• Title/Summary/Keyword: 일반 베이지안 네트워크

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Multi-dimension Categorical Data with Bayesian Network (베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 다차원 범주형 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Chul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.169-174
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    • 2018
  • In general, the methods of the analysis of variance(ANOVA) for the continuous data and the chi-square test for the discrete data are used for statistical analysis of the effect and the association. In multidimensional data, analysis of hierarchical structure is required and statistical linear model is adopted. The structure of the linear model requires the normality of the data. A multidimensional categorical data analysis methods are used for causal relations, interactions, and correlation analysis. In this paper, Bayesian network model using probability distribution is proposed to reduce analysis procedure and analyze interactions and causal relationships in categorical data analysis.

Bayesian Network Analysis for the Dynamic Prediction of Financial Performance Using Corporate Social Responsibility Activities (베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 기업의 사회적 책임활동과 재무성과)

  • Sun, Eun-Jung
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.71-92
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzes the impact of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) activities on financial performances using Bayesian Network. The research tries to overcome the issues of the uniform assumption of a linear function between financial performance and CSR activities in multiple regression analysis widely used in previous studies. It is required to infer a causal relationship between activities of CSR which have an impact on the financial performances. Identifying the relationship would empower the firms to improve their financial performance by informing the decision makers about the different CSR activities that influence the financial performance of the firms. This research proposes General Bayesian Network (GBN) and presents Markov Blanket induced from GBN. It is empirically demonstrated that all the proposals presented in this study are statistically significant by the results of the research conducted by Korean Economic Justice Institute (KEJI) under Citizen's Coalition for Economic Justice (CCEJ) which investigated approximately 200 companies in Korea based on Korean Economic Justice Institute Index (KEJI index) from 2005 to 2011. The Bayesian Network to effectively infer the properties affecting financial performances through the probabilistic causal relationship. Moreover, I found that there is a causal relationship among CSR activities variable; that is Environment protection is related to Customer protection, Employee satisfaction, and firm size; Soundness is related to Total CSR Evaluation Score, Debt-Assets Ratio. Though the what-if analysis, I suggest to the sensitive factor among the explanatory variables.

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Relationship between Characteristics of Accounting Firms and Audit Engagement Risks based on Bayesian Network (베이지안 네트워크를 기반으로 한 회계법인의 속성과 감사계약체결위험간의 관계)

  • Sun, Eun-Jung;Park, Sung-Jin
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2017
  • One of the methods of securing the reliability of accounting information is maintaining high audit quality. The first step of improving audit quality is lowering audit engagement risks. Thus, this study analyzed the relationship between the characteristics of accounting firms and audit engagement risks based on the Bayesian Network. For this, Markov Blanket, the minimum explanatory variable set, which affects audit engagement risks, was presented, and based on the drawn causal relationship, sensitivity analysis was conducted to verify the characteristics of accounting firms, which affect audit engagement risks. The existing preceding research that used multiple regression analysis presumes the linearity between explanatory variables and dependent variables, so there was a limit in drawing the relationship between explanatory variables. Therefore, this study figured out the interdependence between variables using the General Bayesian Network and examined the impact that each variable has finally on audit engagement risks that affects the audit quality. The results of this study would greatly contribute to improving the efficiency of the supervisory task by allowing a supervisory institution to identify an accounting firms that does not manage audit engagement risks properly and to improve the supervision of the accounting firms in advance. In addition, this study will be used as a reference when a supervisory institution would improve the system related to audit quality by presenting the characteristics of accounting firms related to the audit quality.

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A Short-Term Vehicle Speed Prediction using Bayesian Network Based Selective Data Learning (선별적 데이터 학습 기반의 베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 단기차량속도 예측)

  • Park, Seong-ho;Yu, Young-jung;Moon, Sang-ho;Kim, Young-ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.2779-2784
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    • 2015
  • The prediction of the accurate traffic information can provide an optimal route from the place of departure to a destination, therefore, this makes it possible to obtain a saving of time and money. To predict traffic information, we use a Bayesian network method based on probability model in this paper. Existing researches predicting the traffic information based on a Bayesian network generally used to study the data for all time. In this paper, however, only data corresponding to same time and day of the week to predict selectively will be used for learning. In fact, the experiment was carried out for 14 links zone in Seoul, also, the accuracy of the prediction results of the two different methods should be tested with MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) which is commonly used. In view of MAPE, experimental results show that the proposed method may calculate traffic prediction value with a higher accuracy than the method used to learn the data for all time zones.

