• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측지도

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Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Ensemble FR and LR models at the Inje Area, Korea (FR과 LR 앙상블 모형을 이용한 산사태 취약성 지도 제작 및 검증)

  • Kim, Jin Soo;Park, So Young
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2017
  • This research was aimed to analyze landslide susceptibility and compare the prediction accuracy using ensemble frequency ratio (FR) and logistic regression at the Inje area, Korea. The landslide locations were identified with the before and after aerial photographs of landslide occurrence that were randomly selected for training (70%) and validation (30%). The total twelve landslide-related factors were elevation, slope, aspect, distance to drainage, topographic wetness index, stream power index, soil texture, soil sickness, timber age, timber diameter, timber density, and timber type. The spatial relationship between landslide occurrence and landslide-related factors was analyzed using FR and ensemble model. The produced LSI maps were validated and compared using relative operating characteristics (ROC) curve. The prediction accuracy of produced ensemble LSI map was about 2% higher than FR LSI map. The LSI map produced in this research could be used to establish land use planning and mitigate the damages caused by disaster.

Estimation of mean annual extreme minimum temperature raster and predicting the potential distribution for Ipomoea triloba using Proto3 model in the Korean peninsula (격자형 한반도 최저극값온도 예측 및 Proto3를 활용한 별나팔꽃 (Ipomoea triloba)의 서식적합지 예측)

  • Lee, Yong Ho;Choi, Tae Yang;Lee, Ga Eun;Na, Chea Sun;Hong, Sun Hee;Lee, Do-Hun;Oh, Young Ju
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.759-768
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    • 2019
  • This study was conducted to estimate the mean annual extreme minimum temperature raster and predict the potential distribution of the invasive plant, Ipomoea triloba, on the Korean peninsula. We collected annual extreme minimum temperature and mean coldest month minimum temperature data from 129 weather stations on the Korean peninsula from 1990-2019 and used this data to create a linear regression model. The min temperature of the coldest month raster from Worldclim V2 were used to estimate a 30 second spatial resolution, mean annual extreme minimum temperature raster of the Korean peninsula using a regression model. We created three climatic rasters of the Korean peninsula for use with the Proto3 species distribution model and input the estimated mean annual extreme minimum temperature raster, a Köppen-Geiger climate class raster from Beck et al. (2018), and we also used the mean annual precipitation from Worldclim V2. The potential distribution of I. triloba was estimated using the Proto3 model with 117 occurrence points. As a result, the estimated area for a potential distribution of I. triloba was found to be 50.7% (111,969 ㎢) of the Korean peninsula.

Optimization of Soil Contamination Distribution Prediction Error using Geostatistical Technique and Interpretation of Contributory Factor Based on Machine Learning Algorithm (지구통계 기법을 이용한 토양오염 분포 예측 오차 최적화 및 머신러닝 알고리즘 기반의 영향인자 해석)

  • Hosang Han;Jangwon Suh;Yosoon Choi
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.331-341
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    • 2023
  • When creating a soil contamination map using geostatistical techniques, there are various sources that can affect prediction errors. In this study, a grid-based soil contamination map was created from the sampling data of heavy metal concentrations in soil in abandoned mine areas using Ordinary Kriging. Five factors that were judged to affect the prediction error of the soil contamination map were selected, and the variation of the root mean squared error (RMSE) between the predicted value and the actual value was analyzed based on the Leave-one-out technique. Then, using a machine learning algorithm, derived the top three factors affecting the RMSE. As a result, it was analyzed that Variogram Model, Minimum Neighbors, and Anisotropy factors have the largest impact on RMSE in the Standard interpolation. For the variogram models, the Spherical model showed the lowest RMSE, while the Minimum Neighbors had the lowest value at 3 and then increased as the value increased. In the case of Anisotropy, it was found to be more appropriate not to consider anisotropy. In this study, through the combined use of geostatistics and machine learning, it was possible to create a highly reliable soil contamination map at the local scale, and to identify which factors have a significant impact when interpolating a small amount of soil heavy metal data.

