• Title/Summary/Keyword: 일최고기온

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Spatio-Temporal Changes in Seasonal Extreme Temperature Events in the Republic of Korea (우리나라 사계절 극한기온현상의 시.공간적 변화)

  • Choi, Gwangyong
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.489-508
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to clarify the spatio-temporal patterns of changes in seasonal extreme temperature events in the Republic of Korea based on daily maximum and minimum temperature data sets observed at 61 weather stations for the recent 40 year period (1973~2012). According to analysis of regional average data, in spring increases of warm days are most distinct, while in summer reductions of cool nights and increases of warm nights are most noticeable. The similar patterns to those in summer are observed in fall, while in winter reductions of cool days and nights are notable. Regardless of the magnitude of urbanization, changes in nighttime extreme temperature events prevail in transitional periods between seasons, while those in daytime extreme temperature events do so only in particular months. In contrast, cool days in spring and summer, warm days in summer and warm nights in winter do not show any statistically-significant changes at most of stations. The sensitivity of seasonal extreme temperature events to increases of seasonal average extreme temperature is greatest in the case of warm days ($+6.3days/^{\circ}C$) and cool nights ($-6.2days/^{\circ}C$) in spring, warm nights ($+10.4days/^{\circ}C$) and days ($+9.5days/^{\circ}C$) in summer, warm days ($+7.7days/^{\circ}C$) in fall, and cool nights ($-4.7/^{\circ}C$) in winter, respectively. These results indicate that changes in seasonal extreme temperature events and their sensitivity to changes in seasonal climate means under a warmer climate are occurring with seasonally and diurnally asymmetric magnitudes in Korea due to complex climate feedbacks.

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Correlation between Air Temperature Factors and Leafing Date of Mulberry Tree (뽕나무 출엽일과 기온 요인 간 상관성)

  • Kim, Ho Cheol;Kim, Tae-Choon
    • Horticultural Science & Technology
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.807-811
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    • 2015
  • This study was conducted to identify the air temperature factors that affect leafing date of mulberry (Morus alba) in Buan, Jeonbuk province. Over the period from 2009 to 2014, the leafing date averaged April 24 (114 Julian days). The earliest leafing date was April 12, in 2014, and the latest leafing date was May 2, in 2011. Yearly variations of daily mean temperature (DMT) and daily maximum temperature (DMxT) were high in the last part of March. There were highly negative correlations between leafing date and degree days of accumulated DMT above 0, 5, and $10^{\circ}C$ in the period from March 1 to April 10. Linear regression equations for estimating the leafing date were y = 153.8 - 0.1886 ${\times}$ ($r^2=0.965^{**}$) and y = 126.2 - 0.2246 ${\times}$ ($r^2=0.825^*$) for the degree days of accumulated DMT above $5^{\circ}C$ in the period from March 1 to April 10 and the last part of March, respectively. Therefore, leafing date of mulberry, which is important for popcorn disease control, is 96.5% predicted by degree days of accumulated DMT above $5^{\circ}C$ in the periods from March 1 to April 10.

Estimation of Monthly Temperature Distribution in Cheju Island by Topoclimatological Relationships (지형(地形)-기후(氣候) 관계식(關係式)에 의한 제주도(濟州道)의 월별(月別) 기온분포(氣溫分布)의 추정(推定))

  • Shin, Man Yong;Yun, Jin Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.81 no.1
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    • pp.40-52
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    • 1992
  • The use of meteorological information is essential in the industrial society. More specialized weather services are required to perform better industrial activities including forestry. A topoclimatological technique, in this study, which makes use of empirical relationships between the topography and the weather in Cheju Island was applied to produce reasonable estimates of monthly air temperatures over remote land area where routine observations are rare. Altitude values of the 250m grid points were first read from a 1 : 25000 topographic map. The mean altitude and other valuable topographical variables were then determined for each $1km^2$ land area. Daily minimum, maximum and mean air temperature data were collected from 19 points in Cheju Island from June 1987 to September 1988. The data were analyzed and grouped into 36 sets by type of air temperature and by month. Each of data set was regressed to the topographical variables to delineate empirical relationships between the local air temperature and the site topography. The total of 36 regression equations were finally selected and the equations were used to calculate the monthly air temperature for each $1km^2$ land area. The outputs were presented in a fine-mesh grid map with a 6-level contour capability.

