• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험유발요인

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Principal Components Regression in Logistic Model (로지스틱모형에서의 주성분회귀)

  • Kim, Bu-Yong;Kahng, Myung-Wook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.571-580
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    • 2008
  • The logistic regression analysis is widely used in the area of customer relationship management and credit risk management. It is well known that the maximum likelihood estimation is not appropriate when multicollinearity exists among the regressors. Thus we propose the logistic principal components regression to deal with the multicollinearity problem. In particular, new method is suggested to select proper principal components. The selection method is based on the condition index instead of the eigenvalue. When a condition index is larger than the upper limit of cutoff value, principal component corresponding to the index is removed from the estimation. And hypothesis test is sequentially employed to eliminate the principal component when a condition index is between the upper limit and the lower limit. The limits are obtained by a linear model which is constructed on the basis of the conjoint analysis. The proposed method is evaluated by means of the variance of the estimates and the correct classification rate. The results indicate that the proposed method is superior to the existing method in terms of efficiency and goodness of fit.

Analysis of Flooding Effect by Sediment Inflow (토사 유입에 의한 홍수 영향 분석)

  • Han, Man-Shin;Choi., Gye-Woon;Lee, So-Young;Cho, Hyung-Gun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.414-414
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    • 2012
  • 하천에 산사태, 하천 주변 개발, 제방 및 댐 붕괴 등으로 인하여 다량의 토사가 돌발적으로 유입될 경우 유입된 토사가 하천의 거동에 미치는 영향은 막대하다. 또한 하도 내에 설치되어 있는 교량, 보와 같은 수공 구조물로 인하여 단면형태가 갑작스럽게 변화하는 경우나, 구조물로 인하여 토사가 퇴적되는 경우 하천의 수위 변화를 크게 유발하여 하천 범람과 제방 침식 등을 발생시키며 하천의 안전에 큰 위험 요인으로 작용하게 된다. 현재 다량의 토사가 하천에 돌발적으로 유입되는 위험으로부터 안전하게 보호하기 위해서 토사 유입 방지 대책에 대하여 많은 연구와 사업이 실시되고 있지만 이러한 치수대책이 완전하다고 하기에는 다소 어려운 상황이다. 따라서 홍수 조절 및 방재를 위한 수방대책 수립 및 수자원의 집중적인 관리가 무엇보다 절실히 요구되며, 이와 같은 토사에 의한 방재대책 수립을 위해서 수리학적 특성을 정확히 파악할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 2011년 7월에 발생한 강우에 의하여 침수피해가 발생된 경기도 이천의 오천천을 대상으로 수치해석을 통한 침수 범람 원인을 분석하였으며, 하류부에 위치하고 있는 공장의 경우 내부가 1m이상 침수됨에 따라 흔적수위 및 현장 상황을 조사하였고, 당일 강우를 통한 홍수위를 산정하여 여러 가지 원인별 홍수 원인을 분석하였다. 2011년 7월에 발생된 강우는 복하천 하천정비기본계획에 제시되어 있는 설계빈도로 30년 빈도에 못 미치는 것으로 나타나 강우에 의한 영향보다는 외부 영향으로 판단되며, 상류로부터 순간적으로 유입된 토사의 과다 퇴적에 의한 수위 상승에 의하여 교량 및 보 등의 수공구조물과 연계된 통수 단면적의 부족 등의 영향으로 홍수 범람이 발생된 것으로 분석되었다. 홍수 범람에 의한 영향을 분석하기 위하여는 단순히 강우에 대한 영향을 고려하는 것 보다 하천의 전반적인 특성을 고려하여 정확한 원인 규명을 통한 대처방안이 수립되어야 하며, 지속적인 모니터링을 통하여 하천에 의한 피해를 최소화 할 필요가 있다.

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A review of epigenetic nutrients on chronic inflammation associated with sarcopenic obesity in the elderly (노인의 저근육형 비만에 따른 만성염증 억제를 위한 후생유전학적 영양에 관한 고찰)

  • No, Jae Kyung
    • Korean Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.181-188
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    • 2013
  • 노인에게서 두드러지게 나타나고 있는 저근육형 비만은 근육감소를 동반한 체지방의 증가로 신체상의 뚜렷한 체성분의 변화를 야기 시킨다. 이때 골감소증을 동반하여 신체기능의 감소 및 골절장애 그리고 대사성 관련 질환의 위험도가 올라가는 것으로 보고되고 있다. 노화로 인한 체성분의 변화는 단순한 저근육형일 경우와 비만일 때 보다 급격히 증가된 복부내장 지방조직에서 분비되는 염증성 사이토카인, C-반응성 단백질(CRP), 인터루킨(IL)-6, IL-8 및 종양 괴사 인자(TNF-${\alpha}$)들이 단백질 대사를 저해하여 근육량의 감소를 더욱 촉진시키며, 염증관련 대사질환의 유병률에 중요한 요인이다. 본 연구에서는 DNA 메틸화가 당뇨병, 심혈관질환, 암과 같은 만성염증성 질환에 관계하고 있다는 최근 연구 결과를 기초로 하여 항염증 영양소와 생리활성을 갖는 식품인자들의 충분한 섭취가 염증조절에 중요하게 기여할 것으로 생각되며, 또한 염증성 질환의 주요 표식자인 DNA 메틸화와 히스톤 변형을 유발하는 효소의 활성 또는 비 암호화된 RNA의 발현을 조절함으로써 근육량 증가와 체지방 감소에 중요한 역할을 하는 것을 살펴보았다. 따라서 최근 새롭게 인식되는 후생유전학적 연구의 중심에 있는 항염증 영양소의 효과와 체성분 변화와의 긍정적 관계를 중심으로 저근육형 비만의 예방 및 인구고령화에 건강한 노화를 위한 효과적인 방법을 제시하였다.

