• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인과관계검정

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The Impact of Nuclear Power Generation on Wholesale Electricity Market Price (원자력발전이 전력가격에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Jung, Sukwan;Lim, Nara;Won, DooHwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.629-655
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    • 2015
  • Nuclear power generation is a major power source which accounts for more than 30% of domestic electricity generation. Electricity market needs to secure stability of base load. This study aimed at analyzing relationships between nuclear power generation and wholesale electricity price (SMP: System Marginal Price) in Korea. For this we conducted ARDL(Autoregressive Distributed Lag) approach and Granger causality test. We found that in terms of total effects nuclear power supply had a positive relationship with SMP while nuclear capacity had a negative relationship with SMP. There is a unidirectional Granger causality from nuclear power supply to SMP while the reverse was not. Nuclear power is closely related to SMP and provides useful information for decision making.

A Study on the Nonlinear Relationship between CO2 Emissions and Economic Growth : Empirical Evidence with the STAR Model (비선형 STAR 모형을 이용한 이산화탄소 배출량과 경제성장 간의 관계 분석)

  • Kim, Seiwan;Lee, Kihoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.3-22
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    • 2008
  • We study nonlinearities of $CO_2$ emissions and economic growth m Korea using the Smooth Transition Autoregressive (or STAR) model. We find evidence for nonlinearities and cyclical regime changes of both time series. In the extended nonlinear empirical work, we characterize dynamic properties of the two time series and then find mutually significant Granger causality between $CO_2$ emissions and economic growth. All these empirical evidences together reinforce long standing concern that economy-wide restrictions on $CO_2$ emissions would hurt economic growth for Korean styled medium industrialized countries.

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A Study on Causal Relationship About the Reparations Range (손해배상범위에 관한 인과관계의 연구)

  • Choi Hwan-Seok;Park Jong-Ryeol
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.146-157
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    • 2006
  • Causal relationship means what relations the result occurred have with a fact as a reason. In general, a formular that no result exists without reasons is used for the method to confirm existence and inexistence of causal relationship. Problematic causal relationships in Private Law are reparations (Article No. 393 of Private Law) due to debt nonfulfillment and reparation due to tort (Application of Article No. 393 by Article No. 750, and No. 763 of Private Law). The purpose pursued by reparation system in private law is to promote equal burden of damages, and the range of reparation at this time is decided by the range of damage and the range of damage is decided by the principle of causal relationship. That the causal relationship theory fairly causes confusion by treating one problem and the other problem as the same thing, instead of dividing them according to the purpose of protection presented by the law is a reason of the criticism from different views.

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Analyzing the Relation between Energy Intensity, Energy Price and TFP in Korea (에너지 집약도, 에너지 가격 그리고 기술 수준 간의 동태적 관계 분석)

  • Kim, Kijin;Won, DooHwan;Jung, Sukwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.195-217
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    • 2020
  • The improvement of energy intensity is drawing attention as a way to achieve sustainable development. Energy price and technology level are the main factors affecting energy intensity, and empirical studies on the relationship between the variables have been conducted mainly in overseas countries. However, analyzing the relation between energy intensity, energy price and technology has not been studied in Korea. Therefore, this study analyzed the dynamic relationship between energy intensity, energy price, and total factor productivity (TFP) in Korea. As a result of the analysis, the three variables form a long-term equilibrium relationship. The increase in TFP reduces energy intensity in both short and long term, and the long-term effect is greater than short-term effect. On the other hand, energy price do not have a significant impact on energy intensity. Granger causality test results show that energy intensity and TFP granger cause each other, but energy price is weak-exogenous.

Effect of Fiscal and Non-fiscal Variables on Regional Economy: The Case of 16 Wide-area Autonomous Communities in Korea (재정변수 및 비재정변수가 지역경제에 미치는 영향: 16개 시도를 중심으로)

  • Park, Wan Kyu;Kim, Du-Su
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.554-566
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    • 2014
  • This paper analyses the relationship between regional economic power defined as GRDP per capita and various socioeconomic variables such as fiscal variables(revenue, expenditure, etc.) as well as nonfiscal variables(population, ratio of old population, unemployment rate, dependency ration) using the pooling data of 16 local governments from 1998 to 2012. To put it concretely, following the Granger causality test, regression analysis has been done with the regional economic power being the dependent and variables which have either one or two direction causality being independent variables. And test of cumulative effects has been done with variables showing statistical significance in the regression analysis. Local tax revenues per capita, expenditures of social development per capita and median age have positive effects, while dependency ratio has negative effect on regional economy. And national subsidy per capita, local tax revenues per capita, expenditures of social development per capita and median age all have cumulative effects on regional economy.

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A Study on the Relationship between Transshipment and Import-Export Volume of Petrochemical Liquid Cargoes (석유화학 액체화물의 환적과 수출입 물동량 관계연구)

  • Shin, Chang-Hoon;Yang, Han-Na
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2020
  • Since Korea has excellent port infrastructure and competitive petrochemical complexes, there is plenty of potential for creating an oil hub in Northeast Asia. In particular, Ship-to-Ship (STS), which creates high added values, contributes greatly to the national economy. In this study, the liquid cargo volumes of chemical industrial products, refined petroleum products, and crude oil were analyzed at the national and regional (Busan, Ulsan, and Yeosu/Gwangyang) levels. Additionally, a Granger causality analysis was performed between imports, exports, and transshipments, in pairs. ADF, PP, and KPSS were analyzed for the unit root test. In addition, the VAR model and expanded VAR model suggested by Toda and Yamamoto were used for further analyses. Findings revealed a difference in Granger causality depending on the region or cargo type. These findings suggest that policies and incentive schemes for ports need to be differentiated according to the region and cargo types. In addition, the different patterns in the relationship between transshipments and import-export petrochemical cargoes should be considered.

