• Title/Summary/Keyword: 의사결정 분석

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의사결정나무모형을 이용한 교통사고 유형 분석

  • 김유진;최종후;이의용
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.257-260
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구에서는 의사결정나무모형을 이용하여 교통사고 유형 분석을 시도한다. 분석에 이용된 자료는 도로교통안전관리공단에서 수집한 교통사고 정밀조사 자료이다. 본 연구에서 목표변수는 '사고내용'이며, 설명변수는 '인적 요인', '차량적 요인', '도로 환경적 요인' 관련 변수이다. 목표변수에 주요한 기여를 하는 주요 설명변수를 도출하였으며, 얻어진 의사결정나무모형을 토대로 하여 교통사고를 유형화하였다.

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Supporting Market Entry Decisions For Global Expansion Using Option +Scenario Planning Analysis (실물옵션 및 시나리오 분석을 활용한 해외 건설시장 진출 의사결정 지원모델의 개발)

  • Kim, Byung-Il;Kim, Du-Yon;Han, Seung-Heon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.135-147
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    • 2009
  • The world has witnessed the dramatic expansion of international construction markets during the last decades, particularly around the developing economies and energy resource-rich countries. However, despite the booming markets, the risks of emerging regions have also increased under the rapidly changing environments confronting the global contractors. Most of all, success in overseas business mainly depends on selecting the right market to enter. Accordingly, the right market selection requires global firms to carefully carry out the scientific market entry decision by evaluating country risks, market prospects, firm's capability, level of competition, and among others. This study aims at developing a market entry model by the use of real option analysis (ROA) and scenario planning, which addresses the corporate strategic flexibility against the uncertainties encompassing the overseas construction markets. Based on the suggested approach, global contractors are expected to make a better decision rather than a typically static approach in pursuing, postponing, or abandoning a prospective market to their capacity with a concurrent consideration of uncertainties as well as its option value.

A Basic Study for Establishing Decision Making Governance System in Urban Regeneration (도시재생 개발사업의 의사결정 거버넌스 체계 구축을 위한 기초연구)

  • Shin, Seung-Woo;Lee, Jee-Hee;Yi, June-Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.247-251
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    • 2008
  • There are many stakeholder whose interests against the rest and lots of complex projects in Urban Regeneration. Moreover, there are various communication routes and complex decision making structure because the benefits among stakeholder are conflict. Eventually, the lots of decision making task and complex structure cause inefficiency and delay of Urban Regeneration business. This Is a basic study for establishing decision making governance which help efficient decision making in Urban Regeneration. This study was conducted follow process. Through the analysis the Urban Regeneration process and literature study of "Governance", we characterize the decision making of Urban Regeneration, and based on that character we founded "decision making governance composition". Finally we suggest the "Decision Making Governance System Concept in Urban Regeneration"

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Effects of critical thinking and nursing practice environment on clinical decision making among nurses (비판적 사고와 간호근무환경이 간호사의 임상적 의사결정에 미치는 영향)

  • Jang, Insil;Lee, Kyoung-Sook
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.255-264
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    • 2019
  • This study was a cross-sectional study done to determine the relevance and impact factors of critical thinking and nursing practice environment on clinical decision making among nurses. A survey was conducted for April 2017 with self-report questionnaire. Participants were 261 registered nurses working in one tertiary hospital. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, independent t-test, one-way ANOVA, Pearson's correlation coefficients, and hierarchical regression analysis with SPSS/WIN(21.0). Factors affecting clinical decision making included age, educational background, position, work shift, clinical career. Clinical decision making had a positive correlation with critical thinking and nursing practice environment. And position, critical thinking and nursing practice environment accounted for 35.8% of the variance in clinical decision making. Therefore, quality management for developing nursing professionalism and administrative support for effective staffing and resource adequacy in addition improving critical thinking increase nurses'clinical decision making.

의사결정나무와 대응분석을 이용한 사이버 쇼핑몰의 연구

  • Go, Bong-Seong;Kim, Yeon-Hyeong
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.12-12
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    • 2001
  • 정보기술을 바탕으로 전자상거래의 규모는 빠르게 늘어가고 있다. 본 연구에서는 종합쇼핑몰의 성격을 띠는 사이버 쇼핑몰의 고객과 구매 고객의 특성 등을 살펴보고 의사결정나무를 이용한 이탈고객의 분류, 쇼핑몰에 등록된 상품군과 인구특성적인 변수들간의 대응분석을 실시하여 쇼핑몰에 대한 인식을 제고한다.