Anlaysis on the Influence of Work-related Musculoskeletal Disorders in Explosive Blasting Performance (화약류발파작업이 근골격계에 영향을 미치는 자세평가분석)

  • Lee Jung-Hoon;Ahn Myung-Seog
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2005
  • Explosive blasting performance is composed of charging, tamping and connecting performance, which need lots of power and time. Thus, operator's inconvenience and muscle load are increased by their pose. Then it's unavoidable for one to make a human error. As a result, blasting accidents and disasters of explosives may happen. So we need to have systematic study. According to their pose's changing we have OWAS, RULA, REBA, OSHA, ISI, NLE, TVAV, BLUE-X. In this article, OWAS, RULA, REBA have been evaluated. As a result of this research, it is shown that work-related musciloskeletal disorders are related to the second accident's happening.

An Analysis of Cyber Deviant Behaviors for the Practical Education of Information Ethics (실천적 정보통신윤리 교육을 위한 사이버 일탈행위 분석)

  • Yoo, Sang-Mi;Kim, Mi-Ryang
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.51-70
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this article is twofold; first, investigates the relations between the cyber deviant behaviors and the reasons it causes in details and second discuss the measure to prevent cyber deviant behaviors and its recurrence. The findings of the study are; First, the factors which influence more to the cyber deviant behaviors are subjective norm, social identity, and self-control in a row. Second, identified such factors, anonymity (+), consciousness on public order (+), learning experience on information norms (-), and social identity have influences on the subjective norm that both factors of internet addiction (+) and anonymity (+) have significant impacts on self-control in negative perspectives. In conclusion, to prevent cyber deviant behaviors will provide a lot of opportunities to develop self-reflections and critical thinking and the ethics of accountability, and ability of sympathy. This study suggests the so-called reflexive practice-oriented process of education on Information as a strategic teaching-learning procedure. The process framework consists of four stages including problem identification, risk analysis, self-reflexive, and practice & evaluation that have a spiral structure, repeats a life-cycle.

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Protective Factors for Social Workers in a Medical Setting that Prevent Burnout (의료사회복지사를 소진으로부터 보호하는 요인은 무엇인가?)

  • Choi, Myung-Min;Hyun, Jin-Hee;Jeon, Hye-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.57 no.4
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    • pp.343-370
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    • 2005
  • This study is to find out factors that protect social workers in a medical setting from burnout. It is differentiated from the existing studies, which focused on factors or process causing burnout. The participants of the study were ten social workers, who have been working in a medical setting for at least seven years and were recognized as competent social workers by at least five other colleagues. The data were collected through intensive interviews. The contents of the interviews were analyzed by using Nvivo2, a computer software program for use qualitative study analysis. The result of this study categorized coping strategies that kept the social workers from burnout. Among such factors were their own admissions of having professional competency, feeling worthwhile and sense of accomplishment, having a firm belief system and value about their profession, teamwork, and their overall disposition. Additionally, they said that the support by their agency and the recognition and support by family contributed to their overall coping ability. Through this study, it was found that the social workers in medical setting were reducing risk factors related to burnout and overcoming them with various protective factors. These protective factors reflected the unique characteristics that social workers encounter in a medical setting. It was remarkable that 'developing and managing their professional competency' was emphasized most as a protective factor.

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Proving Causation With Epidemiological Evidence in Tobacco Lawsuits (담배소송에서 역학적 증거에 의한 인과관계의 증명에 관한 소고)