A Soccer Video Analysis Using Product Hierarchical Hidden Markov Model (PHHMM(Product Hierarchical Hidden Markov Model)을 이용한 축구 비디오 분석)

  • Kim, Moo-Sung;Kang, Hang-Bong
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.681-682
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    • 2006
  • 일반적으로 축구 비디오 데이터는 멀티모달과 멀티레이어 속성을 지닌다. 이러한 데이터를 다루기 적합한 모델은 동적 베이지안 네트워크(Dynamic Bayesian Network: DBN) 형태의 위계적 은닉 마르코프 모델(Hierarchical Hidden Markov Model: HHMM)이다. 이러한 HHMM 중 다중속성의 특징들이 서로 상호작용하는 PHHMM(Product Hierarchical Hidden Markov Model)이 있다. 본 논문에서는 PHHMM 을 축구 경기의 Play/Break 이벤트 검색 및 분석에 적용하였고 바람직한 결과를 얻었다.

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A Life Browser based on Probabilistic and Semantic Networks for Visualization and Retrieval of Everyday-Life (일상생활 시각화와 검색을 위한 확률망과 의미망 기반 라이프 브라우저)

  • Lee, Young-Seol;Hwang, Keum-Sung;Kim, Kyung-Joong;Cho, Sung-Bae
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.289-300
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    • 2010
  • Recently, diverse information which are location, call history, SMS history, photographs, and video can be collected constantly from mobile devices such as cellular phone, smart phone, and PDA. There are many researchers who study services for searching and abstraction of personal daily life with contextual information in mobile environment. In this paper, we introduce MyLifeBrowser which is developed in our previous work. Also, we explain LPS and correction of GPS coordinates as extensions of previous work and show LPS performance test and evaluate the performance of expanded keywords. MyLifeBrowser which provides searching personal information in mobile device and support of detecting related information according to a fragmentary keyword and common knowledge in ConceptNet. It supports the functionality of searching related locations using Bayesian network that is designed by the authors. In our experiment, we visualize real data through MyLifeBrowser and show the feasibility of LPS server and expanded keywords using both Bayesian network and ConceptNet.

Context Adaptive User Interface Generation in Ubiquitous Home Using Bayesian Network and Behavior Selection Network (베이지안 네트워크와 행동 선택 네트워크를 이용한 유비쿼터스 홈에서의 상황 적응적 인터페이스 생성)

  • Park, Han-Saem;Song, In-Jee;Cho, Sung-Bea
    • 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.573-578
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    • 2008
  • Recently, we should control various devices such as TV, audio, DVD player, video player, and set-top box simultaneously to manipulate home theater system. To execute the function the user want in this situation, user should know functions and positions of the buttons in several remote controllers. Normally, people feel difficult due to these realistic problems. Besides, the number of the devices that we can control shall increase, and people will confuse more if the ubiquitous home environment is realized. Therefore, user adaptive interface that provides the summarized functions is required. Moreover there can be a lot of mobile and stationary controller devices in ubiquitous computing environment, so user interface should be adaptive in selecting the functions that user wants and in adjusting the features of UI to fit in specific controller. To implement the user and controller adaptive interface, we modeled the ubiquitous home environment and used modeled context and device information. We have used Bayesian network to get the degree of necessity in each situation. Behavior selection network uses predicted user situation and the degree of necessity, and it selects necessary functions in current situation. Selected functions are used to construct adaptive interface for each controller using presentation template. For experiments, we have implemented ubiquitous home environment and generated controller usage log in this environment. We have confirmed the BN predicted user requirements effectively as evaluating the inferred results of controller necessity based on generated scenario. Finally, comparing the adaptive home UI with the fixed one to 14 subjects, we confirmed that the generated adaptive UI was more useful for general tasks than fixed UI.

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A RSS-Based Localization for Multiple Modes using Bayesian Compressive Sensing with Path-Loss Estimation (전력 손실 지수 추정 기법과 베이지안 압축 센싱을 이용하는 수신신호 세기 기반의 위치 추정 기법)

  • Ahn, Tae-Joon;Koo, In-Soo
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2012
  • In Wireless Sensor Network(WSN)s, the detection of precise location of each node is essential for utilizing sensing data acquired from sensor nodes effectively. Among various location methods, the received signal strength(RSS) based localization scheme is mostly preferable in many applications because it can be easily implemented without any additional hardware cost. Since a RSS-based localization scheme is mainly affected by radio channel or obstacles such as building and mountain between two nodes, the localization error can be inevitable. To enhance the accuracy of localization in RSS-based localization scheme, a number of RSS measurements are needed, which results in the energy consumption. In this paper, a RSS based localization using Bayesian Compressive Sensing(BSS) with path-loss exponent estimation is proposed to improve the accuracy of localization in the energy-efficient way. In the propose scheme, we can increase the adaptative, reliability and accuracy of localization by estimating the path-loss exponents between nodes, and further we can enhance the energy efficiency by the compressive sensing. Through the simulation, it is shown that the proposed scheme can enhance the location accuracy of multiple unknown nodes with fewer RSS measurements and is robust against the channel variation.

