• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측 기법

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Comparison of Prediction Accuracy Between Classification and Convolution Algorithm in Fault Diagnosis of Rotatory Machines at Varying Speed (회전수가 변하는 기기의 고장진단에 있어서 특성 기반 분류와 합성곱 기반 알고리즘의 예측 정확도 비교)

  • Moon, Ki-Yeong;Kim, Hyung-Jin;Hwang, Se-Yun;Lee, Jang Hyun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.280-288
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    • 2022
  • This study examined the diagnostics of abnormalities and faults of equipment, whose rotational speed changes even during regular operation. The purpose of this study was to suggest a procedure that can properly apply machine learning to the time series data, comprising non-stationary characteristics as the rotational speed changes. Anomaly and fault diagnosis was performed using machine learning: k-Nearest Neighbor (k-NN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Random Forest. To compare the diagnostic accuracy, an autoencoder was used for anomaly detection and a convolution based Conv1D was additionally used for fault diagnosis. Feature vectors comprising statistical and frequency attributes were extracted, and normalization & dimensional reduction were applied to the extracted feature vectors. Changes in the diagnostic accuracy of machine learning according to feature selection, normalization, and dimensional reduction are explained. The hyperparameter optimization process and the layered structure are also described for each algorithm. Finally, results show that machine learning can accurately diagnose the failure of a variable-rotation machine under the appropriate feature treatment, although the convolution algorithms have been widely applied to the considered problem.

A Comparison of Pre-Processing Techniques for Enhanced Identification of Paralichthys olivaceus Disease based on Deep Learning (딥러닝 기반 넙치 질병 식별 향상을 위한 전처리 기법 비교)

  • Kang, Ja Young;Son, Hyun Seung;Choi, Han Suk
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2022
  • In the past, fish diseases were bacterial in aqua farms, but in recent years, the frequency of fish diseases has increased as they have become viral and mixed. Viral diseases in an enclosed space called a aqua farm have a high spread rate, so it is very likely to lead to mass death. Fast identification of fish diseases is important to prevent group death. However, diagnosis of fish diseases requires a high level of expertise and it is difficult to visually check the condition of fish every time. In order to prevent the spread of the disease, an automatic identification system of diseases or fish is needed. In this paper, in order to improve the performance of the disease identification system of Paralichthys olivaceus based on deep learning, the existing pre-processing method is compared and tested. Target diseases were selected from three most frequent diseases such as Scutica, Vibrio, and Lymphocystis in Paralichthys olivaceus. The RGB, HLS, HSV, LAB, LUV, XYZ, and YCRCV were used as image pre-processing methods. As a result of the experiment, HLS was able to get the best results than using general RGB. It is expected that the fish disease identification system can be advanced by improving the recognition rate of diseases in a simple way.

The Geometrical Imagination of the MCU 'Phase 3' Movie (MCU '페이즈3'영화에 나타난 기하학적 상상력)

  • Kim, Young-Seon;Kim, Tae-Soo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.132-142
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to interpret the MCU's universal worldview from the perspective of geometry and to storytell narrative elements with mathematical imagination. For storytelling, data from the Phase 3 series aired from 2016 to 2019 was used. The Phase 3 series stimulates the imagination of the public with the sense of reality shown in the narrative and images based on geometrical theory and various predictions about future technology. Imagination is the driving force for diverse and original thinking about the unexperienced, and the ability to find order in chaos and create new perceptions of matter. The power of imagination is very necessary not only in artistic activities, but also in the scientific field where logic and rationality are important. Bachelard's imagination aims for art, the primitive realm of human beings, and contains sincerity and passion for the wonders of nature and all things. By exploring the MCU's worldview and superhero narrative through geometrical logic and imagination-driven imagery, you can understand the cosmic messages and laws in the film. From a convergence point of view of art and science, various and original techniques based on mathematics and scientific imagination used in MCU video production will help to improve the quality of video analysis.

A Study on the Development of Flight Prediction Model and Rules for Military Aircraft Using Data Mining Techniques (데이터 마이닝 기법을 활용한 군용 항공기 비행 예측모형 및 비행규칙 도출 연구)

