• Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.71-78
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• 2020

Recently, as the issue of gentrification emerges, it becomes important to understand the dynamics of local commercial district, which plays the important role for facilitating the local economy and building the community in a city. This paper attempts to provide the framework for systemically analyzing and understanding the local commercial district. Then, this paper empirically analyzes the patterns of sales and flow of floating population by focusing on two representative local commercial districts in Seoul. In addition, the floating population data from telecommunication bases is further modeled with Markov chain for systemically understanding the local commercial districts. Finally, the transition patterns and consumption amounts of floating population are comprehensively analyzed for providing the implications on the evolutions of local commercial districts in a city. We expect that findings of our study could contribute to the economic growth of local commercial district, which could lead to the continuous development of city economy.

• Korea journal of population studies
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.113-133
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• 2011

The generation of babyboomers has a significant impact on the socio-economic development of the society in general. The Korean Babyboomers will soon leave from their workforce as they reach the retirement age. This, coupled with the low fertility rate, may cause a serious social problem in the society at large as well as the social welfare issues among the Korean elderly population. The Central Statistical Systems have estimated the future projection which plays critical role to establish fundamental basis for the social and economic policies of the nation. This study examined the effect of the babyboomers on the life expectancy by comparing forecasted life expectancies provided by the statistical office and the previous studies in the related areas. The study also suggested a future population projection based on fertility rates provided, along with the changes of the number of babyboomers as they become ageing. The study results with the comparison between the population projection by the statistical office are provided.

• Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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• 2002.11a
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• pp.1-30
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• 2002

본 연구의 목적은 청주시의 주택문제에 대한 특별한 해결책을 논의한다기보다는 문제를 바라보는 새로운 프로세스를 형성하여 도시내부 문제해결을 위한 UD 모형을 적용하고 검증하는 것이다. 모든 도시는 성장과 쇠퇴의 주기가 있듯이 청주라는 공간도 현재의 물리적인 경계를 유지하면서 영원히 성장할 수 없으며, 성장의 한계에 이르게 되고, 시스템 내부의 피드백구조의 역동성에 의해 동태적인 균형상태를 지향하게 된다. UD 모형을 통해서 본다면 청주의 경우도 향후 50년간은 인구, 주택, 산업 모든 측면에서 성장을 이루게 될 것으로 보인다 2055년 이후에는 그 증가율이 정차 감소하여 균형상태를 유지하게 되다가 한 시점에 이르러서는 내부 stock 변수들의 인과관계에 의해 청주의 매력도는 주변지역으로 이전되게 될 것이다. 거시적으로 보았을 때 청주의 경우도 적정수준에서 이러한 추세를 따라가기 때문에 청주시의 UD 적용의 유용성은 입증되었다고 말할 수 있겠다. 더불어 민감도 분석에서 사용한 변수들의 조정에서 나왔듯이 주택과 관련된 정책을 펼칠 때, 시스템 내부적인 변수를 조정하는 정책을 펼쳐 나갈 때 청주라는 공간은 주택분야뿐 아니라 도시전체시스템의 동태적 균형상태를 유지해 나갈 수 있을 것으로 나타났다.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.129-134
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• 2010

Low-carbon Green Growth is highlighted as the main political issue from in and outof Korea. Recently Korean government announced the vision for low-carbon green growth. Considering this as a starting point the carbon emission estimation has become an important factor in the city planning. In order to realize the carbon reduction planning, this research was focused on the trend analyzes between the carbon exhaust estimation as well as the land use change for the past 40 years in Jinju. The image processing data of past aerial photography and the land suitability assessment databases were used to collect the useful information's for the land trend analysis for 40 years. As the results, the land use changes by new residential developments have led to increase the carbon emissions and population concentration rapidly. The urban management planning for low carbon and green growth should consider carbon emissions by population growth derived from land use change. Further research need to estimate the accurate carbon exhaust using relationship model with fuel consumption, carbon estimation, and land use.

