• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측 선행시간

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Calculation of Rainfall Triggering Index (RTI) to Predict the Occurrence of Debris Flow (토석류 발생 예측을 위한 강우경보지수 산정)

  • Nam, Dong-Ho;Lee, Suk-Ho;Kim, Man-Il;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.47-59
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    • 2018
  • At present, there has been a wide range of studies on debris flow in Korea, more specifically, on rainfall characteristics that trigger debris flow including rainfall intensity, rainfall duration, and preceding rainfall. the prediction of landslide / debris flow relies on the criteria for landslide watch and warning by the Korea Forest Service (KFS, 2012). Despite this, it has been found that most incidents of debris flow were caused by rainfall above the level of landslide watch, maximum hourly rainfall, extensive damage was caused even under the watch level. Under these circumstances, we calculated a rainfall triggering index (RTI) using the main factors that trigger debris flow-rainfall, rainfall intensity, and cumulative rainfall-to design a more sophisticated watch / warning criteria than those by the KFS. The RTI was classified into attention, caution, alert, and evacuation, and was assessed through the application of two debris flow incidents that occurred in Umyeon Mountain, Seoul, and Cheongju, Inje, causing serious damage and casualties. Moreover, we reviewed the feasibility of the RTI by comparing it with the KFS's landslide watch / warning criteria (KFS, 2012).

Analysis of Weathering Sensitivity by Swelling of Domestic Highway Sites (국내 고속도로현장의 스웰링에 의한 풍화민감도 분석)

  • Jang, Seokmyung;Han, Heuisoo
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to observe the swelling representative rocks in Korea and to suggest improvements in the use of test methods and prior analysis in relation to the weathering of rocks. The swelling test and analysis were performed on the drilling cores obtained for the ground investigation at the domestic highway construction site. For the method of determining the absorption expansion index of rocks, the method proposed in "Standard Methods for Sample Collection and Specimen Preparation" of ISRM and Korean Rock Engineers Standard Rock Test Method was used. The specimen for the measurement of the expansion displacement was cylindrical with a height of 10 cm and a diameter of 5 cm. The existing swelling analysis method evaluates the sensitivity to weathering by using the maximum expansion displacement, but since the classification by bedrock grade is unclear, it is reasonable to use the rate of change of the expansion displacement according to the immersion time. It is necessary to conduct an experiment to distinguish between weathering and fault deterioration. In addition, long-term weathering prediction technology for each cancer type is needed through the expansion displacement analysis of the chemical weathering stage.

Experimental investigation of turbulent effects on settling velocities of inertial particles in open-channel flow (개수로 흐름에서 난류가 관성입자의 침강속도에 미치는 영향에 대한 실험연구)

  • Baek, Seungjun;Park, Yong Sung;Jung, Sung Hyun;Seo, Il Won;Jeong, Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.11
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    • pp.955-967
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    • 2022
  • Existing particle tracking models predict vertical displacement of particles based on the terminal settling velocity in the stagnant water. However, experimental results of the present study confirmed that the settling velocity of particles is influenced by the turbulence effects in turbulent flow, consistent with the previous studies. The settling velocity of particles and turbulent characteristics were measured by using PTV and PIV methods, respectively, in order to establish relationship between the particle settling velocity and the ambient turbulence. It was observed that the settling velocity increase rate starts to grow when the particle diameter is of the same order as Kolmogorov length scale. Compared with the previous studies, the present study shows that the graphs of the settling velocity increase rate according to the Stokes number have concave shapes for each particle density. In conclusion, since the settling velocity in the natural flow is faster than in the stagnant water, the existing particle tracking model may estimate a relatively long time for particles to reach the river bed. Therefore, the results of the present study can help improve the performance of particle tracking models.