Implementation of Probabilistic Predictive Artificial Intelligence for Remote Diagnosis in Aging Society (고령화 사회 원격 진료를 위한 확률론적 예측인공지능 연구)

  • Jeong, Jae-Seung;Ju, Hyunsu
    • Prospectives of Industrial Chemistry
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 2020
  • 저출산 고령화 사회로의 진입은 대한민국뿐만 아니라 전 세계적으로 많은 사회 문제를 야기하고 있다. 그 중에서 고령 인구 증가로 인한 의료 수요 증가와 이를 뒷받침 할 의료인력 부족은 곧 다가올 사회문제이다. 4차 산업 혁명으로 인해 다양한 사회문제에 대한 혁신적인 해법들이 제시되고 있는데, 본 기고문에서는 다가올 고령화 사회에서 의료인력 부족 등에 의한 해결법으로 원격의료 지원을 위한 인공지능 활용을 다루고자 한다. 병 진단 및 예측을 위한 여러 가지 인공지능 알고리즘은 이미 많이 개발 되어 있으나, 일반적으로 딥러닝에 많이 쓰이는 인공신경망 구조인 합성곱 뉴럴네트워크(convolution neural network)나 기존 퍼셉트론(perceptron) 구조에서 벗어나 확률론적 인공신경망 중에 하나인 베이지안 뉴럴네트워크(Bayesian neural network)를 다루고자 한다. 그중에서 연산효율적이며 뉴로모픽 하드웨어로 구현 가능성이 높고 실제 진단 예측(diagnosis prediction) 문제 해결에 강점을 보이는 알고리즘으로써 naive Bayes classifer를 활용한 연구를 소개하고자 한다.

A Development of Simultaneous Stochastic Simulation Model for Precipitation, Temperature, Humidity and Radiation (강수-온도-습도-일조량 연동 추계학적 모의기법 개발)

  • So, Byung-Jin;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Park, Sae-Hoon;Moon, Young-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.386-386
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    • 2011
  • 다양한 연구 분야에서 강수량, 온도, 습도, 일조량은 연구에 필요한 기후 인자로써 사용되어져 왔다. 외국의 경우 기후 인자들과의 관계를 도출해 내는 연구가 이루어 졌지만 국내의 경우는 이러한 연구가 이루어지지 않고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 인자들과의 관계를 강수-온도-습도-일조량이 연동되어 모의되는 기법을 개발하고자 한다. 기존 국내외 연구결과들은 지수함수식의 형태를 가지는 모형을 이용하여 온도-일조량(radiation), 온도-습도, 습도-일조량, 온도와 강수-일조량과 습도를 개별적으로 추정하는 연구들이 있었다. 그러나 온도, 강수량, 습도, 일조량 등은 기상학적 관점에서 모두 연관성을 가지고 각 변량들에 영향을 주고 있다. 이러한 점에 착안하여 본 연구에서는 4가지 변량들이 가지는 관계를 규명하고 각 변량간의 상관관계뿐만 아니라 4가지 변량이 동시에 상관성을 갖도록 모형을 구축하고자 한다. 일반적으로 각 변량들 간의 확률적인 거동을 동시에 고려할 수 있는 Network 모형이 많이 이용된다. 본 연구에서는 Bayesian Network 모형을 활용하여 4가지 변량 간에 Bayesian Network를 구성하고, 통계적 모형으로 발전시켜 기후변화 연구에 활용하고자 한다. 제안된 방법론에 대한 적합성을 평가하기 위해, 서울지점을 대상으로 온도, 강수, 습도, 일조량 값을 이용하였다. 기후변화에 따른 수문순환모형에서 이들 4가지 변량은 기본 입력자료로 이용되고 있으나, 현재까지는 강수 및 온도를 사용한 모형 개발이 이루어지고 있다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구의 결과는 기후변화에 따른 물순환 변동성을 평가하는 기본 자료로서 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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