Exploration of Antecedents and Moderators in Supply Chain Integration and Performance (공급망 통합 및 성과의 영향요인과 조절변수 탐색)

  • Um, Myoung-Yong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.428-443
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    • 2018
  • Recently, many firms have been more interested in how the competitiveness of the supply chain can be enhanced, rather than that of the respective company. The purpose of this study is not only to investigate the relationships among the trust between companies, the supply chain integration, and the supply chain performance, but also to demonstrate how the firm size and the absorptive capacity can moderate these relationships. To conduct the hypothesis test including the causal relations between two factors and the moderating effects, 111 data were collected through a survey. As a result, the supply chain performance was positively affected by the supply chain integration as well as the trust between the companies. In addition, the trust had a significant effect on the supply chain performance. The result of the moderating effect of firm size indicates that, compared with a larger group, a smaller group has a stronger relationship between the trust and the supply chain performance, while the relationship between the supply chain integration and the supply chain performance is much stronger in the large group than the small group. As for the moderating effect of absorptive capacity, a higher absorptive group has stronger relationships between the trust and supply chain integration, and supply chain integration and supply chain performance than a lower absorptive group. The findings would provide significant implications for supply chain partners with different sizes and absorptive capacity.

Effects of Changes in International Energy Prices on Stock Prices of Korean Energy Companies (국제 유가 변동이 국내 에너지 기업의 주가에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Heo, Eun-Nyeong;Kim, Ji-Hyo
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.120-123
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    • 2008
  • 국제 원유 가격의 상승은 국내 주식시장에 어떠한 영향을 끼칠것인가에 대해서는 다양한 의견들이 있다. 에너지기업들에 한정해도 이는 마찬가지이다. 최근의 주식시장을 관찰해보면 급격한 원유가격의 상승에도 불구하고 다른 방향의 결과들을 나타나고 있다. 주가는 다양하고 불확실한 여러 요인들에 의해 영향을 받으며 유가는 그 중 한 요인에 불과하기 때문에, 유가가 주가에 미치는 영향을 분리해서 살펴볼 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 2000년 1월 4일부터 2007년 10월 16일까지의 일별 국제 원유 가격과 국내 주요 에너지기업들의 주가 자료를 이용해 시계열 분석을 시도해보았다.

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The effect of organizational conflict of an airline organization members on turnover intention : Mediating Effects of Self-leadership (항공사 조직구성원의 조직갈등이 이직의도에 미치는 영향 : 셀프리더십의 매개효과)

  • Kim, Jeong-o
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2020.01a
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    • pp.91-93
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 항공 종사자를 대상으로 조직갈등에 대한 구성원의 이직의도를 파악하였다. 설문 대상은 아시아나항공, 대한항공, LCC로 부산 김해국내/국제공항과 서울 김포공항, 인천 국제공항 내에서 주로 예약발권, 탑승수속, 출도착, 카운터 등의 업무를 담당하는 지상직원이고, 2018년 8월20일~2016년 10월 16일 동안 400부의 설문이 진행되었고 그 중 회수되지 않거나 응답이 불성실한 설문지를 제외하고 총 227부를 최종분석에 이용하였다. 수집된 자료는 SPSS 22을 이용하여 신뢰도 분석과 상관관계를 이용하였고, AMOS 18을이용하여 확인적 요인분석, 측정모델 분석 및 제안모델 분석 등을 검정하였고, 추가로 대안모델 개발을 하였다. 분석을 위해 SPSS 18과 AMOS 18을 이용하였고, 신뢰도 분석을 위해Crombach's Alpha와 변수 간의 인과관계 파악을 위해 측정변수모델(SEM)을 이용하였으며, 추가분석으로 갈등(역할갈등, 상사부하간갈등)과 이직의도간의 관계에서 셀프리더십의매개효과를 검정하였다. 본 연구에서 설정된 가설은 총 4개로 연구결과를 기초로 결론과 시사점, 그리고 본 연구의 한계점과 향후 연구의 방향을 제시하고자한다.

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A Study on the Relation Exchange Rate Volatility to Trading Volume of Container in Korea (환율변동성과 컨테이너물동량과의 관계)

  • Choi, Bong-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of exchange rate volatility on Trading Volume of Container of Korea, and to induce policy implication in the contex of GARCH and regression model. In order to test whether time series data is stationary and the model is fitness or not, we put in operation unit root test, cointegration test. And we apply impulse response functions and variance decomposition to the structural model to estimate dynamic short run behavior of variables. The major empirical results of the study show that the increase in exchange rate volatility exerts a significant negative effect on Trading Volume of Container in long run. The results Granger causality based on an error correction model indicate that uni-directional causality between trading volume of container and exchange rate volatility is detected. This study applies impulse response function and variance decompositions to get additional information regarding the Trading Volume of Container to shocks in exchange rate volatility. The results indicate that the impact of exchange rate volatility on Trading Volume of Container is negative and converges on a stable negative equilibrium in short-run. Th exchange rate volatility have a large impact on variance of Trading Volume of Container, the effect of exchange rate volatility is small in very short run but become larger with time. We can infer policy suggestion as follows; we must make a stable policy of exchange rate to get more Trading Volume of Container

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