• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이동 평균법

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Exponential Smoothing with an Adaptive Response to Random Level Changes (임의의 수준변화에 적절히 반응할 수 있는 지수이동가중평균법)

  • Jun, Duk-Bin
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 1990
  • Exponential smoothing methods have enjoyed a long history of successful applications and have been used in forecasting for many years. However, it has been long known that one of the deficiencies of the method is an inability to respond quickly to interventions to interruptions, or to large changes in level of the underlying process. An exponential smoothing method adaptive to repeated random level changes is proposed using a change-detection statistic derived from a simple dynamic linear model. The results are compared with Trigg and Leach's and the exponential smoothing methods.

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Estimating method of Customer Baseline Load for an Evaluation of Demand Response Program (수요반응 프로그램 평가를 위한 CBL 추정 방법)

  • Wi, Young-Min;Kim, Ji-Hui;Joo, Sung-Kwan
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.551_552
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문에서는 수요반응 프로그램 설계 시 프로그램의 효과를 평가할 때 사용되는 CBL (Customer Baseline Load)의 추정방법으로 일기보정을 고려한 가중이동평균법 (Weighted Moving Average)을 제시하였다. 또한 제안된 방법을 PJM에서 관리하는 지역 전력 수요 데이터를 이용한 사례연구 수행 결과를 예시하였다.

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A Comparative Study on the Perceptions towards Personal Mobility Vehicle between Adults and Minors (개인형 이동수단에 관한 법·제도 개선방안 연구: 연령별 차이를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Nakhyeon;Kim, Junghwa
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.543-550
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    • 2021
  • Recently, there has been an increase of accidents related to the rise in the use of Personal Mobility Vehicle (PMV). To solve this problem, the National Assembly announced an amendment that restricted the use of PMV to bicycle roads and to prohibited for people under 13 years old to use PMV, but there is no detailed information about travel speed and safety. In this study, a survey was conducted by dividing the group into minors and adults based on the age of obtaining a driver's license to find out the direction of improvement of laws and systems about PMV. Our results showed that adults considered PMV as more dangerous (Adults 5.50, Minors 4.94) and the suggested age for PMV use was lower from minors than adults (Adults 15.70, Minors 13.85). We found that proper travel speed on bicycle roads differed according to the presence of a driveway (Driveway 26.21 km/h, Non-Driveway 23.55 km/h) and minors had higher a travel speed than adults on all types of bicycle road. Also, Helmets for PMV were seen as the most important safety equipment on all types of bicycle road. and the importance of other safety equipment differed according to the presence of a driveway (Driveway Front-Lighting, Non-Driveway Car Horn). Through this study, It proposes that we have to make new regulations about the use of front lights and horns, as well as enforcement measures that differentiate the speed on each bicycle road type as a way to improve the laws and systems for PMV.

Tacho Pulse Non-uniformity Effects on Pulse Count Method (타코펄스 불균일성으로 인한 펄스개수측정방법 영향성)

  • Son, Jun-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.301-309
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    • 2021
  • Pulse count method is the classical reaction wheel speed detection method. In this study, we represent the pulse count method as mathematical equations. Instead of rotation speed, we model the reaction wheel rotation through rotation angle during sampling periods. We verified the effectiveness of the proposed model by comparing the pulse counts variation and averaging method effects from the model and previous research results. Then, we add tacho pulse non-uniformity to this verified model, and examine the errors of pulse count method. We express the measurement error increasement due to non-uniformity as mathematical equations, and also shows the requirement of moving average numbers to offset the measurement errors.

Monte-Carlo Simulations of Non-ergodic Solute Transport from Line Sources in Isotropic Mildly Heterogeneous Aquifers (불균질 등방 대수층 내 선형오염원으로부터 기원된 비에르고딕 용질 이동에 관한 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션)

  • Seo Byong-min
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.20-31
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    • 2005
  • Three dimensional Monte-Carlo simulations of non-ergodic transport of a lion-reactive solute plume by steady-state groundwater flow under a uniform mean velocity in isotropic heterogeneous aquifers were conducted. The log-normally distributed hydraulic conductivity, K(x), is modeled as a random field. Significant efforts are made to reduce tile simulation uncertainties. Ensemble averages of the second spatial moments of the plume and plume centroid variances were simulated with 1600 Monte Carlo runs for three variances of log K, ${\sigma}_Y^2=0.09,\;0.23$, and 0.46, and three dimensionless lengths of line plume sources normal to the mean velocity. The simulated second spatial moment and the plume centroid variance in longitudinal direction fit well to the first order theoretical results while the simulated transverse moments are generally larger than the first order results. The first order theoretical results significantly underestimated the simulated dimensionless transverse moments for the aquifers of large ${\sigma}_Y^2$ and large dimensionless time. The ergodic condition for the second spatial moments is far from reaching in all cases simulated, and transport In transverse directions may reach ergodic condition much slower than that in longitudinal direction. The evolution of the contaminant transported in a heterogeneous aquifer is not affected by the shape of the initial plume but affected mainly by the degree of the heterogeneity and the size of the initial plume.