Development of Mode Choice Model for the Implementation of Next-generation High Speed Train(HEMU-430X) (차세대 고속열차 도입에 따른 수단분담모형 개발 및 적용방안)

  • LEE, Kwang Sub;CHUNG, Sung Bong;EOM, Jin Ki;NAMKUNG, Baek Kyu;KIM, Seok Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.461-469
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    • 2015
  • The next generation high-speed train, HEMU-430X, was developed and is now being tested. However, the existing mode choice models based on the guidelines for feasibility studies do not consider a high-speed train with a higher speed than KTX. This limitation might result in inaccurate demand forecasting. In this research, a stated preference survey was conducted in order to supplement the problem by considering the characteristics of HEMU-430X. Based on the survey results, this research developed two mode choice models, including a multinomial logit model and a nested logit model. For this purpose, the utility functions of travel time and travel costs were estimated using a Limdep 8.0 NLOGIT 3.0 package. After comparing the two models, it was concluded that the nested logit model is appropriate. The paper suggested a plan to implement the nested logit model and presented a policy implication.

A Study on the Life-time Prediction for the Rubber O-ring applied to decoy through the Accelerated Life Test (기만기 적용 고무 O-ring의 온도에 따른 가속수명시험을 통한 수명예측에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Hee-Jin;Kim, Minwoo;Gwak, Hyerim
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.10
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    • pp.182-188
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    • 2016
  • A decoy is a weapon system that can protect vessels from an enemy's torpedo. Thus, the decoy should be able to operate in the field without any failure. Because the decoy can be inoperable once its sealing is broken and water permeates inside the system, the hermetic sealing capability considering the operational environment is mandatory. To be hermetically sealed, a rubber-type O-ring is generally used in a decoy system. The sealed performance of rubber-type products, however, tends to age and deteriorate with time. Therefore, the O-ring needs to be maintained or changed periodically. This paper proposes a method to estimate the proper maintenance period using the hardness and elongation percentage, which represents the performance of the O-ring product and test data from Accelerated Life Test (ALT) of the product. The O-ring used in this paper is a NBR type, and the temperature was chosen to be the main accelerating factor as referenced in many studies. The criteria for the failure of the O-ring was set for the product to be 50% degraded compared to the initial performance. In addition, the Korean standard KS M 6518 was adopted and referenced for the preparation of test samples and the calculation of estimates. The O-ring's predicted life was simulated by analyzing the test results from a computer program, and the optimized maintenance period for the product was determined.

A Predictive Bearing Anomaly Detection Model Using the SWT-SVD Preprocessing Algorithm (SWT-SVD 전처리 알고리즘을 적용한 예측적 베어링 이상탐지 모델)

  • So-hyang Bak;Kwanghoon Pio Kim
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.109-121
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    • 2024
  • In various manufacturing processes such as textiles and automobiles, when equipment breaks down or stops, the machines do not work, which leads to time and financial losses for the company. Therefore, it is important to detect equipment abnormalities in advance so that equipment failures can be predicted and repaired before they occur. Most equipment failures are caused by bearing failures, which are essential parts of equipment, and detection bearing anomaly is the essence of PHM(Prognostics and Health Management) research. In this paper, we propose a preprocessing algorithm called SWT-SVD, which analyzes vibration signals from bearings and apply it to an anomaly transformer, one of the time series anomaly detection model networks, to implement bearing anomaly detection model. Vibration signals from the bearing manufacturing process contain noise due to the real-time generation of sensor values. To reduce noise in vibration signals, we use the Stationary Wavelet Transform to extract frequency components and perform preprocessing to extract meaningful features through the Singular Value Decomposition algorithm. For experimental validation of the proposed SWT-SVD preprocessing method in the bearing anomaly detection model, we utilize the PHM-2012-Challenge dataset provided by the IEEE PHM Conference. The experimental results demonstrate significant performance with an accuracy of 0.98 and an F1-Score of 0.97. Additionally, to substantiate performance improvement, we conduct a comparative analysis with previous studies, confirming that the proposed preprocessing method outperforms previous preprocessing methods in terms of performance.

