• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.397-425
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• 2003

This paper develops a simple theoretical model that is consistent with the empirical evidence of an inverted U-shpated relationship between pollution and per capita income, which is so-called environmental Kuznets curve in this literature. Also, by incorporating the issue of environmental externality into an endogenous growth model, I investigate the circumstances under which growth can be sustained with the optimal control of pollution, and hence the sustainable development can be achieved. In order to study the problem of implementing the social optimum in a market economy, I examine the optimality of three different kinds of environmental policy instruments; pollution tax, pollution-permit trading system (pollution voucher), and direct regulation. This paper shows that the optimum can be implemented with a pollution tax or with a voucher system. Also, it is shown that the socially optimal rate of pollution tax should increase proportionally to the growth rate of consumption.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.148-148
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• 2020

산업의 고도화가 진행됨에 따라 화학원료의 사용이 증가하고 있고 독성을 가진 화학물질이 하천으로 유입되는 사고가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 수환경으로 유입되는 유해화학물질은 주로 무색무취의 물질들로 사고가 발생하더라도 초기 발견이 어려워 어류폐사를 유발하거나 취수시설에서 용수로 취수되는 경우가 발생하기 때문에 이에 대한 대응책 마련이 필수적이다. 하천에 유입된 오염물질의 거동을 신속하게 예측하기 위해 1차원 오염물질 추적 모형이 활용되는데, Fickian 이송-분산 모형(Fickian Advection-dispersion equation model; FADE)이 주로 사용되고 있다. 하지만 FADE는 오염물질이 하천 저장대에서 지체되는 현상을 반영하지 못하기 때문에 농도곡선의 왜곡도를 구현하지 못하는 단점을 가지고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 하천저장대모형(River Storage Model; RSM)을 개발하고 이를 국가하천인 감천에 적용하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 RSM은 분산계수, 본류대 면적, 저장대 면적, 저장대 교환계수의 네 가지 매개변수를 통해서 하천의 물질 저장 및 교환 특성를 구현한 non-Fickian 모형으로서, 생화학반응, 휘발, 흡·탈착항을 추가하여 유해화학물질의 혼합 거동을 정확하게 모의할 수 있도록 개발하였다. 저장대 모형의 매개변수를 산정하기 위해서 하천 유량과 지형자료를 기반으로 HEC-RAS를 모의하여 계산된 수리특성을 입력변수로 사용하였다. 저수기, 평수기, 풍수기 유량을 기준으로 세 경우의 시나리오 모의를 수행하였는데, 5ton의 톨루엔이 김천산업단지에서 감천으로 유입된 경우 약 20km 하류에 위치한 취수장에서 톨루엔의 농도변화를 예측했다. 보존성 물질에 대한 모의 결과, 풍수기의 경우 저수기에 비해 유속이 크기 때문에 취수장에서 20.56시간 먼저 기준농도에 도달하고, 7.21시간 더 짧게 머무는 것으로 나타났다. 유해화학물질의 반응특성에 대한 민감도 분석을 시행한 결과, 생화학적 반감기가 18.98시간보다 길고, 옥탄올-물 분배계수가 2.267 이하인 물질은 생분해 및 흡·탈착 반응에 둔감한 것으로 나타났다. 1m 수심 기준 0.114m/s 이하 유속에서의 하천 수리조건에서는 화학물질의 휘발성을 무시할 수 있는 것으로 밝혀졌다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.29 no.1B
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• pp.73-81
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• 2009

This paper presents a numerical investigation of the impact of the secondary currents on solute transport in open-channel flows. The RANS model with Reynolds stress model is used for flow modeling, and the GGDH(generalized gradient diffusion hypothesis) model is used to close the scalar transport equation. Using the developed model, the impact of secondary currents on solute transport in open channel flows over smooth-rough strip is investigated. Through numerical experiments, the secondary currents are found to affect the solute spreading, leading a movement of the position of the peak concentration and a skewed distribution of solute concentration. Due to the lateral flow of secondary currents near the free surface, the concentration at the rough strip is found to be larger than that at the smooth strip bed. The solute at the rough strip is more rapidly transported than smooth bed. A magnitude analysis of the solute transport rate in scalar transport equation is also carried out to investigate the effect of secondary currents and scalar flux on the concentration distribution.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.34 no.4
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• pp.117-156
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• 2012

This paper decomposes and estimates trend/cyclical components of some key macro variables-GDP, inflation, and interest rate, using a simple DSGE model along with flexible trend specification. The extracted cyclical components of output and interest rate are similar to HP-filtered counterparts, despite some differences in persistence and volatility, while inflation resembles that from BK filtering. This implies that the usual practice of applying a single filtering method to the data of interest may be problematic. When the baseline model is extended to incorporate consumption habit and price indexation, habit turns out to be important in explaining the persistence of business cycles. Comparison of several alternative models shows that the usual practice of estimation of DSGE model using filtered data leads to biased results. Finally, various sensitivity analyses illustrate that (1) allowing for correlation between structural cyclical shocks and trend shocks and (2) including irregular components (in inflation rate) may deliver interesting/important implication for gap estimates.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.43-51
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• 2012

The OLS(ordinary least squares) method is widely used in hedonic housing models. One of the assumptions of the OLS is an independent and uniform distribution of the disturbance term. This assumption can be violated when the spatial autocorrelation exists, which in turn leads to undesirable estimate results. An alterative to this, spatial econometric models have been introduced in housing price studies. This paper describes the comparisons between OLS and spatial econometric models using housing transaction prices of Busan, Korea. Owing to the approaches reflecting spatial autocorrelation, the spatial econometric models showed some superiority to the traditional OLS in terms of log likelihood and sigma square(${\sigma}^2$). Among the spatial models, the SAR(Spatial Autoregressive Models) seemed more appropriate than the SAC(General Spatial Models) and the SEM(Spatial Errors Models) for Busan housing markets. We can make sure the spatial effects on housing prices, and the reconstruction plans have strong impacts on the transaction prices. Selecting a suitable spatial model will play an important role in the housing policy of the government.

• Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.163-175
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• 2017

In land seismic exploration, irregular surface topography and weathering layer in near surface distorts the reflected signals of data. Therefore, typical land seismic data should be compensated for this distortion by static correction. To perform the static correction, near-surface velocity is required, which can be obtained by seismic refraction survey. However, land seismic data is often acquired in a limited form of geometry depending on the equipment availability, accessibility condition, and permission for the survey site. In this situation, refraction analysis should be performed using reflection data because it is impossible to acquire refraction-oriented data due to limited source and receiver geometry. In this study, we aimed to analyze the reliability of the results obtained by refraction traveltime tomography when using reflection data with a limited number of sources and receivers from irregular surface topography. By comparing the inversion result from irregular topography with that from flat surface, we found that the surface topography affects the reliability of the inversion results to some degree. We also found that the number of sources has little effect on the inversion results unless the number of sources are very small. On the other hand, we observed that velocity distortion occurred in the overlapped part of receiver arrays when using a limited number of receivers, and therefore suggested the size of the least overlapping ratio to avoid the velocity distortion. Finally, we performed numerical tests for the model which simulates the surface topography and acquisition geometry of the survey region and verified the reliability analysis of inversion results. We identified reliable areas and suspicious area of the inverted velocity model by applying the analysis results to field data.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.23 no.6 s.84
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• pp.103-113
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• 2005

A pedestrian accident is generally less fully understood than the 'typical' car-to-car collision. For this reason, the analysis of the pedestrian accident is, in many respects, more complicated and demanding. The purpose of this study is to identify clearly the impact point that is the main subject of struggle in pedestrian accidents. In order to develop the model, it is very significant to classify actual accident data including impact velocity. vehicle damage and injury scale of pedestrian. These data were collected from three local branches of RTSA(Road Traffic Safely Authority). The number of collected data were 34 cases and 61.7% of them were fatal accidents. In consequence of analyzing the data by statistical method, it revealed that there is correlation between impact velocity and throw distance. It, also shows that the impact velocity has strong linear correlation to vehicle damage and injury scale. Consequently, reconstruction analysis models of pedestrian accidents considering in local circumstances(such as the physical characteristics of pedestrians and vehicles) was developed However. it is difficult to apply the result of this study to all sorts of pedestrian accidents, because the actual accident data which were used to develop the model were limited. To overcome this limitation, it is necessary to develop an analysis model applicable to diverse circumstances with a wide range of pedestrian accident data on a national basis.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.31 no.1
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• pp.77-96
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• 2018

A reverse mortgage provides a pension until the death for the insured or last survivor. Long-term risk management is important to estimate the contractual period of a reverse mortgage. It is also necessary to study prediction methods of mortality rates that appropriately reflect the improvement trend of the mortality rate since the extension of the life expectancy, which is the main cause of aging, can have a serious impact on the pension financial soundness. In this study, the Lee-Carter (LC) model reflects the improvement in mortality rates; in addition, multiple life model are also applied to a reverse mortgage. The mortality prediction method by the traditional LC model has shown a dramatic improvement in the mortality rate; therefore, this study suggests mortality projection based on the projection of the skewness for the mortality that has been applied to appropriately reflect the improvement trend of the mortality rate. This paper calculates monthly payments using future mortality rates based on the projection of the skewness of the mortality. As a result, the mortality rates based on this method less reflect the mortality improvement effect than the mortality rates based on a traditional LC model and a larger pension amount is calculated. In conclusion, this method is useful to forecast future mortality trend results in a significant reduction of longevity risk. It can also be used as a risk management method to pay appropriate monthly payments and prevent insufficient payment due to overpayment by the issuing institution and the guarantee institution of the reverse mortgage.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.291-305
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• 2014

Persistence is one of the typical characteristics appearing in the volatility of financial time series. According to the recent researches, the volatility persistence may be due to either volatility shifts or long-range dependence. In this paper, we consider residual-based CUSUM tests to distinguish volatility persistence, long-range dependence and volatility shifts in GARCH models. It is observed that this test procedure achieve reasonable powers without a size distortion. Moreover, we employ AIC and BIC criteria to estimate the change points and the number of change points in volatility. We demonstrate the superiority of residual-based CUSUM tests on various Monte Carlo simulations and empirical data analysis.

• Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.71-78
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• 1998

Inversion schemes of 2-D MT survey data generally take enormous computational time and computer memory. In addition, careful attention must be paid in handling MT data, especially in cases of TM mode, inversion results can be seriously distorted because of static effect caused by current channeling across inhomogeneous surface boundaries. There-fore inversion algorithm using the GRRI scheme for TM mode MT data was implemented. This scheme is based on a perturbation analysis with a locally 2-D analysis and local inversions were sequently performed over each divided section without additional forward modelings. The algorithm was applied to several synthetic data for the purpose of verification of its efficiency and applicability. With less computer resources than conventional schemes, it could handle static effect directly by including current channeling across inhomogeneous boundaries. Thus it is expected to be used for an useful tool such as a real-time inversion scheme in the field.