• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인과관계 분석

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Named Entity Recognition for Analyzing Factors of Agrifood Price Fluctuation (농식품 가격변동 요인분석을 위한 개체명 인식)

  • Park, Chan;Lee, Kung-Soon
    • Annual Conference on Human and Language Technology
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    • 2020.10a
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    • pp.347-350
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    • 2020
  • 농식품 가격을 안정적으로 제공하기 위해 농식품 가격 변동에 대한 요인 분석이 필요하다. 본 연구는 농식품 가격 변동의 요인 분석을 위해 인과관계 템플릿을 정의하고, 요약을 위한 개체명 인식 방법을 적용한다. 농식품 일일동향 데이터에 대한 평가에서 딥러닝 기반 BiLSTM-CRF 실험 결과 F1-점수 0.93으로 베이스라인 Bi-LSTM 실험 결과 0.75에 비해 높은 성능을 보였다.

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The Analysis of Correlation between National Bond Futures market & Spot Market (국채선물시장과 현물시장의 상관관계분석)

  • Jeong, Seong-Hun;Heo, Mun-Jong;Yun, Jae-Hui
    • 한국디지털정책학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.705-717
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 '01.3.19-'03.11.21 까지의 국채 현 선물 장기간 데이터를 이용하여 두 변수간의 관계를 분석해 본 결과 두 변수가 상당히 높은 양(+)의 관계를 갖는 것으로 나타남. 변수간에 장기안정관계 즉 공 적분관계가 존재하는 것으로 나타나 오차수정모형 (ECM)을 통해서 분석을 시도했다. 두 기간 사이에 국채 현 선물 가격간의 관계 변화가 있었는지 알아보기 위해 실증분석 기간을 반분한 후 분석을 실시한 결과국채 선물의 현물에 대한영향력이 최근들어 더 커지고 있는 것으로 나타남. 두 변수간의 원인과 결과관계를 분석하기 위해 실시한 인과관계분석에서는 두 변수간에 통계적으로 유의한 인과관계를 발견할 수 없었다.

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A Causal Model of Perceived Service Quality, Consumer Attitude, and Intention to Repatronize (지각된 서비스 품질, 소비자 태도, 재이용 의도 사이의 인과관계 모형)

  • 이인구;김종배;이문규
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.44-63
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    • 2000
  • 경영관리의 초점이 생산중심에서 마케팅중심 그리고 서비스중심으로 급격히 변화하면서 서비스 경쟁이 중요한 생존무기가 되고 있다. 차별화의 수단으로 서비스의 중요성이 강조되면서 여러 가지 서비스 속성 중에서 서비스 품질에 관한 연구가 활발히 진행되어 왔다. 그러나 서비스 품질을 구성하는 차원을 밝히려는 연구는 많았던데 비해 서비스 품질이 소비자의 태도와 재이용 의도에 어떠한 영향을 미치는가에 관한 연구는 거의 이루어지지 않았다. 본 연구에서는 지각된 서비스 품질을 구성하는 여러 차원들이 소비자의 태도에 어떠한 영향을 주며, 태도는 소비자의 재이용 의도에 어떠한 영향을 주는가를 알아보았다. 자료는 소매점 이용자를 대상으로 수집되었으며 소매점 서비스에 관한 인과관계 모형을 통하여 분석되었다. 연구 결과 기능적 품질에 속하는 신뢰성 차원과 기술적 품질에 속하는 유형설비 차원이 소비자의 태도에 긍정적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 기술적 품질로 볼 수 있는 가격(비용) 차원은 예상대로 부정적인 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 반면에 기능적 품질에 속하는 감정배려는 통계적으로 유의적인 영향을 미치지 못하는 것으로 나타났다. 한편 서비스 품질을 통해 형성된 소비자 태도는 소매점 재이용 의도에 긍정적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 추가적으로 소매점을 특성에 따라 몇 개의 범주로 분류하고 인과관계 모형의 영향 관계가 어떻게 달라지는가를 분석하였다. 분석결과 대형 할인소매점, 백화점, 주거지역 인근의 소매점들에서 상당한 차이를 발견하였다. 즉, 태도와 재이용 의도 사이의 긍정적인 영향관계는 소매점 유형에 관계없이 나타났으나 태도에 영향을 주는 서비스 품질 차원은 매우 다르게 나타났다. 이는 차별화 지표로 서비스 품질을 사용할 경우에 서비스 관리자들이 어떠한 전략을 선택해야 하는가에 관하여 시사하는 바가 크다. 아울러 동일범주의 서비스 산업이더라도, 서비스의 특성에 따라 서비스 품질을 구성하는 중요한 차원을 규명하기 위한 추가 연구의 필요성을 제기한다.

