• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인적 모델

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우리나라의 출산력과 가정경제행태에 관한 연구

  • 노공균;조남훈
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.17-45
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    • 1987
  • This study contributes to understanding women's labor market behavior by focusing on a particular set of labor force transitions - labor force withdrawal and entry during the period surrounding the first birth of a child. In particular, this study provides a dynamic analyses, using longitudinal data and event history analysis, to conceptualize labor force behaviors in a straightforward way. The main research question addresses which factors increase or decrease the hazard rates of leaving and entering the labor market. This study used piecewise Gompertz model, following the guide of the non-parametric analysis on the hazard rates, which allowed relatively detailed description on the distribution of timing of leave and entry to the labor market as parameters of interest. The results show that preferences and structural variables, as well as economic considerations, are very important factors to explain the labor market behavior of women in the period surrounding childbirth.

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The review on the identification of the gifted child in the sports (스포츠영재의 판별에 관한 고찰)

  • 신승윤
    • Journal of Gifted/Talented Education
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.81-98
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study was to indicate the ways to identify the gifted child in the sports, and the research direction in this area in the future. The most of researches related to the early development of the children who showed the gifted talents in the certain sports skills were published from the European area such as the old East Germany or Soviet Union. Those research papers or articles were main focus of this study to be analyzed. The analysis in this study will be assistant to provide the direction of the research in the future about the method to identify appropriately on the children with the gifted sports skills. -Related to the period of selection of the children with sports skill gifted, the divided selection procedure will be good such as the 1st selection and 2nd selection. In the 1st selection, the goal will be to test the potentials of the children with the sports talents in the public school with creating the special group, and the 2nd selection will be to examine the qualification of the admission to the special schools for the children with the sports talents. -Related to the method of selection of the children with sports talents, the special item on the developmental procedure should be considered on the each field as well as the potentials focused. And, the physical factors, the condition of growth and development, psychological factor, and environmental factor should be comprehensively considered. -The system of promotion in the period of the primary school will be appropriate in the special group for the children with the sports talents, and the special school will be good from the middle school. The system outlooks will be adequate if shaped as the hierarchical structure. -The curriculum for the children with the sports talents will be proper that the basic fitness for the earlier ages and the professional skills will be recommended if getting older. -The continuous research is strongly required for the judgement and promotion of the children with sports talents, therefore, the multiple intelligences approach will be helpful for the development of the bodily-kinesthetic intelligence, and in other words, the new era of the genetic method will be another prospective area such as the DNA analysis in the identification of the talented children for the sports filed.

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Status and Characteristics of the Newly Established Cooperatives in Agricultural Sector (농업분야 신생 협동조합의 현황과 유형별 특징)

  • Choi, Kyung Sik;Nam, Gi Pou;Hwang, Dae Yong
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.967-1006
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    • 2014
  • This study attempted to provide policy recommendations in promoting new cooperatives established in agriculture based on the 2012 Cooperative Act. A questionnaire survey was conducted with 195 newly established cooperatives as the policy target of this study. The new cooperatives were classified as three kinds namely as 'Business' Cooperatives', 'Consumers' Cooperatives', 'Social Cooperatives' based on their member attributes and objectives. Interesting to note that, all of these new cooperatives born by the new Act has taken the marketing business as their main stream business. Among the three types, 'Business Cooperatives' are ranked the highest amount of capital shares per person in average, having about 30 members in size. In categorization, 'Business Cooperatives' include farmer cooperatives as majority and employee cooperatives. They are usually involved in both production and marketing and even in processing activities, and have tried to secure their business performance by e-commerce and stable business contracts. Their diverse activities are highly associated with their local community. Consumers' Cooperatives include consumer cooperatives and stakeholder cooperatives in achieving welfare of members. This type has lower share in capital but has over 30 members in a cooperative, taking marketing (distribution) business as main and often take advantage of their social network and physical store. Regional relationships are less than producer cooperatives. 'Social Cooperatives' are established by public interest and have around 10 members and lowest per capital. their business and community activity is similar to the consumer cooperatives. This study recommends the needs of designing suitable business models by these three types of cooperatives in the future, while appropriating their membership size for their tangible business operations. The government policy direction should aim to develop their new business opportunities and its management stabilization, especially in conjunction with the existing agricultural cooperatives (Nonghyup). It must be rather than to provide simply policy supports for establishment. An in-depth study is recommended in this regard.

