• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2009.11a
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• pp.427-430
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• 2009

풍력 터빈 블레이드용 익형의 경우 운용 조건에서 높은 양항비를 가지도록 설계되나 풍속, 풍향의 변동에 의해 운용조건에 변화가 발생할 경우 성능의 저하가 발생할 수 있다. 따라서 운용조건의 변동이 발생하더라도 공력 성능이 크게 변하지 않는 익형이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 운용조건의 불확실성을 고려하여 풍력 터빈 블레이드용 익형의 신뢰성 기반 강건 최적 설계를 수행하였다. 익형 설계를 위해서 여러 익형 형상 변수들을 고려할 수 있는 익형 모델링 함수를 정의하였고 기저형상으로는 NREL에서 개발한 S809 익형을 사용하였다.

• The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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• v.37 no.2
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• pp.152.1-152.1
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• 2012

한국형발사체개발사업은 대형복합시스템 사업이며, 장기간에 걸쳐 개발이 진행되는 사업이다. 따라서 사업적, 기술적 측면의 불확실성과 위험 등이 존재하며, 이를 적절히 관리 통제하지 못하면 비용 상승, 일정 지연 및 기술성능 요구조건 등의 불만족을 초래한다. 따라서 개발사업 초기단계에서부터 일정, 비용, 기술성능 및 위험관리 등을 위한 종합적 사업관리시스템 구축 및 운용은 개발사업 성공의 주요 관건이다. 현재 한국형개발사업단에서는 이러한 요구조건을 만족시키기 위한 일환으로써 일정 및 비용에 대한 효과적 관리시스템인 EVMS(Earned Value Management System)을 구축하여 운용 중에 있으며, 한국형개발사업에 맞는 최적화된 EVMS을 구축하기 위하여 시스템 커스터마이징 작업을 수행 중에 있다. EVMS의 구축과정에서 가장 고심했던 문제는 WBS 개발과 성과(Earned Value) 측정방법의 선정이었다. WBS의 경우, 개발초기단계에서부터 사업 전체를 포괄하는 완벽한 WBS을 개발하는 것은 상당히 어려운 문제이다. 그러나 사업초기에 존재하는 불확실성 및 위험에도 불구하고 개발을 계속 진행해야 하는 상황은 개발 현장에서 자주 접하게 되는 문제이다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해서 적용하는 유용한 기법이 연동계획하기(Rolling Wave Planning)이다. 한국형개발사업을 위한 EVMS 구축과정에서도 이와 같은 문제에 봉착하게 되어 WBS 개발 시 연동계획하기(Rolling Wave Planning)기법을 적용할 예정이다. 성과(EV) 측정방법의 경우, 퍼센트완료기법과 마일스톤+퍼센트완료기법 등을 선정하여 적용 중에 있다. 현재 연구개발사업의 특성을 고려하여 우선 퍼센트완료기법을 적용하여 성과를 측정하였으나, 성과측정 결과의 주관성 문제로 인하여 마일스톤+퍼센트완료기법을 적용하여 성과(EV) 측정 결과의 객관성을 최대한 확보 할 예정이며, 최종적으로 한국형개발사업에 최적화된 성과측정 기법을 개발할 예정이다.

• Magazine of korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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• v.13 no.6
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• pp.68-80
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• 2011

해저터널은 태풍, 폭우 등과 같은 악천후에도 안정적으로 자국내 도서지역 및 인접국가간 교통 및 물류수송체계 운용을 가능하게 하는 주요 사회기반시설로서 활용되어왔다. 이러한 해저터널 프로젝트를 안전하고 경제적으로 수행하기 위해서는 해저터널의 공학적 특성을 정확하게 이해하는 것이 매우 중요하다. 이에 해저터널의 지반조사를 중심으로 전반적으로 언급하였다. 해저터널은 육상터널과는 달리 조사, 설계 및 시공단계에 있어 많은 불확실성과 위험성을 가지고 있으므로, 프로젝트의 특성에 맞는 정밀하고 정확한 조사는 해저터널의 성공여부를 좌우할 수 있다. 따라서 계획단계에서 철저한 문헌조사 연구 및 해저지형, 지질구조 등에 대한 이해를 기반으로 해저지반 조사계획을 수립 및 수행하여야 한다. 또한 해저터널의 특성상 완벽한 지반조사는 불가능하므로 광범위한 조사에도 불구하고 사전에 예상치 못한 불량한 지반조건을 마주칠 가능성이 크므로, 불확실성과 위험성을 염두에 두고 설계 및 시공에 임하여야 한다.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.10 no.4
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• pp.357-367
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• 2000

A new robust load-frequency control methodology is proposed for nonlinear power systems with valve position limits of the governor in the presence of parametric uncertaines. The TSK fuzzy model is adopted and formulated for fuzzy modeling of the nonlinear power system. A sufficient condition of the robust stabilitry is presented in the sense of lyapunov for the TSK model with parametric uncertainties. The intekkigent digital redesign technique for the uncertain power systems is also studied. The effectiveness of the robust digital fuzzy controller disign mothod is demonstrated through a numerical simulation.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.46 no.11
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• pp.944-951
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• 2018

Artificial icing test and wind tunnel test can be performed to reduce the development period when a rotorcraft is required operation under icing situations. Artificial icing test of the KUH(Korean Utility Helicopter) was performed in advance to verify anti-icing and de-icing performance before natural icing test. Although high-precision sensor, the CCP(Cloud Combination Probe) is used to measure icing test condition parameters such as LWC(Liquid Water Content) and MVD(Median Volume Diameter), the measured values need to be verified in various methods due to the possibility of uncertainties which are the test atmosphere environment, sensor errors, and etc. The calculated LWC from the ice thickness cumulated on the fuselage of the KUH is compared to the measured value by CCP, and the results show the effective indirect method to check the test conditions.

