• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험도 정량화 기법

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Optimizing the bio-optical algorithm for quantifying Chlorophyll-a and Phycocyanin in inland water, Korea (대한민국 담수계의 클로로필a와 피코시아닌 정량화를 위한 분광알고리즘 최적화 연구)

  • Pyo, JongCheol;Pachepsky, Yakov;Lee, Hyuk;Park, Yongeun;Cho, Kyung Hwa
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.101-101
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    • 2017
  • 근래에 대한민국 담수계에 조류 대발생으로 인한 수질악화 문재가 대두되고 있다. 또한 독성물질을 생성하는 남조류종이 우점하는 현상으로인해 수질문제와더불에 생태계와 인간의 건강도 잠재적인 위험을 받고있는 실정이다. 이와같은 조류 대발생으로인한 피해를 최소화하기위해 효과적인 수질관리가 필수적이다. 원격탐사기술은 조류의 공간적인 분포를 해석하고 농도를 정량화하기위해 이용되고 있다. 현재까지 많은 분광알고리즘들이 개발되어 담수유역에 적용이 되고 있다. 수체마다 다른 분광특성 때문에 알고리즘내의 파라미터 및 분광밴드 조정이 필수적이다. 하지만 대부분의 연구에선 파라미터와 밴드의 변경에 따른 결과향상에만 초점이 맞춰지고 있어 분광알고리즘내의 파라미터와 분광밴드사이의 관계 이해 뿐만아니라 알고리즘 최종 산출물에 대한 영향에 관한 설명이 전무한 실정이다. 본 연구에선, 대한민국 백제보를 대상으로 현장모니터링 및 조류추출 실험을 진행하였고, 이를 기반으로 5가지 클로로필a 알고리즘과 2가지 피코시아닌 알고리즘을 구축하였다. 알고리즘내에서 변수들의 관계와 영향을 알아보기위해 민감도 분석을 실시하였다. 민감도 분석 조건을 기반으로 one-objective 최적화 및 multi-objective 최적화를 실시하여 백제보수계를 대표할 수 있는 최적 변수들을 모의하였다. 민감도 분석결과 후방산란계수에 영향을 미치는 파라미터와 조류 생체량에 영향을 미치는 파라미터가 다른 변수들 및 알고리즘 농도산정결과에 가장 민감한 것으로 나타났다. multi-objective 최적화 결과가 one-objective 결과 및 reference 결과보다 대부분 정확도가 향상되었고 흡광도 계수를 함께 고려할 수 있기 때문에 백제보 수계의 분광특성을 함께 고려하여 대표할 수 있는 장점을 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서, 본 연구는 민감도 분석을 활용하여 분광알고리즘 내의 변수들의 이해를 도모하였고, 최적화 기법 중, multi-objective 최적화 기법이 백제보의 분광특성을 대변하는 최적변수를 제시할 수 있음과 동시에 보다 나은 정확성을 제고할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

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A Study on the Development of Regional Risk Mapping Program for Marine Oil Spills (해역별 기름유출사고 위험도 매핑 프로그램 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Jung-Hwan;Yun, Jong-Hwui
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.423-429
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    • 2016
  • A study was conducted to analyze the oil spill dynamic state using system dynamics method, and to developed regional risk program based on oil spill history for better judgement of the situation at the early stage of oil spill. Results were obtained as follows: Firstly, various variables were calculated by a score based on raw data of oil spill history in Korea. Regional oil spill risk was also calculated in a quantitative way. Secondly, calculated regional oil spill risk was analyzed and programmed with a help of smart-device for better use. Thirdly, comparison of oil spill risk between regions became possible and regional oil spill risk program proved to be useful in prompt decision under urgent situation in response to oil spill at sea. Convenient and quick oil spill risk without special restrictions have been able to determine. and it can help in anticipative preparation (strategy) for oil spills.

Quantitative Analysis Method for Encrypted Video (암호화된 동영상 비식별화율의 정량적 분석 방법)

  • Deok-Han Kim;Young-Gab Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2023.11a
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    • pp.193-195
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    • 2023
  • 최근 다양한 동영상 미디어 콘텐츠가 늘어나면서 민감한 개인정보 유출의 위험성 또한 높아졌다. 이에 따라 다양한 동영상 비식별화 기법이 연구되었고, 그중에서 동영상 암호화 기술은 별도로 원본 동영상을 보관하지 않아도 복호화를 통해 원본 동영상을 얻을 수 있다는 장점 때문에 계속해서 연구가 진행되고 있다. 많은 동영상 암호화 연구에서는 암호화된 동영상의 비식별성을 입증하기 위해 기존의 이미지 암호화 연구에서 사용되던 평가 지표를 사용한다. 그러나 이러한 지표들은 암호화된 동영상의 비식별성을 입증하기에는 적합하지 않다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 암호화된 동영상이 전체 구간에서 비식별화되었는지 확인하는 방법을 제안한다. 본 논문에서는 기존의 지표들을 가중 합산하여 동영상의 모든 프레임에 대해 측정하고 이를 그래프로 표현하여 분석한다. 이 방법을 통해 암호화된 동영상에서 비식별화가 정상적으로 적용되지 않은 부분을 쉽게 파악할 수 있다.