Study on the Consequence Effect Analysis & Process Hazard Review at Gas Release from Hydrogen Fluoride Storage Tank (최근 불산 저장탱크에서의 가스 누출시 공정위험 및 결과영향 분석)

  • Ko, JaeSun
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.449-461
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    • 2013
  • As the hydrofluoric acid leak in Gumi-si, Gyeongsangbuk-do or hydrochloric acid leak in Ulsan, Gyeongsangnam-do demonstrated, chemical related accidents are mostly caused by large amounts of volatile toxic substances leaking due to the damages of storage tank or pipe lines of transporter. Safety assessment is the most important concern because such toxic material accidents cause human and material damages to the environment and atmosphere of the surrounding area. Therefore, in this study, a hydrofluoric acid leaked from a storage tank was selected as the study example to simulate the leaked substance diffusing into the atmosphere and result analysis was performed through the numerical Analysis and diffusion simulation of ALOHA(Areal Location of Hazardous Atmospheres). the results of a qualitative evaluation of HAZOP (Hazard Operability)was looked at to find that the flange leak, operation delay due to leakage of the valve and the hose, and toxic gas leak were danger factors. Possibility of fire from temperature, pressure and corrosion, nitrogen supply overpressure and toxic leak from internal corrosion of tank or pipe joints were also found to be high. ALOHA resulting effects were a little different depending on the input data of Dense Gas Model, however, the wind direction and speed, rather than atmospheric stability, played bigger role. Higher wind speed affected the diffusion of contaminant. In term of the diffusion concentration, both liquid and gas leaks resulted in almost the same $LC_{50}$ and ALOHA AEGL-3(Acute Exposure Guidline Level) values. Each scenarios showed almost identical results in ALOHA model. Therefore, a buffer distance of toxic gas can be determined by comparing the numerical analysis and the diffusion concentration to the IDLH(Immediately Dangerous to Life and Health). Such study will help perform the risk assessment of toxic leak more efficiently and be utilized in establishing community emergency response system properly.

On-Line Determination Steady State in Simulation Output (시뮬레이션 출력의 안정상태 온라인 결정에 관한 연구)