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Studies on Changes and Future Projections of Subtropical Climate Zones and Extreme Temperature Events over South Korea Using High Resolution Climate Change Scenario Based on PRIDE Model (남한 상세 기후변화 시나리오를 이용한 아열대 기후대 및 극한기온사상의 변화에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Chang Yong;Choi, Young Eun;Kwon, Young A;Kwon, Jae Il;Lee, Han Su
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.600-614
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to examine spatially-detailed changes and projection of subtropical climate zones based on the modified K$\ddot{o}$ppen-Trewartha's climate classification and extreme temperature indices using $1km{\times}1km$ high resolution RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate change scenarios based on PRIDE model over the Republic of Korea. Subtropical climate zones currently located along the southern coastal region. Future subtropical climate zones would be pushed northwards expanding to the western and the eastern coastal regions as well as some metropolitan areas. For both scenarios, the frequency of cold-related extreme temperatures projects to be reduced while the frequency of hot-related ones projects to be increased. Especially, hot days with $33^{\circ}C$ or higher temperature projects to occur more than 30 days over the most of regions except for some mountain areas with high altitudes during the period of 2070~2100. This study might provide essential information to make climate change adaptation processes be enhanced.

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Improvement of the GRM model for Continuous Runoff Simulation (연속형 유출모의를 위한 GRM 모형의 개선)

  • Yun Seok Choi;Si Jung Choi
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.382-382
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    • 2023
  • 기존의 GRM(Grid based rainfall-Runoff Model)에서는 강우-유출 사상에 대한 유출 모의를 주요 대상으로 하였다. 본 연구에서는 GRM 모형에서 연속형 모의가 가능하도록 차단, 증발산, 융설을 모의할 수 있는 모듈을 개발하였다. 차단은 LAI의 연최댓값과 해당월의 값의 비율을 이용해서 계산하며, 증발산은 Blaney-Criddle, Hamon, Hargreaves, Priestly-Taylor 방법을 적용하였다. 융설은 Anderson에 의해서 제안된 방법을 적용하였다. 연속형 모의를 위한 모델 매개변수 설정 인터페이스를 추가하였으며, 기온, 일사량, 일조시간 등의 기상자료를 입력할 수 있게 하고, 계산된 각 수문성분을 출력할 수 있도록 GRM 모형의 입력과 출력 모듈을 개선하였다. 충주댐 유역을 대상으로 개선된 모형을 적용하였다. 공간자료의 해상도는 500m × 500m로 구축하였으며, 수문학적 지형정보와 토양도, 토지피복도를 구축하였다. 기상자료를 강수량, 일최고 기온, 일최저 기온, 일조시간, 일사량을 적용하였다. 증발산은 Hargreaves 방법을 이용하여 모의하였다. 모의 기간은 2001년 ~ 2018년이며, 이 중 2004년까지의 4년은 모델 warming up 기간으로 하고, 적합도 평가는 2005년 ~ 2018년의 모의결과를 이용하였다. 충주댐 유입량 모의결과를 관측값과 비교하였을 때 Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient(NSE) 0.84, 상관계수 0.92, 총용적 오차는 0.26%를 나타내어 관측유입량을 잘 재현하였다. 그러므로 본 연구에서 개발된 차단, 증발산, 융설 모의 기법은 적절히 구현된 것으로 판단되며, GRM을 이용한 연속형 모의가 가능한 것으로 나타났다. 향후 연구에서는 좀 더 다양한 유역에 대해 GRM을 이용한 연속형 유출모의 결과를 평가할 필요가 있다.