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A Study on the Decision-Making Support System in Information Management (정보관리실(情報管理室) 경영(經營)에서의 의사결정지원(意思決定支援) 시스템에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Lee, Woo-Bum
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 1988
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate a decision making support system for the effective information management. Decision making theory is reviewed and problems are discussed. A model is suggested through the computing of expected monetary value in decision tree technique. The expected monetary value is computed by 1 inking the probability theory with chance node. The selection of right expected monetary value and expected value of perfect information will make great advance the present system. It is concluded that expected monetary value and expected value of perfect information in decision tree techniques will make great aids to advance information management system.

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A study on the effect of cognitive style and physiological phenomena on judgemental time-series forecasting (시계열 직관 예측에 영향을 주는 의사결정자의 인지적/생리적 특성분석에 관한 연구)

  • 박흥국;유현중;송병호
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.41-55
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    • 2000
  • 경영활동에 있어서 직관력은 잘 알려진 인지능력이지만 효과적인 의사결정지원시스템의 개발 목적으로는 거의 고려되고 있지 않다. 본 연구는 의사결정자의 인지 유형에 따른 시계열 예측의 정확성과 뇌파의 차이를 통계적 검증, 인공신경망, 데이터 마이닝의 세 가지 접근방법으로 탐색하여 그 결과를 비교 분석함으로써 시계열 직관 예측에 영향을 주는 의사결정자의 인지적/생리적 특성을 도출함으로써 효과적인 의사결정환경을 조성하는데 공헌하고자 하였다. 실험결과 통계적 분석에서는 아무런 유의성을 찾을 수 없었으나, 인공신경망 분석에서는 인지유형과 감성유형이 모두 시계열 예측 정확도와 상관성이 있는 것으로 나타났으며, 데이터 마이닝 분석에서는 보다 의미 있는 상관관계를 찾아낼 수 있었다.

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(A Study on the Evaluation Method of Source Selection in Case of Weapon System Purchase Project) (무기체계 구매사업시 기종결정 평가방법에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Jin-Seok;Lyu, Kyu-Yeol
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.63-82
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the problems of current rules and regulations on the source selection for weapon system in defense acquisition project and suggest several techniques to ensure objectivity and fairness. As an application example, Helicopter source selection was presented. It was analyzed and compared through technique application and strength and weakness analysis of AHP, PROMETHEE and Attribute Transformation. The decision making techniques which make all conditions satisfactory in all situations are nonexistent. Thus, it is estimated that we can maintain the objectivity in the source selection of weapon systems by applying suitable decision making techniques in accordance with the patterns of evaluation item.

An Analytic Hierarchy Process based Decision Support System for Selecting Foundation Practice (계층분석법 기반의 기초공법 선정 의사결정지원시스템)

  • Lee, Chung-Hyun;Jeong, Keun-Chae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.129-139
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    • 2012
  • It is one of the most important decision making problems to select the adequate foundation practice for the downtown construction project. However the foundation practice has not been selected systematically yet by considering various construction field conditions in many projects. The foundation practice is often informally selected on the basis of only past experiences and skilled engineer's opinion. For making the selection process systematically, in this study, we propose a decision support system (DSS) for selecting foundation practices based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the Preference Function (PF). In the proposed DSS, the AHP is used for making the selection process more reasonable and the PF is used for considering the decision maker's preference. To validate the proposed DSS, we apply the proposed DSS to the pre-performed construction projects. The application results show that the proposed DSS gives the same foundation practices with the implemented foundation practices that the skilled foundation engineers select after carefully analyzing construction field conditions. The proposed DSS can be used as a useful tool for making decisions to select the foundation practice in the construction fields.

VDMP를 이용한 21C IT-벤처 사업의 향후 전략적 분석 및 다수대안 평가방법 연구

  • 서장훈;유종철;박명규
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2000.05a
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    • pp.381-391
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    • 2000
  • 우리는 어떠한 문제이든지 인간들이 구성하고 있는 모든 조직 및 정책전략에 있어서 크고 작은 의사결정들에 의해서 움직여진다고 할 수 있다. 불확실한 상황에서의 의사결정이 필요한 경우는 무수히 많지만, 분야별로 분류해서 의사결정을 지원한다 해도 정확한 결과를 예측하고 시행할 수 있는 표준안은 완벽하게 준비되 있다고 말할 수 없다. 단지 완벽에 가까운 의사결정방법론을 제시하고, 의사결정을 할 뿐이다. 본 연구논문에서는 정보기술 관련 벤처 사업의 전략적 대안들을 어떻게 하면 가장 최적으로 추출하고, 분석해서 그 대안들을 위해 어떻게 준비할 것인가에 대한 지원프로세스를 중요 관점으로 해서 불확실한 상황에서의 직면한 문제에 대한 해결책을 제시하고자 한다.

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