  • 이영해;정창식;경규형
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1996.05a
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    • pp.1-3
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    • 1996
  • 시뮬레이션 기법을 이용한 시스템의 분석에 있어서 실험의 자동화는 현재 많은 연구와 개발이 진행 중인 분야이다. 컴퓨터와 정보통신 시스템에 대한 시뮬레이션의 예를 들어 보면, 수많은 모델을 대한 시뮬레이션을 수행할 경우 자동화된 실험의 제어가 요구되고 있다. 시뮬레이션 수행회수, 수행길이, 데이터 수집방법 등과 관련하여 시뮬레이션 실험방법이 자동화가 되지 않으면, 시뮬레이션 실험에 필요한 시간과 인적 자원이 상당히 커지게 되며 출력데이터에 대한 분석에 있어서도 어려움이 따르게 된다. 시뮬레이션 실험방법을 자동화하면서 효율적인 시뮬레이션 출력분석을 위해서는 시뮬레이션을 수행하는 경우에 항상 발생하는 초기편의 (initial bias)를 제거하는 문제가 선결되어야 한다. 시뮬레이션 출력분석에 사용되는 데이터들이 초기편의를 반영하지 않는 안정상태에서 수집된 것이어야만 실제 시스템에 대한 올바른 해석이 가능하다. 실제로 시뮬레이션 출력분석과 관련하여 가장 중요하면서도 어려운 문제는 시뮬레이션의 출력데이터가 이루는 추계적 과정 (stochastic process)의 안정상태 평균과 이 평균에 대한 신뢰구간(confidence interval: c. i.)을 구하는 것이다. 한 신뢰구간에 포함되어 있는 정보는 의사결정자에게 얼마나 정확하게 평균을 추정할 구 있는지 알려 준다. 그러나, 신뢰구간을 구성하는 일은 하나의 시뮬레이션으로부터 얻어진 출력데이터가 일반적으로 비정체상태(nonstationary)이고 자동상관(autocorrelated)되어 있기 때문에, 전통적인 통계적인 기법을 직접적으로 이용할 수 없다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 시뮬레이션 출력데이터 분석기법이 사용된다.본 논문에서는 초기편의를 제거하기 위해서 필요한 출력데이터의 제거시점을 찾는 새로운 기법으로, 유클리드 거리(Euclidean distance: ED)를 이용한 방법과 현재 패턴 분류(pattern classification) 문제에 널리 사용 중인 역전파 신경망(backpropagation neural networks: BNN) 알고리듬을 이용하는 방법을 제시한다. 이 기법들은 대다수의 기존의 기법과는 달리 시험수행(pilot run)이 필요 없으며, 시뮬레이션의 단일수행(single run) 중에 제거시점을 결정할 수 있다. 제거시점과 관련된 기존 연구는 다음과 같다. 콘웨이방법은 현재의 데이터가 이후 데이터의 최대값이나 최소값이 아니면 이 데이터를 제거시점으로 결정하는데, 알고기듬 구조상 온라인으로 제거시점 결정이 불가능하다. 콘웨이방법이 알고리듬의 성격상 온라인이 불가능한 반면, 수정콘웨이방법 (Modified Conway Rule: MCR)은 현재의 데이터가 이전 데이터와 비교했을 때 최대값이나 최소값이 아닌 경우 현재의 데이터를 제거시점으로 결정하기 때문에 온라인이 가능하다. 평균교차방법(Crossings-of-the-Mean Rule: CMR)은 누적평균을 이용하면서 이 평균을 중심으로 관측치가 위에서 아래로, 또는 아래서 위로 교차하는 회수로 결정한다. 이 기법을 사용하려면 교차회수를 결정해야 하는데, 일반적으로 결정된 교차회수가 시스템에 상관없이 일반적으로 적용가능하지 않다는 문제점이 있다. 누적평균방법(Cumulative-Mean Rule: CMR2)은 여러 번의 시험수행을 통해서 얻어진 출력데이터에 대한 총누적평균(grand cumulative mean)을 그래프로 그린 다음, 안정상태인 점을 육안으로 결정한다. 이 방법은 여러 번의 시뮬레이션을 수행에서 얻어진 데이터들의 평균들에 대한 누적평균을 사용하기 매문에 온라인 제거시점 결정이 불가능하며, 작업자가 그래프를 보고 임의로 결정해야 하는 단점이 있다. Welch방법(Welch's Method: WM)은 브라운 브리지(Brownian bridge) 통계량()을 사용하는데, n이 무한에 가까워질 때, 이 브라운 브리지 분포(Brownian bridge distribution)에 수렴하는 성질을 이용한다. 시뮬레이션 출력데이터를 가지고 배치를 구성한 후 하나의 배치를 표본으로 사용한다. 이 기법은 알고리듬이 복잡하고, 값을 추정해야 하는 단점이 있다. Law-Kelton방법(Law-Kelton's Method: LKM)은 회귀 (regression)이론에 기초하는데, 시뮬레이션이 종료된 후 누적평균데이터에 대해서 회귀직선을 적합(fitting)시킨다. 회귀직선의 기울기가 0이라는 귀무가설이 채택되면 그 시점을 제거시점으로 결정한다. 일단 시뮬레이션이 종료된 다음, 데이터가 모아진 순서의 반대 순서로 데이터를 이용하기 때문에 온라인이 불가능하다. Welch절차(Welch's Procedure: WP)는 5회이상의 시뮬레이션수행을 통해 수집한 데이터의 이동평균을 이용해서 시각적으로 제거시점을 결정해야 하며, 반복제거방법을 사용해야 하기 때문에 온라인 제거시점의 결정이 불가능하다. 또한, 한번에 이동할 데이터의 크기(window size)를 결정해야 한다. 지금까지 알아 본 것처럼, 기존의 방법들은 시뮬레이션의 단일 수행 중의 온라인 제거시점 결정의 관점에서는 미약한 면이 있다. 또한, 현재의 시뮬레이션 상용소프트웨어는 작업자로 하여금 제거시점을 임의로 결정하도록 하기 때문에, 실험중인 시스템에 대해서 정확하고도 정량적으로 제거시점을 결정할 수 없게 되어 있다. 사용자가 임의로 제거시점을 결정하게 되면, 초기편의 문제를 효과적으로 해결하기 어려울 뿐만 아니라, 필요 이상으로 너무 많은 양을 제거하거나 초기편의를 해결하지 못할 만큼 너무 적은 양을 제거할 가능성이 커지게 된다. 또한, 기존의 방법들의 대부분은 제거시점을 찾기 위해서 시험수행이 필요하다. 즉, 안정상태 시점만을 찾기 위한 시뮬레이션 수행이 필요하며, 이렇게 사용된 시뮬레이션은 출력분석에 사용되지 않기 때문에 시간적인 손실이 크게 된다.