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Prediction Model for Flowering date of Rhododendron mucronulatum Turcz. using a Plant Phenology Model (생물계절모형을 이용한 진달래 개화 예상시기 모형 연구)

  • Sung-Tae Yu;Byung-Do Kim;Hyeon-Ho Park;Jin-Yeong Baek;Hye-Yeon Kwon;Myung-Hoon Yi
    • Proceedings of the Plant Resources Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2020.08a
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    • pp.31-31
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 대표적인 봄 꽃 식물인 진달래(Rhododendron mucronulatum Turcz.)의 개화시기를 예측하기 위해 지난 9년간(2011년-2019년) 주왕산 지역에 생육하는 진달래의 식물계절자료(파열·개화·개엽·만개·낙엽)와 기상자료(일평균기온·일최고기온·일최저기온)를 토대로 이탈리아 생물기상연구소(IBMET)의 Chill Day 개화 예측모형인 생물계절모형을 실시하였다. 생물계절모형에 의한 예상 발아일간 편차의 제곱을 최소로 하는 조합은 기준온도 5℃, 저온요구량과 가온요구량은 97.94로 나타났다. 즉, 휴면해제일로부터 기준온도 5℃로 Chill Day를 누적시켜 97.94에 도달하는 날짜가 낙엽~내생휴면해제일이자 내생휴면해제일~발아기간까지의 값이며, 내생휴면해제일을 기점으로 개화일까지 102.93이 개화에 필요한 가온량으로 나타났다. 2011년부터 2019년까지 개화예상일을 기상청 회귀모형을 실관측기온에 적용한 결과 오차는 MAE=1.44이며, 생물계절모형을 적용할 경우 오차는 MAE=1.39, 기준온도 5℃일 경우 MAE=4.23, 기준온도 6℃일 경우 MAE=5.47, 기준온도 7℃일 경우 MAE=5.05로 나타나 생물계절에 의한 관측과 기상청의 회귀모형이 가장 유사한 것으로 나타났다. 가장 최근인 2018년과 2019년의 기상청 회귀모형와 생물계절모형의 개화 예측일을 비교한 결과, 2018년의 경우 청송지역의 진달래는 기상청 회귀모형에서 3월 30일 전후로 개화를 예상하였고 생물계절모형은 기준온도 5℃에 적용할 경우 내생휴면일에 가장 근접한 날은 3월 26일이였으며 이를 기준으로 가온량의 합이 102.93에 가깝게 되는 날인 4월 2일을 전후로 개화를 예측하였다. 실제 청송 주왕산의 진달래는 4월 3일에 개화를 시작하여 생물계절모형과 매우 유사함을 확인하였다. 2019년의 경우 청송지역의 진달래는 기상청 회귀모형에서 3월 25일 전후로 개화를 예상하였고 생물계절모형은 기준온도 5℃에 적용할 경우 내생휴면일에 가장 근접한 날은 3월 8일이였으며 이를 기준으로 가온량의 합이 102.93에 가깝게 되는 날인 3월 29일을 전후로 개화를 예측하였다. 실제 청송 주왕산의 진달래는 4월 5일에 개화를 시작하여 오히려 생물계절모형과 더욱 유사함을 확인하였다.

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Characteristics of Thermal Variations with the Different Land Covers in an Urban Area (도시 지역에서 토지 피복에 따른 열 변이 특성)