Grain-Size Trend Analysis for Identifying Net Sediment Transport Pathways: Potentials and Limitations (퇴적물 이동경로 식별을 위한 입도경향 분석법의 가능성과 한계)

  • Kim, Sung-Hwan;Rhew, Ho-Sahng;Yu, Keun-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.469-487
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    • 2007
  • Grain-Size Trend Analysis is the methodology to identify net sediment transport pathways, based on the assumption that the movement of sediment from the source to deposit leaves the identifiable spatial pattern of mean, sorting, and skewness of grain size. It can easily be implemented with low cost, so it has great potentials to contribute to geomorphological research, whereas it can also be used inadequately without recognition of its limitations. This research aims to compare three established methods of grain-size trend analysis to search for the adequate way of application, and also suggest the research tasks needed in improving this methodology 1D pathway method can corporate the field experience into analyzing the pathway, provide the useful information of depositional environments through X-distribution, and identify the long-term trend effectively. However, it has disadvantage of the dependence on subjective interpretation, and a relatively coarse temporal scale. Gao-Collins's 2D transport vector method has the objective procedure, has the capability to visualize the transport pattern in 2D format, and to identify the pattern at a finer temporal scale, whereas characteristic distance and semiquantitative filtering are controversial. Le Roux's alternative 2D transport vector method has two improvement of Gao-Collins's in that it expands the empirical rules, considers the gradient of each parameters as well as the order, and has the ability to identify the pattern at a finer temporal scale, while the basic concepts are arbitrary and complicated. The application of grain sire trend analysis requires the selection of adequate method and the design of proper sampling scheme, based on the field knowledge of researcher, the temporal scale of sediment transport pattern targeted, and information needed. Besides, the relationship between the depth of sample and representative temporal scale should be systematically investigated in improving this methodology.

Development of Simplified Immersed Boundary Method for Analysis of Movable Structures (가동물체형 구조물 해석을 위한 Simplified Immersed Boundary법의 개발)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ho;Kim, Do-Sam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2021
  • Since the IB (Immersed Boundary) method, which can perform coupling analysis with objects and fluids having an impermeable boundary of arbitrary shape on a fixed grid system, has been developed, the IB method in various CFD models is increasing. The representative IB methods are the directing-forcing method and the ghost cell method. The directing-forcing type method numerically satisfies the boundary condition from the fluid force calculated at the boundary surface of the structure, and the ghost-cell type method is a computational method that satisfies the boundary condition through interpolation by placing a virtual cell inside the obstacle. These IB methods have a disadvantage in that the computational algorithm is complex. In this study, the simplified immersed boundary (SIB) method enables the analysis of temporary structures on a fixed grid system and is easy to expand to three proposed dimensions. The SIB method proposed in this study is based on a one-field model for immiscible two-phase fluid that assumes that the density function of each phase moves with the center of local mass. In addition, the volume-weighted average method using the density function of the solid was applied to handle moving solid structures, and the CIP method was applied to the advection calculation to prevent numerical diffusion. To examine the analysis performance of the proposed SIB method, a numerical simulation was performed on an object falling to the free water surface. The numerical analysis result reproduced the object falling to the free water surface well.

Sub-pixel Image Magnification Using Adaptive Linear Interpolation (적응적인 선형 보간을 이용한 부화소 기반 영상 확대)

  • Yoo, Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.9 no.8
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    • pp.1000-1009
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    • 2006
  • We propose an adaptive linear interpolation locating sub-pixels. We utilize a pixel-based parameter in the conventional linear interpolation. To optimally obtain the parameter, we propose a generic interpolation structure including a low pass filter and minimum mean square error. We also propose a simple version of the generic interpolation method, which obtain a closed-form solution. Simulation results show that the proposed method is superior to the state-of-the-art methods such as warped distance linear interpolation and shifted linear interpolation, as well as the conventional method such as the linear interpolation and the cubic convolution interpolation in terms of the subjective and objective image quality.

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Three-dimensional Distortion-tolerant Object Recognition using Computational Integral Imaging and Statistical Pattern Analysis (집적 영상의 복원과 통계적 패턴분석을 이용한 왜곡에 강인한 3차원 물체 인식)

  • Yeom, Seok-Won;Lee, Dong-Su;Son, Jung-Young;Kim, Shin-Hwan
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.10B
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    • pp.1111-1116
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we discuss distortion-tolerant pattern recognition using computational integral imaging reconstruction. Three-dimensional object information is captured by the integral imaging pick-up process. The captured information is numerically reconstructed at arbitrary depth-levels by averaging the corresponding pixels. We apply Fisher linear discriminant analysis combined with principal component analysis to computationally reconstructed images for the distortion-tolerant recognition. Fisher linear discriminant analysis maximizes the discrimination capability between classes and principal component analysis reduces the dimensionality with the minimum mean squared errors between the original and the restored images. The presented methods provide the promising results for the classification of out-of-plane rotated objects.

A Study on the Growth of Pacific Ocean Perch, Sebastes alutus Gilbert, in the Gulf of Alaska (알라스카만산 적어, Sebastes alutus Gilbert의 성장에 관한 연구)

  • ZHANG Chang Ik
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.171-178
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    • 1981
  • The growth of Sebastes alutus was studied by scale reading to check the change of growth rate at the early stage of life. Lee's phenomenon was recognized on the scale measurements except thc first ring radius. No evidence was found to support the change of growth rate at early stage. Von Bert-alanffy's growth equation was estimated with the back-calculated fork lengths, $1_t=357.8(1-e^{-0.6124(t+1.8566)}),\;and\;W_{\infty}=784.4g$

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