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Development of the National Integrated Daily Weather Index (DWI) Model to Calculate Forest Fire Danger Rating in the Spring and Fall (봄철과 가을철의 기상에 의한 전국 통합 산불발생확률 모형 개발)

  • Won, Myoungsoo;Jang, Keunchang;Yoon, Sukhee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.348-356
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    • 2018
  • Most of fires were human-caused fires in Korea, but meteorological factors are also big contributors to fire behavior and its spread. Thus, meteorological factors as well as topographical and forest factors were considered in the fire danger rating systems. This study aims to develop an advanced national integrated daily weather index(DWI) using weather data in the spring and fall to support forest fire prevention strategy in South Korea. DWI represents the meteorological characteristics, such as humidity (relative and effective), temperature and wind speed, and we integrated nine logistic regression models of the past into one national model. One national integrated model of the spring and fall is respectively $[1+{\exp}\{-(2.706+(0.088^*T_{mean})-(0.055^*Rh)-(0.023^*Eh)-(0.014^*W_{mean}))\}^{-1}]^{-1}$, $[1+{\exp}\{-(1.099+(0.117^*T_{mean})-(0.069^*Rh)-(0.182^*W_{mean}))\}^{-1}]^{-1}$ and all weather variables significantly (p<0.01) affected the probability of forest fire occurrence in the overall regions. The accuracy of the model in the spring and fall is respectively 71.7% and 86.9%. One integrated national model showed 10% higher accuracy than nine logistic regression models when it is applied weather data with 66 random sampling in forest fire event days. These findings would be necessary for the policy makers in the Republic of Korea for the prevention of forest fires.

Assessment of Region Specific Angstrom-Prescott Coefficients on Uncertainties of Crop Yield Estimates using CERES-Rice Model (작물모형 입력자료용 일사량 추정을 위한 지역 특이적 AP 계수 평가)

  • Young Sang, Joh;Jaemin, Jung;Shinwoo, Hyun;Kwang Soo, Kim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.256-266
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    • 2022
  • Empirical models including the Angstrom-Prescott (AP) model have been used to estimate solar radiation at sites, which would support a wide use of crop models. The objective of this study was to estimate two sets of solar radiation estimates using the AP coefficients derived for climate zone (APFrere) and specific site (APChoi), respectively. The daily solar radiation was estimated at 18 sites in Korea where long-term measurements of solar radiation were available. In the present study, daily solar radiation and sunshine duration were collected for the period from 2012 to 2021. Daily weather data including maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall were also obtained to prepare input data to a process-based crop model, CERES-Rice model included in Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT). It was found that the daily estimates of solar radiation using the climate zone specific coefficient, SFrere, had significantly less error than those using site-specific coefficients SChoi (p<0.05). The cumulative values of SFrere for the period from march to September also had less error at 55% of study sites than those of SChoi. Still, the use of SFrere and SChoi as inputs to the CERES-Rice model resulted in slight differences between the outcomes of crop growth simulations, which had no significant difference between these outputs. These results suggested that the AP coefficients for the temperate climate zone would be preferable for the estimation of solar radiation. This merits further evaluation studies to compare the AP model with other sophisticated approaches such as models based on satellite data.

A Study on the Decision Factors for AI-based SaMD Adoption Using Delphi Surveys and AHP Analysis (델파이 조사와 AHP 분석을 활용한 인공지능 기반 SaMD 도입 의사결정 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Byung-Oh Woo;Jay In Oh
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.111-129
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    • 2023
  • With the diffusion of digital innovation, the adoption of innovative medical technologies based on artificial intelligence is increasing in the medical field. This is driving the launch and adoption of AI-based SaMD(Software as a Medical Device), but there is a lack of research on the factors that influence the adoption of SaMD by medical institutions. The purpose of this study is to identify key factors that influence medical institutions' decisions to adopt AI-based SaMDs, and to analyze the weights and priorities of these factors. For this purpose, we conducted Delphi surveys based on the results of literature studies on technology acceptance models in healthcare industry, medical AI and SaMD, and developed a research model by combining HOTE(Human, Organization, Technology and Environment) framework and HABIO(Holistic Approach {Business, Information, Organizational}) framework. Based on the research model with 5 main criteria and 22 sub-criteria, we conducted an AHP(Analytical Hierarchy Process) analysis among the experts from domestic medical institutions and SaMD providers to empirically analyze SaMD adoption factors. The results of this study showed that the priority of the main criteria for determining the adoption of AI-based SaMD was in the order of technical factors, economic factors, human factors, organizational factors, and environmental factors. The priority of sub-criteria was in the order of reliability, cost reduction, medical staff's acceptance, safety, top management's support, security, and licensing & regulatory levels. Specifically, technical factors such as reliability, safety, and security were found to be the most important factors for SaMD adoption. In addition, the comparisons and analyses of the weights and priorities of each group showed that the weights and priorities of SaMD adoption factors varied by type of institution, type of medical institution, and type of job in the medical institution.