  • Yu, Kyoung Yul;Moon, Young Joo;Jeong, Dae Yul
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.177-195
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    • 2022
  • Purpose This paper aims to prepare a full operational readiness by establishing an optimal flight plan considering the weather conditions in order to effectively perform the mission and operation of military aircraft. This paper suggests a flight prediction model and rules by analyzing the correlation between flight implementation and cancellation according to weather conditions by using big data collected from historical flight information of military aircraft supplied by Korean manufacturers and meteorological information from the Korea Meteorological Administration. In addition, by deriving flight rules according to weather information, it was possible to discover an efficient flight schedule establishment method in consideration of weather information. Design/methodology/approach This study is an analytic study using data mining techniques based on flight historical data of 44,558 flights of military aircraft accumulated by the Republic of Korea Air Force for a total of 36 months from January 2013 to December 2015 and meteorological information provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Four steps were taken to develop optimal flight prediction models and to derive rules for flight implementation and cancellation. First, a total of 10 independent variables and one dependent variable were used to develop the optimal model for flight implementation according to weather condition. Second, optimal flight prediction models were derived using algorithms such as logistics regression, Adaboost, KNN, Random forest and LightGBM, which are data mining techniques. Third, we collected the opinions of military aircraft pilots who have more than 25 years experience and evaluated importance level about independent variables using Python heatmap to develop flight implementation and cancellation rules according to weather conditions. Finally, the decision tree model was constructed, and the flight rules were derived to see how the weather conditions at each airport affect the implementation and cancellation of the flight. Findings Based on historical flight information of military aircraft and weather information of flight zone. We developed flight prediction model using data mining techniques. As a result of optimal flight prediction model development for each airbase, it was confirmed that the LightGBM algorithm had the best prediction rate in terms of recall rate. Each flight rules were checked according to the weather condition, and it was confirmed that precipitation, humidity, and the total cloud had a significant effect on flight cancellation. Whereas, the effect of visibility was found to be relatively insignificant. When a flight schedule was established, the rules will provide some insight to decide flight training more systematically and effectively.

Application of convolutional autoencoder for spatiotemporal bias-correction of radar precipitation (CAE 알고리즘을 이용한 레이더 강우 보정 평가)

  • Jung, Sungho;Oh, Sungryul;Lee, Daeeop;Le, Xuan Hien;Lee, Giha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.7
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    • pp.453-462
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    • 2021
  • As the frequency of localized heavy rainfall has increased during recent years, the importance of high-resolution radar data has also increased. This study aims to correct the bias of Dual Polarization radar that still has a spatial and temporal bias. In many studies, various statistical techniques have been attempted to correct the bias of radar rainfall. In this study, the bias correction of the S-band Dual Polarization radar used in flood forecasting of ME was implemented by a Convolutional Autoencoder (CAE) algorithm, which is a type of Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). The CAE model was trained based on radar data sets that have a 10-min temporal resolution for the July 2017 flood event in Cheongju. The results showed that the newly developed CAE model provided improved simulation results in time and space by reducing the bias of raw radar rainfall. Therefore, the CAE model, which learns the spatial relationship between each adjacent grid, can be used for real-time updates of grid-based climate data generated by radar and satellites.

Review of Land Cover Classification Potential in River Spaces Using Satellite Imagery and Deep Learning-Based Image Training Method (딥 러닝 기반 이미지 트레이닝을 활용한 하천 공간 내 피복 분류 가능성 검토)

  • Woochul, Kang;Eun-kyung, Jang
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.218-227
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    • 2022
  • This study attempted classification through deep learning-based image training for land cover classification in river spaces which is one of the important data for efficient river management. For this purpose, land cover classification analysis with the RGB image of the target section based on the category classification index of major land cover map was conducted by using the learning outcomes from the result of labeling. In addition, land cover classification of the river spaces was performed by unsupervised and supervised classification from Sentinel-2 satellite images provided in an open format, and this was compared with the results of deep learning-based image classification. As a result of the analysis, it showed more accurate prediction results compared to unsupervised classification results, and it presented significantly improved classification results in the case of high-resolution images. The result of this study showed the possibility of classifying water areas and wetlands in the river spaces, and if additional research is performed in the future, the deep learning based image train method for the land cover classification could be used for river management.

Comparison and Analysis of Drought Index based on MODIS Satellite Images and ASOS Data for Gyeonggi-Do (경기도 지역에 대한 MODIS 위성영상 및 지점자료기반 가뭄지수의 비교·분석)