Fast Reference Frame Selection Algorithm Based on Motion Vector Reference Map (움직임 벡터 참조 지도 기반의 고속 참조 영상 선택 방법)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hee;Ko, Man-Geun;Seo, Bo-Seok;Suh, Jae-Won
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.28-35
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    • 2010
  • The variable block size motion estimation (ME) and compensation (MC) using multiple reference frames is adopted in H.264/AVC to improve coding efficiency. However, the computational complexity for ME/MC increases proportional to the number of reference frames and variable blocks. In this paper, we propose a new efficient reference frame selection algorithm to reduce the complexity while keeping the visual quality. First, a motion vector reference map is constructed by SAD of $4{\times}4$ block unit for multi reference frames. Next, the variable block size motion estimation and motion compensation is performed according to the motion vector reference map. The computer simulation results show that the average loss of BDPSNR is -0.01dB, the increment of BDBR is 0.27%, and the encoding time is reduced by 38% compared with the original method for H.264/AVC.

Forecasting of Short Term Photovoltaic Generation by Various Input Model in Supervised Learning (지도학습에서 다양한 입력 모델에 의한 초단기 태양광 발전 예측)

  • Jang, Jin-Hyuk;Shin, Dong-Ha;Kim, Chang-Bok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.478-484
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    • 2018
  • This study predicts solar radiation, solar radiation, and solar power generation using hourly weather data such as temperature, precipitation, wind direction, wind speed, humidity, cloudiness, sunshine and solar radiation. I/O pattern in supervised learning is the most important factor in prediction, but it must be determined by repeated experiments because humans have to decide. This study proposed four input and output patterns for solar and sunrise prediction. In addition, we predicted solar power generation using the predicted solar and solar radiation data and power generation data of Youngam solar power plant in Jeollanamdo. As a experiment result, the model 4 showed the best prediction results in the sunshine and solar radiation prediction, and the RMSE of sunshine was 1.5 times and the sunshine RMSE was 3 times less than that of model 1. As a experiment result of solar power generation prediction, the best prediction result was obtained for model 4 as well as sunshine and solar radiation, and the RMSE was reduced by 2.7 times less than that of model 1.

Web Mining Using Fuzzy Integration of Multiple Structure Adaptive Self-Organizing Maps (다중 구조적응 자기구성지도의 퍼지결합을 이용한 웹 마이닝)

  • 김경중;조성배
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2004
  • It is difficult to find an appropriate web site because exponentially growing web contains millions of web documents. Personalization of web search can be realized by recommending proper web sites using user profile but more efficient method is needed for estimating preference because user's evaluation on web contents presents many aspects of his characteristics. As user profile has a property of non-linearity, estimation by classifier is needed and combination of classifiers is necessary to anticipate diverse properties. Structure adaptive self-organizing map (SASOM) that is suitable for Pattern classification and visualization is an enhanced model of SOM and might be useful for web mining. Fuzzy integral is a combination method using classifiers' relevance that is defined subjectively. In this paper, estimation of user profile is conducted by using ensemble of SASOM's teamed independently based on fuzzy integral and evaluated by Syskill & Webert UCI benchmark data. Experimental results show that the proposed method performs better than previous naive Bayes classifier as well as voting of SASOM's.

A Reconstruction of Classification for Iris Species Using Euclidean Distance Based on a Machine Learning (머신러닝 기반 유클리드 거리를 이용한 붓꽃 품종 분류 재구성)

  • Nam, Soo-Tai;Shin, Seong-Yoon;Jin, Chan-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.225-230
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    • 2020
  • Machine learning is an algorithm which learns a computer based on the data so that the computer can identify the trend of the data and predict the output of new input data. Machine learning can be classified into supervised learning, unsupervised learning, and reinforcement learning. Supervised learning is a way of learning a machine with given label of data. In other words, a method of inferring a function of the system through a pair of data and a label is used to predict a result using a function inferred about new input data. If the predicted value is continuous, regression analysis is used. If the predicted value is discrete, it is used as a classification. A result of analysis, no. 8 (5, 3.4, setosa), 27 (5, 3.4, setosa), 41 (5, 3.5, setosa), 44 (5, 3.5, setosa) and 40 (5.1, 3.4, setosa) in Table 3 were classified as the most similar Iris flower. Therefore, theoretical practical are suggested.

