• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.43 no.8
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• pp.721-731
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• 2010

The rainfall-runoff relationship is very difficult to predict because it is complicate factor affected by many temporal and spatial parameters of the basin. In recent, models which is based on artificial intelligent such as neural network, genetic algorithm fuzzy etc., are frequently used to predict discharge while stochastic or deterministic or empirical models are used in the past. However, the discharge data which are generally used for prediction as training and validation set are often estimated from rating curve which has potential error in its estimation that makes a problem in reliability. Therefore, in this study, water stage is predicted from antecedent rainfall and water stage data for short term using three models of neural network which trained by error back propagation algorithm and optimized by genetic algorithm and training error back propagation after it is optimized by genetic algorithm respectively. As the result, the model optimized by Genetic Algorithm gives the best forecasting ability which is not much decreased as the forecasting time increase. Moreover, the models using stage data only as the input data give better results than the models using precipitation data with stage data.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.20 no.8
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• pp.77-87
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• 2004

In this paper a back-propagation neural network model is developed to estimate the preconsolidation pressure of Korean soft soils based on 176 oedometer tests and 63 piezocone test results, which were compiled from 11 sites - western and southern parts of Korea. Only 147 data were used for the training of the neural network and 29 data, which were not used during the training phase, were used for the verification of trained network. Empirical and theoretical models were compared with the developed neural network model. A simple 4-4-9-1 multi-layered neural network has been developed. The cone tip resistance $q_T$ penetration pore pressure $u_2$, total overburden pressure $\sigma_{vo}$ and effective overburden pressure $\sigma'_{vo}$ were selected as input variables. The developed neural network model was validated by comparing the prediction results of the proposed neural network model for the new data which were not used for the training of the model with the measured preconsolidation pressures. It can also predict more precise and reliable preconsolidation pressures than the analytical and empirical model. Furthermore, it can be carefully concluded that neural network model can be used as a generalized model for prediction of preconsolidation pressure throughout Korea since developed model shows good performance for the new data which were not used in both training and testing data.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.99-112
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• 1999

By using 92 values of lateral earth pressure coefficient(K) measured in Korea, the tendency of K with varying depth is analyzed and compared with the range of K defined by Hoek and Brown. The horizontal stress is generally larger than the vertical stress in Korea : About 84 % of K values are above 1. In this study, the theory of elasto-plasticity is applied to analyze the variation of K values, and the results are compared with those of numerical analysis. This reveals that the erosion, sedimentation and weathering of earth crust are important factors in the determination of K values. Surface erosion, large lateral pressure and good rock mass increase the K values, but sedimentation decreases the K values. This study enable us to analyze the effects of geological processes on the K values, especially at shallow depth where underground excavation takes place. A neural network expert system using multi-layer back-propagation algorithm is developed to predict the K values. The neural network model has a correlation coefficient above 0.996 when it is compared with measured data. The comparison with 9 measured data which are not included in the back-propagation learning has shown an average inference error of 20% and the correlation coefficient above 0.95. The expert system developed in this study can be used for reliable determination of K values.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2005.05b
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• pp.1068-1072
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• 2005

