• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구추정기법

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건강 관련 삶의 질의 사회인구학적 상관요인에 대한 공간분석

  • Jo, Dong-Gi
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 지리정보시스템(GIS)과 지리적 가중 회귀(GWR)를 이용하여 건강 관련 삶의 질(HRQoL)의 사회인구학적 상관요인에 대한 공간분석을 시도한다. 관찰의 독립성과 오차의 동분산성을 가정하는 전통적 회귀분석과 달리, 지리적 가중 회귀분석은 속성정보뿐만 아니라 공간정보를 활용하는 공간분석 기법이다. 분석모형은 건강 관련 삶의 질을 종합적으로 측정하는 EQ-5D를 종속변수로 하고 지역의 사회인구학적 특성인 노령인구비율, 조이혼율, 병상수, 재정자주도를 독립변수로 하여 구성하였다. 종속변수는 질병관리본부에서 실시한 <지역사회건강조사>의 자료를 이용하였고, 독립변수는 통계청 온라인 DB에 수록된 지역별 자료를 이용하였다. 모형을 추정해 본 결과 전반적으로 사회적 특성보다는 노령인구비율이나 조이혼율과 같은 인구학적 특성이 건강 관련 삶의 질에 더 많은 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 공간적 변이를 고려하는 지역모형은 전역모형에서 드러나지 않았던 중요한 유형을 보여주는데, 노령인구비율 변수와 조이혼율 변수의 지역별 추정치를 지도상으로 살펴본 결과 변수들의 효과가 공간적 위치에 따라 차이를 보인다는 점이 확인되었다. 분석 결과는 또한 지리적 가중 회귀분석이 전통적 회귀분석에 비해 공간적 자기상관의 문제를 극복하고 모형의 부합도를 증가시킨다는 것을 보여준다.

Representation of Population Distribution based on Residential Building Types by using the Dasymetric Mapping in Seoul (대시메트릭 매핑 기법을 이용한 서울시 건축물별 주거인구밀도의 재현)

  • Lee, Sukjoon;Lee, Sang Wook;Hong, Bo Yeong;Eom, Hongmin;Shin, Hyu-Seok;Kim, Kyung-Min
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2014
  • The aim of this study is to represent the residential population distribution in Seoul, Korea more precisely through the dasymetric mapping method. Dasymetric mapping can be defined as a mapping method to calculate details from truncated spatial distribution of main statistical data by using ancillary data which is spatial data related to the main data. In this research, there are two types of data used for dasymetric mapping: the population data (2010) based on a output area survey in Seoul as the main data and the building footprint data including register information as ancillary spatial data. Using the binary method, it extracts residential buildings as actual areas where residents do live in. After that, the regression method is used for calculating the weights on population density by considering the building types and their gross floor areas. Finally, it can be reproduced three-dimensional density of residential population and drew a detailed dasymetric map. As a result, this allows to extract a more realistic calculating model of population distribution and draw a more accurate map of population distribution in Seoul. Therefore, this study has an important meaning as a source which can be applied in various researches concerning regional population in the future.

Estimation of Flow Population of Seoul Walking Tour Courses Using Telecommunications Data (통신 데이터를 활용한 도보관광코스 유동인구 추정 및 분석)

  • Park, Ye Rim;Kang, Youngok
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.181-195
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to analyze the spatial context by analyzing the flow characteristics of the walking tour course and visualizing effectively using the floating population data constructed through the communication data. The floating population data refinement algorithm was developed for estimation flow population along the road and the floating population data for each walking tour courses was constructed. In order to adopt the algorithm for forming suitable for the analysis of the walking tour courses, the estimation of floating population considering the area of the road and the estimation of floating population considering the value of floating population around the road were compared. As a result, the estimation of floating population considering ambient the values of flow population was adopted, which is more appropriate to apply analysis method due to the relatively consistent data. Then, a datamining algorithm for walking tour course was constructed according to the characteristics of the floating population data, the absence of missing values. Finally, this study analyzed the flow characteristics and spatial patterns of 18 walking trails in Seoul through the floating population data according to walking tour course. To do this, the kernel density analysis and the Getis-Ord $G^*_i$ statistical hotspot analysis were applied to visualize the main characteristics of each walking tour course.