Predicting the Effect of Fusion of Artificial Intelligence Education and Maker Education Using System Dynamics (시스템 사고를 활용한 인공지능 교육과 메이커 교육 융합 효과성 예측)

  • Yang, Hwan-Geun;Lee, Tae-Wuk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2020.01a
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    • pp.117-120
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    • 2020
  • 본 논문은 인공지능 메이커 교육과 관련한 요소를 논문 네트워크 키워드 분석과 다양한 빅데이터를 종합하여 핵심용어를 선정 후 인공지능 메이커 교육을 시스템 다이내믹스의 Vensim프로그램으로 인과지도(Casual Loop Diagramming)를 구조분석(모델의 구조)하여 예측 결과를 토대로 향후 미래 상황 추출 및 정책 결정 연구에 영향을 기여한다. 연구 결과 인공지능 교육 정책은 추후 인공지능 교육과 메이커 교육을 융합한 교육 관련 산업이 증대할 것으로 예측되며 교육 경쟁력 향상과 창의적 인재 양성, OTT를 이용한 인공지능 교육 콘텐츠 향상으로 학습에 활용성이 증대하게 된다. 또한 인공지능 교육 정책은 프로그래밍 교육으로 연결되어 성장기 학습자들의 사고력과 정서 발달에 도움 되며 다양한 교재 및 기기 등장으로 인한 학습에 다양성 역시 증가할 것으로 예측된다. 학교 차원에서는 교수·연구 지원 활동이 증가하여 수업 전문성을 가진 교사가 늘어나 학교 교육의 질은 확대되고 학부모는 인공지능 교육 정책에 긍정적으로 된다. 시스템 다이내믹스는 구조가 형태를 결정짓는다는 세계관에 기초하여 피드백 루프와 동태적 형태 유형을 파악하며 다양한 가능성이 존재하게 된다. 이는 추후 다양한 연구를 통해 인공지능 교육 정책 인과지도의 확대로 연결될 수 있음을 암시하며 본 논문을 통해 인공지능 교육 연구 확산에 시발점이 되었으면 한다.

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Application of road noise prediction model(2D, 3D) (도로소음 예측모델(2D, 3D)이용 방안)

  • Choung, TaeRyang;Cho, Jaechang;Kang, Yeongsik;Seo, Chungyoul;Park, Youngmin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2014.10a
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    • pp.856-857
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    • 2014
  • 국내에서 이용되는 예측모델은 국립환경과학원식, 도로공사의 HW-NOISE, KHTN, 소음지도에 이용되는 외국의 RLS90, NMPB 등이 있다. 이러한 예측모델은 예측 방법 및 표현에 따라 예측식 2D(국립환경과학원식, HW-NOISE)와 3D로 예측(KHTN, RLS90, NMPB 등)으로 구분할 수 있다. 본 연구는 도로 주변 공동주택에서의 소음실측 및 예측식별 예측값을 통하여 예측식의 오차 및 오차의 원인을 분석하고 예측식의 적용방법에 대하여 고찰하였다.

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Improving Efficiency of Food Hygiene Surveillance System by Using Machine Learning-Based Approaches (기계학습을 이용한 식품위생점검 체계의 효율성 개선 연구)

  • Cho, Sanggoo;Cho, Seung Yong
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.53-67
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    • 2020
  • This study employees a supervised learning prediction model to detect nonconformity in advance of processed food manufacturing and processing businesses. The study was conducted according to the standard procedure of machine learning, such as definition of objective function, data preprocessing and feature engineering and model selection and evaluation. The dependent variable was set as the number of supervised inspection detections over the past five years from 2014 to 2018, and the objective function was to maximize the probability of detecting the nonconforming companies. The data was preprocessed by reflecting not only basic attributes such as revenues, operating duration, number of employees, but also the inspections track records and extraneous climate data. After applying the feature variable extraction method, the machine learning algorithm was applied to the data by deriving the company's risk, item risk, environmental risk, and past violation history as feature variables that affect the determination of nonconformity. The f1-score of the decision tree, one of ensemble models, was much higher than those of other models. Based on the results of this study, it is expected that the official food control for food safety management will be enhanced and geared into the data-evidence based management as well as scientific administrative system.