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The Impact of Perceived Brand Globalness on Brand Attributes Evaluation: focusing on the Moderating Role of Thinking Style about Causality (소비자의 브랜드 글로벌성 인식이 브랜드 속성 평가에 미치는 영향: 인과관계에 대한 사고방식의 조절역할을 중심으로)

  • Han, Soo-Yeon;Lee, Chol
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.43-69
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    • 2017
  • The study examined moderating role of thinking style about causality in the relationship between the perceived brand globalness(PBG) and the brand evaluation. Thinking style about causality is divided into interactionism and dispositionism. Individualism culture shows a tendency of thinking style about causality to dispositionism, and collectivist cultures shows a tendency for interactionism. We conducted a survey on Korean college students who represent collectivist cultures and foreign students from countries of individualistic culture and analyzed data through structural equation modeling. Analysis result showed that the higher the respondents perceived PBG, the higher they perceived brand quality, brand quality, and brand price. However, it showed that PBG has greater positive effects on perceived brand quality and perceived brand reputation among Korean students than students from individualistic cultures. On the other hand, the effects of PBG on perceived brand price did not show any significant difference between Korean students and students from individualist cultures. Thus, we can conclude that thinking style about causality plays a moderating role in the relationship between PBG and perceived brand quality and brand reputation, while it does not do so between PBG and perceived brand price.

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An Empirical Study on the Asymmetric Correlation and Market Efficiency Between International Currency Futures and Spot Markets with Bivariate GJR-GARCH Model (이변량 GJR-GARCH모형을 이용한 국제통화선물시장과 통화현물시장간의 비대칭적 인과관계 및 시장효율성 비교분석에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Chung-Hyo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2010
  • This paper tested the lead-lag relationship as well as the symmetric and asymmetric volatility spillover effects between international currency futures markets and cash markets. We use five kinds of currency spot and futures markets such as British pound, Australian and Canadian dollar, Brasilian Real and won/dollar spot and futures markets. daily closing prices covering from September 15, 2003 to July 30, 2009. For this purpose we employed dynamic time series models such as the Granger causality based on VAR and time-varying MA(1)-GJR-GARCH(1, 1)-M. The main empirical results are as follows; First, according to Granger causality test, we find that the bilateral lead-lag relationship between the five countries' currency spot and futures market. The price discover effect from currency futures markets to spot market is relatively stronger than that from currency spot to futures markets. Second, based on the time varying GARCH model, we find that there is a bilateral conditional mean spillover effects between the five currency spot and futures markets. Third, we also find that there is a bilateral asymmetric volatility spillover effects between British pound, Canadian dollar, Brasilian Real and won/dollar spot and futures market. However there is a unilateral asymmetric volatility spillover effect from Australian dollar futures to cash market, not vice versa. From these empirical results we infer that most of currency futures markets have a much better price discovery function than currency cash market and are inefficient to the information.

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Multi-dimension Categorical Data with Bayesian Network (베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 다차원 범주형 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Chul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.169-174
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    • 2018
  • In general, the methods of the analysis of variance(ANOVA) for the continuous data and the chi-square test for the discrete data are used for statistical analysis of the effect and the association. In multidimensional data, analysis of hierarchical structure is required and statistical linear model is adopted. The structure of the linear model requires the normality of the data. A multidimensional categorical data analysis methods are used for causal relations, interactions, and correlation analysis. In this paper, Bayesian network model using probability distribution is proposed to reduce analysis procedure and analyze interactions and causal relationships in categorical data analysis.

