• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험표현

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Annual Loss Probability Estimation of Steel Moment-Resisting Frames(SMRFs) using Seismic Fragility Analysis (지진취약도를 통한 철골모멘트골조의 연간 손실 평가)

  • Jun, Saemee;Shin, Dong-Hyeon;Kim, Hyung-Joon
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.517-524
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    • 2014
  • The ultimate goal of seismic design is to reduce the probable losses or damages occurred during an expected earthquake event. To achieve this goal, this study represents a procedure that can estimate annual loss probability of a structure damaged by strong ground motion. First of all, probabilistic seismic performance assessment should be performed using seismic fragility analyses that are presented by a cumulative distribution function of the probability in each exceedance structural damage state. A seismic hazard curve is then derived from an annual frequency of exccedance per each ground motion intensity. An annual loss probability function is combined with seismic fragility analysis results and seismic hazard curves. In this paper, annual loss probabilities are estimated by the structural fragility curve of steel moment-resisting frames(SMRFs) in San Francisco Bay, USA, and are compared with loss estimation results obtained from the HAZUS methodology. It is investigated from the comparison that seismic losses of the SMRFs calculated from the HAZUS method are conservatively estimated. The procedure presented in this study could be effectively used for future studies related with structural seismic performance assessment and annual loss probability estimation.

A probabilistic fragility evaluation method of a RC box tunnel subjected to earthquake loadings (지진하중을 받는 RC 박스터널의 확률론적 취약도 평가기법)

  • Huh, Jungwon;Le, Thai Son;Kang, Choonghyun;Kwak, Kiseok;Park, Inn-Joon
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.143-159
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    • 2017
  • A probabilistic fragility assessment procedure is developed in this paper to predict risks of damage arising from seismic loading to the two-cell RC box tunnel. Especially, the paper focuses on establishing a simplified methodology to derive fragility curves which are an indispensable ingredient of seismic fragility assessment. In consideration of soil-structure interaction (SSI) effect, the ground response acceleration method for buried structure (GRAMBS) is used in the proposed approach to estimate the dynamic response behavior of the structures. In addition, the damage states of tunnels are identified by conducting the pushover analyses and Latin Hypercube sampling (LHS) technique is employed to consider the uncertainties associated with design variables. To illustrate the concepts described, a numerical analysis is conducted and fragility curves are developed for a large set of artificially generated ground motions satisfying a design spectrum. The seismic fragility curves are represented by two-parameter lognormal distribution function and its two parameters, namely the median and log-standard deviation, are estimated using the maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) method.

Modeling of Near Fault Ground Motion due to Moderate Magnitude Earthquakes in Stable Continental Regions (안정대륙권역의 중규모지진에 의한 근단층지반운동의 모델링)

  • Kim, Jung-Han;Kim, Jae-Kwan
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.10 no.3 s.49
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2006
  • This paper proposes a method for modeling new fault ground motion due to moderate size earthquakes in Stable Continental Regions (SCRs) for the first time. The near fault ground motion is characterized by a single long period velocity pulse of large amplitude. In order to model the velocity pulse, its period and peak amplitude need be determined in terms of earthquake magnitude and distance from the causative fault. Because there have been observed very few new fault ground motions, it is difficult to derive the model directly from the recorded data in SCRs. Instead an indirect approach is adopted in this work. The two parameters, the period and peak amplitude of the velocity pulse, are known to be functions of the rise time and the slip velocity. For Western United States (WUS) that belongs active tectonic regions, there art empirical formulas for these functions. The relations of rise time and slip velocity on the magnitude in SCRs are derived by comparing related data between Western United States and Central-Eastern United States that belongs to SCRs. From these relations, the functions of these pulse parameters for NFGM in SCRs can be expressed in terms of earthquake magnitude and distance. A time history of near fault ground motion of moderate magnitude earthquake in stable continental regions is synthesized by superposing the velocity pulse on the for field ground motion that is generated by stochastic method. As an demonstrative application, the response of a single degree of freedom elasto-plastic system is studied.

Mathematical Modeling of Degree of Hydration and Adiabatic Temperature Rise (콘크리트의 수화도 및 단열온도상승량 예측모델 개발)

  • 차수원
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.118-125
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    • 2002
  • Hydration is the main reason for the growth of the material properties. An exact parameter to control the chemical and physical process is not the time, but the degree of hydration. Therefore, it is reasonable that development of all material properties and the formation of microstructure should be formulated in terms of degree of hydration. Mathematical formulation of degree of hydration is based on combination of reaction rate functions. The effect of moisture conditions as well as temperature on the rate of reaction is considered in the degree of hydration model. This effect is subdivided into two contributions: water shortage and water distribution. The former is associated with the effect of W/C ratio on the progress of hydration. The water needed for progress of hydration do not exist and there is not enough space for the reaction products to form. The tatter is associated with the effect of free capillary water distribution in the pore system. Physically absorption layer does not contribute to progress of hydration and only free water is available for further hydration. In this study, the effects of chemical composition of cement, W/C ratio, temperature, and moisture conditions on the degree of hydration are considered. Parameters that can be used to indicate or approximate the real degree of hydration are liberated heat of hydration, amount of chemically bound water, and chemical shrinkage, etc. Thus, the degree of heat liberation and adiabatic temperature rise could be determined by prediction of degree of hydration.