한 인구학도의 회고

  • 김택일
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 1988
  • This study examines the sampling bias that may have resulted from the large number of missing observations. Despite well-designed and reliable sampling procedures, the observed sample values in DSFH(Demographic Survey on Changes in Family and Household Structure, Japan) included many missing observations. The head administerd survey method of DSFH resulted in a large number of missing observations regarding characteristics of elderly non-head parents and their children. In addition, the response probability of a particular item in DSFH significantly differs by characteristics of elderly parents and their children. Furthermore, missing observations of many items occurred simultaneously. This complex pattern of missing observations critically limits the ability to produce an unbiased analysis. First, the large number of missing observations is likely to cause a misleading estimate of the standard error. Even worse, the possible dependency of missing observations on their latent values is likely to produce biased estimates of covariates. Two models are employed to solve the possible inference biases. First, EM algorithm is used to infer the missing values based on the knowledge of the association between the observed values and other covariates. Second, a selection model was employed given the suspicion that the probability of missing observations of proximity depends on its unobserved outcome.

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Two Stage Small Area Estimation (이단계 소지역추정)

  • Lee, Sang-Eun;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.293-300
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    • 2012
  • When Binomial data are obtained, logit and logit mixed models are commonly used for small area estimation. Those models are known to have good statistical properties through the use of unit level information; however, data should be obtained as area level in order to use area level information such as spatial correlation or auto-correlation. In this research, we suggested a new small area estimator obtained through the combination of unit level information with area level information.

Regional Frequency Analysis Based on FORGEX Model (FORGEX 기법에 의한 지역빈도해석)

  • Nam, Woo Sung;Kim, Kyung Duk;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.323-327
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    • 2004
  • 우리나라의 경우 짧은 자료기간으로 인해 지점빈도해석에 의한 확률강우량 추정시 불확실성이 커지는 문제가 있어 지역빈도해석의 적용이 필요하다. 본 인구에서는 지역빈도해석 기법의 하나인 FORGEX 기법을 우리나라 강우자료에 적용하였다. 전국의 82개 기상청 산하 관측지점의 자료로부터 지속기간별 연최대 강우 자료를 추출하였으며, FORGEX 기법의 절차애 따라 확률강우량을 계산하고자 하는 지점을 중심으로 네트워크를 구성하였다 Netmax 계열을 이용하여 긴 재현기간에 내한 안정된 확률강우량을 추정할 수 있는 성장곡선을 유도할 수 있었다.

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An Explorator Spatial Analysis of Shigellosis (세균성 이질의 탐색적 공간분석)

  • 박기호
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.473-491
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    • 1999
  • 세균성 이질은 국내 제1종 법정 전염병으로 분류되어 관리되고 있는 질환으로서 1998년 이후 그 발병 사례가 급속히 증가하고 있다. 본 연구는 1999년 3월 부산시 사상구에서 집단 발병한 세균성 이질을 대상으로 하여, 각 환자들의 발병 시점과 장소의 분포패턴에 대한 지리학적 고찰을 목적으로 한다. 환자분포의 특징적 공간패턴과 그들의 시계열적 확산 양상 등을 탐색하기 위한 방법론은 보건지리학과 지도학 및 공간통계학에 기반을 둔 공간분석기법을 중심으로 설정하였다. 분석자료는 해당 지역의 수치지형도, 지적도, 인구 센서스 자료를 포함한 GIS 데이터베이스로 구축되었다. 인구분포를 감안한 밀도구분도를 바탕으로 개별환자의 위치자료와 동 단위로 집계된 자료를 자료의 형태에 따라 분석기법을 달리하였으며, 환자 발생 밀도, 상대적 위험지수 등을 지도화하여 역학자료의 시각적 통계적 분석을 수행하였다. 환자분포의 공간적 중심위치와 분산의 변화 등 기술적 통계분석과 함께 제1차 공간속성을 커널추정법으로 찾아보았다. 이와 더불어 ‘공간적 의존성’과 관련된 제2차 공간속성은 K-함수와 시뮬레이션을 통해 분석하여 군집성 등이 통계적으로 확인되었다. 본 연구를 통해 역학조사시 GIS의 활용사례가 제시되었으며, 모집단 인구를 고려한 확률지도 작성 기법과 다양한 데이터 가시화 방법, 그리고 시계열별 발생 환자들의 지리적 변이를 분석 하는데 따르는 문제들이 논의되었다.