• The Southeast Asian review
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.147-182
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• 2010

The purpose of this study is to examine the population changes in the nine Southeast Asian countries, including Cambodia, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Philippine, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore, Vietnam, and Thailand. According to the demographic transition theory which described the transition from high birth and death rates to low birth and death rates, the demographic changes in less developed countries, including the Southeast Asian countries, follow the general pattern of the population changes that the Western countries had experienced. However, this theory does not consider the fact that the demographic behaviors such as fertility and mortality tend to be ethnocentric (or particular). Therefore, I examine in this paper both the generality and particularity of the population changes in the Southeast Asia . The analytic results are consistent with my assumptions. Every country in the Southeast Asia will soon reach the third phrase of the demographic transition and meet population ageing process. However, the timings arriving at the third phrase can differ. Singapore which is the most developed country had firstly passed through the demographic transition and the highest level of population ageing. Cambodia and Lao People's Democratic Republic, the least developed countries, will lastly arrive at the third phrase and the ageing society. In addition, among the three countries which had experienced war or civil war, only Cambodia had experienced babyboom.

• 사회경제평론
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.1-27
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• 2018

We evaluate the income-led growth policies introduced in the first year of 'the Moon Government', and try to find ways to extend policy packages. We emphasize the expansion of fountain effects, reinforcing trickle-down effects, and fiscal expansion. Nevertheless, we still face two deep problems. It is hard to reverse the long-run downward growth trend due to population decline. It is also hard to overcome the chronic inefficiency in resource allocations originated from the Korea-specific monopolistic structure. We still can take advantage of income-led policy, but the growth effect will be limited if our efforts just remain in mild improvement of income distribution. We have to challenge the broader reform agenda if we really aim at great paradigm shift.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.15 no.5
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• pp.31-39
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• 2014

It has been a long time since cars had become important means of transportation in human life. Since 1970s, cars have been increasing steadily because of rising individual income and changing lifestyle toward leisure and convenience. The number of cars is just 1.8 per thousand populations in 1970s, however, in 2012, it has increased to 291.15. Forecasting the demand for cars would be useful to plan, construction or management in the field of motor industry, road building and establishing facilities. Our study predicts the demand of cars through estimating the growth curve model. Especially, we include ageing variables to forecasting identifying the effect of ageing on the demand of cars. The main findings are as follows. In 2045, the number of cars is expected to reach 486.8 per thousand populations with passing a primary saturation point at early 2020s. Also, due to effect of ageing, the predicted demand of cars is about 10% lower than in case of which if ageing effect not exist.

• The Optical Journal
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• v.13 no.3 s.73
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• pp.17-19
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• 2001

86아시안게임과 88올림픽을 계기로 필름시장이 꾸준한 성장을 이루다가 97년 IMF와 함께 급격히 하락하기 시작해 2000년 인구 1인 당 1롤 정도의 소비량을 보이고 있는 가운데 2001년도 역시 낙관적이지 않은 거시경제지표와 디지털카메라 및 장비의 보급으로 또 다른 양상을 보여줄 것으로 보인다. 하지만 디지털제품이 필름과 미니랩시장을 대체하기에는 상당한 시간이 걸릴 것으로 예상된다.

• 프린팅코리아
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• v.14 no.8
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• pp.92-95
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• 2015

한국출판문화산업진흥원(원장 이재호)은 최근 '도서 저작권 수출 가이드북 동남아편'을 발간했다. 동남아시아 시장은 인구 수, 성장 가능성 면에서 기대되는 시장 중 하나로, 이 책에는 태국, 인도네시아' 말레이시아, 베트남을 비롯해 중국 번체자 사용 국가인 대만과 홍콩 등 6개국에 대한 정보가 담겨 있다.

• 프린팅코리아
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• v.14 no.9
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• pp.112-117
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• 2015

한국출판문화산업진흥원(원장 이재호)은 최근 '도서 저작권 수출 가이드북 동남아편'을 발간했다. 동남아시아 시장은 인구 수, 성장 가능성 면에서 기대되는 시장 중 하나로, 이 책에는 태국, 인도네시아, 말레이시아, 베트남을 비롯해 중국 번체자 사용 국가인 대만과 홍콩 등 6개국에 대한 정보가 담겨 있다.