  • Lee, Sun Goo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.80-96
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    • 2016
  • Recently, a series of lawsuits were filed in Korea claiming tort liability against tobacco companies. The Supreme Court has already issued decisions in some cases, while others are still pending. The primary issue in these cases is whether the epidemiological evidence submitted by the plaintiffs clearly proves the causal relationship between smoking and disease as required by civil law. Proving causation is difficult in tobacco lawsuits because factors other than smoking are involved in the development of a disease, and also because of the lapse of time between smoking and the manifestation of the disease. The Supreme Court (Supreme Court Decision, 2011Da22092, April 10, 2014) has imposed some limitations on using epidemiological evidence to prove causation in tobacco lawsuits filed by smokers and their family members, but these limitations should be reconsidered. First, the Court stated that a disease can be categorized as specific or non-specific, and for each disease type, causation can be proven by different types of evidence. However, the concept of specific diseases is not compatible with multifactor theory, which is generally accepted in the field of public health. Second, when the epidemiological association between the disease and the risk factor is proven to be significant, imposing additional burdens of proof on the plaintiff may considerably limit the plaintiff's right to recovery, but the Court required the plaintiffs to provide additional information such as health condition and lifestyle. Third, the Supreme Court is not giving greater weight to the evidential value of epidemiological study results because the Court focuses on the fact that these studies were group-level, not individual-level. However, group-level studies could still offer valuable information about individual members of the group, e.g., probability of causation.

Dietary behaviors and nutritional status according to the bone mineral density status among adult female North Korean refugees in South Korea (한국에 거주하고 있는 북한이탈주민 여성의 골밀도에 따른 식생활과 영양상태)

  • Kim, Su-Hyeon;Lee, Soo-Kyung;Kim, Sin-Gon
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.52 no.5
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    • pp.449-464
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: North Koreans could be at higher risk for their bone health because of previous periods of severe famine and the continuing low availability of food. This study determined the bone mineral density (BMD) status and its relationship with dietary behaviors and nutrient intake of North Korean refugees (NKR) in South Korea (SK). Methods: This cross-sectional study analyzed 110 female NKR from a NORNS cohort of a non-probability sample of adult NKR in Seoul. BMD examined by DEXA was used to divide participants into the normal group (NG) and the non-normal group (NNG) according to the WHO guideline. A self-administered questionnaire included questions on age, the socioeconomic situation in North Korea (NK) and SK, the food security in NK and SK, and the health behaviors, dietary behaviors, and food frequency questionnaire administered in SK. A one-day 24-hr recall was conducted and the results were analyzed by using CanPro. SPSS was used to analyze whether BMD and related dietary behaviors and nutrient intakes differed according to the groups. Results: NG (62.7%) was significantly younger and had a lower abdominal obesity score than NNG (p < 0.001). While 14.5% of NG reported experiencing menopause, all of NNG reported experiencing menopause. The NG more frequently consumed the dairy group of foods (9.6 times a week) than did the NNG (4.8 times a week) after the statistics were adjusted for age (p < 0.007). The NG consumed significantly more animal protein and animal calcium than did the NNG (p = 0.01, p = 0.009, respectively). Calcium intake was low with 49.3% of NG, and 78.0% of the NNG reported consuming calcium lower than the estimated average requirement. Only calcium showed an index of nutrient quality lower than one in both groups. Conclusion: These results showed that NKR women and possibly all North Korean women are at high risk for bone health and they consumed low levels of bone-related nutrients, and this should be considered for the nutrition policy for NKR and North Korea.

A Study on the Prediction of Fall Factors for the Elderly Living in the City (도시 생활 노인의 낙상요인 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyun-Ju;Lee, Tae-Yong;Tae, Ki-Sik
    • Journal of rehabilitation welfare engineering & assistive technology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.46-52
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the factors affecting falls in 107 elderly living in the city aged 65 or older by evaluating general characteristics, chronic disease status, medical variables related to falls, balance-related confidence, physical ability and depression. Also, the correlations between the significant differences in variables were identified, and the prediction power was determined by deriving the variables with high influence to induce the fall. In the faller group, urinary incontinence, foot pain, lower extremity weakness, number of chronic disease and medication use were significantly higher than those of the nonfaller group. Also, statistically significant differences were evaluated in ABC (Activities-specific Balance Confidence) score, BBS (Berg Balance Scale) score, SGDS (Short Geriatric Depression Scale), FRT (Functional Reach Test) value. The main correlated factor for fall was ABC score, the lower the ABC score, fall risk is increased which is a significant negative impact. When the evaluation is performed by combining those scales, the hit ratio to classify whether faller or nonfaller is increased to 70.01% which is quite higher value.

A Study on Needs for JCRM with Pilot and Air Traffic Controllers (조종사와 항공교통관제사의 JCRM 필요성에 관한 연구)

  • Jin Yup Kim;Young-jin Cho
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.247-254
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    • 2023
  • GAIN in the US explained in its Pilot/Controller Collaboration Initiatives report that "pilots and air traffic controllers talk to each other all day long, but they rarely communicate." The starting point for the study was the question of whether differences in flight safety perceptions and culture between pilots and air traffic controllers, or other factors, could lead to mutual misunderstandings of procedures and instructions. Digest with The many processes that must be solved within tight deadlines increase the likelihood of accidents through cascading risk factors such as James Reason's Swiss Cheese Theory. Despite the fact that the pilot-air traffic controller complex, which is the subject of flight, occupies a considerable part, there is no integrated management for safe operation between the two groups. Therefore, this research aims to achieve integrated management of safety and education for safe operation between pilots and air traffic controllers through JCRM..