질산리튬($LiNO_3$)등이 있다. 그러나 이러한 용융염의 가장 큰 단점은 열전도율이 매우 낮다는 것이며, 이로 인해 요구되는 열전달률을 성취하기 위해서는 많은 열접촉면적이 필요하다는 것이다. 이러한 단점을 극복하는 방법을 도입하지 않고서는 축열시스템의 소규화를 성취하는데 큰 효과를 가져올 수 없다. 한편 열수송 성능이 탁월한 히트파이프를 사용하면 열원 및 열침과 축열물질 사이의 열전달 효율을 증가시켜 시스템의 성능 향상과 동시에 소규모화에 기여할 수 있다. 중온 범위 히트파이프의 작동유체로서 다우섬-A(Dowtherm-A)는 $150^{\circ}C$이상 $400^{\circ}C$까지의 범위에서 소수에 불과한 선택적 대안 중 하나이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 용융염을 사용하는 중온 태양열축열조에 적용 가능한 다우섬-A 히트파이프의 성능을 파악하여 기술적 자료를 제시하고자 하였다. 열원으로는 고온 고압의 과열증기, 그리고 열침으로는 중온의 포화증기를 고려하였다. 용융염 축열조를 수직으로 관통하는 히트파이프는 하단부에서 열원 증기와 열교환 가능하며, 중앙부에서 축열물질과 열교환하고, 상단부에서는 중온 증기와 접촉할 수 있도록 배치하였다. 축열모드에서는 히트파이프의 하단부가 증발부로 작동하고, 중앙부가 응축부로 작동하여 용융염으로 열을 방출하면 용융염의 온도가 상승하고 용융점에 도달하면 액상으로의 상변화가 진행되면서 축열이 활성화된다. 축열모드에서 히트파이프의 상단부는 단열부로 작동한다. 방열과정에서는 히트파이프의 하단부가 단열된 상태이고, 중앙부는 용융염으로부터 열을 받아 증발부로 작동하며, 상단부는 중온 증기로 열을 방출하므로 응축부로 작동한다. 즉, 축열시스템의 작동모드에 따라 하나의 히트파이프에서 증발부, 응축부, 단열부의 위치가 변하게 된다. 특히, 히트파이프의 중앙 부분이 응축부에서 증발부로 전환될 때에도 작동이 보장되려면 내부 작동유체의 연속적인 재순환이 가능해야 하므로, 일반 히트파이프에서와는 달리 초기 작동액체의 충전량을 증발부 전체의 체적보다 더 많이 과충전해야 한다. 이러한 히트파이프의 성능 파악을 위한 실험에서 고려한 변수들은 열부하, 작동액체의 충전률, 작동온도 등이며, 열수송 성능의 지표로서는 유효열전도율과 열저항을 이용하였다. 중온범위에서 적정한 작동온도를 성취하기 위해 실험에서는 전압 조절기로 열부하를 조절하는 동시에 항온조로 응축부의 냉각수 입구 온도를 제어하였다. 하나의 히트파이프에 대해서 최대 1 kW까지의 열부하에서 냉각수 입구 온도를 $40^{\circ}C$에서 $80^{\circ}C$ 범위로 변화시키면 히트파이프 작동온도를 약 $250^{\circ}C$ 내외로 조절 가능하였다. 히트파이프 작동액체 충전률은 윅구조물의 공극 체적을 기준으로 372%에서 420%까지 변화 시켰다. 실험 결과를 토대로 열저항과 유효 열전도율을 각각 입력 열유속, 작동온도, 작동액체 충전률 등의 함수로 제시했다. 동일한 냉각수 온도에서는 충전률이 높을수록 히트파이프의 작동온도가 감소하였다. 열저항 값의 범위는 최소 $0.12^{\circ}C/W$에서 최대 $0.15^{\circ}C/W$까지로 나타났으며 유효 열전도율의 값은 최소 $7,703W/m{\cdot}K$에서 최대 $8,890W/m{\cdot}K$까지 변화했다. 최소 열저항은 충전률 420%인 경우에 나타났는데 이때의 작동온도는 약 $262^{\circ}C$이었다. 히트파이프의 작동한계로서 드라이아웃(dry-out)은 충전률 372%의 경우에 열부하 950 W에서 발생하였으나, 그 이상의 충전률에서는 열부하 1060 W까지 작동한계 발생이 관찰되지 않았다. 실험 결과 본 연구에서의 히트파이프는 중온 태양열 축열조에 적용되어 개당 약 1 kW의 열부하를 이송하면서 축열물질 및 축방열 대상 유동매체와 열교환을 하는데 사용하는데 충분할 것이라 판단된다.