A Benchmark of Micro Parallel Computing Technology for Real-time Control in Smart Farm (MPICH vs OpenMP) (제목을스마트 시설환경 실시간 제어를 위한 마이크로 병렬 컴퓨팅 기술 분석)

  • Min, Jae-Ki;Lee, DongHoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Agricultural Machinery Conference
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    • 2017.04a
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    • pp.161-161
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    • 2017
  • 스마트 시설환경의 제어 요소는 난방기, 창 개폐, 수분/양액 밸브 개폐, 환풍기, 제습기 등 직접적으로 시설환경의 조절에 관여하는 인자와 정보 교환을 위한 통신, 사용자 인터페이스 등 간접적으로 제어에 관련된 요소들이 복합적으로 존재한다. PID 제어와 같이 하는 수학적 논리를 바탕으로 한 제어와 전문 관리자의 지식을 기반으로 한 비선형 학습 모델에 의한 제어 등이 공존할 수 있다. 이러한 다양한 요소들을 복합적으로 연동시키기 위해선 기존의 시퀀스 기반 제어 방식에는 한계가 있을 수 있다. 관행의 방식과 같이 시계열 상에서 획득한 충분한 데이터를 이용하여 제어의 양과 시점을 결정하는 방식은 예외 상황에 충분히 대처하기 어려운 단점이 있을 수 있다. 이러한 예외 상황은 자연적인 조건의 변화에 따라 불가피하게 발생하는 경우와 시스템의 오류에 기인하는 경우로 나뉠 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 실시간으로 변하는 시설환경 내의 다양한 환경요소를 실시간으로 분석하고 상응하는 제어를 수행하여 수학적이며 예측 가능한 논리에 의해 준비된 제어시스템을 보완할 방법을 연구하였다. 과거의 고성능 컴퓨팅(HPC; High Performance Computing)은 다수의 컴퓨터를 고속 네트워크로 연동하여 집적적으로 연산능력을 향상시킨 기술로 비용과 규모의 측면에서 많은 투자를 필요로 하는 첨단 고급 기술이었다. 핸드폰과 모바일 장비의 발달로 인해 소형 마이크로프로세서가 발달하여 근래 2 Ghz의 클럭 속도에 이르는 어플리케이션 프로세서(AP: Application Processor)가 등장하기도 하였다. 상대적으로 낮은 성능에도 불구하고 저전력 소모와 플랫폼의 소형화를 장점으로 한 AP를 시설환경의 실시간 제어에 응용하기 위한 방안을 연구하였다. CPU의 클럭, 메모리의 양, 코어의 수량을 다음과 같이 달리한 3가지 시스템을 비교하여 AP를 이용한 마이크로 클러스터링 기술의 성능을 비교하였다.1) 1.5 Ghz, 8 Processors, 32 Cores, 1GByte/Processor, 32Bit Linux(ARMv71). 2) 2.0 Ghz, 4 Processors, 32 Cores, 2GByte/Processor, 32Bit Linux(ARMv71). 3) 1.5 Ghz, 8 Processors, 32 Cores, 2GByte/Processor, 64Bit Linux(Arch64). 병렬 컴퓨팅을 위한 개발 라이브러리로 MPICH(www.mpich.org)와 Open-MP(www.openmp.org)를 이용하였다. 2,500,000,000에 이르는 정수 중 소수를 구하는 연산에 소요된 시간은 1)17초, 2)13초, 3)3초 이었으며, $12800{\times}12800$ 크기의 행렬에 대한 2차원 FFT 연산 소요시간은 각각 1)10초, 2)8초, 3)2초 이었다. 3번 경우는 클럭속도가 3Gh에 이르는 상용 데스크탑의 연산 속도보다 빠르다고 평가할 수 있다. 라이브러리의 따른 결과는 근사적으로 동일하였다. 선행 연구에서 획득한 3차원 계측 데이터를 1초 단위로 3차원 선형 보간법을 수행한 경우 코어의 수를 4개 이하로 한 경우 근소한 차이로 동일한 결과를 보였으나, 코어의 수를 8개 이상으로 한 경우 앞선 결과와 유사한 경향을 보였다. 현장 보급 가능성, 구축비용 및 전력 소모 등을 종합적으로 고려한 AP 활용 마이크로 클러스터링 기술을 지속적으로 연구할 것이다.