Analysis of inundation and rainfall-runoff in mountainous small catchment using the MIKE model - Focusing on the Var river in France - (MIKE 모델을 이용한 산지소유역 강우유출 및 침수 분석 - 프랑스 Var river 유역을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Suwon;Jang, Dongwoo;Jung, Seungkwon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2023
  • Recently, due to the influence of climate change, the occurrence of damage to heavy rain is increasing around the world, and the frequency of heavy rain with a large amount of rain in a short period of time is also increasing. Heavy rains generate a large amount of outflow in a short time, causing flooding in the downstream part of the mountainous area before joining the small and medium-sized rivers. In order to reduce damage to downstream areas caused by flooding, it is very important to calculate the outflow of mountainous areas due to torrential rains. However, the sewage network flooding analysis, which is currently conducting the most analysis in Korea, uses the time and area method using the existing data rather than calculating the rainfall outflow in the mountainous area, which is difficult to determine that the soil characteristics of the region are accurately applied. Therefore, if the rainfall is analyzed for mountainous areas that can cause flooding in the downstream area in a short period of time due to large outflows, the accuracy of the analysis of flooding characteristics that can occur in the downstream area can be improved and used as data for evacuating residents and calculating the extent of damage. In order to calculate the rainfall outflow in the mountainous area, the rainfall outflow in the mountainous area was calculated using MIKE SHE among the MIKE series, and the flooding analysis in the downstream area was conducted through MIKE 21 FM (Flood model). Through this study, it was possible to confirm the amount of outflow and the time to reach downstream in the event of rainfall in the mountainous area, and the results of this analysis can be used to protect human and material resources through pre-evacuation in the downstream area in the future.

A Study on the Revitalization of the Competency Assessment System in the Public Sector : Compare with Private Sector Operations (공공부문 역량평가제도의 활성화 방안에 대한 연구 : 민간부분의 운영방식과의 비교 연구)

  • Kwon, Yong-man;Jeong, Jang-ho
    • Journal of Venture Innovation
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.51-65
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    • 2021
  • The HR policy in the public sector was closed and operated mainly on written tests, but in 2006, a new evaluation, promotion and education system based on competence was introduced in the promotion and selection system of civil servants. In particular, the seniority-oriented promotion system was evaluated based on competence by operating an Assessment Center related to promotion. Competency evaluation is known to be the most reliable and valid evaluation method among the evaluation methods used to date and is also known to have high predictive feasibility for performance. In 2001, 19 government standard competency models were designed. In 2006, the competency assessment was implemented with the implementation of the high-ranking civil service team system. In the public sector, the purpose of the competency evaluation is mainly to select third-grade civil servants, assign fourth-grade civil servants, and promotion fifth-grade civil servants. However, competency assessments in the public sector differ in terms of competency assessment objectives, assessment processes and competency assessment programmes compared to those in the private sector. For the purposes of competency assessment, the public sector is for the promotion of candidates, and the private sector focuses on career development and fostering. Therefore, it is not continuously developing capabilities than the private sector and is not used to enhance performance in performing its duties. In relation to evaluation items, the public sector generally operates a system that passes capacity assessment at 2.5 out of 5 for 6 competencies, lacks feedback on what competencies are lacking, and the private sector uses each individual's competency score. Regarding the selection and operation of evaluators, the public sector focuses on fairness in evaluation, and the private sector focuses on usability, which is inconsistent with the aspect of developing capabilities and utilizing human resources in the right place. Therefore, the public sector should also improve measures to identify outstanding people and motivate them through capacity evaluation and change the operation of the capacity evaluation system so that they can grow into better managers through accurate reports and individual feedback