• Bulletin of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.54 no.4
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• pp.39-46
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• 2017

Jack-up drilling rigs are widely used in offshore oil and gas exploration industry. It is originally designed for use in the shallow waters less than 60m of water depth; there is growing demand for their use in deeper water depth over 150m and harsher environmental conditions. In this study, global in-place analysis of jack-up rig leg for North-sea oil well is performed through numerical analysis. Firstly, environmental conditions and seabed characteristics at the North-sea are collected and investigated measurements from survey report. Based on these data, design specifications are established and the overall basic design is performed. Dynamic characteristics of the jack-up rig for North-sea are considered in the global in-place analysis both leg and hull and the basic stability against overturning moment is also analyzed. The structural integrity of the jack-up rig leg/hull is verified through the code checks and the adequate safety margin is observed. The uncertainty in jack-up behaviour is greatly influenced by the uncertainties in the soil characteristics that determine the resistance of the foundation to the forces imposed by the jack-up structure. Among the risks above mentioned, the punch-through during pre-loading is the most frequently encountered foundation problem for jack-up rigs. The objective of this paper is to clarify the detailed structure and installation engineering matters for prove the structural safety of jack-up rigs during operation. With this intention the following items are addressed; - Characteristics of structural behavior considering soil effect against environmental loads - Modes of failure and related pre-loading procedure and parameters - Typical results of structural engineering and verification by actual measurement.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.34 no.10
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• pp.1351-1357
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• 2010

Water monitoring equipments using daphnia can be used to monitor the pollution levels of a country's main rivers. Such equipments should be capable of providing a prompt warning about increase in the contamination levels, which is evaluated on the basis of impulse number or toxicity index. As unmanned remote control equipments, they must provide reliable pollution monitoring results for each season and for the annual physical changes in each river. Two different equipments based on the impulse number and toxicity index showed different results for the operating rates and for the number of emergency checks required even though both were operated at the same conditions. The results are affected by many parameters such as the presence of any air bubbles and the microscopic pressure. The purpose of this study is to develop a method that can reduce the effect of bubbles or microscopic pressure on the monitoring data. We expect to achieve reliable monitoring data for water pollutants irrespective of the location of the equipment setup.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.31 no.2
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• pp.15-45
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• 2009

This paper estimates the term structure of interest rates with the setup of 3-factor no arbitrage model and investigates the trend of term premia and the effectiveness of changes in policy interest rates. The term premia are found to be high in a three-year medium term objective, which can be interpreted as reflecting the recognition of investors who expect a higher uncertainty in real activities for the coming three years than for a longer term. Then, in order to look into the effect of policy interest rates after the recent change of benchmark interest rate, this paper analyzes the effects of the changes in short-term interest rates of the financial market on the yield curve of the bond market at time of change. Empirical results show that the discrepancy between call rate, short-term rate in money market, and instantaneous short rate, short-term rate in the bond market, is found to be significantly widened, comparing to the periods before the change in benchmark interest rate. It is not easy to conclude clearly for now whether such a widening gap is caused by the lack of experiences with managing new benchmark interest rate or is just an exceptional case due to the recent turmoil in the global financial market. However, monetary policy needs to be operated in a manner that could reduce the gap to enhance its effectiveness.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.158-169
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• 2019

A probabilistic model that can predict the residual useful lifetime of structure is formulated by using the gamma process which is one of the stochastic processes. The formulated stochastic model can take into account both the sampling uncertainty associated with damages measured up to now and the temporal uncertainty of cumulative damage over time. A method estimating several parameters of stochastic model is additionally proposed by introducing of the least square method and the method of moments, so that the age of a structure, the operational environment, and the evolution of damage with time can be considered. Some features related to the residual useful lifetime are firstly investigated into through the sensitivity analysis on parameters under a simple setting of single damage data measured at the current age. The stochastic model are then applied to the rubble-mound breakwater straightforwardly. The parameters of gamma process can be estimated for several experimental data on the damage processes of armor rocks of rubble-mound breakwater. The expected damage levels over time, which are numerically simulated with the estimated parameters, are in very good agreement with those from the flume testing. It has been found from various numerical calculations that the probabilities exceeding the failure limit are converged to the constraint that the model must be satisfied after lasting for a long time from now. Meanwhile, the expected residual useful lifetimes evaluated from the failure probabilities are seen to be different with respect to the behavior of damage history. As the coefficient of variation of cumulative damage is becoming large, in particular, it has been shown that the expected residual useful lifetimes have significant discrepancies from those of the deterministic regression model. This is mainly due to the effect of sampling and temporal uncertainties associated with damage, by which the first time to failure tends to be widely distributed. Therefore, the stochastic model presented in this paper for predicting the residual useful lifetime of structure can properly implement the probabilistic assessment on current damage state of structure as well as take account of the temporal uncertainty of future cumulative damage.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.49 no.10
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• pp.829-839
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• 2021

Autonomous system for UAVs has a capability to decide an appropriate current action to achieve the goal based on the ultimate mission goal, context of mission, and the current state of the UAV. We propose a decision-making system that has an ability to operate ISR mission autonomously under the realistic limitation such as low altitude operation with high risk of terrain collision, a set of way points without change of visit sequence not allowed, and position uncertainties of the objects for the mission. The proposed decision-making system is loaded to a Hardware-In-the-loop Simulation environment, then tested and verified using three representative scenarios with a realistic mission environment. The flight trajectories of the UAV and selected actions via the proposed decision-making system are presented as the simulation results with discussion.