조석이란, 해면의 완만한 주기적 승강을 말하며, 보통 그 승강은 1일 약 2회이나, 곳에 따라서는 1일 1회의 곳도 있다. 조석에 있어서는 이 밖에 수일의 주기를 갖는 약간 불규칙한 승강, 반년, 또는 1년을 주기로 하는 다소 규칙적인 승강까지 포함하여 취급한다. 그러나, 각 항만마다 갖는 특정적인 주기인 수분내지 수십분의 주기의 승강은 조석으로 취급하지 않는다. 조석은 해양의 제현상 중에서 예측가능성이 가장 큰 현장으로 이는 조석이 천체의 운행과 연관되기 때문이다. 조석이란 지구로부터 일정한 거리에서 각 고유의 속도를 가지는 적도상을 운행하는 무수의 가상천체에 기인하는 규칙적인 개개의 조석을 합성한 것이며 이 개개의 조석을 분조(Constituent)라 한다. 여기에서 사용되는 신경망 모형은 입력과 출력으로 구성되는 블랙박스 모형으로서 하나의 시스템을 병렬적으로 비선형적으로 구축할 수 있다는 장점 때문에 과거 하천유역의 강우-유출과정에서의 경우 유출현상을 해석하고 유출과정을 모형화 하기 위해 사용하였다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 조위 예측방법인 조화분석법이 아닌 인공신경망을 이용하여 조위예측을 실시하였다. 학습이라는 최적화 과정을 통해 구조와 기능이 복잡한 자연현상을 그대로 받아들여 축적시킴으로써 이를 지식으로 현상에 대한 재현능력이 뛰어나고, 또한 신경회로망의 연상기억능력에 적용하여 수학적으로 표현이 불가능한 불확실한 조위곡선에 적용하기에 유리한 장점을 가지고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 과거 조위이론을 통해 이루었던 조위예측을 우리가 알기 쉬운 여러 기후인자(해면기압, 풍향, 풍속, 음력 등)에 따른 조위곡선을 예측하기 위해 신경망 모형을 이용하여 여수지역의 조위에 적용하여 비교 분석하고자 한다. May가 제안한 공식을 더 확장하여 적용할 수 있는 실험 공식으로 개선하였으며 다양한 조건에 대한 실험을 수행하여 보다 정밀한 공식으로 개선할 수 있었다.$10,924m^3/s$ 및 $10,075m^3/s$로서 실험 I의 $2,757m^3/s$에 비해 통수능이 많이 개선되었음을 알 수 있다.함을 알 수 있다. 상수관로 설계 기준에서는 관로내 수압을 $1.5\~4.0kg/cm^2$으로 나타내고 있는데 $6kg/cm^2$보다 과수압을 나타내는 경우가 $100\%$로 밸브를 개방하였을 때보다 $60\%,\;80\%$ 개방하였을 때가 더 빈번히 발생하고 있으므로 대상지역의 밸브 개폐는 $100\%$ 개방하는 것이 선계기준에 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 밸브 개폐에 따른 수압 변화를 모의한 결과 밸브 개폐도를 적절히 유지하여 필요수량의 확보 및 누수방지대책에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.8R(mm)(r^2=0.84)$로 지수적으로 증가하는 경향을 나타내었다. 유거수량은 토성별로 양토를 1.0으로 기준할 때 사양토가 0.86으로 가장 작았고, 식양토 1.09, 식토 1.15로 평가되어 침투수에 비해 토성별 차이가 크게 나타났다. 이는 토성이 세립질일 수록 유거수의 저항이 작기 때문으로 생각된다. 경사에 따라서는 경사도가 증가할수록 증가하였으며 $10\% 경사일 때를 기준으로 $Ro(mm)=Ro_{10}{\times}0.797{\times}e^{-0.021s(\%)}$로 나타났다.천성 승모판 폐쇄 부전등을 초래하는 심각한 선

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.10 no.5
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• pp.179-186
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• 2006

In this study, Multi-Layer Perceptron(MLP) among models of Artificial Neural Network(ANN) is used for the development of a model that evaluates the bending capacities of reinforced concrete beams strengthened by FRP Rebar. And the data of the existing researches are used for materials of ANN model. As the independent variables of input layer, main components of bending capacities, width, effective depth, compressive strength, reinforcing ratio of FRP, balanced steel ratio of FRP are used. And the moment performance measured in the experiment is used as the dependent variable of output layer. The developed model of ANN could be applied by GFRP, CFRP and AFRP Rebar and the model is verified by using the documents of other previous researchers. As the result of the ANN model presumption, comparatively precise presumption values are achieved to presume its bending capacities at the model of ANN(0.05), while observing remarkable errors in the model of ANN(0.1). From the verification of the ANN model, it is identified that the presumption values comparatively correspond to the given data ones of the experiment. In addition, from the Sensitivity Analysis of evaluation variables of bending performance, effective depth has the highest influence, followed by steel ratio of FRP, balanced steel ratio, compressive strength and width in order.