The Test of Gender Difference on the Causal Relationships between Adolescent's Academic Stress and Suicidal Thoughts (청소년의 학업스트레스가 자살충동에 미치는 인과관계의 성별 차이검증)

  • Noh, Yun-Chae;Kim, Kyung-Sook;Park, Hwie-Seo
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2015
  • This study is to examine the causal relationship between adolescents' academic stress and suicidal thoughts via depression and gender differences of causal relationships in each causal paths. The purpose of this study is to suggest some implications based on this analytical results. For this purpose, we conducted interviews using a questionnaire targeting high school students. The analytical results shows that adolescent's academic stress has a significant effects on their depression and suicidal thoughts, and adolescent's depression also has a significant effects on suicidal thoughts. This study suggests some implications based on this results.

한국 국가품질상 평가모델의 인과관계 분석

  • Mun, Jae-Yeong;Lee, Sang-Cheol;Seo, Yeong-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.161-165
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구의 목적은 한국기업을 대상으로 한국 국가품질상(The Korean National Quality Award) 평가도구의 타당성을 검증하고, 이러한 평가 항목들 간에 어떠한 인과관계가 있는지를 Pilot test를 통해 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 미국의 말콤볼드리지 국가품질상(The Malcolm Bladrige National Quality Award)의 평가기준인 리더십, 전략계획, 고객과 시장중시, 정보와 분석, 인적자원 중시, 프로세스 관리, 사업성과의 7개 항목과 21개의 세부항목을 이용하였다.

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Product Liability and Causation in Criminal Law (형법상 제조물책임과 인과관계의 확정)

  • Lee, Seok-Bae
    • The Korean Society of Law and Medicine
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.3-28
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    • 2016
  • While product liability has been settled as a technical term in civil law, criminal law does not commonly accept technical term for it. Not like civil law, product liability in criminal law point outs individual responsibility and disability of normative order. Meaning that causation between individual's action of violation of duty and the result of danger of legal interest or infringement of legal interest must be proved. In criminal law excluding "non-result-constituted crimes (Unternehmensdelikt)", charge of injuring, accidental infliction of injury, homicide or involuntary manslaughter is problematic in product liability. Of course, it is necessary to distinguish whether the action related to the outcome is act or ommission. Also the causal relationship between the action and the result must be proved, and the intention or negligence should be recognized. In this paper, it analyzes cases that were problematic in Korea, Germany, Spain, etc. Mainly focusing on the problems revealed in the determination of causal relationship, especially recognizing criminal liability related to products. Furthermore it is followed by the view of reviewing the cause-and-effect relationship by 2 steps, dividing natural scientific causation and the normative causal relationship. In this process, to acknowledge criminal product liability in accordance with recognizing cause-and-effect relationship, there should be general risk of specific substance causing the outcome. This only premise can be meaningful to examine the casual relationship from specific cases. As it shows in some cases and theories, it is not contradicting general law of cause and effect by determining specific causal relationship by free evaluation of evidence if a general causal relationship does not exist. Also since judge's testimony does not hold a dominant position from rule of thumb, it is possible to recognize specific causal relationship. However this paper takes position that if there is no objective and reasonably undeniable cause and effect law. If there is no objective and reasonably undeniable causal law, which is the premise for recognizing concrete causal relations, judge should sentence guilty according to "in dubio pro reo" principle. In addition, it is not allowed for the defendant to burden unproven fact by free evaluation of evidence which has an effect of shift of burden of proof.

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Analysis on the Relationship between the San-Nong Expenditure and 'Quality of Life' of Rural Residents in China (중국의 삼농(三農)지출과 농촌주민 '삶의 질'간 관계 분석)

  • Kim, Jong-Sup
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.237-250
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    • 2016
  • This paper is to explore the relationship between the San-Nong expenditure and Quality of life of rural residents in China for the period of 1978-2013, using the unit root test, the Granger causality test, the cointegration test, VAR model, and VECM. The results of a study on the relationship between two variables show that an obvious mutually causal relationship exits between the financial expenditure for San-Nong(san) and gross output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery(apro) in China. But the case of per capita ploor space of newly built residential buildings in rural area(rho) and per capita consumption expenditure of rural households(rli) show that the financial expenditure for San-Nong(san) press for improvement in the quality of life of rural residence, while rho and rli have not yet apparent effect to san. On the other hand, It showed that the financial expenditure for San-Nong(san) and the number of medical personnel(prdo) do not have a causal relationship with each other. Therefore, the government needs to find ways for a variety of San-Nong expenditure to improve the quality of life of rural residents.