Numerical Study of Fire Behavior Induced by Gas Leakage in Combined Cycle Power Plant (복합발전플랜트 내의 가스 화재 거동에 관한 수치해석)

  • Park, Jaeyong;Sung, Kunhyuk;Li, Longnan;Choi, Jinwook;Kim, Daejoong;Lee, Seong Hyuk;Ryou, Hong Sun
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2015
  • To date, the demand for Combined Cycle Power Plant (CCPP) has been continuously increased to overcome the problem of air pollution and lack of energy. In particular, the underground CCPP is exposed to substantial fire and explosion risks induced by gas leakage. The present study conducted numerical simulations to examine the fire behavior and gas leakage characteristics for a restricted region including gas turbine and other components used in a typical CCPP system. The commercial code of FLUENT V.14 was used for simulation. From the results, it was found that flammable limit distribution of leakage gas affects fire behavior. Especially, the flame is propagated in an instant in restricted region with LNG gas. In addition, consequence analysis factors such as critical temperature and radiation heat flux are introduced. These results would be useful in making the safety guidelines for the underground CCPP.

Study on the prediction of the stopping probabilities in case of train fire in tunnel by Monte Carlo simulation method (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션에 의한 화재열차의 터널 내 정차확률 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Ji-Oh;Kim, Jong-Yoon;Kim, Hyo-Gyu
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2018
  • The safety of tunnels is quantified by quantitative risk assessment when planning the disaster prevention facilities of railway tunnels, and it is decided whether they are appropriate. The purpose of this study is to estimate the probability of the train stopping in the tunnels at train fire, which has a significant effect on the results of quantitative risk assessment for tunnel fires. For this purpose, a model was developed to calculate the coasting distance of the train considering the coefficient of train running resistance. The probability of stopping in case of train fire in the tunnel is predicted by the Monte Carlo simulation method with the coasting distance and the emergency braking distance as parameters of the tunnel lengths and slopes, train initial driving speeds. The kinetic equations for predicting the coasting distance were analyzed by reflecting the coefficient train running resistance of KTX II. In the case of KTX II trains, the coasting distance is reduced as the slope increases in a tunnel with an upward slope, but it is possible to continue driving without stopping in a slope downward. The probability of the train stopping in the case of train fire in tunnel decreases as the train speed increases and the slope of the tunnel decreases. If human error is not taken into account, the probability that a high-speed train traveling at a speed of 250 km/h or above will stop in a tunnel due to a fire is 0% when the slope of the tunnel is 0.5% or less, and the probability of stopping increases rapidly as the tunnel slope increases and the tunnel length increases.

Inundation Pattern Analysis of Excavation at Construction Site and Derivation of Diasaster Cause and Effect Using Fish-bone Diagram (굴착공사현장 침수양상 해석 및 어골도에 의한 침수피해 원인 및 결과 도출)

  • Yoo, Dong-Hyun;Song, Chang Geun
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.84-91
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    • 2021
  • In the 21st century, a number of storm and flood disasters caused by rapidly changing climate change is increasing, and the number of flood accidents at construction sites is also increasing. However, no specific reduction measures have been presented and thereby safety management to prevent flood accident need to be improved. Therefore, in this study, the inundation pattern by downpour at the excavation site was interpreted and the inundation risk quantification method was used to classify the risk magnitude. Finally, using the fish-bone diagram, we derived the major reasons of inundation accident at construction site systematically. The simulation results showed that the inundation depths of small-scale excavation sites and excavation sites exceeded 3 m due to the fluid flowing through the excavation surface. In addition, depending on the excavation site, a high velocity temporarily observed and decreased due to the storage effect, or high velocity surpassing 10 m/s continued. Since this type of flooding can pose a risk to most or all workers, if proper management measures are insufficient, fatal damage to life and property could occur. Consideration of the roots of these disasters is judged to be helpful in understanding the causes of inundation accidents that result in casualties and presenting accident reduction measures.