  • Park, Sung-Ae;Kong, Hak-Yang;Kim, Seung-Hyun;Park, Sungmin;Shin, Young-Kyu
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.46-53
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to analyze the effect of the different land covers of an urban park (Hyowon park) in downtown Suwon on the urban thermal variations during a hot summer. The effect of the air temperature reduction in the urban park was 4.4%-4.5% for the downtown residence (Maetan-dong). This value was about 0.8% lower than that of the outskirts residence (Sanggwanggyo-dong). The daily mean temperature, daily maximum temperature, summer day and heat wave frequency were measured under the different land covers (cement-block, grass, pine-grass, shading area and mixed forest) showed these values generally decreased under natural land cover types. Daily minimum temperature and tropical night frequency didn't seem to correlate with the land cover types. Means of thermal comfort indices (wet bulb globe temperature, heat index and discomfort index) in the shading area, mixed forest and the pine-grass types were lower than those of cement block and grass types. However the levels of those indices were equal to 'very high' or 'caution' levels in the afternoon (13:00-15:00). In the morning (06:00-08:00), thermal comfort indices of the urban park didn't correlate with land cover types. Therefore, to reduce heat stress and to improve the thermal comfort in urban parks, an increase in the area of natural land cover such as grass, forest and open spaces is required.

Generation of high-resolution gridded climate variables using modified PRISM over South Korea (수정 PRISM을 활용한 남한지역의 고해상도 격자 기후자료 생성)

  • Eum, Hyung-Il;Kim, Jong Pil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.10-13
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 관측지점의 공간분포에 따라 영향반경을 결정하는 M-PRISM(Modified PRISM)을 이용하여 고해상도의 장기 격자자료를 생성하고자 하였다. 장기 기상관측자료를 제공하는 국내 60개 종관기상관측점의 자료를 기반으로 $5km{\times}5km$ 해상도의 일강수량, 일최고 및 일최저기온 등의 자료를 생성하였고 정량적 평가지표를 산정하여 평가하였다. 이와 더불어 일강수량에 대해서는 강수발생빈도를 추정할 수 있는 정성적 평가지표를 산정하고 기존 PRISM과 비교하였다. 정량적 평기지표에서는 두 모형 사이에 뚜렷한 차이를 보이지 않았지만 정성적 평가지표에서는 M-PRISM이 우수한 결과를 나타내었다. 특히 강수 공간분포의 변동성이 큰 호우사상의 경우 M-PRISM이 효용성이 더욱 크게 나타남을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Estimation on Drought Indicator Using Various Time Series (다양한 시계열을 이용한 가뭄지표 산정)

  • Im, Gyeong-Jin;Sim, Myeong-Pil;Seong, Gi-Won;Lee, Hyeon-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.673-685
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    • 2001
  • In this study, the drought indicator is calculate from the rainfall, daily highest temperature, streamflow and Palmer Drought Severity Index(PDSI) for water plan and drought management in a relatively wide region. Three levels of drought severity, called drought watch, drought warning, and drought emergency, are established for these series which determine exceedance levels. The 25% nonexceedance level is used for drought watch, 10% for drought warning, and 5% for drought emergency to figure how well the drought indicators represent the past-drought and that those can be used for drought monitoring. As a result, 9-month and 12-month precipitation, and PDSI series shows the best consistency and high correlation indicate droughts. Because the results are based on the gauged data and simply calculated, the suggested indices can be used for basic data for drought monitoring system of a basin.

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The Estimation of Non-Working days for the Construction Project in Incheon Region (기후요소를 고려한 인천지역의 작업불가능일수 산정)

  • Shin Jong-Hyun;Lee Jin-Ah;Lee Chan-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.6 no.1 s.23
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    • pp.58-64
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    • 2005
  • We should consider climatic factors influencing construction works in order to estimate construction time correctly. This study is to analyze climate elements affecting construction duration and to calculate non-working days far Inchoen territorial region. Through surveying literatures and examining several existing criteria we suggest a Proper criteria for each climate elements which would be used for estimating non-working days. The criteria is made on the raw climate data of Meteorological Administration during the last 30 years(1974-2003) far Incheon region. In case of rainfall, it is estimated as non-working days when daily precipitation is expected more than 10mm, its number of days for Incheon is 29 days. In case of low temperature, the number of non-working days for the concrete works(its criteria be below $4^{\circ}C$ average) and the finishing works(below $0^{\circ}C$ average) is 97 days, 52 days, respectively. In case of high temperature, it is three days when daily highest temperature is expected going over $32^{\circ}C$