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Study on the Local Weather Characteristics using Observation Data at the Boseong Tall Tower (보성 종합기상탑 자료를 활용한 국지기상 특성 연구)

  • Hwang, Sung Eun;Lee, Young Tae;Shin, Seung Sook;Kim, Ki Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.459-468
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the selection criteria for the occurrence of sea breezes in the Boseong area during the spring season (March-May) of 2016-2017 were prepared for the analysis of vertical weather characteristics. For this purpose, wind speed values were determined using the measured precipitation, cloud volume, wind direction, the difference between the ground and sea temperature, a wind Profiler at an altitude of 1 km, and numerical model data. The dates of the sea breezes in Boseong were classified according to the selection criteria, and the spatial and temporal characteristics of the sea breezes were identified by analyzing the time and altitude of the sea breeze and the size of the wind speed. Sea breezes occurred 23 out of 183 days (12%), and in Boseong, at least 1.2 out of 10 spring days exhibited sea breezes. Sea winds ranged from 1200 to 1800 LST, mainly from ground to 700 m altitude during the day. In addition, the maximum wind speed averaged 4.9 m s-1, at an altitude of 40 m at 1600 LST, showing relatively lower values than those in a preceding study. This seems to be owing to the reduction in wind speed due to the complexity of the coastal terrain.

Performance Enhancement Study of a Final Clarifier by the Optimum Design of Inlet and Baffle Condition (유입구 및 정류벽 최적설계에 의한 최종 침전지 성능 개선 연구)

  • Kim, Hey-Suk;Shin, Mi-Soo;Jang, Dong-Soon;Jung, Sung-Hee;Gang, Dong-Hyo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 2005
  • The effluent quality is directly affected by the separation of biological solids in a final clarifier because the majority of discharged $BOD_5$ and SS are virtually dependent on the results of biological solids in the sedimentation tank effluent. If a final clarifier is effectively designed and operated, the desired goal of clarification for wastewater can be achieved together with the cost reduction in the treatment of wastewater. To this end flow characteristics and the removal efficiency of SS are numerically investigated especially by the change of the inlet position and the installation of baffle to improve the performance of a rectangular final clarifier. The 2-D computer program developed in a rectangular coordinates has been successfully validated against experimental residence time distribution(RTD) curves obtained by tracing radio-isotope. The lowering of the inlet position weakens the density current and induces the settling of SS in the front zone of a clarifier. Thus the decreased traveling distance of the sludge increases the removal efficiency of SS in the effluent. The inlet baffle installed in the front region of clarifier prevents the short circuiting flow and induces to flow into the dense underflow, which eventually improves the effluent quality. In the case of lower inlet position, however, installation of baffle results in degradation of effluent quality. Consequently it is strongly recommended that in-depth numerical study be performed in advance for optimizing a clarifier design and retrofitting to improve effluent quality in a final clarifier.

A Study on Development of BIM-based Asset Management Model for Maintenance of the Bridge (교량의 유지관리를 위한 BIM기반 자산관리 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Jong-Min;Lee, Dong-Youl;Park, Jong-Bum;Lee, Min-Jae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2012
  • The most of domestic bridge has an used life under 30 years, Future maintenance budgets can be expected to increase. However, because of bridge maintenance budgets are limited, demand for asset management being performed to achieve required performance within available budget is increasing. To perform effective asset management of bridges should be made the best use of information to occur in all phase of construction project. Therefore, the development of system and DB is required to support asset management by effective information management. The objective of this study is the development of the BIM-based bridge asset management model. Through previous research survey, BIM capabilities and asset management components were established and mutual linkages were examined. Bridge asset management model was composed of alternate assessment model. In addition, BIM-based asset management model was performed case studies to verify feasibility and applicability. The proposed model can be applied to a current bridge maintenance procedures and supported to perform effective bridge maintenance tasks within a limited budget.