애니메이션 <하울의 움직이는 성>에 나타난 여성상의 고찰

  • Lim, Chan
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.19 no.2 s.64
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    • pp.293-300
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    • 2006
  • Mr. Miyazaki's heroines tend to be plucky young women who combine guileless decency with tough-mindedness. However, in his the latest film the female character often change herself into wise older women who sometimes serve as foils, sometimes as mother figures. His heroine, Sophie, starts out as a shy girl, but then a curse transforms her into 90-year-old. Her partner is Howl who supports and is supported by Sophie their mutual drawbacks. At first horrified by the change, she comes to embrace it as a liberation from anxiety, fear and self-consciousness, and discovers in herself a new zest for adventure. The castle is surely one of the most extraordinary contraptions to appear on screen recently, more ingenious in its way than the intergalactic armada. It ranges freely from place to place and is also, somehow, in several places at once, its magical front door opening onto different landscapes with the flip of a knob. It is not exactly haunted, but it is nonetheless infused with whimsical and sometimes somber spirits. Sophie, in both her incarnations, joins an impressive sisterhood of Miyazaki heroines, whose version of girl power presents a potent alternative to the mini-machismo that dominates American juvenile entertainment.

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Methodology of Prior Art Search Based on Hierarchical Citation Analysis (계층적 인용관계분석을 통한 선행기술 탐색방법론)

  • Kang, Jiho;Kim, Jongchan;Lee, Joonhyuck;Park, Sangsung;Jang, Dongsik
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.72-78
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    • 2017
  • Prior art search is a core process of technology management performed by inventors and applicants, patent examiners, and employees in the patent industry. As a result of insufficient academic research on a systematic prior art search methodology, the process has been often carried out depending on the subjective judgment of researchers. Previous studies on exploring prior arts based on semantics have also have the risk of underestimating the similarity of major prior arts due to the nature of patent documents where the same technical ideas are expressed in various terms. In this study, we propose an effective prior art search methodology based on hierarchical citation analysis, which provides a clear criterion for selecting core prior arts by calculating weights according to the relative importance of the collected patents. In order to verify the feasibility of the proposed methodology, a case study was conducted to explore the core prior art of one patent in the display field. As a result, 10 core prior art candidates were selected out of the 206 precedent patents.

Comparison of Drought Index of Agricultural Reservoir by Period (농업용 저수지의 저수량 자료 기간별 가뭄지수 비교)

  • KIM, Sun Joo;BARK, Min Woo;KANG, Seung mook;KWON, Hyung Joong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.391-391
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    • 2018
  • 가뭄은 일반적으로 강수량의 부족에 기인하며, 수자원의 이용 및 관리에 큰 영향을 미치는 자연재해이다. 2013년부터 2015년까지 우리나라의 연 평균 강수량은 각각 1,162mm, 1,173mm, 948mm로 평년대비 89.0%, 89.8%, 72.1%의 적은 강수를 보였다. 이는 마른장마, 평년보다 적게 발생한 태풍 등의 영향 인 것으로 판단되며 이러한 강수의 부족으로 인해 전국적으로 가뭄이 빈번하게 발생하였다. 이에 가뭄의 대처방안에 대한 관심이 증대되었고, 가뭄을 정량적으로 표현하고자 하는 연구들이 진행되었다. 가뭄은 크게 수문학적, 기상학적, 농업적 가뭄으로 구분되며 각각의 기준에 따라 다양한 변수들을 이용한 지표들이 개발되었다. 개발된 가뭄 지표는 가뭄을 평가하고 대비하기 위한 의사결정에 유용한 자료로 사용되고 있다. 농업적 가뭄은 강우부족, 실제와 잠재증발산량의 차이, 토양수분 부족, 저수지 또는 지하수위의 저하 등 농작물의 생육과 수확량에 직접적인 영향을 미치는 특성들을 고려하여 평가해야 하며, 이러한 특성들을 고려한 가뭄 지수로는 저수지 가뭄지수(RDI), 토양수분지수(SMI), 통합농업가뭄지수(IADI) 등이 개발되었다. 저수지 가뭄지수는 가뭄발생의 위험과 크기를 순별 가용저수량의 빈도를 이용하여 나타낸 가뭄 지표이다. 따라서 가뭄 지표를 산정하는데 사용된 자료의 기간에 따라 그 값의 차이가 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 각각 10개년, 20개년, 30개년 기간의 백산저수지 농업지구 저수량 자료를 사용하여 2011년부터 2015년까지의 저수지 가뭄지수를 산정하였으며 이를 각각 비교하였다. 2006년부터 2015년까지 10개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2012년 ~ 2015년에 가뭄을 나타내고 있었고 특히, 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 가뭄지수가 -4.1으로 가장 심한 가뭄을 나타내었다. 1996년부터 2015년까지 20개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2012 ~ 2015년에 가뭄을 나타내며 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 가뭄지수는 각각 -0.9, -1.0으로 10개년의 기간을 사용하였을 때보다 완화된 모습을 보였다. 1986년부터 2015년까지 30개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2011년부터 2015년까지 가뭄을 나타내고 있었으며, 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 경우 각각 -1.7, -1.0으로 20개년 자료를 사용하였을 때보다 심한 가뭄을 나타내지만, 10개년 자료를 사용하였을 때보다 완화된 가뭄을 나타내었다. 백산저수지의 경우 2011년부터 2015년까지 가뭄이 발생하였으나, 용수공급이 불가능 할 정도의 가뭄이 발생하지는 않은 것으로 조사되었으며, 30개년 자료를 사용한 가뭄지수가 이와 가장 근사한 가뭄정도를 나타내고 있다.