Development of a real time simulationg model considering water level of a detention (유수지 수위를 고려한 상류 침수유역의 실시간 모의기법 개발)

  • Lee, Yang-Jae;Lee, Jung-Ho;Jun, Hwan-Don;Joo, Jin-Gul;Kim, Joong-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.199-203
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    • 2007
  • 도시유역에서 강우에 의한 유출수는 하천으로 직접 방류되거나 유수지를 거쳐 방류된다. 특히 내수침수의 위험이 있는 지역은 유수지를 설치하여 펌프를 통하여 강제배제하는 방법을 선택하고 있다. 현재 유수지의 구조는 대부분 유입관거의 관저고는 유수지의 하단고와 일치하고 유수지의 관 상단고에 비해 유수지의 H.W.L(High Water Leverl)은 높게 설정되어 있다. 이는 유수지의 수위가 상승하는 경우에 배수효과에 의해 관거 내의 흐름에 만관의 흐름이 발생하고 이는 유수지로의 유입유량의 감소 및 내수침수 발생 가능성의 증가로 이어진다. 본 연구에서는 유수지 수위에 따른 상류의 침수유역의 크기와 침수량을 정량화 하였다. 또한 SWMM 5.0 DLL을 사용하여 실제 강우에 대하여 강우-유출 모의뿐만이 아니라 치수유역 분석까지 실시간으로 가능하게 하였다.

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Numerical Study on Sea State Parameters Affecting Rip Current at Haeundae Beach : Wave Period, Height, Direction and Tidal Elevation (수치모의를 통한 해운대 이안류에 대한 해상요소의 영향 연구: 파주기, 파고, 파향, 조위)

  • Choi, Junwoo;Shin, Choong Hun;Yoon, Sung Bum
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.205-218
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    • 2013
  • The likelihood of rip current at Haeundae beach according to wave parameters, such as wave height, period, direction, and tidal elevation, was estimated by using numerical simulations with a Boussinesq model, FUNWAVE. To examine the estimation, the rip current occurred on 12th June, 2011 at Haeundae beach was simulated based on observations. For the estimation, the following procedure was carried out. First, extensive numerical simulations of nearshore circulations are performed under various random sea conditions according to the wave parameters. Second, from the numerical results, cross shore components of two-wave-period averaged velocities over the nearshore area were computed, and their seawardly maximum was defined as rip current velocity of the area. Third, using time series of the rip current velocity, we computed the ratio of the simulation time and the time period in which the rip current velocity exceed a threshold velocity for rip-current accidents, and thus the ratio was quantified as the likelihood of rip current at Haeundae beach for the input wave parameters. From the resultant estimations, it was found that the rip current likelihood increases as wave height and period increase, and tidal elevation decreases.

Evaluation of Levee Reliability by Applying Monte Carlo Simulation (Monte Carlo 기법에 의한 하천제방의 안정성 평가)

  • Jeon, Min Woo;Kim, Ji Sung;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5B
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    • pp.501-509
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    • 2006
  • The safety of levee that depends on the river flood elevation has been regarded as very important keys to build up various flood prevention systems. However, deterministic methods for computation of water surface profile cannot reflect the effect of possible inaccuracies in the input parameters. The purpose of this study is to develop a methodology of uncertainty computation of design flood level based on steady flow analysis and Monte Carlo simulation. This study addresses the uncertainty of water surface elevation by Manning's coefficients, design discharges, river cross sections and boundary condition. Monte Carlo simulation with the variations of these parameters is performed to quantify the variations of water surface elevations in a river. The proposed model has been applied to the Kumho-river. The reliability analysis was performed within 38.5 km (95 sections) reach considered the variations of the above-mentioned parameters. Overtopping risks were evaluated by comparing the elevations of the flood condition with the those of the levees. The results show that there is a necessity which will raise the levee elevation between 1 cm and 56 cm at 7 sections. The model can be used for preparing flood risk maps, flood forecasting systems and establishing flood disaster mitigation plans as well as complement of conventional levee design.

Development of 3D Impulse Calculation Technique for Falling Down of Trees (수목 도복의 3D 충격량 산출 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Chae-Won;Kim, Choong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • This study intended to develop a technique for quantitatively and 3-dimensionally predicting the potential failure zone and impulse that may occur when trees are fall down. The main outcomes of this study are as follows. First, this study established the potential failure zone and impulse calculation formula in order to quantitatively calculate the risks generated when trees are fallen down. When estimating the potential failure zone, the calculation was performed by magnifying the height of trees by 1.5 times, reflecting the likelihood of trees falling down and slipping. With regard to the slope of a tree, the range of 360° centered on the root collar was set in the case of trees that grow upright and the range of 180° from the inclined direction was set in the case of trees that grow inclined. The angular momentum was calculated by reflecting the rotational motion from the root collar when the trees fell down, and the impulse was calculated by converting it into the linear momentum. Second, the program to calculate a potential failure zone and impulse was developed using Rhino3D and Grasshopper. This study created the 3-dimensional models of the shapes for topography, buildings, and trees using the Rhino3D, thereby connecting them to Grasshopper to construct the spatial information. The algorithm was programmed using the calculation formula in the stage of risk calculation. This calculation considered the information on the trees' growth such as the height, inclination, and weight of trees and the surrounding environment including adjacent trees, damage targets, and analysis ranges. In the stage of risk inquiry, the calculation results were visualized into a three-dimensional model by summarizing them. For instance, the risk degrees were classified into various colors to efficiently determine the dangerous trees and dangerous areas.