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Effects of Areal Interpolation Methods on Environmental Equity Analysis (면내삽법이 환경적 형평성 분석에 미치는 영향)

  • Jun, Byong-Woon
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.736-751
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    • 2008
  • Although a growing number of studies have commonly used a simple areal weighting interpolation method to quantify demographic characteristics of impacted areas in environmental equity analysis, the results obtained are inevitably imprecise because of the method's unrealistic assumption that population is evenly distributed within a census enumeration unit. Two alternative areal interpolation methods such as intelligent areal weighting and regression methods can account for the distributional biases in the estimation of impacted populations by making use of additional information about the geographic distribution of population. This research explores five areal interpolation methods for estimating the population characteristics of impacted areas in environmental equity analysis and evaluates the sensitivity of the outcomes of environmental equity analysis to areal interpolation methods. This study used GIS techniques to allow areal interpolation to be informed by the distribution of land cover types, as inferred from a satellite image. in both the source and target units. Independent samples t-test statistics were measured to verify the environmental equity hypothesis while coefficients of variation were calculated to compare the relative variability and consistency in the socioeconomic characteristics of populations at risk over different areal interpolation methods. Results show that the outcomes of environmental equity analysis in the study area are not sensitive to the areal interpolation methods used in estimating affected populations, but the population estimates within the impacted areas are largely variable as different areal interpolation methods are used. This implies that the use of different areal interpolation methods may to some degree alter the statistical results of environmental equity analysis.

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The Applicability of the Genetic Algorithm on Spatial Distribution of Demographic Characteristics (인구구조 공간분포 특성에 관한 유전자 알고리즘 적용방안)

  • Choei, Nae-Young;Lee, Kyung-Yoon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2010
  • The Genetic Algorithm is one of the population surface modelling tool in the field of urban and environmental research based on the gridded population data. Taking the East-Hwasung area as the case, this study first builds a gridded population data based on the GIS databases as well as municipal population survey data. The study then constructs the attribute values of the explanatory variables by way of GIS tools. The regression model constructed with the same variables is also run as a comparative purpose at the same time. It is shown that the GenAlg output predicted as much consistent and meaningful coefficient estimates for the explanatory variables as the regression model, indicating that it is a very useful interdisciplinary research tool to find optimal solutions in urban problems.

Evaluation of Civil Defense Evacuation Shelter Locations in Fitness according to the Walking Speed and Changing Floating Population in Time and Space (시공간 유동인구 변화와 보행속도에 따른 민방위 비상 대피시설 위치의 적절성 평가)

  • Park, Jae-Kook
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.95-103
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    • 2018
  • This study set out to evaluate the fitness of shelter locations by taking into consideration service zones according to walking speed, the changing population between day and night, and walking routes. Walking speed was defined as 1.6 m/s, 2 m/s based on the cases of previous studies. The changing population between day and night was estimated with the dasymetric mapping technique. Shelter service zones according to walking speed and routes were analyzed with the network of the location allocation model. The findings show some shelters had limits with their capacity according to the changing floating population and walking speed in time and space and raise a need to appoint additional shelters.