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Study on the Consequence Effect Analysis & Process Hazard Review at Gas Release from Hydrogen Fluoride Storage Tank (최근 불산 저장탱크에서의 가스 누출시 공정위험 및 결과영향 분석)

  • Ko, JaeSun
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.449-461
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    • 2013
  • As the hydrofluoric acid leak in Gumi-si, Gyeongsangbuk-do or hydrochloric acid leak in Ulsan, Gyeongsangnam-do demonstrated, chemical related accidents are mostly caused by large amounts of volatile toxic substances leaking due to the damages of storage tank or pipe lines of transporter. Safety assessment is the most important concern because such toxic material accidents cause human and material damages to the environment and atmosphere of the surrounding area. Therefore, in this study, a hydrofluoric acid leaked from a storage tank was selected as the study example to simulate the leaked substance diffusing into the atmosphere and result analysis was performed through the numerical Analysis and diffusion simulation of ALOHA(Areal Location of Hazardous Atmospheres). the results of a qualitative evaluation of HAZOP (Hazard Operability)was looked at to find that the flange leak, operation delay due to leakage of the valve and the hose, and toxic gas leak were danger factors. Possibility of fire from temperature, pressure and corrosion, nitrogen supply overpressure and toxic leak from internal corrosion of tank or pipe joints were also found to be high. ALOHA resulting effects were a little different depending on the input data of Dense Gas Model, however, the wind direction and speed, rather than atmospheric stability, played bigger role. Higher wind speed affected the diffusion of contaminant. In term of the diffusion concentration, both liquid and gas leaks resulted in almost the same $LC_{50}$ and ALOHA AEGL-3(Acute Exposure Guidline Level) values. Each scenarios showed almost identical results in ALOHA model. Therefore, a buffer distance of toxic gas can be determined by comparing the numerical analysis and the diffusion concentration to the IDLH(Immediately Dangerous to Life and Health). Such study will help perform the risk assessment of toxic leak more efficiently and be utilized in establishing community emergency response system properly.

Prediction of Spring Flowering Timing in Forested Area in 2023 (산림지역에서의 2023년 봄철 꽃나무 개화시기 예측)

  • Jihee Seo;Sukyung Kim;Hyun Seok Kim;Junghwa Chun;Myoungsoo Won;Keunchang Jang
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.427-435
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    • 2023
  • Changes in flowering time due to weather fluctuations impact plant growth and ecosystem dynamics. Accurate prediction of flowering timing is crucial for effective forest ecosystem management. This study uses a process-based model to predict flowering timing in 2023 for five major tree species in Korean forests. Models are developed based on nine years (2009-2017) of flowering data for Abeliophyllum distichum, Robinia pseudoacacia, Rhododendron schlippenbachii, Rhododendron yedoense f. poukhanense, and Sorbus commixta, distributed across 28 regions in the country, including mountains. Weather data from the Automatic Mountain Meteorology Observation System (AMOS) and the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) are utilized as inputs for the models. The Single Triangle Degree Days (STDD) and Growing Degree Days (GDD) models, known for their superior performance, are employed to predict flowering dates. Daily temperature readings at a 1 km spatial resolution are obtained by merging AMOS and KMA data. To improve prediction accuracy nationwide, random forest machine learning is used to generate region-specific correction coefficients. Applying these coefficients results in minimal prediction errors, particularly for Abeliophyllum distichum, Robinia pseudoacacia, and Rhododendron schlippenbachii, with root mean square errors (RMSEs) of 1.2, 0.6, and 1.2 days, respectively. Model performance is evaluated using ten random sampling tests per species, selecting the model with the highest R2. The models with applied correction coefficients achieve R2 values ranging from 0.07 to 0.7, except for Sorbus commixta, and exhibit a final explanatory power of 0.75-0.9. This study provides valuable insights into seasonal changes in plant phenology, aiding in identifying honey harvesting seasons affected by abnormal weather conditions, such as those of Robinia pseudoacacia. Detailed information on flowering timing for various plant species and regions enhances understanding of the climate-plant phenology relationship.