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A Comparison of the Trainees' Evacuation Characteristics according to the Indoor Smoke-fullfill during the Safety Training on Ship (선상안전교육 시 선내 연기충진 여부에 따른 실습생의 피난이동특성 비교)

  • Hwang, Kwang-Il;Cho, Ik-Soon;Yun, Gwi-Ho;Kim, Byeol
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.422-429
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    • 2018
  • To make students recognize the danger of fire smoke that may occur in ships and to improve the response capability, spaces for safety educ ation were built inside the training ship, and scenarios were developed. This study is an analysis of the movement characteristics of the students acquire d under each scenario. Followings are the summary of the analysis results. In the non-smoke environments, there was no difference in the velocity of escape movement between the case of without block on the familiar route and the case of with unexpected block. However, when the indoor was filled with smoke, the visibility became very low because of the smoke density and the average velocity was 62.5 % slower than the case where it was not. Regardless of the scenarios, the average equivalent velocity on the complex path was faster than the simple straight path, and the standard deviation was smaller. Under the smoke-fullfilled environment, although the relative velocity probability distributions of the complex passage and the entire passag e are very similar, the inter-individual fluctuation of the relative velocity ratio of the complex passage to that of the entire passage was very large. On the other hand, equivalent velocity could be expressed by the logarithmic function of the visibility. Also, as the tension of the students increased, the equivalent velocities were accelerated on all scenarios.

Elicitation of drought alternatives based on Water Policy Council and the role of Shared Vision Model (협의체 기반 가뭄 대응 대안 도출과 비전공유모형의 역할)

  • Kim, Gi Joo;Seo, Seung Beom;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.429-440
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    • 2019
  • The numbers of multi-year droughts due to climate change are increasing worldwide. Boryeong Dam, located in Chungcheongnam-do, South Korea, was also affected by a 4-year drought from 2014 to 2017. Since traditional unilateral decision making processes to alleviate drought damage have, until now, resulted in conflicts between many of the involved groups, the need for active participation from both stakeholders and policymakers is greater than before. This study introduced Shared Vision Planning, a collaborative decision making process that involves participation from various groups of stakeholders, by organizing Water Policy Council for Climate Change Adaptation in Chungcheongnam-do. A Shared Vision Planning Model was then developed with a system dynamics software by working together with relevant stakeholders to actively reflect their requests through three council meetings. Multiple simulations that included various future climate change scenarios were conducted, and future drought vulnerability analysis results of Boryeong Dam and districts, in terms of frequency, length, and magnitude, were arrived at. It was concluded that Boryeong Dam was more vulnerable to future droughts than the eight districts. While the total water deficit in the eight districts was not so significant, their water deficit in terms of spatial discordance was proved to be more problematic. In the future, possible alternatives to the model will be implemented so that stakeholders can use it to agree on a policy for possible conflict resolutions.

Development of Design Space Exploration for Warship using the Concept of Negative Design (네거티브 설계 개념을 이용한 함정 설계영역탐색법 개발)

  • Park, Jin-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.412-419
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    • 2019
  • Negative space in the discipline of art defines the space around and between the subject of an image. The use of negative space is an element of artistic composition, since it is occasionally used to artistic effect as the "real" subject of an image. In painting, it is a technique that negatively touches the background of an object to be expressed, so that it gives a feeling of unique texture and silhouette by touching unnecessary parts while leaving necessary parts. As in art, negative space in a design can also be useful to identify an image of infeasible design ranges with a straightforward view. Similarity between two disciplines leads to the introduction of the negative space concept for design space exploration. A rough design space exploration using statistics and visual analytics may support more efficient decision-making, and can provide meaningful insights into the direction of early-phase system design. For this, the approach guarantees dynamic interactions between visualized information and human cognitive systems. Visual analytics is useful to summarize complex and large-scale data. It is useful for identifying feasible design spaces, as well as for avoiding infeasible spaces or highly risky spaces. This paper investigates the possible use of the negative space concept by using an application example.