  • Yu-Jin, KANG;Hung-Soo, KIM;Dong-Hyun, KIM;Won-Joon, WANG;Han-Eul, LEE;Min-Ho, SEO;Yun-Jae, CHOUNG
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2022
  • Currently, the Korea Meteorological Administration evaluates the meteorological drought by region using SPI6(standardized precipitation index 6), which is a 6-month cumulative precipitation standard. However, SPI is an index calculated only in consideration of precipitation at 69 weather stations, and the drought phenomenon that appears for complex reasons cannot be accurately determined. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to calculate and compare SPI considering only precipitation and SDCI (Scaled Drought Condition Index) considering precipitation, vegetation index, and temperature in Gyeonggi. In addition, the advantages and disadvantages of the station data-based drought index and the satellite image-based drought index were identified by using results calculated through the comparison of SPI and SDCI. MODIS(MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) satellite image data, ASOS(Automated Synoptic Observing System) data, and kriging were used to calculate SDCI. For the duration of precipitation, SDCI1, SDCI3, and SDCI6 were calculated by applying 1-month, 3-month, and 6-month respectively to the 8 points in 2014. As a result of calculating the SDCI, unlike the SPI, drought patterns began to appear about 2-month ago, and drought by city and county in Gyeonggi was well revealed. Through this, it was found that the combination of satellite image data and station data increased efficiency in the pattern of drought index change, and increased the possibility of drought prediction in wet areas along with existing dry areas.

A development of stochastic simulation model based on vector autoregressive model (VAR) for groundwater and river water stages (벡터자기회귀(VAR) 모형을 이용한 지하수위와 하천수위의 추계학적 모의기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Yoon Jeong;Won, Chang-Hee;Choi, Byoung-Han;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.12
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    • pp.1137-1147
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    • 2022
  • River and groundwater stages are the main elements in the hydrologic cycle. They are spatially correlated and can be used to evaluate hydrological and agricultural drought. Stochastic simulation is often performed independently on hydrological variables that are spatiotemporally correlated. In this setting, interdependency across mutual variables may not be maintained. This study proposes the Bayesian vector autoregression model (VAR) to capture the interdependency between multiple variables over time. VAR models systematically consider the lagged stages of each variable and the lagged values of the other variables. Further, an autoregressive model (AR) was built and compared with the VAR model. It was confirmed that the VAR model was more effective in reproducing observed interdependency (or cross-correlation) between river and ground stages, while the AR generally underestimated that of the observed.

Experimental investigation of turbulent effects on settling velocities of inertial particles in open-channel flow (개수로 흐름에서 난류가 관성입자의 침강속도에 미치는 영향에 대한 실험연구)

  • Baek, Seungjun;Park, Yong Sung;Jung, Sung Hyun;Seo, Il Won;Jeong, Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.11
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    • pp.955-967
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    • 2022
  • Existing particle tracking models predict vertical displacement of particles based on the terminal settling velocity in the stagnant water. However, experimental results of the present study confirmed that the settling velocity of particles is influenced by the turbulence effects in turbulent flow, consistent with the previous studies. The settling velocity of particles and turbulent characteristics were measured by using PTV and PIV methods, respectively, in order to establish relationship between the particle settling velocity and the ambient turbulence. It was observed that the settling velocity increase rate starts to grow when the particle diameter is of the same order as Kolmogorov length scale. Compared with the previous studies, the present study shows that the graphs of the settling velocity increase rate according to the Stokes number have concave shapes for each particle density. In conclusion, since the settling velocity in the natural flow is faster than in the stagnant water, the existing particle tracking model may estimate a relatively long time for particles to reach the river bed. Therefore, the results of the present study can help improve the performance of particle tracking models.

Improvement in flow and noise performance of backward centrifugal fan by redesigning airfoil geometry (익형 형상 재설계를 통한 후향익 원심팬의 유동 및 소음성능 개선)

  • Jung, Minseung;Choi, Jinho;Ryu, Seo-Yoon;Cheong, Cheolung;Kim, Tae-hoon;Koo, Junhyo
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.40 no.6
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    • pp.555-565
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    • 2021
  • The goal of this study is to improve flow and noise performances of existing backward-curved blade centrifugal fan system used for circulating cold air in a refrigerator freezer by optimally designing airfoil shape. The unique characteristics of the system is to drive cold airflow with two volute tongues in combination with duct system in a back side of a refrigerator without scroll housing generally used in a typical centrifugal fan system. First, flow and noise performances of existing fan system were evaluated experimentally. A P-Q curve was obtained using a fan performance tester in the flow experiment, and noise spectrum was measured in an anechoic chamber in the noise experiment. Then, flow characteristics were numerically analyzed by solving the three-dimensional unsteady Navier-Stokes equations and noise analysis was performed by solving the Ffowcs Williams and Hawkins equation with input from the flow simulation results. The validity of numerical results was confirmed by comparing them with the measured ones. Based on the verified numerical method, blade inlet and outlet angles were optimized for maximum flow rate using the two-factor central composite design of the response surface method. Finally, the flow and noise performances of a prototype manufactured with the optimum design were experimentally evaluated, which showed the improvement in flow and noise performance.